> 2ndOcean_

US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Tuesday, January 07, 2025 MIXED

The US stock market opened under pressure after a sharp tech shakeout led by NVIDIA (NVDA) slumping 6.2% to $139.93 and Palantir (PLTR) tumbling 7.8% to $69.99 on weak software flows. The Mag 7 group fell 2.5% on the day, weighing on the S&P 500 even as defensive pockets like Airlines climbed (United (UAL) +2.7% to $101.21) and Energy showed modest strength (Chevron (CVX) +1.6% to $140.29). Sector leadership was bifurcated: Chip Supply Chain remains up over the 50-day window, but 18 of 24 sectors sit below their 50-day moving averages. Today’s moves were driven by AI-spending rotation and headlines that amplified near-term profit-taking in expensive AI-linked names.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Sell / Wait
4.67%
rising
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$74.25
+0.9% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
17.8
+11.1% 1D
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Add Cash
41%
28 of 68 above 50DMA · +2.9pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

AI headline risk dominated positioning today as the Magnificent 7 retraced after recent gains: Alphabet (GOOG) $195.69, NVIDIA (NVDA) $139.93, and Microsoft (MSFT) $417.42 all pulled back, signaling a short-term de-risking in core AI exposure. The chip supply chain and infrastructure complex showed mixed signals — Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) $207.54 slid 3.9% even as broader Chip Supply Chain sits +6.3% over 50 days — while Enterprise Software names such as Palantir (PLTR) $69.99 led downside on valuation reset. Investors should watch capex cadence and data-center infrastructure spending for confirmation of a sustainable AI investment cycle.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -2.5% +1.3% +0.7% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain -1.7% +5.4% +5.7% ABOVE
Infrastructure -2.6% +7.5% -4.6% ABOVE
Enterprise Software -3.4% -3.9% -9.9% BELOW
Finance +0.2% +1.6% -1.1% ABOVE
Healthcare +0.6% +0.9% -6.0% BELOW
Retail -0.4% +0.5% -4.9% BELOW
IT Services +1.0% +1.6% -1.7% BELOW
Airlines +2.3% +2.7% +1.8% BELOW
Hospitality & Travel -1.7% -3.4% -6.4% BELOW
Food & Restaurant -0.6% +0.8% -5.3% BELOW
Logistics +0.5% -1.6% -2.2% BELOW
Industrial -0.4% -1.1% -5.5% BELOW
Cybersecurity -2.2% +1.2% -6.2% BELOW
Chip Equipment -0.6% +8.7% +3.7% ABOVE
Data Center REITs +0.1% +0.6% -3.4% BELOW
Utilities -0.2% -1.4% -4.7% BELOW
Energy +1.3% +2.2% -4.2% BELOW
Defense & Aerospace +0.3% -2.3% -4.7% BELOW
Telecom -1.2% -3.0% -6.8% BELOW
Media & Entertainment +0.0% -0.7% -3.1% ABOVE
Biotech +0.3% -0.7% -2.4% BELOW
Materials +0.8% -0.8% -7.6% BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips -0.7% +1.4% -3.9% BELOW

Sector Strength

Airlines +2.3% 20d: +1.8%
United (UAL) +2.7% (20d: +5.4%), Delta (DAL) +1.9% (20d: -1.7%) [<50MA]
Energy +1.3% 20d: -4.2%
Chevron (CVX) +1.6% (20d: -4.8%) [<50MA], Exxon Mobil (XOM) +0.9% (20d: -3.7%) [<50MA]
IT Services +1.0% 20d: -1.7%
Accenture (ACN) +1.4% (20d: -0.9%) [<50MA], IBM +0.6% (20d: -2.6%)
Materials +0.8% 20d: -7.6%
Air Products (APD) +1.1% (20d: -9.0%) [<50MA], Linde (LIN) +0.5% (20d: -6.2%) [<50MA]
Healthcare +0.6% 20d: -6.0%
Eli Lilly (LLY) +1.1% (20d: -3.8%) [<50MA], UnitedHealth (UNH) +0.1% (20d: -8.3%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Enterprise Software -3.4% 20d: -9.9%
Palantir (PLTR) -7.8% (20d: -3.4%), ServiceNow (NOW) -2.1% (20d: -5.9%), Adobe (ADBE) -2.0% (20d: -22.9%) [<50MA]
Infrastructure -2.6% 20d: -4.6%
Super Micro (SMCI) -5.7% (20d: -22.1%), Dell (DELL) -2.7% (20d: -2.1%) [<50MA], Vertiv (VRT) -2.6% (20d: +3.5%)
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -2.5% 20d: +0.7%
NVIDIA (NVDA) -6.2% (20d: +1.0%), Tesla (TSLA) -4.1% (20d: +1.2%), Amazon (AMZN) -2.4% (20d: -1.8%)
Cybersecurity -2.2% 20d: -6.2%
Zscaler (ZS) -2.5% (20d: -10.8%) [<50MA], Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -2.2% (20d: -9.7%) [<50MA], CrowdStrike (CRWD) -1.8% (20d: +1.8%)
Chip Supply Chain -1.7% 20d: +5.7%
TSMC (TSM) -3.9% (20d: +6.5%), Broadcom (AVGO) -3.3% (20d: +28.1%), Marvell (MRVL) -2.3% (20d: +8.6%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain outperformed on the 50-day view but showed intraday weakness: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) $207.54 fell 3.9% while the sector average was down 1.7% on the day but sits +6.3% over 50 days ABOVE its 50MA. The 50-day context suggests the supply chain has already priced in stronger AI demand, yet volatility around TSM highlights execution and regional risk that can quicken mean reversion within the 50-day window.

