> 2ndOcean_

US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Friday, December 13, 2024 BEARISH

Broadcom’s blowout move sparked the session as Broadcom (AVGO) jumped 24.4% after better-than-expected results and guidance, sending the Chip Supply Chain sector up 5.4% and powering a rotation into semiconductors. The Mag 7 group was mixed: Tesla (TSLA) rallied 4.3% while NVIDIA (NVDA) slipped 2.2%, leaving the Mag 7 basket slightly lower for the day and Nvidia sitting below its 50-day. Overall the US stock market saw 6 sectors higher and 14 lower, with the S&P 500 action led by chip equipment and supply-chain names even as healthcare and several industrial pockets lagged on profit-taking.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.40%
rising
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$71.29
+1.8% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
13.8
-0.8% 1D
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Healthy Uptrend
57%
39 of 68 above 50DMA · -10.3pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme remains central to market flow as spending signals drove strength across the Chip Supply Chain and select infrastructure names. NVIDIA (NVDA) $134.05 traded down 2.2% and sits below its 50-day, underscoring short-term profit-taking even while AI demand supports the broader supply chain where Broadcom (AVGO) $221.38 surged 24.4% and Marvell (MRVL) $120.22 gained 10.8%. Enterprise software winners like Palantir (PLTR) $76.07 outperformed, reflecting renewed enterprise AI deployments, while infrastructure and data center capacity continue to be the backbone for sustained AI buildout.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -0.3% +2.7% +11.9% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain +5.4% +6.0% +11.0% ABOVE
Infrastructure -0.9% -5.6% +19.2% ABOVE
Enterprise Software -0.3% -2.3% +7.0% ABOVE
Finance -0.8% -1.5% -1.5% ABOVE
Healthcare +0.9% -4.5% -3.0% BELOW
Retail +0.2% +0.4% +10.6% ABOVE
IT Services -0.5% +0.1% +7.0% BELOW
Airlines -0.5% -1.1% +0.2% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel -0.9% +0.8% +4.2% ABOVE
Food & Restaurant -0.2% -1.7% +0.5% BELOW
Logistics -0.1% +0.8% -3.0% BELOW
Industrial -0.1% -1.8% -0.8% BELOW
Cybersecurity -1.6% +0.5% +3.1% ABOVE
Chip Equipment +0.6% -0.3% +6.3% ABOVE
Data Center REITs -0.8% -0.7% +5.6% ABOVE
Utilities +0.0% -1.8% -3.5% BELOW
Energy -0.7% -1.9% -5.4% BELOW
Defense & Aerospace +0.4% -1.5% -5.4% BELOW
Telecom +0.4% +0.8% +1.5% ABOVE
Media & Entertainment -1.0% -0.3% +5.0% ABOVE
Biotech -0.5% -0.1% +0.5% BELOW
Materials -0.1% -1.5% -2.1% BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips -1.3% -2.0% -4.4% BELOW

Sector Strength

Chip Supply Chain +5.4% 20d: +11.0%
Broadcom (AVGO) +24.4% (20d: +36.4%), Marvell (MRVL) +10.8% (20d: +37.5%), TSMC (TSM) +5.0% (20d: +8.4%)
Healthcare +0.9% 20d: -3.0%
UnitedHealth (UNH) +0.9% (20d: -11.8%) [<50MA], Eli Lilly (LLY) +0.9% (20d: +5.8%) [<50MA]
Chip Equipment +0.6% 20d: +6.3%
Lam Research (LRCX) +0.9% (20d: +9.2%), ASML +0.8% (20d: +9.1%), Applied Materials (AMAT) +0.2% (20d: +0.5%) [<50MA]
Defense & Aerospace +0.4% 20d: -5.4%
RTX Corp (RTX) +1.5% (20d: -0.7%) [<50MA], General Dynamics (GD) +0.0% (20d: -8.6%) [<50MA], Lockheed Martin (LMT) -0.4% (20d: -6.9%) [<50MA]
Telecom +0.4% 20d: +1.5%
AT&T (T) +1.2% (20d: +4.2%), Verizon (VZ) +0.5% (20d: +1.5%) [<50MA], T-Mobile (TMUS) -0.6% (20d: -1.2%)

