> 2ndOcean_

US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Tuesday, December 17, 2024 BEARISH

Marvell (MRVL) led today’s risk-off tone after a sharp -10.0% drop in the Chip Supply Chain, signaling renewed pressure on semiconductor suppliers and dragging the broader space lower. The US stock market closed mixed as only 5 sectors advanced while 15 fell, and the S&P 500 held on to modest gains driven by the Mag 7 (AI Spenders) group, which was up a collective +0.3% for the day. Notable movers included Tesla (TSLA) jumping +3.6% to $479.86 and Apple (AAPL) rising +1.0% to $251.87, while Broadcom (AVGO) slid -3.9% to $236.57 amid chip supply-chain weakness. Market participants digested these tech divergences alongside active sector alerts highlighting outsized 50-day declines in Healthcare and Analog & Embedded Chips.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.40%
rising
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$70.08
-0.9% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
15.9
+8.0% 1D
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Healthy Uptrend
53%
36 of 68 above 50DMA · -7.4pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme remains bifurcated: the Mag 7 (AI Spenders) cohort continued to outperform modestly (+0.3% today) even as NVIDIA (NVDA) showed continued weakness at $130.20, down -1.2% and below its 50-day trend. Apple (AAPL) $251.87 and Microsoft (MSFT) $449.13 sustained gains, underscoring demand for large-cap AI spenders that benefit from software and cloud infrastructure rollouts. However, the Chip Supply Chain is under pressure (sector -2.8% today, below its 50-day average), reinforcing that chipmakers and equipment providers remain the key risk to AI hardware throughput until supply-chain clarity and capex cadence normalize.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +0.3% +1.3% +11.5% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain -2.8% +4.5% +7.8% BELOW
Infrastructure -1.0% -3.6% -1.0% ABOVE
Enterprise Software -1.6% -4.6% +6.7% ABOVE
Finance -1.2% -2.6% -1.3% ABOVE
Healthcare -1.3% -5.6% -4.4% BELOW
Retail -0.3% -0.3% +8.0% ABOVE
IT Services -0.0% -1.1% +4.9% BELOW
Airlines -0.5% -4.1% -2.7% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel -0.1% -1.7% +3.8% ABOVE
Food & Restaurant -0.8% -3.2% -2.0% BELOW
Logistics -1.5% -1.4% -4.6% BELOW
Industrial -1.0% -0.8% +0.2% BELOW
Cybersecurity -1.9% +0.4% +2.8% ABOVE
Chip Equipment +0.8% +0.6% +7.7% ABOVE
Data Center REITs +0.0% -0.9% +1.8% ABOVE
Utilities +0.5% -1.3% -5.4% BELOW
Energy -0.6% -4.3% -8.1% BELOW
Defense & Aerospace -0.4% -0.8% -4.8% BELOW
Telecom -1.4% -3.8% -2.4% BELOW
Media & Entertainment +0.3% -1.4% +3.2% ABOVE
Biotech +0.3% -0.7% +0.8% BELOW
Materials -0.1% -2.4% -5.0% BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips -1.0% -3.6% -8.0% BELOW

Sector Strength

Chip Equipment +0.8% 20d: +7.7%
ASML +1.8% (20d: +11.0%), Applied Materials (AMAT) +0.5% (20d: +0.8%) [<50MA], Lam Research (LRCX) -0.0% (20d: +11.2%)
Utilities +0.5% 20d: -5.4%
Southern Co (SO) +1.7% (20d: -5.7%) [<50MA], Duke Energy (DUK) +0.4% (20d: -5.0%) [<50MA], NextEra Energy (NEE) -0.7% (20d: -5.6%) [<50MA]
Biotech +0.3% 20d: +0.8%
Gilead (GILD) +0.8% (20d: +6.6%), Amgen (AMGN) -0.2% (20d: -5.0%) [<50MA]
Media & Entertainment +0.3% 20d: +3.2%
Disney (DIS) +0.8% (20d: +1.0%), Netflix (NFLX) -0.2% (20d: +5.5%)
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +0.3% 20d: +11.5%
Tesla (TSLA) +3.6% (20d: +38.7%), Apple (AAPL) +1.0% (20d: +11.0%), Microsoft (MSFT) +0.6% (20d: +9.0%)

