> 2ndOcean_

US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Tuesday, September 03, 2024 BEARISH

The US stock market opened under pressure after a sharp sell-off in AI-related hardware names led by NVIDIA (NVDA), which plunged 9.5% to $107.82 and triggered a medium alert for being down 16.9% from its 20-day high. The drop reverberated through the Chip Supply Chain, which fell 7.3% on the day, and pulled the Mag 7 (AI Spenders) group down 3.3%, with Alphabet (GOOG) sliding 3.9% to $157.40 and Apple (AAPL) off 2.7% to $221.11. Defensive pockets outperformed: Telecom rose 2.1% with Verizon (VZ) up 2.8% at $37.65, and Utilities gained 1.3% led by Southern Co (SO), which advanced 2.9% to $83.97. Overall, 3 sectors were up, 20 down and 1 flat, leaving mixed breadth into the S&P 500 session.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Neutral
3.84%
falling
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$70.34
-4.4% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Elevated Caution
20.7
+38.1% 1D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The short-term AI/technology theme cooled as the Mag 7 (AI Spenders) group moved lower on profit-taking and a rotation out of hardware risk; NVIDIA (NVDA) $107.82 led the decline while Microsoft (MSFT) $403.83 and Amazon (AMZN) $176.25 each eased roughly 1.8%–1.3%. Weakness in the Chip Supply Chain — led by heavy losses in names like Intel (INTC) and Marvell (MRVL) — undercuts the immediate capex narrative for accelerators even as enterprise software and infrastructure spending remains supportive. Longer term, continued spending from the Mag 7 on cloud infrastructure and enterprise software should sustain the AI theme, but expect higher volatility in chip suppliers until a clearer demand cadence emerges.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -3.3% -3.3% +4.3% BELOW
Chip Supply Chain -7.3% -4.5% +7.0% BELOW
Infrastructure -3.0% -5.6% +3.7% BELOW
Enterprise Software -2.0% -1.5% +8.8% ABOVE
Finance -3.2% -1.6% +7.1% BELOW
Healthcare +0.5% +1.1% +13.0% ABOVE
Retail -0.8% -1.0% +10.9% ABOVE
IT Services -0.2% +0.9% +8.0% ABOVE
Airlines -0.3% +4.0% +12.0% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel -2.1% -0.2% +9.6% ABOVE
Food & Restaurant -1.0% -3.2% +15.4% ABOVE
Logistics -1.3% -0.4% +3.2% BELOW
Industrial -3.0% -1.9% +3.9% BELOW
Cybersecurity -3.1% -0.6% +16.4% ABOVE
Chip Equipment -6.7% -6.0% -0.0% BELOW
Data Center REITs -0.7% +0.6% +3.7% BELOW
Utilities +1.3% +2.7% +3.9% ABOVE
Energy -2.2% -1.7% +2.0% BELOW
Defense & Aerospace -1.0% +1.6% +5.0% ABOVE
Telecom +2.1% +2.0% +6.4% ABOVE
Media & Entertainment -2.5% -2.4% +4.9% BELOW
Biotech -0.1% +2.3% +4.3% ABOVE
Materials -1.1% -0.3% +2.6% ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips -6.4% -4.9% +5.4% BELOW

Sector Strength

Telecom +2.1% 20d: +6.4%
Verizon (VZ) +2.8% (20d: +6.6%), AT&T (T) +2.7% (20d: +6.5%), T-Mobile (TMUS) +0.9% (20d: +6.0%)
Utilities +1.3% 20d: +3.9%
Southern Co (SO) +2.9% (20d: +3.7%), Duke Energy (DUK) +1.6% (20d: +3.5%), NextEra Energy (NEE) -0.7% (20d: +4.5%)
Healthcare +0.5% 20d: +13.0%
UnitedHealth (UNH) +1.4% (20d: +5.3%), Eli Lilly (LLY) -0.4% (20d: +20.8%)

