US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Friday, February 07, 2025 BEARISH

The US stock market traded cautiously as weakness in the Magnificent 7 and pain in cyclicals set the tone: Mag 7 (AI Spenders) fell 1.9% on the day with Amazon (AMZN) slipping 4.1% to $229.15 and Alphabet (GOOG) down 3.2% to $186.17 after headline pressure. Materials led losses across sectors, with Materials down 3.3% intraday and Air Products (APD) falling 5.4% to $298.64, while Infrastructure names showed bifurcated strength as Super Micro (SMCI) jumped 7.2% to $36.28. Overall breadth was negative — 15 sectors lower versus five higher — pressuring the S&P 500 and reinforcing a risk-off intraday tone tied to earnings and supply‑chain headlines.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Wait & Watch

4.49%

rising

Impact

Confidence

Crude Oil (WTI)

Neutral

$71.00

+0.6% 1D

Impact

Confidence

VIX (Fear Index)

Normal Range

16.5

+6.7% 1D

Impact

Confidence

Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)

Healthy Uptrend

53%

36 of 68 above 50DMA · -4.4pp 5D

Impact

Confidence

Put/Call Ratio (5D)

Caution

0.75

Call-Heavy · stable

Impact

Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

AI-related leadership showed mixed signals today: NVIDIA (NVDA) held modest gains, with NVIDIA trading at $129.65 (+0.9%) even as the Mag 7 basket overall weakened. Strength remains concentrated in AI spenders with long 50‑day leadership like Meta (META) at $711.01 (+0.4%, 50d:+26.5%), but chip supply-chain names such as Marvell (MRVL) at $110.17 (-7.2%) highlight supply and demand sensitivity. Investors should balance allocations between durable infrastructure winners and selective enterprise software exposure as the market re-prices near-term growth versus execution risk.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector	1D	5D	20D	vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders)	-1.9%	-0.5%	-0.2%	BELOW
Chip Supply Chain	-2.8%	-0.1%	+1.6%	ABOVE
Infrastructure	+1.7%	+11.0%	+0.2%	BELOW
Enterprise Software	-1.0%	+6.5%	+18.1%	BELOW
Finance	-0.4%	+3.5%	+16.1%	ABOVE
Healthcare	+0.2%	+2.3%	+5.5%	BELOW
Retail	-1.1%	+2.8%	+10.1%	ABOVE
IT Services	-0.4%	-1.5%	+12.8%	ABOVE
Airlines	+0.1%	+3.2%	+1.8%	ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel	+1.3%	+4.4%	+7.7%	BELOW
Food & Restaurant	+0.2%	+2.6%	+12.9%	ABOVE
Logistics	-0.7%	+2.6%	-6.8%	BELOW
Industrial	-1.2%	-3.5%	-0.9%	BELOW
Cybersecurity	+1.5%	+5.0%	+13.6%	ABOVE
Chip Equipment	-1.2%	+1.0%	+4.5%	ABOVE
Data Center REITs	-0.3%	+3.1%	+0.3%	BELOW
Utilities	-0.0%	-0.5%	+4.6%	ABOVE
Energy	+0.4%	+1.9%	+0.9%	BELOW
Defense & Aerospace	-0.6%	-1.5%	+1.6%	BELOW
Telecom	-0.1%	+1.5%	+11.7%	ABOVE
Media & Entertainment	-0.6%	+0.4%	+11.5%	BELOW
Biotech	-1.7%	-0.4%	+9.4%	ABOVE
Materials	-3.3%	-4.0%	+7.9%	BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips	-2.0%	-0.6%	-5.3%	BELOW

Sector Strength

Infrastructure +1.7% 20d: +0.2%

Super Micro (SMCI) +7.2% (20d: +11.3%), Vertiv (VRT) +1.5% (20d: -5.9%) [<50MA], Dell (DELL) +0.4% (20d: -6.9%) [<50MA]

Cybersecurity +1.5% 20d: +13.6%

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) +3.5% (20d: +11.8%), Zscaler (ZS) +0.6% (20d: +8.2%), CrowdStrike (CRWD) +0.3% (20d: +20.9%)