Sector Warnings

Chip Supply Chain -2.8% 20d: +7.8%
Marvell (MRVL) -10.0% (20d: +25.6%), Broadcom (AVGO) -3.9% (20d: +45.3%), Intel (INTC) -1.9% (20d: -15.5%) [<50MA]
Cybersecurity -1.9% 20d: +2.8%
CrowdStrike (CRWD) -3.0% (20d: +6.5%), Zscaler (ZS) -1.9% (20d: -1.9%), Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -0.6% (20d: +3.7%)
Enterprise Software -1.6% 20d: +6.7%
Palantir (PLTR) -1.8% (20d: +18.1%), Salesforce (CRM) -1.8% (20d: +8.5%), Adobe (ADBE) -1.4% (20d: -8.9%) [<50MA]
Logistics -1.5% 20d: -4.6%
FedEx (FDX) -2.1% (20d: -4.9%) [<50MA], UPS -1.0% (20d: -4.4%) [<50MA]
Telecom -1.4% 20d: -2.4%
T-Mobile (TMUS) -3.8% (20d: -5.0%) [<50MA], Verizon (VZ) -0.2% (20d: -2.7%) [<50MA], AT&T (T) -0.0% (20d: +0.4%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain: The sector fell -2.8% today and sits BELOW its 50-day average despite a positive 50-day return of +7.1%, a sign of recent consolidation within a longer up-cycle. Broadcom (AVGO) traded to $236.57, down -3.9% on the session as investors digested growth and margin assumptions across suppliers. Marvell (MRVL) exacerbated the move by plunging -10.0% to $111.74, a headline-sized move that amplified downside across supply-chain peers and pressured the 50-day breadth in semiconductor-related names.

Infrastructure: Infrastructure finished -1.0% for the day but remains ABOVE its 50-day average with a marginal 50-day change of -0.3%, suggesting a flat-to-slightly constructive trend over the prior two months. Super Micro (SMCI) rallied +1.1% to $33.80, reflecting selective interest in server- and data-center related buildouts that support AI deployments. Conversely, Vertiv (VRT) dropped -4.2% to $120.46 as investors weighed near-term execution against durable secular demand for data-center power and cooling — the 50-day window shows mixed momentum that favors names with visible revenue tie-ins to hyperscalers.

Utilities: Utilities outperformed today with a +0.5% gain and a 50-day profile of -5.7% (BELOW), highlighting defensive rotation into yield into year-end. Southern Co (SO) led the utility gain, up +1.7% to $79.30, demonstrating the asset class’s role as a ballast amid tech dispersion. The sector’s decline over the 50-day window keeps it in the alert category for relative weakness, but intraday strength suggests short-term demand for lower-volatility exposures as broader cyclicals experience deeper pullbacks.

Healthcare: Healthcare remains a primary area of concern with a -1.3% session and an outsized 50-day decline of -15.4% (classified as a HIGH alert). The 50-day trend is clearly negative and marks Healthcare as one of three sectors down more than 10% over that horizon, forcing a reassessment of risk in biotechs and large-cap health names. With elevated alert status and persistent underperformance versus the S&P 500, the sector calls for selective positioning rather than broad exposure until signs of stabilization appear in 50-day momentum.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 11 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 13 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 12 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Healthcare down -15.4% over 50 days
HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -15.2% over 50 days
HIGH 3 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Utilities, Energy, Analog & Embedded Chips
HIGH 3 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Healthcare, Defense & Aerospace, Analog & Embedded Chips
LOW Energy below 50-day MA with avg 7 consecutive down days

