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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Thursday, July 18, 2024 BEARISH

The US stock market tilted decisively lower today as a broad sector downdraft followed weakness in healthcare and finance, led by Eli Lilly (LLY) sliding 6.3% to $837.21 after sector headwinds. The S&P 500 undercut recent strength with 18 of 24 sectors down and only 2 sectors finishing higher; Materials (+1.1% vs50MA ABOVE) and Energy (+0.7% vs50MA ABOVE) were among the few pockets of resilience. Megacap leadership was mixed — the Mag 7 (AI Spenders) group was essentially flat for the day at -0.1% collectively, though Meta (META) rallied 3.0% to $472.68 and NVIDIA (NVDA) climbed 2.6% to $120.89 while Apple (AAPL) dropped 2.1% to $222.25. Market action today linked earnings, rate-sensitivity, and repositioning into defensive sectors into a clear risk-off tone across the S&P 500.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.20%
stable
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$82.82
-0.0% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
15.9
+10.0% 1D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI/technology investment theme showed bifurcated leadership: NVIDIA (NVDA) at $120.89 and Meta (META) at $472.68 logged notable gains as investors rotated into pure-play AI beneficiaries, while the broader Mag 7 cohort cooled with Microsoft (MSFT) down 0.7% to $433.56 and Alphabet (GOOG) off 1.9% to $177.86. Chip supply chain names such as Broadcom (AVGO) rising 2.9% to $157.56 and Intel (INTC) up 1.2% to $34.65 indicate selective strength in hardware and equipment, even as demand signals keep some chip-equipment and data-center REIT groups under pressure. Infrastructure and enterprise software dynamics remain critical — Palantir (PLTR) outperformed in software at $28.64 (+1.5%), but more defensive positioning suggests investors are awaiting clearer spending cadence from large cloud and enterprise customers.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -0.1% N/A N/A BELOW
Chip Supply Chain +0.1% N/A N/A BELOW
Infrastructure -0.5% N/A N/A BELOW
Enterprise Software -0.2% N/A N/A BELOW
Finance -3.2% N/A N/A BELOW
Healthcare -3.9% N/A N/A BELOW
Retail -0.6% N/A N/A BELOW
IT Services -0.2% N/A N/A BELOW
Airlines -1.5% N/A N/A BELOW
Hospitality & Travel -1.4% N/A N/A BELOW
Food & Restaurant -0.9% N/A N/A BELOW
Logistics -1.5% N/A N/A BELOW
Industrial -0.8% N/A N/A BELOW
Cybersecurity -2.7% N/A N/A BELOW
Chip Equipment -1.2% N/A N/A BELOW
Data Center REITs -1.2% N/A N/A BELOW
Utilities +0.0% N/A N/A ABOVE
Energy +0.7% N/A N/A ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace -0.2% N/A N/A ABOVE
Telecom -0.2% N/A N/A ABOVE
Media & Entertainment -0.6% N/A N/A BELOW
Biotech -0.6% N/A N/A BELOW
Materials -1.1% N/A N/A ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips +0.4% N/A N/A BELOW

Sector Strength

Energy +0.7% 20d: N/A
Exxon Mobil (XOM) +1.0%, Chevron (CVX) +0.5%
Analog & Embedded Chips +0.4% 20d: N/A
Texas Instruments (TXN) +0.8%, Microchip Technology (MCHP) +0.0% [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Healthcare -3.9% 20d: N/A
Eli Lilly (LLY) -6.3% [<50MA], UnitedHealth (UNH) -1.6%
Finance -3.2% 20d: N/A
Goldman Sachs (GS) -3.2% [<50MA], JPMorgan (JPM) -3.2% [<50MA]
Cybersecurity -2.7% 20d: N/A
CrowdStrike (CRWD) -3.3% [<50MA], Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -2.5% [<50MA], Zscaler (ZS) -2.3% [<50MA]
Airlines -1.5% 20d: N/A
Delta (DAL) -1.8% [<50MA], United (UAL) -1.2%
Logistics -1.5% 20d: N/A
UPS -1.8% [<50MA], FedEx (FDX) -1.2% [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Healthcare suffered the sharpest pain today with Healthcare down 3.9% as Eli Lilly (LLY) plunged 6.3% to $837.21 and pressured the entire group; the 50-day trend for the sector is negative and the intraday move reinforced momentum to the downside across biotech and big-cap pharma. Biotech fell 0.6% and the 50-day context shows the group remains below its moving average, amplifying volatility for names that had been rallying earlier in the quarter.

Finance was another clear weakness, with Finance off 3.2% driven by bank and trading names; JPMorgan (JPM) slid 3.2% to $201.51 and Goldman Sachs (GS) also declined 3.2% to $466.82, both highlighting sensitivity to rate expectations and trading revenue outlooks. The sector sits below its 50-day trend and the breadth of financial weakness suggests risk-off positioning among institutional liquidity providers.