Sector Warnings

Cybersecurity -1.6% 20d: +3.1%
Zscaler (ZS) -3.8% (20d: -1.5%), Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -1.8% (20d: +1.6%), CrowdStrike (CRWD) +0.7% (20d: +9.3%)
Analog & Embedded Chips -1.3% 20d: -4.4%
Microchip Technology (MCHP) -2.6% (20d: -4.0%) [<50MA], Texas Instruments (TXN) -0.1% (20d: -4.7%) [<50MA]
Media & Entertainment -1.0% 20d: +5.0%
Disney (DIS) -1.4% (20d: -1.5%), Netflix (NFLX) -0.7% (20d: +11.5%)
Hospitality & Travel -0.9% 20d: +4.2%
Marriott (MAR) -1.0% (20d: +3.2%), Booking (BKNG) -0.8% (20d: +5.2%)
Infrastructure -0.9% 20d: +19.2%
Super Micro (SMCI) -3.9% (20d: +96.2%) [<50MA], Dell (DELL) -0.6% (20d: -10.0%) [<50MA], Cisco (CSCO) -0.4% (20d: +2.0%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain showed leadership with a 1-day gain of 5.4% and a 50-day performance up 10.0%, driven by standout moves in Broadcom (AVGO) $221.38 +24.4% and Marvell (MRVL) $120.22 +10.8%. TSMC (TSM) $197.30 added 5.0% as equipment and foundry demand signaled stronger near-term order flow; the 50-day trend for the group is constructive and remains ABOVE the 50-day moving average, highlighting a durable rotation into semiconductor capital cycles across the 50-day window.

Enterprise Software was marginally lower today at -0.3% for the day but remains +31.8% over 50 days and ABOVE its 50-day moving average, reflecting durable strength in software spending. Palantir (PLTR) $76.07 led with a +3.9% gain on renewed enterprise AI contract commentary, while ServiceNow (NOW) $224.22 lagged -2.4%. The 50-day trend shows broad outperformance, though intra-sector dispersion is notable as blue‑chip software names consolidate after prior gains.

Infrastructure traded down 0.9% today but is +19.2% over 20 days and sits ABOVE its 50-day moving average (+4.7%), indicating a strong recent run that is digesting. Super Micro (SMCI) $36.45 was a notable loser at -3.9% after a pullback, while data center real estate continues to underpin the segment with Data Center REITs showing a modest -0.8% day and +14.6% over 50 days. The 50-day context suggests constructive longer-term positioning even as short-term volatility increases around capacity and supply commentary.

Healthcare remains a weak point with the sector +0.9% today but down -11.3% over 50 days and BELOW its 50-day moving average, one of four sectors flagged by alerts for declines greater than 10% over 50 days. Defensive drug and device names are under pressure while select biotech names show dispersions; investors should treat the 50-day downtrend as a warning sign for sector rotation out of defensive exposures into cyclicals and tech where AI-related capex is concentrated.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 13 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 11 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 15 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH 4 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Healthcare, Chip Equipment, Defense & Aerospace, Analog & Embedded Chips
LOW Energy below 50-day MA with avg 5 consecutive down days