Enterprise Software took another leg down with a 1-day drop of -3.4% for the sector as Palantir (PLTR) $69.99 plunged 7.8% and the category is -9.9% over 20 days and still +16.6% over 50 days BUT listed as BELOW its 50MA — an unusual dispersion that reflects concentrated losses in high-valuation names. Over the 50-day window the trend has been choppy; PLTR’s sharp retreat drove a re-rating that investors must monitor for follow-through below the 50-day reference point.

Airlines offered a pocket of strength: United (UAL) $101.21 led with +2.7% and Delta (DAL) $59.98 rose 1.9% as the Airlines sector gained +2.3% on the day and is +24.3% over 50 days but still flagged as BELOW the 50MA in intraday breadth terms. The 50-day run illustrates durable seasonal and demand recovery, but the sector remains vulnerable to macro shocks in the near term within that 50-day horizon.

Infrastructure showed divergent flows: Super Micro (SMCI) $34.38 plunged 5.7% and the Infrastructure sector was -2.6% on the day despite sitting +2.0% over 50 days and marked as ABOVE its 50MA. The 50-day trend confirms underlying capex resilience, yet individual names tied to hyperscaler spending remain susceptible to headline-driven swings within that 50-day analysis window.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 6 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 18 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 20 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -15.3% over 50 days
HIGH 8 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Enterprise Software, Healthcare, Hospitality & Travel, Food & Restaurant, Industrial, Cybersecurity, Telecom, Materials
HIGH 5 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Healthcare, Utilities, Defense & Aerospace, Materials, Analog & Embedded Chips
MEDIUM TSLA down -17.8% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GOOG $195.69 -0.6% +3.3% +11.1% +17.9% ABOVE 1
AAPL $240.67 -1.1% -3.3% -1.8% +4.8% ABOVE 1
MSFT $417.42 -1.3% +0.2% -5.3% -1.2% BELOW 1
META $614.85 -2.0% +5.5% +0.8% +7.9% ABOVE 1
AMZN $222.11 -2.4% +1.2% -1.8% +18.3% ABOVE 1
TSLA $394.36 -4.1% -2.3% +1.2% +46.5% ABOVE 1
NVDA $139.93 -6.2% +4.4% +1.0% -1.0% ABOVE 1
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
INTC $20.01 +0.7% -0.2% -3.8% -11.8% BELOW 0
QCOM $155.43 +0.4% +4.5% -0.1% -5.2% BELOW 0
AMD $127.33 -1.7% +5.4% -2.7% -18.5% BELOW 1
ARM $144.38 -2.1% +17.0% +3.4% +0.4% ABOVE 1
MRVL $115.70 -2.3% +5.2% +8.6% +42.4% ABOVE 1
AVGO $225.76 -3.3% -1.4% +28.1% +32.5% ABOVE 1
TSM $207.54 -3.9% +7.1% +6.5% +4.3% ABOVE 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CSCO $57.01 +0.3% +0.2% +0.6% +6.4% ABOVE 0
HPE $21.49 -2.5% +4.4% -3.0% +15.2% ABOVE 1
VRT $130.40 -2.6% +15.0% +3.5% +16.5% ABOVE 1
DELL $118.22 -2.7% +5.2% -2.1% -1.0% BELOW 1
SMCI $34.38 -5.7% +12.8% -22.1% -27.3% ABOVE 1
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CRM $321.19 -1.7% -2.8% -7.5% +12.0% BELOW 2
ADBE $422.63 -2.0% -5.0% -22.9% -12.6% BELOW 1
NOW $210.83 -2.1% -0.6% -5.9% +10.9% ABOVE 1
PLTR $69.99 -7.8% -7.5% -3.4% +56.0% ABOVE 2
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $236.01 +1.0% +2.0% +0.3% +9.9% ABOVE 0
GS $563.06 -0.6% +1.3% -2.4% +13.7% ABOVE 1
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LLY $764.97 +1.1% +0.2% -3.8% -13.2% BELOW 0
UNH $495.19 +0.1% +1.7% -8.3% -8.6% BELOW 0
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
COST $914.01 -0.1% +0.6% -6.7% +3.5% BELOW 1
WMT $89.59 -0.7% +0.5% -3.0% +10.3% ABOVE 1
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $344.28 +1.4% +1.3% -0.9% -1.2% BELOW 0
IBM $215.50 +0.6% +1.9% -2.6% +5.1% ABOVE 0