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TSLA $479.86 +3.6% +13.0% +38.7% +96.3% ABOVE 0
AAPL $251.87 +1.0% +2.8% +11.0% +12.4% ABOVE 0
MSFT $449.13 +0.6% +1.2% +9.0% +9.8% ABOVE 0
GOOG $196.10 -0.5% +0.2% +9.9% +19.1% ABOVE 1
AMZN $231.15 -0.8% +0.4% +13.0% +26.5% ABOVE 1
META $616.39 -0.8% -2.0% +10.5% +4.6% ABOVE 1
NVDA $130.20 -1.2% -6.4% -11.3% -1.9% BELOW 4
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
QCOM $152.91 +0.0% -1.2% -3.6% -4.6% BELOW 0
TSM $196.97 -0.8% +3.4% +6.1% +8.2% ABOVE 1
AMD $125.02 -1.3% -3.9% -10.3% -27.7% BELOW 3
ARM $142.80 -1.5% -0.3% +7.3% -0.6% BELOW 2
INTC $20.44 -1.9% +1.6% -15.5% -12.3% BELOW 1
AVGO $236.57 -3.9% +31.1% +45.3% +32.9% ABOVE 1
MRVL $111.74 -10.0% +0.8% +25.6% +53.7% ABOVE 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SMCI $33.80 +1.1% -11.7% +19.6% -25.5% BELOW 0
CSCO $56.23 +0.3% -0.1% +2.6% +11.0% ABOVE 0
DELL $115.30 -0.8% -0.3% -13.0% -2.6% BELOW 1
HPE $20.65 -1.4% -1.7% +0.0% +2.7% ABOVE 1
VRT $120.46 -4.2% -4.1% -14.3% +13.0% ABOVE 1
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NOW $222.94 -1.3% -2.8% +9.1% +20.9% ABOVE 1
ADBE $455.23 -1.4% -17.2% -8.9% -8.3% BELOW 4
CRM $346.53 -1.8% -1.1% +8.5% +20.4% ABOVE 1
PLTR $74.39 -1.8% +2.6% +18.1% +79.5% ABOVE 2
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $230.15 -0.5% -2.1% -1.9% +13.1% ABOVE 4
GS $557.78 -2.0% -3.0% -0.7% +16.3% ABOVE 1
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LLY $770.24 -0.0% -2.2% +6.7% -14.6% BELOW 2
UNH $467.52 -2.6% -9.0% -15.5% -16.2% BELOW 2
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $94.14 +0.6% +0.7% +10.4% +20.0% ABOVE 0
COST $974.24 -1.1% -1.3% +5.6% +10.4% ABOVE 1
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $345.16 +0.1% -1.8% +0.9% -0.5% BELOW 0
IBM $220.32 -0.2% -0.5% +8.9% +0.9% ABOVE 3
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DAL $59.62 -0.4% -4.2% -6.1% +20.5% ABOVE 4
UAL $94.99 -0.5% -4.0% +0.8% +58.3% ABOVE 1
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
BKNG $203.70 +0.1% -2.6% +3.7% +22.0% ABOVE 0
MAR $285.53 -0.3% -0.8% +3.9% +13.1% ABOVE 1
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $285.79 -0.5% -0.0% +2.5% -1.3% BELOW 1
SBUX $88.61 -1.1% -6.4% -6.4% -3.7% BELOW 4
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UPS $115.55 -1.0% -1.4% -4.4% -1.6% BELOW 5
FDX $216.69 -2.1% -1.3% -4.9% +6.7% BELOW 1
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CAT $368.64 -0.8% -3.4% -1.7% -2.8% BELOW 4
HON $223.18 -1.2% +1.8% +2.2% +13.2% ABOVE 1
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PANW $201.24 -0.6% +1.0% +3.7% +13.3% ABOVE 1
ZS $200.45 -1.9% -3.6% -1.9% +13.3% ABOVE 1
CRWD $94.11 -3.0% +3.7% +6.5% +28.5% ABOVE 1
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ASML $725.69 +1.8% +2.9% +11.0% -10.6% ABOVE 0
AMAT $168.23 +0.5% -0.5% +0.8% -15.0% BELOW 0
LRCX $76.96 -0.0% -0.5% +11.2% -3.7% ABOVE 1
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $929.61 +0.3% -1.3% +4.1% +10.6% ABOVE 0
DLR $177.07 -0.3% -0.5% -0.6% +17.6% ABOVE 1
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SO $79.30 +1.7% +0.0% -5.7% -6.0% BELOW 0
DUK $102.36 +0.4% -1.6% -5.0% -1.6% BELOW 0
NEE $69.10 -0.7% -2.3% -5.6% -9.6% BELOW 2
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
XOM $102.80 -0.4% -3.5% -9.0% -10.8% BELOW 8
CVX $138.90 -0.8% -5.2% -7.2% +0.6% BELOW 6
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LMT $470.98 -0.2% -2.7% -7.4% -18.8% BELOW 5
GD $256.50 -0.3% -0.1% -5.6% -10.2% BELOW 1
RTX $114.41 -0.6% +0.4% -1.3% -4.4% BELOW 1
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
T $21.09 -0.0% -2.8% +0.4% +5.8% ABOVE 2
VZ $36.33 -0.2% -2.9% -2.7% -5.9% BELOW 2
TMUS $215.11 -3.8% -5.8% -5.0% +4.9% BELOW 4
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $110.93 +0.8% -1.0% +1.0% +22.7% ABOVE 0
NFLX $91.91 -0.2% -1.9% +5.5% +27.3% ABOVE 1
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $89.18 +0.8% +1.3% +6.6% +9.8% ABOVE 0
AMGN $253.88 -0.2% -2.7% -5.0% -15.6% BELOW 3
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LIN $421.73 +0.4% -2.3% -2.8% -8.1% BELOW 0
APD $291.34 -0.7% -2.4% -7.1% -1.8% BELOW 2
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $180.11 -0.7% -1.9% -6.4% -6.4% BELOW 3
MCHP $55.90 -1.3% -5.3% -9.5% -24.1% BELOW 5

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Marvell (MRVL) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 10.0% to $111.74. Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) fell 4.2% to $120.46. Broadcom (AVGO) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 3.9% to $236.57. T-Mobile (TMUS) (Telecom) fell 3.8% to $215.11. Tesla (TSLA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) rose 3.6% to $479.86. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 4 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Breadth has thinned: 11 sectors trade above their 50-day averages while 13 sit below, and the desk is watching the four active HIGH alerts (Healthcare, Analog & Embedded Chips, plus multi-sector 20- and 50-day deterioration counts). With three sectors down >5% over 20 days and three down >10% over 50 days, expect continued volatility into year-end as investors reconcile AI-driven leadership among the Mag 7 with chip-supply cyclicality. Positioning guidance: favor selective exposure to durable Mag 7 spenders and defensive utilities/selected infrastructure names, trim or hedge semiconductor supply-chain exposure until 50-day momentum reverts positively or earnings cadence improves.

← 2024-12-16
Calendar
2024-12-18 →