> 2ndOcean_

US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Friday, September 06, 2024 Sectors: BEARISH

Markets sold off broadly today after a wave of tech and chip losses led the S&P 500 lower, with the Mag 7 group down a collective -3.7% and Tesla (TSLA) plunging -8.4% on heavy volume. Chip Supply Chain names and Chip Equipment compounded the rout — Broadcom (AVGO) fell -10.4% and ASML (ASML) slid -5.4% — driving deep weakness across the sector map where 22 of 24 sectors closed lower. Only Airlines registered a gain (+0.8%) while defensive pockets such as Utilities and Healthcare held up modestly. Today's moves reflect risk-off on growth and hardware sensitivity, and they pushed overall breadth well into negative territory for the US stock market and the S&P 500.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Neutral
3.72%
falling
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$67.67
-2.1% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Elevated Caution
22.4
+12.5% 1D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Heatmap (1D)

Airlines +0.82%
Food & Restaurant +0.04%
Telecom -0.32%
Logistics -0.34%
Healthcare -0.43%
Enterprise Software -0.58%
IT Services -0.62%
Biotech -0.62%
Utilities -0.63%
Retail -0.73%
Data Center REITs -0.79%
Hospitality & Travel -0.87%
Defense & Aerospace -0.95%
Energy -1.08%
AI Power & Grid -1.24%
Media & Entertainment -1.71%
Materials -1.82%
Industrial -1.82%
Finance -2.04%
Analog & Embedded Chips -2.66%
EDA & Semiconductor IP -2.86%
Memory & Storage -3.04%
Cybersecurity -3.20%
Infrastructure -3.60%
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -3.69%
Chip Equipment -3.70%
Chip Supply Chain -4.91%
AI Networking & Interconnect -5.08%
≤-3%0≥+3%

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme showed cracks as the Magnificent 7 cooled off: NVIDIA (NVDA) $102.66 (-4.1%) and Microsoft (MSFT) $396.20 (-1.6%) led losses, signaling profit-taking after earlier AI leadership. Stress in the chip supply chain and equipment — Broadcom (AVGO) $134.47 (-10.4%), Marvell (MRVL) $65.84 (-5.3%), ASML (ASML) $741.34 (-5.4%) — highlights near-term capacity and re-rating risk for hardware suppliers. Infrastructure names like Super Micro (SMCI) $38.65 (-6.8%) and select enterprise software names such as Palantir (PLTR) $30.33 (+0.6%) show the bifurcation between software spend resilience and capital-intensive supply chain weakness.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -3.7% -5.5% -0.6% N/A
Chip Supply Chain -4.9% -11.8% -2.0% N/A
Memory & Storage -3.0% -6.4% N/A N/A
EDA & Semiconductor IP -2.9% -10.1% +0.2% N/A
Infrastructure -3.6% -10.1% -1.2% N/A
AI Networking & Interconnect -5.1% -11.5% N/A N/A
Enterprise Software -0.6% -2.4% +1.1% N/A
Finance -2.0% -5.7% +0.8% N/A
Healthcare -0.4% -2.4% +4.0% N/A
Retail -0.7% -1.3% +7.6% N/A
IT Services -0.6% -0.7% +5.9% N/A
Airlines +0.8% +1.7% +9.0% N/A
Hospitality & Travel -0.9% -3.7% +6.6% N/A
Food & Restaurant +0.0% -1.4% +15.1% N/A
Logistics -0.3% -3.0% +1.5% N/A
Industrial -1.8% -6.1% -1.3% N/A
Cybersecurity -3.2% -13.4% -2.2% N/A
Chip Equipment -3.7% -13.2% -10.1% N/A
Data Center REITs -0.8% -2.1% -0.7% N/A
AI Power & Grid -1.2% -8.8% N/A N/A
Utilities -0.6% +1.3% +3.1% N/A
Energy -1.1% -5.4% -4.6% N/A
Defense & Aerospace -1.0% -2.0% +1.8% N/A
Telecom -0.3% +0.3% +2.8% N/A
Media & Entertainment -1.7% -3.9% +3.5% N/A
Biotech -0.6% -2.2% +3.2% N/A
Materials -1.8% -3.9% -0.5% N/A
Analog & Embedded Chips -2.7% -8.8% -0.2% N/A