Sector Warnings

Chip Supply Chain -7.3% 20d: +7.0%
Intel (INTC) -8.8% (20d: +2.0%) [<50MA], Marvell (MRVL) -8.2% (20d: +20.3%), AMD -7.8% (20d: +5.2%) [<50MA]
Chip Equipment -6.7% 20d: -0.0%
Applied Materials (AMAT) -7.0% (20d: +0.2%) [<50MA], Lam Research (LRCX) -6.7% (20d: -0.6%) [<50MA], ASML -6.5% (20d: +0.3%) [<50MA]
Analog & Embedded Chips -6.4% 20d: +5.4%
Microchip Technology (MCHP) -7.0% (20d: +2.9%) [<50MA], Texas Instruments (TXN) -5.8% (20d: +8.0%)
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -3.3% 20d: +4.3%
NVIDIA (NVDA) -9.5% (20d: +3.6%) [<50MA], Alphabet (GOOG) -3.9% (20d: -1.2%) [<50MA], Apple (AAPL) -2.7% (20d: +7.6%)
Finance -3.2% 20d: +7.1%
Goldman Sachs (GS) -4.5% (20d: +4.3%) [<50MA], JPMorgan (JPM) -2.0% (20d: +10.0%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain bore the brunt of today's move, sliding 7.3% as investors punished suppliers on signs of near-term inventory digestion. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) dropped 7.8% to $136.94 and Marvell (MRVL) fell 8.2% to $69.64, while Intel (INTC) plunged 8.8% to $20.10; each name is trading below its 50-day trend over the last 50 trading sessions and the 1-day losses amplified 20-day volatility. The 50-day context shows an investor focus on supply-chain earnings cadence and order flow, and traders should watch 50-day trend integrity as a confirmation point for any durable recovery.

Chip Equipment and Analog & Embedded Chips continued to correct after recent strength, with Chip Equipment down 6.7% and Analog & Embedded Chips off 6.4% for the day. Key bellwethers in this group have shown 1-day weakness that exceeds their 20-day returns, signaling a rotation away from capital goods into defensives; this compressed multiple environment leaves these names sensitive to any negative read on capacity spending across cloud and foundry customers. For tactical investors, re-entry should be considered only after stabilization above the 50-day trend and improving order-book commentary.

Utilities and Telecom acted as safe-haven sectors in this risk-off session, with Utilities up 1.3% and Telecom up 2.1%. Southern Co (SO) led utilities, rising 2.9% to $83.97, and Verizon (VZ) climbed 2.8% to $37.65; both remain above their 50-day trends and showed relative strength versus the broader market. Given the 50-day resiliency, these sectors serve as short-term defensive anchors for portfolio positioning while risk assets reprice.

Enterprise Software and Cybersecurity displayed divergent behavior inside tech: Enterprise Software fell 2.0% but remains above its 50-day trend on the 20-day outperformance signal, while Cybersecurity was down 3.1% for the day but is still materially positive over the 20-day window. UnitedHealth (UNH) is an outlier in Health-related software demand, gaining 1.4% to $572.26 and illustrating selective buyer preference for durable growth names even on a broader risk-off day. Monitor 50-day trend alignment in these names to identify sustainable leadership.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 13 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 11 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 23 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