Hospitality & Travel +1.3% 20d: +7.7%

Booking (BKNG) +2.3% (20d: +3.1%) [<50MA], Marriott (MAR) +0.3% (20d: +12.3%)

Energy +0.4% 20d: +0.9%

Chevron (CVX) +0.5% (20d: -0.3%) [<50MA], Exxon Mobil (XOM) +0.4% (20d: +2.2%) [<50MA]

Food & Restaurant +0.2% 20d: +12.9%

Starbucks (SBUX) +0.4% (20d: +21.6%), McDonald's (MCD) -0.0% (20d: +4.2%)

Sector Warnings

Materials -3.3% 20d: +7.9%

Air Products (APD) -5.4% (20d: +5.9%) [<50MA], Linde (LIN) -1.2% (20d: +9.9%)

Chip Supply Chain -2.8% 20d: +1.6%

Marvell (MRVL) -7.2% (20d: -3.2%) [<50MA], ARM Holdings (ARM) -3.0% (20d: +15.7%), Broadcom (AVGO) -2.8% (20d: +0.2%)

Analog & Embedded Chips -2.0% 20d: -5.3%

Microchip Technology (MCHP) -2.3% (20d: -6.0%) [<50MA], Texas Instruments (TXN) -1.8% (20d: -4.6%) [<50MA]

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -1.9% 20d: -0.2%

Amazon (AMZN) -4.1% (20d: +4.7%), Tesla (TSLA) -3.4% (20d: -8.4%) [<50MA], Alphabet (GOOG) -3.2% (20d: -3.1%) [<50MA]

Biotech -1.7% 20d: +9.4%

Gilead (GILD) -2.0% (20d: +6.9%), Amgen (AMGN) -1.4% (20d: +11.9%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain showed notable volatility and finished down 2.8% for the day with a 50‑day position still above its moving average (+6.3% vs50MA). Marvell (MRVL) led the declines in the group, falling to $110.17 (-7.2%) and underscoring pushback after recent gains; over the 50‑day window the group remains higher but traders are watching order flow and inventory signals closely. Chip Equipment softened as well, with the sector at -1.2% and a 50‑day performance of +7.2%, reflecting a rotation from cyclical kit to defensive software and services names within the AI stack.

Infrastructure presented bifurcated action, finishing up 1.7% with only a marginal 50‑day underperformance (-7.3% vs50MA). Super Micro (SMCI) jumped to $36.28 (+7.2%), signaling renewed demand for data-center hardware, while Vertiv (VRT) climbed to $121.15 (+1.5%) as investors parsed durable revenue streams versus legacy industrial exposure. The 50‑day trend shows recent recovery attempts but the sub‑sector remains under pressure year‑to‑date, and selective names with clear cloud data-center exposure are outperforming peers.

Enterprise Software printed a daily decline of 1.0% despite a strong 20‑day advance (+18.1%), and the group sits below its 50‑day average. Palo Alto Networks (PANW) bucked the intra‑sector drift, rising to $193.94 (+3.5%) as cybersecurity demand stays visible; however the broader software cohort is being marked down on near‑term execution concerns even as enterprise budgets for AI projects lift longer horizon expectations. The 50‑day window shows constructive momentum but today’s pullback is a reminder of earnings sensitivity.

Materials experienced the day’s steepest weakness, down 3.3% with Air Products (APD) sliding to $298.64 (-5.4%), and the sector is now below its 50‑day average by 3.2%. The move reflects commodity repricing and profit‑taking after prior strength; with Materials weak over the 50‑day timeframe relative to the S&P 500, investors should expect higher dispersion and focus on balance‑sheet quality within the group.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 11 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 13 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 4 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Logistics down -16.7% over 50 days

HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -18.2% over 50 days

HIGH 3 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Logistics, Industrial, Analog & Embedded Chips