Sector Strength

Airlines +0.8% 20d: +9.0%
United (UAL) +2.0% (20d: +11.0%), Delta (DAL) -0.3% (20d: +6.9%)

Sector Warnings

AI Networking & Interconnect -5.1% 20d: N/A
Coherent (COHR) -7.7%, Arista Networks (ANET) -4.3%, Amphenol (APH) -3.2%
Chip Supply Chain -4.9% 20d: -2.0%
Broadcom (AVGO) -10.4% (20d: -7.6%), Marvell (MRVL) -5.3% (20d: +9.3%), TSMC (TSM) -4.2% (20d: -6.2%)
Chip Equipment -3.7% 20d: -10.1% CRITICAL
ASML Holding (ASML) -5.4% (20d: -12.6%), KLA (KLAC) -3.5%, Applied Materials (AMAT) -3.0% (20d: -8.5%)
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -3.7% 20d: -0.6%
Tesla (TSLA) -8.4% (20d: +5.4%), NVIDIA (NVDA) -4.1% (20d: -1.8%), Alphabet (GOOG) -4.1% (20d: -8.0%)
Infrastructure -3.6% 20d: -1.2%
Super Micro (SMCI) -6.8% (20d: -24.0%), Dell (DELL) -4.8% (20d: +10.0%), Vertiv (VRT) -4.5% (20d: +0.4%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Equipment suffered a sharp leg lower as ASML (ASML) $741.34 declined -5.4% and the group now registers a [HIGH] alert for a -10.0% drop over 20 days; the 50-day context shows the sector trading BELOW its 50-day reference and the 20d performance of -12.9% amplifies the downtrend. Investors should view the move as both technical and fundamental — order cadence for lithography remains lumpy — and position sizing around discrete makers is prudent until 50-day momentum stabilizes.

Chip Supply Chain names underperformed with Broadcom (AVGO) $134.47 plunging -10.4% and Marvell (MRVL) $65.84 down -5.3%, leaving the group down -4.9% on the day and BELOW its 50-day benchmark. The 20d slide of -11.8% and a 20d vs 50-day divergence signal inventory and demand concerns feeding through the supply chain; tactically, traders should shrink exposure to high-beta suppliers while selectively monitoring names that show relative 50-day support.

Mag 7 and AI Spenders showed universal weakness inside the theme: NVIDIA (NVDA) $102.66 -4.1%, Apple (AAPL) $219.18 -0.7%, and Microsoft (MSFT) $396.20 -1.6% all traded BELOW their 50-day context and the Mag 7 sector average fell -3.7%. TSLA (TSLA) $210.73 led individual pain at -8.4%, underlining the market's quick rotation away from concentrated mega-cap leadership despite ongoing AI investment narratives. The 20-day readings are mixed — some names remain modestly positive while others are negative — so focus on 50-day trend changes before redeploying capital.

Enterprise Software posted modest relative resilience intraday: Palantir (PLTR) $30.33 edged up +0.6% as the sector only slipped -0.6% and remains ABOVE its 50-day reference in the data set. That 50-day context suggests software spend is holding better than hardware, with selective vendors able to demonstrate subscription durability. For portfolio construction, favor names with clear recurring revenue and improving 50-day trajectories while avoiding exposure to software vendors tied tightly to cyclical capex.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 0 of 28 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 28 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 13 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500, NASDAQ 100 & Dow Jones (%)

Green shading marks breadth-below-50% regimes: BUY at the 5th session (vertical line on the fire day), STRONG at the 10th (darker). A 3rd day back above 50% ends the regime; tolerated recovery days still count toward the session total. Research display only — not investment advice.