Chip Supply Chain displayed selective leadership as Broadcom (AVGO) jumped 2.9% to $157.56 and Intel (INTC) rose 1.2% to $34.65, signaling ongoing investor interest in hardware suppliers tied to AI deployment even while Chip Equipment fell 1.2% and remains below its 50-day trend. Over the 50-day window the supply-chain group shows mixed short-term momentum, with some pockets outperforming as customers firm up capacity investments while others wait on order visibility.

Cybersecurity and Enterprise Software diverged within software markets: Enterprise Software was down 0.2% on the day but Palantir (PLTR) bucked the trend, climbing 1.5% to $28.64, whereas Cybersecurity saw larger selling pressure with CrowdStrike (CRWD) down 3.3% to $85.76 and Palo Alto Networks (PANW) off 2.5% to $161.94. Across the past 50 days both cybersecurity and broader enterprise software show weakening relative momentum versus the market, suggesting consolidation as investors reassess contract cadence and renewal dynamics.

Transportation and Travel groups felt the spillover from risk-off flows: Airlines and Logistics each dropped about 1.5% while Hospitality & Travel fell 1.4%, and Data Center REITs were down 1.2% as well. These sectors are positioned below their 50-day moving averages, indicating the market is rotating out of economically sensitive cyclical exposures into defensive names like Utilities and Energy, which remain above their 50-day trends.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 5 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 19 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 24 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
META $472.68 +3.0% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 0
NVDA $120.89 +2.6% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 0
TSLA $249.23 +0.3% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 0
MSFT $433.56 -0.7% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 3
GOOG $177.86 -1.9% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 3
AAPL $222.25 -2.1% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
AMZN $183.75 -2.2% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AVGO $157.56 +2.9% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 0
INTC $34.65 +1.2% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 0
MRVL $67.84 +0.4% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 0
TSM $167.56 +0.4% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 0
QCOM $183.48 -0.1% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
ARM $158.33 -2.1% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
AMD $155.77 -2.3% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 3
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VRT $82.36 +1.0% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 0
DELL $121.33 +0.1% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 0
HPE $19.68 -0.7% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 3
CSCO $45.81 -1.0% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 1
SMCI $80.16 -1.8% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 3
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PLTR $28.64 +1.5% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 0
NOW $147.75 +0.4% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 0
ADBE $556.85 -1.1% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
CRM $243.84 -1.5% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $201.51 -3.2% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 1
GS $466.82 -3.2% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UNH $539.43 -1.6% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 1
LLY $837.21 -6.3% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 3
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $69.52 -0.3% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 1
COST $830.38 -0.8% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $315.67 +0.8% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 0
IBM $175.29 -1.2% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 1
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UAL $46.39 -1.2% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 2
DAL $43.76 -1.8% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $239.57 -1.4% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
BKNG $154.70 -1.5% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $247.56 -0.6% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 1
SBUX $70.52 -1.2% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $237.15 -1.2% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
UPS $128.14 -1.8% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 1
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CAT $346.59 -0.5% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 2
HON $206.23 -1.2% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 1
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ZS $190.37 -2.3% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 3
PANW $161.94 -2.5% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 3
CRWD $85.76 -3.3% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 3
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ASML $908.41 -0.8% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
AMAT $214.04 -1.1% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
LRCX $93.64 -1.6% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $761.67 -1.0% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
DLR $145.89 -1.4% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NEE $67.64 +1.1% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 0
SO $76.16 -0.4% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 1
DUK $99.54 -0.6% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 1
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
XOM $111.25 +1.0% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 0
CVX $148.71 +0.5% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 0
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GD $282.27 +0.4% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 0
LMT $451.59 -0.0% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 1
RTX $100.11 -1.1% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 1
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VZ $36.90 +0.1% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 0
T $17.47 -0.1% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 1
TMUS $176.45 -0.7% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 1
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $94.58 -0.5% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 2
NFLX $64.30 -0.7% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 3
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $69.41 +0.3% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 0
AMGN $311.27 -1.4% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 1
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LIN $434.66 -0.7% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 1
APD $253.38 -1.4% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 1
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $194.55 +0.8% N/A N/A N/A ABOVE 0
MCHP $86.68 +0.0% N/A N/A N/A BELOW 0

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Eli Lilly (LLY) (Healthcare) fell 6.3% to $837.21. CrowdStrike (CRWD) (Cybersecurity) fell 3.3% to $85.76. Goldman Sachs (GS) (Finance) fell 3.2% to $466.82. JPMorgan (JPM) (Finance) fell 3.2% to $201.51. Meta (META) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) rose 3.0% to $472.68. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

No major risk alerts are triggered. In a directionless market, maintaining disciplined position sizing and clear stop-loss levels is key to managing downside risk while staying positioned for breakouts.

US Stock Market Outlook

Looking forward, the market faces a cautious tape with 19 sectors below their 50-day moving averages and only 5 above, and sector breadth showing just 2 winners versus 18 losers today. Alert counts ticked higher as multiple groups generated technical sell signals, breadth metrics deteriorated, and the 50-day trend remains an effective filter for risk management. Positioning guidance: trim cyclical exposure, favor selective energy and materials holdings that remain above the 50-day trend, and use stronger Mag 7 momentum names as tactical exposures rather than broad portfolio anchors until breadth and 50-day leadership improve.

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