MEDIUM TSLA down -15.6% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NVDA	$129.65	+0.9%	+11.3%	-4.5%	-4.5%	BELOW	0
META	$711.01	+0.4%	+2.4%	+16.0%	+26.5%	ABOVE	0
MSFT	$404.95	-1.5%	-0.3%	-2.2%	-2.2%	BELOW	1
AAPL	$226.18	-2.4%	-0.2%	-3.9%	-2.3%	BELOW	1
GOOG	$186.17	-3.2%	-7.6%	-3.1%	+10.6%	BELOW	1
TSLA	$361.62	-3.4%	-5.7%	-8.4%	+6.8%	BELOW	3
AMZN	$229.15	-4.1%	-3.5%	+4.7%	+13.8%	ABOVE	1

Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
QCOM	$162.63	-0.8%	-1.3%	+7.0%	+6.3%	ABOVE	2
INTC	$19.10	-1.4%	-1.4%	-0.3%	-23.2%	BELOW	2
TSM	$202.33	-2.1%	+3.2%	-1.1%	+11.7%	ABOVE	1
AMD	$107.56	-2.4%	-5.9%	-7.3%	-23.8%	BELOW	3
AVGO	$222.04	-2.8%	+3.3%	+0.2%	+36.8%	ABOVE	2
ARM	$162.51	-3.0%	+4.4%	+15.7%	+16.3%	ABOVE	2
MRVL	$110.17	-7.2%	-2.6%	-3.2%	+20.0%	BELOW	1

Infrastructure Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SMCI	$36.28	+7.2%	+35.1%	+11.3%	-5.5%	ABOVE	0
VRT	$121.15	+1.5%	+7.8%	-5.9%	-8.0%	BELOW	0
DELL	$104.11	+0.4%	+6.3%	-6.9%	-25.9%	BELOW	0
CSCO	$60.24	+0.0%	+2.0%	+6.0%	+6.7%	ABOVE	0
HPE	$20.52	-0.4%	+4.0%	-3.7%	-3.6%	BELOW	1

Enterprise Software Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
PLTR	$110.85	-0.4%	+32.4%	+64.8%	+71.5%	ABOVE	1
ADBE	$433.07	-0.5%	-1.3%	+6.7%	-16.5%	BELOW	3
NOW	$201.66	-1.5%	-1.2%	-1.6%	-4.2%	BELOW	2
CRM	$322.08	-1.5%	-4.0%	+2.5%	-3.8%	BELOW	2

Finance Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GS	$636.61	-0.4%	+3.7%	+17.1%	+9.3%	ABOVE	1
JPM	$267.68	-0.4%	+3.4%	+15.0%	+10.8%	ABOVE	1

Healthcare Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LLY	$868.86	+0.9%	+8.4%	+9.8%	+16.3%	ABOVE	0
UNH	$507.50	-0.6%	-3.9%	+1.2%	-12.7%	BELOW	4

Retail Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
COST	$1036.62	-0.6%	+3.9%	+11.5%	+8.7%	ABOVE	1
WMT	$99.80	-1.7%	+1.6%	+8.8%	+13.3%	ABOVE	1

IT Services Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ACN	$374.45	-0.4%	+0.2%	+10.8%	+7.3%	ABOVE	2
IBM	$242.80	-0.4%	-3.2%	+14.8%	+11.6%	ABOVE	3

Airlines Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DAL	$66.81	+0.3%	+2.5%	+1.8%	+5.7%	ABOVE	0
UAL	$109.00	-0.1%	+4.0%	+1.8%	+12.6%	ABOVE	1

Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
BKNG	$193.13	+2.3%	+4.1%	+3.1%	-4.2%	BELOW	0
MAR	$299.86	+0.3%	+4.7%	+12.3%	+5.5%	ABOVE	0

Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SBUX	$107.97	+0.4%	+3.7%	+21.6%	+10.2%	ABOVE	0
MCD	$284.07	-0.0%	+1.5%	+4.2%	-0.0%	ABOVE	1

Logistics Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UPS	$102.65	-0.3%	+1.6%	-8.2%	-17.8%	BELOW	1
FDX	$200.02	-1.0%	+3.5%	-5.4%	-15.7%	BELOW	1