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Chip Equipment down -10.1% over 20 days
MEDIUM NVDA down -20.9% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AAPL $218.99 -0.7% -3.6% +2.1% N/A N/A 1
MSFT $395.45 -1.6% -3.7% -1.1% N/A N/A 4
META $496.93 -3.2% -4.0% -3.4% N/A N/A 1
AMZN $171.39 -3.7% -4.0% +2.7% N/A N/A 1
GOOG $150.97 -4.1% -7.9% -8.0% N/A N/A 1
NVDA $102.66 -4.1% -13.9% -1.8% N/A N/A 1
TSLA $210.73 -8.4% -1.6% +5.4% N/A N/A 1
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
INTC $18.89 -2.6% -14.3% -4.2% N/A N/A 4
QCOM $152.38 -3.4% -9.3% -3.3% N/A N/A 2
AMD $134.35 -3.7% -9.6% +0.1% N/A N/A 2
TSM $152.89 -4.2% -8.7% -6.2% N/A N/A 1
MRVL $65.84 -5.3% -13.2% +9.3% N/A N/A 2
AVGO $134.47 -10.4% -15.9% -7.6% N/A N/A 2
Memory & Storage Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
STX $94.54 -2.8% -1.6% N/A N/A N/A 1
WDC $45.72 -2.9% -7.3% N/A N/A N/A 4
MU $85.84 -3.4% -10.2% N/A N/A N/A 1
EDA & Semiconductor IP Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CDNS $247.52 -1.3% -8.0% N/A N/A N/A 4
SNPS $463.97 -2.5% -10.7% N/A N/A N/A 4
ARM $117.29 -4.7% -11.7% +0.2% N/A N/A 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HPE $16.69 -0.6% -9.5% +1.1% N/A N/A 4
CSCO $46.25 -1.3% -4.0% +6.7% N/A N/A 4
VRT $71.59 -4.5% -13.6% +0.4% N/A N/A 1
DELL $98.92 -4.8% -11.7% +10.0% N/A N/A 4
SMCI $38.65 -6.8% -11.7% -24.0% N/A N/A 3
AI Networking & Interconnect Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APH $58.90 -3.2% -11.3% N/A N/A N/A 1
ANET $78.58 -4.3% -11.1% N/A N/A N/A 1
COHR $68.54 -7.7% -12.1% N/A N/A N/A 1
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PLTR $30.33 +0.6% -3.7% +1.1% N/A N/A 0
ORCL $138.76 -0.6% +0.4% N/A N/A N/A 1
ADBE $563.41 -0.8% -1.9% +5.1% N/A N/A 2
CRM $240.51 -0.9% -3.5% -3.4% N/A N/A 8
NOW $165.01 -1.2% -3.5% +1.7% N/A N/A 1
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GS $463.21 -1.7% -6.0% -1.6% N/A N/A 2
JPM $203.89 -2.4% -5.5% +3.2% N/A N/A 4
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UNH $570.54 +0.2% +1.1% +6.8% N/A N/A 0
LLY $890.24 -1.1% -6.0% +1.2% N/A N/A 4
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $75.27 -0.4% -0.8% +12.8% N/A N/A 2
COST $867.14 -1.0% -1.8% +2.4% N/A N/A 2
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $326.96 -0.3% -0.6% +7.6% N/A N/A 2
IBM $190.28 -0.9% -0.7% +4.1% N/A N/A 2
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UAL $46.01 +2.0% +4.5% +11.0% N/A N/A 0
DAL $41.09 -0.3% -1.1% +6.9% N/A N/A 2
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $223.56 -0.6% -3.0% +4.5% N/A N/A 4
BKNG $147.20 -1.1% -4.3% +8.6% N/A N/A 4
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $277.77 +0.5% +0.9% +8.7% N/A N/A 0
SBUX $86.67 -0.4% -3.6% +21.4% N/A N/A 7
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UPS $112.54 +0.1% -0.8% +1.0% N/A N/A 0
FDX $218.91 -0.8% -5.3% +2.0% N/A N/A 4
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CAT $321.34 -1.3% -7.5% -2.8% N/A N/A 4
HON $188.18 -2.4% -4.7% +0.2% N/A N/A 2
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PANW $167.91 -2.3% -7.4% +1.3% N/A N/A 4
