US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Thursday, February 13, 2025 BULLISH

The US stock market rallied broadly after a batch of tech-led gains and stronger-than-expected corporate updates, with 18 of 24 sectors advancing today. Chip Supply Chain names paced the winners — Intel (INTC) jumped 7.3% to $24.13 — while Tesla (TSLA) climbed 5.8% to $355.94 after renewed analyst attention; conversely airlines weighed as United (UAL) fell 3.2% to $100.89 and Delta (DAL) slid 3.4% to $62.81. The S&P 500 was supported by another positive day from the Magnificent 7: NVIDIA (NVDA) +3.2% to $135.09, Apple (AAPL) +2.0% to $240.26 and Amazon (AMZN) +0.6% to $230.37, keeping the AI-investment narrative alive. Today's moves tie directly to sector rotation into Chip Equipment, Cybersecurity and Enterprise Software on upbeat demand signals for datacenter and AI spend.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Sell / Wait

4.52%

rising

Impact

Confidence

Crude Oil (WTI)

Neutral

$71.29

-0.1% 1D

Impact

Confidence

VIX (Fear Index)

Normal Range

15.1

-5.0% 1D

Impact

Confidence

Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)

Pause Discretionary Adds

62%

42 of 68 above 50DMA · +7.4pp 5D

Impact

Confidence

Put/Call Ratio (5D)

Caution

0.75

Call-Heavy · stable

Impact

Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme remains central as the Mag 7 (AI Spenders) again led market action, with NVIDIA (NVDA) at $135.09 up 3.2% and Microsoft (MSFT) at $405.73 showing a modest 0.4% gain despite a 50-day trend weakness. Strength across the Chip Supply Chain — ARM Holdings (ARM) +6.1% to $164.83 and Intel (INTC) +7.3% to $24.13 — underscores durable hardware demand, while Enterprise Software outperformance and Cybersecurity traction reflect ongoing enterprise modernization. Infrastructure winners like Super Micro (SMCI) $42.28 (+6.6%) complete the picture: capex flows into servers and networking continue to validate the multi-year AI capex cycle even as some Mag 7 members show mixed 20- and 50-day internals.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector	1D	5D	20D	vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders)	+2.0%	+1.7%	+1.4%	ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain	+1.5%	+4.4%	+2.9%	ABOVE
Infrastructure	+1.1%	+2.6%	+3.3%	BELOW
Enterprise Software	+0.4%	+2.9%	+18.6%	BELOW
Finance	+0.2%	-0.4%	+7.3%	ABOVE
Healthcare	+0.3%	+0.0%	+9.6%	ABOVE
Retail	+1.2%	+3.5%	+16.1%	ABOVE
IT Services	+0.8%	+2.2%	+14.1%	ABOVE
Airlines	-3.3%	-6.7%	-4.1%	BELOW
Hospitality & Travel	-0.5%	-1.3%	+3.7%	ABOVE
Food & Restaurant	+0.4%	+3.0%	+15.2%	ABOVE
Logistics	+0.7%	+2.5%	-8.1%	BELOW
Industrial	+0.3%	-1.5%	-7.3%	BELOW
Cybersecurity	+2.9%	+5.4%	+17.8%	ABOVE
Chip Equipment	+2.2%	+3.5%	+2.6%	ABOVE
Data Center REITs	-0.2%	-1.5%	-4.1%	BELOW
Utilities	-1.0%	+0.7%	+1.3%	ABOVE
Energy	+0.7%	+1.2%	-2.1%	BELOW
Defense & Aerospace	-1.5%	-2.4%	-4.7%	BELOW
Telecom	+2.1%	+5.0%	+15.4%	ABOVE
Media & Entertainment	+1.0%	+0.9%	+13.4%	BELOW
Biotech	+1.6%	+5.7%	+12.9%	ABOVE
Materials	+1.0%	+1.4%	+3.8%	ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips	+0.6%	+2.5%	-3.1%	BELOW

Sector Strength

Cybersecurity +2.9% 20d: +17.8%

CrowdStrike (CRWD) +4.4% (20d: +24.9%), Palo Alto Networks (PANW) +2.6% (20d: +13.9%), Zscaler (ZS) +1.8% (20d: +14.6%)