MEDIUM NVDA down -16.9% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMZN $176.25 -1.3% +1.8% +8.8% N/A BELOW 1
TSLA $210.60 -1.6% +0.7% +5.0% N/A BELOW 1
META $508.35 -1.8% -1.4% +3.6% N/A ABOVE 1
MSFT $403.83 -1.8% -1.1% +2.6% N/A BELOW 1
AAPL $221.11 -2.7% -2.3% +7.6% N/A ABOVE 2
GOOG $157.40 -3.9% -4.7% -1.2% N/A BELOW 1
NVDA $107.82 -9.5% -15.8% +3.6% N/A BELOW 1
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AVGO $149.97 -6.2% -5.3% +6.2% N/A BELOW 1
TSM $156.47 -6.5% -5.9% +3.3% N/A BELOW 1
ARM $123.74 -6.9% -5.7% +9.1% N/A BELOW 1
QCOM $156.43 -6.9% -6.1% +2.8% N/A BELOW 1
AMD $136.94 -7.8% -9.0% +5.2% N/A BELOW 1
MRVL $69.64 -8.2% +0.4% +20.3% N/A ABOVE 1
INTC $20.10 -8.8% +0.1% +2.0% N/A BELOW 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SMCI $44.18 +0.9% -19.3% -28.4% N/A BELOW 0
CSCO $47.74 -0.9% -1.3% +10.9% N/A ABOVE 1
HPE $18.14 -1.6% -0.2% +10.5% N/A ABOVE 1
DELL $107.60 -4.1% -1.0% +17.0% N/A BELOW 1
VRT $75.02 -9.4% -6.2% +8.6% N/A BELOW 1
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ADBE $571.04 -0.6% +0.6% +11.1% N/A ABOVE 1
CRM $244.54 -1.9% -6.1% +4.0% N/A BELOW 5
NOW $167.17 -2.2% +0.5% +5.4% N/A ABOVE 1
PLTR $30.51 -3.1% -1.1% +14.7% N/A ABOVE 1
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $211.42 -2.0% +0.1% +10.0% N/A ABOVE 1
GS $470.79 -4.5% -3.3% +4.3% N/A BELOW 1
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UNH $572.26 +1.4% +1.9% +5.3% N/A ABOVE 0
LLY $944.67 -0.4% +0.2% +20.8% N/A ABOVE 1
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $75.97 -0.1% +1.4% +14.2% N/A ABOVE 1
COST $870.40 -1.5% -3.3% +7.6% N/A ABOVE 1
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $328.92 -0.0% +0.4% +7.3% N/A ABOVE 1
IBM $192.16 -0.4% +1.3% +8.7% N/A ABOVE 1
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DAL $41.42 -0.3% +3.8% +10.9% N/A ABOVE 1
UAL $43.87 -0.4% +4.1% +13.1% N/A ABOVE 1
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $227.09 -1.7% +1.4% +7.5% N/A ABOVE 1
BKNG $150.11 -2.4% -1.7% +11.6% N/A ABOVE 1
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $273.95 -0.5% -0.8% +6.3% N/A ABOVE 1
SBUX $89.11 -1.5% -5.5% +24.4% N/A ABOVE 4
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UPS $114.30 -0.8% -0.3% +3.7% N/A BELOW 1
FDX $226.99 -1.8% -0.5% +2.7% N/A BELOW 1
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HON $195.15 -1.5% -0.6% +3.6% N/A ABOVE 1
CAT $332.57 -4.5% -3.1% +4.2% N/A BELOW 1
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PANW $177.54 -2.1% +1.4% +17.6% N/A ABOVE 1
ZS $193.19 -3.4% -2.0% +16.6% N/A ABOVE 1
CRWD $66.65 -3.9% -1.2% +15.1% N/A BELOW 1
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ASML $832.53 -6.5% -5.0% +0.3% N/A BELOW 1
LRCX $75.27 -6.7% -6.7% -0.6% N/A BELOW 1
AMAT $180.68 -7.0% -6.3% +0.2% N/A BELOW 1
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $801.30 -0.3% +1.7% +6.6% N/A ABOVE 1
DLR $141.35 -1.2% -0.5% +0.8% N/A BELOW 1
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SO $83.97 +2.9% +3.7% +3.7% N/A ABOVE 0
DUK $108.82 +1.6% +3.5% +3.5% N/A ABOVE 0
NEE $75.92 -0.7% +1.1% +4.5% N/A ABOVE 1
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
XOM $109.00 -2.1% -1.9% +2.0% N/A BELOW 2
CVX $134.30 -2.2% -1.6% +2.1% N/A BELOW 1
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LMT $541.13 +0.4% +1.8% +5.3% N/A ABOVE 0
GD $283.85 -1.5% +1.6% +3.3% N/A ABOVE 1
RTX $117.27 -1.9% +1.3% +6.3% N/A ABOVE 1
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VZ $37.65 +2.8% +3.6% +6.6% N/A ABOVE 0
T $18.64 +2.7% +4.0% +6.5% N/A ABOVE 0
TMUS $194.74 +0.9% -1.4% +6.0% N/A ABOVE 0
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $87.10 -1.4% -1.9% -0.9% N/A BELOW 1
NFLX $67.53 -3.7% -2.9% +10.8% N/A ABOVE 1
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $75.25 +0.9% +3.5% +7.4% N/A ABOVE 0
AMGN $313.00 -1.0% +1.1% +1.2% N/A ABOVE 1
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LIN $461.95 -0.9% +0.4% +6.4% N/A ABOVE 1
APD $261.55 -1.3% -1.0% -1.2% N/A ABOVE 1
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $191.97 -5.8% -4.2% +8.0% N/A ABOVE 1
MCHP $72.76 -7.0% -5.6% +2.9% N/A BELOW 1

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: NVIDIA (NVDA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) fell 9.5% to $107.82. Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) fell 9.4% to $75.02. Intel (INTC) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 8.8% to $20.10. Marvell (MRVL) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 8.2% to $69.64. AMD (Chip Supply Chain) fell 7.8% to $136.94. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

There are 1 medium-severity risk signals to monitor. While not requiring immediate action, keep an eye on the flagged sectors for further deterioration.

US Stock Market Outlook

Market internals favor caution: only 13 of 24 sectors are above their 50-day moving averages while 11 are below, and active alerts include a medium NVDA downside alert tied to a 20-day high breach. With 20 sectors down today and clear 50-day trend pressure across cyclical and chip-related groups, position portfolios defensively — favoring sectors holding above the 50-day (Utilities, Telecom, Healthcare) and trimming exposure to chip supply chain and equipment until 50-day trend confirmation returns. Watch breadth (sectors above/below 50MA) and alert counts for signals of capitulation or stabilization before adding back growth exposure.

← 2024-08-30
Calendar
2024-09-04 →