ZS $156.78 -3.4% -21.6% -10.1% N/A N/A 1
CRWD $61.60 -3.9% -11.1% +2.3% N/A N/A 4
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LRCX $72.14 -2.9% -10.6% -9.2% N/A N/A 4
AMAT $172.00 -3.0% -11.4% -8.5% N/A N/A 4
KLAC $69.23 -3.5% -14.2% N/A N/A N/A 2
ASML $740.38 -5.4% -16.7% -12.6% N/A N/A 4
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $783.89 -0.5% -2.0% -0.1% N/A N/A 4
DLR $139.87 -1.1% -2.2% -1.3% N/A N/A 1
AI Power & Grid Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GEV $197.50 -0.1% -1.3% N/A N/A N/A 2
ETN $278.23 -0.3% -7.2% N/A N/A N/A 4
PWR $247.40 -1.4% -9.9% N/A N/A N/A 4
CEG $171.12 -1.7% -12.0% N/A N/A N/A 4
VST $72.80 -2.8% -13.7% N/A N/A N/A 2
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DUK $108.62 -0.2% +2.3% +3.5% N/A N/A 2
NEE $75.97 -0.4% -0.7% +3.9% N/A N/A 2
SO $82.81 -1.2% +2.3% +1.9% N/A N/A 1
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
XOM $105.65 -0.5% -4.5% -5.1% N/A N/A 5
CVX $127.52 -1.7% -6.3% -4.2% N/A N/A 4
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LMT $540.57 -0.3% +0.3% +3.3% N/A N/A 2
RTX $114.42 -1.0% -4.0% +2.2% N/A N/A 2
GD $281.79 -1.5% -2.2% -0.1% N/A N/A 1
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
T $19.13 +1.5% +5.4% +7.6% N/A N/A 0
VZ $36.09 -0.4% -1.5% +1.0% N/A N/A 3
TMUS $187.43 -2.1% -2.9% -0.3% N/A N/A 3
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $85.94 -0.8% -2.7% +2.0% N/A N/A 2
NFLX $66.58 -2.6% -5.1% +5.0% N/A N/A 1
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $74.32 -0.1% -0.4% +6.9% N/A N/A 3
AMGN $301.82 -1.2% -4.0% -0.5% N/A N/A 2
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $255.39 -1.8% -3.6% -3.4% N/A N/A 4
LIN $446.50 -1.9% -4.2% +2.5% N/A N/A 4
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $186.85 -2.0% -7.9% +2.2% N/A N/A 2
ADI $208.06 -2.5% -8.7% N/A N/A N/A 2
MCHP $70.14 -3.5% -9.8% -2.7% N/A N/A 2

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Broadcom (AVGO) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 10.4% to $134.47. Tesla (TSLA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) fell 8.4% to $210.73. Coherent (COHR) (AI Networking & Interconnect) fell 7.7% to $68.54. Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) fell 6.8% to $38.65. ASML Holding (ASML) (Chip Equipment) fell 5.4% to $740.38. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 1 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

With 2 active alerts (a HIGH on Chip Equipment and a MEDIUM on NVDA) and only 9 of 24 sectors trading above their 50MA versus 15 below, breadth is tilted bearish and the 50-day trend picture is deteriorating for cyclical and hardware-led groups. Expect continued volatility and rotation into defensive and cash-flow-stable sectors on any follow-through selling; tactically trim beta exposure, reduce holdings in names failing their 50-day context, and reallocate toward sectors showing relative strength or clear 50-day support. Monitor alert updates and 50-day crossovers for the earliest signals to re-enter risk-on positioning.

← 2024-09-05
Calendar
2024-09-09 →