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UAL $101.21 +2.7% +4.2% +5.4% +35.6% ABOVE 0
DAL $59.98 +1.9% +1.1% -1.7% +13.0% BELOW 0
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $266.13 -1.0% -3.3% -6.0% +3.2% BELOW 2
BKNG $189.52 -2.3% -3.5% -6.9% +10.5% BELOW 1
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SBUX $89.34 -0.3% +1.7% -6.5% -4.0% BELOW 1
MCD $279.28 -1.0% -0.2% -4.0% -0.5% BELOW 2
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UPS $113.42 +0.6% -0.9% -2.8% -7.9% BELOW 0
FDX $214.79 +0.4% -2.3% -1.6% +1.6% BELOW 0
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CAT $356.09 -0.3% +0.1% -9.1% -6.0% BELOW 1
HON $211.21 -0.5% -2.3% -2.0% +6.6% BELOW 2
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CRWD $89.98 -1.8% +5.2% +1.8% +19.7% ABOVE 1
PANW $175.51 -2.2% -3.5% -9.7% -4.2% BELOW 2
ZS $183.90 -2.5% +1.9% -10.8% -0.6% BELOW 1
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMAT $175.62 +0.2% +9.3% +3.5% -4.4% ABOVE 0
LRCX $76.67 -0.6% +7.3% +0.4% +0.1% ABOVE 1
ASML $747.79 -1.4% +9.3% +7.2% +6.7% ABOVE 1
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DLR $172.17 +0.2% +1.4% -3.8% +0.0% BELOW 0
EQIX $909.51 +0.0% -0.3% -3.0% +3.3% ABOVE 0
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DUK $101.34 +0.4% -0.9% -4.5% -8.0% BELOW 0
SO $77.21 +0.2% -1.5% -3.8% -11.0% BELOW 0
NEE $67.34 -1.1% -1.8% -5.7% -12.9% BELOW 2
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $140.29 +1.6% +3.3% -4.8% +0.2% BELOW 0
XOM $103.50 +0.9% +1.1% -3.7% -8.2% BELOW 0
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GD $251.11 +0.6% -1.5% -3.7% -14.2% BELOW 0
RTX $111.86 +0.6% -0.8% -1.5% -7.8% BELOW 0
LMT $445.40 -0.4% -4.5% -9.0% -17.0% BELOW 4
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TMUS $206.95 -0.0% -3.8% -7.2% -5.9% BELOW 4
VZ $34.67 -1.7% -2.7% -8.1% -5.9% BELOW 2
T $20.51 -1.8% -2.5% -5.0% +1.7% BELOW 3
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $109.33 +0.3% +0.0% -2.4% +17.7% ABOVE 0
NFLX $87.92 -0.3% -1.4% -3.8% +16.5% ABOVE 1
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMGN $250.16 +1.3% +0.5% -5.6% -16.7% BELOW 0
GILD $87.09 -0.7% -1.9% +0.9% +2.7% BELOW 4
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $275.45 +1.1% -0.7% -9.0% -9.4% BELOW 0
LIN $406.78 +0.5% -0.9% -6.2% -12.1% BELOW 0
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $184.02 +0.0% +2.5% -0.6% -6.5% BELOW 0
MCHP $55.11 -1.4% +0.2% -7.1% -24.2% BELOW 1

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Palantir (PLTR) (Enterprise Software) fell 7.8% to $69.99. NVIDIA (NVDA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) fell 6.2% to $139.93. Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) fell 5.7% to $34.38. Tesla (TSLA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) fell 4.1% to $394.36. TSMC (TSM) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 3.9% to $207.54. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 3 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Near-term market breadth is precarious: just 6 sectors sit above their 50-day moving averages while 18 are below, and active alerts include three HIGH signals (deep 50-day declines in several sectors and eight sectors down >5% over 20 days) plus a MEDIUM alert on TSLA down 17.8% from its 20-day high. With the Mag 7 and key chip names testing their recent ranges over the 50-day horizon, investors should trim concentrated AI/mega-cap exposure and favor selective defensive sectors and high-quality earnings names that show stable 50-day trends. Watch for stabilization in the chip supply chain and enterprise software flows before re-establishing aggressive AI-oriented positions.

← 2025-01-06
Calendar
2025-01-08 →