Industrial Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CAT	$358.26	-0.4%	+0.6%	+4.0%	-10.0%	BELOW	1
HON	$196.75	-2.0%	-7.6%	-5.8%	-10.9%	BELOW	3

Cybersecurity Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
PANW	$193.94	+3.5%	+6.1%	+11.8%	+0.4%	ABOVE
ZS	$205.53	+0.6%	+2.8%	+8.2%	-2.3%	ABOVE
CRWD	$105.40	+0.3%	+6.0%	+20.9%	+15.9%	ABOVE

Chip Equipment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LRCX	$81.43	-0.6%	+2.7%	+10.3%	+12.0%	ABOVE	1
AMAT	$177.77	-1.5%	+0.7%	+4.9%	+3.1%	ABOVE	1
ASML	$718.29	-1.5%	-0.5%	-1.5%	+6.3%	ABOVE	2

Data Center REITs Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DLR	$160.87	-0.0%	+4.1%	-3.0%	-12.3%	BELOW	1
EQIX	$902.94	-0.5%	+2.0%	+3.7%	-4.2%	BELOW	1

Utilities Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SO	$80.54	+0.9%	+0.7%	+4.0%	-4.3%	ABOVE	0
DUK	$109.10	+0.4%	+1.6%	+8.6%	-0.0%	ABOVE	0
NEE	$65.28	-1.4%	-3.9%	+1.3%	-10.9%	BELOW	1

Energy Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CVX	$143.13	+0.5%	+2.2%	-0.3%	-4.8%	BELOW	0
XOM	$103.64	+0.4%	+1.7%	+2.2%	-9.2%	BELOW	0

Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GD	$247.76	-0.3%	-0.7%	-1.2%	-8.9%	BELOW	2
RTX	$124.67	-0.6%	-1.5%	+11.2%	+7.8%	ABOVE	2
LMT	$426.61	-0.9%	-2.4%	-5.1%	-14.3%	BELOW	5

Telecom Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
T	$22.96	+0.4%	+1.2%	+13.1%	+7.6%	ABOVE	0
VZ	$36.16	-0.2%	-0.3%	+5.5%	-7.7%	BELOW	2
TMUS	$239.99	-0.4%	+3.4%	+16.5%	+3.0%	ABOVE	1

Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NFLX	$101.39	-0.2%	+3.6%	+21.0%	+17.1%	ABOVE	1
DIS	$108.81	-1.1%	-2.8%	+2.0%	-4.0%	BELOW	1

Biotech Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMGN	$280.21	-1.4%	+1.6%	+11.9%	-0.2%	ABOVE	2
GILD	$92.29	-2.0%	-2.4%	+6.9%	+7.0%	ABOVE	2

Materials Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LIN	$446.09	-1.2%	+0.2%	+9.9%	+0.2%	ABOVE	1
APD	$298.64	-5.4%	-8.2%	+5.9%	-6.5%	BELOW	4

Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
TXN	$173.61	-1.8%	-0.5%	-4.6%	-10.6%	BELOW	1
MCHP	$49.76	-2.3%	-0.7%	-6.0%	-25.7%	BELOW	2

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Marvell (MRVL) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 7.2% to $110.17. Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) rose 7.2% to $36.28. Air Products (APD) (Materials) fell 5.4% to $298.64. Amazon (AMZN) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) fell 4.1% to $229.15. Palo Alto Networks (PANW) (Cybersecurity) rose 3.5% to $193.94. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 3 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Near term we expect choppy, risk‑off trading as alert counts climb: three sectors are down more than 10% over 50 days and 11 sectors sit above their 50‑day moving average versus 13 below, signaling mixed breadth. Watch Mag 7 leadership for market direction — cracks in the group can pressure the S&P 500 — while active alerts on Logistics and Analog & Embedded Chips argue for tightened position sizing in cyclicals. Tactical positioning: favor high‑quality AI infrastructure and defensive cybersecurity exposure, trim extended cyclicals, and use weakness to add to selective 50‑day leaders with intact fundamentals.

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