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TSLA $436.23 +4.3% +11.9% +36.0% +74.4% ABOVE 0
AAPL $246.55 +0.1% +0.6% +10.3% +9.5% ABOVE 0
MSFT $442.03 -0.5% +0.3% +8.0% +7.7% ABOVE 1
AMZN $227.46 -0.7% +0.6% +12.3% +22.0% ABOVE 2
GOOG $190.39 -1.2% +8.1% +10.2% +13.7% ABOVE 2
META $616.80 -1.7% +1.1% +12.0% +4.1% ABOVE 2
NVDA $134.05 -2.2% -3.3% -5.4% +7.5% BELOW 2
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AVGO $221.38 +24.4% +25.6% +36.4% +27.3% ABOVE 0
MRVL $120.22 +10.8% +12.8% +37.5% +64.7% ABOVE 0
TSM $197.30 +5.0% +1.2% +8.4% +11.3% ABOVE 0
ARM $151.91 +2.6% +8.8% +18.0% +8.1% ABOVE 0
QCOM $153.50 +0.2% -1.4% -0.7% -5.6% BELOW 0
INTC $20.34 -2.1% -2.3% -16.5% -10.0% BELOW 1
AMD $126.91 -2.8% -3.0% -5.9% -25.7% BELOW 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VRT $125.54 +0.6% -0.3% +4.1% +19.6% ABOVE 0
HPE $20.93 +0.0% -5.5% +3.6% +5.9% ABOVE 0
CSCO $56.33 -0.4% -0.6% +2.0% +11.1% ABOVE 1
DELL $115.47 -0.6% -4.3% -10.0% -1.3% BELOW 1
SMCI $36.45 -3.9% -17.5% +96.2% -11.6% BELOW 4
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PLTR $76.07 +3.9% +5.0% +15.7% +90.1% ABOVE 0
CRM $349.83 -1.0% +0.8% +8.9% +23.1% ABOVE 1
ADBE $465.69 -1.9% -15.0% -7.5% -8.2% BELOW 2
NOW $224.22 -2.4% +0.1% +10.8% +22.2% ABOVE 1
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $231.68 -0.7% -1.6% -2.2% +13.6% ABOVE 2
GS $568.26 -1.0% -1.5% -0.9% +18.8% ABOVE 2
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UNH $501.19 +0.9% -7.2% -11.8% -11.6% BELOW 0
LLY $780.63 +0.9% -1.8% +5.8% -10.9% BELOW 0
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $92.99 +0.4% +0.7% +12.1% +16.7% ABOVE 0
COST $981.45 +0.1% +0.2% +9.1% +12.2% ABOVE 0
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $346.49 -0.4% -0.2% +1.4% -0.6% BELOW 2
IBM $222.10 -0.6% +0.4% +12.6% +2.9% ABOVE 1
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DAL $60.32 -0.2% -1.2% -4.0% +25.2% ABOVE 2
UAL $95.11 -0.9% -0.9% +4.3% +60.6% ABOVE 2
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
BKNG $206.57 -0.8% +1.5% +5.2% +25.0% ABOVE 2
MAR $283.20 -1.0% +0.0% +3.2% +13.0% ABOVE 2
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $286.29 -0.0% -1.6% +2.0% -1.8% BELOW 1
SBUX $93.74 -0.4% -1.9% -1.0% +1.5% BELOW 2
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $221.37 -0.1% +1.4% -3.3% +9.2% ABOVE 1
UPS $116.85 -0.2% +0.2% -2.8% -0.7% BELOW 3
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HON $217.90 -0.0% +1.1% -0.6% +12.2% ABOVE 3
CAT $373.26 -0.1% -4.7% -0.9% -3.8% BELOW 2
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CRWD $92.00 +0.7% +4.1% +9.3% +25.9% ABOVE 0
PANW $196.56 -1.8% +1.1% +1.6% +14.8% ABOVE 1
ZS $198.54 -3.8% -3.7% -1.5% +14.1% ABOVE 2
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LRCX $75.42 +0.9% -1.2% +9.2% -6.2% ABOVE 0
ASML $709.29 +0.8% +1.7% +9.1% -13.5% ABOVE 0
AMAT $167.25 +0.2% -1.5% +0.5% -16.0% BELOW 0
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DLR $177.11 -0.5% -1.0% +3.7% +18.6% ABOVE 2
EQIX $933.63 -1.1% -0.4% +7.5% +10.6% ABOVE 1
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NEE $70.39 +0.5% -1.4% -2.9% -11.6% BELOW 0
SO $79.22 -0.2% -1.3% -4.6% -7.1% BELOW 1
DUK $103.24 -0.3% -2.7% -3.0% -3.7% BELOW 6
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $144.31 -0.5% -2.0% -3.7% +3.1% BELOW 4
XOM $105.49 -0.9% -1.8% -7.1% -10.5% BELOW 6
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
RTX $114.73 +1.5% +1.0% -0.7% -5.2% BELOW 0
GD $254.46 +0.0% -2.4% -8.6% -12.1% BELOW 0
LMT $474.86 -0.4% -3.0% -6.9% -17.7% BELOW 3
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
T $21.83 +1.2% +1.1% +4.2% +9.2% ABOVE 0
VZ $37.66 +0.5% -0.2% +1.5% -2.8% BELOW 0
TMUS $226.06 -0.6% +1.3% -1.2% +11.8% ABOVE 2
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NFLX $91.89 -0.7% +0.6% +11.5% +27.7% ABOVE 2
DIS $110.76 -1.4% -1.1% -1.5% +19.1% ABOVE 1
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $88.28 +0.3% +2.3% +4.8% +9.5% ABOVE 0
AMGN $258.33 -1.3% -2.5% -3.8% -14.7% BELOW 1
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $298.59 +0.5% -1.4% -1.5% +9.4% BELOW 0
LIN $426.73 -0.7% -1.6% -2.8% -6.7% BELOW 3
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $183.43 -0.1% -1.0% -4.7% -4.9% BELOW 1
MCHP $57.47 -2.6% -3.1% -4.0% -22.3% BELOW 3

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Broadcom (AVGO) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 24.4% to $221.38. Marvell (MRVL) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 10.8% to $120.22. TSMC (TSM) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 5.0% to $197.30. Tesla (TSLA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) rose 4.3% to $436.23. Palantir (PLTR) (Enterprise Software) rose 3.9% to $76.07. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 1 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Near-term breadth is mixed: 13 sectors trade above their 50-day moving averages while 11 sit below, and the market registered 4 HIGH alerts for sectors declining more than 10% over 50 days. With the Chip Supply Chain strength and Mag 7 dispersion, expect continued rotational trading between AI beneficiaries and lagging defensives; monitor 50-day trendlines as the resume/break points for positioning. Tactically, favor selective exposure to chip supply-chain names and enterprise software leaders while trimming Healthcare and other 50-day downtrends until stabilization is confirmed.

← 2024-12-12
Calendar
2024-12-16 →