Chip Equipment +2.2% 20d: +2.6%

ASML +2.8% (20d: +3.8%), Lam Research (LRCX) +2.1% (20d: +5.2%), Applied Materials (AMAT) +1.9% (20d: -1.2%)

Telecom +2.1% 20d: +15.4%

T-Mobile (TMUS) +3.8% (20d: +22.9%), Verizon (VZ) +1.3% (20d: +7.0%), AT&T (T) +1.1% (20d: +16.4%)

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +2.0% 20d: +1.4%

Tesla (TSLA) +5.8% (20d: -14.0%) [<50MA], NVIDIA (NVDA) +3.2% (20d: +1.3%), Apple (AAPL) +2.0% (20d: +5.9%)

Biotech +1.6% 20d: +12.9%

Gilead (GILD) +2.6% (20d: +15.6%), Amgen (AMGN) +0.6% (20d: +10.2%)

Sector Warnings

Airlines -3.3% 20d: -4.1%

Delta (DAL) -3.4% (20d: -3.2%) [<50MA], United (UAL) -3.2% (20d: -4.9%) [<50MA]

Defense & Aerospace -1.5% 20d: -4.7%

General Dynamics (GD) -2.1% (20d: -7.9%) [<50MA], Lockheed Martin (LMT) -1.6% (20d: -10.7%) [<50MA], RTX Corp (RTX) -0.7% (20d: +4.5%)

Utilities -1.0% 20d: +1.3%

Duke Energy (DUK) -2.1% (20d: +4.5%), NextEra Energy (NEE) -1.0% (20d: -3.9%) [<50MA], Southern Co (SO) -0.0% (20d: +3.4%)

Hospitality & Travel -0.5% 20d: +3.7%

Marriott (MAR) -0.8% (20d: +4.4%), Booking (BKNG) -0.2% (20d: +3.0%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain: The group rallied today, up 1.5% on the session with ARM Holdings (ARM) advancing 6.1% to $164.83 and Intel (INTC) leading gains at $24.13, +7.3%. Over the 50-day window the sector is +8.0% and above its 50-day moving average, signaling a constructive intermediate trend as customers front-load silicon and packaging orders for AI and datacenter builds. TSMC (TSM) was an outlier, sliding 2.2% to $198.12, a reminder that idiosyncratic execution and capacity commentary can still produce intra-sector divergence even as broader demand remains firm.

Cybersecurity: Cybersecurity outperformed, rising 2.9% for the day with CrowdStrike (CRWD) jumping 4.4% to $113.44 as security budgets and identity spend stay elevated. The sector sits +12.5% over 50 days and is above its 50-day moving average, which supports a defensive-growth allocation within the tech rotation. The 50-day trend confirms appetite for software-led protection as enterprises stack security into cloud and AI deployments.

Enterprise Software: Enterprise Software finished up 0.4% today to $— with the group showing a strong 20-day advance of +18.6% but remaining below its 50-day moving average (-as listed), indicating a near-term re-acceleration despite the 50-day check. Specific large-cap software names helped lead the five-day rebound (+2.9%), pointing to renewed subscription upgrades and deal activity tied to AI projects. For positioning, the 50-day context suggests monitoring whether the sector converts this short-term strength into a sustained break above the longer-term average.

Infrastructure & Data Center: Infrastructure names saw mixed action; Super Micro (SMCI) rose 6.6% to $42.28 while Dell (DELL) corrected -2.4% to $107.92, leaving the Infrastructure sector up 1.1% for the day but below its 50-day moving average (-3.3%). The 50-day picture is still cautionary, driven by a broader Data Center REITs decline (-9.0% vs 50d) and equipment churn, but selective hardware suppliers are benefitting as customers accelerate server refresh cycles tied to AI workloads. Track 50-day momentum in the group to confirm whether demand growth translates to durable revenue upside for suppliers.

Airlines & Travel: Airlines underperformed sharply, with Airlines down 3.3% today and United (UAL) at $100.89 (-3.2%) and Delta (DAL) at $62.81 (-3.4%) leading declines; the sector is below its 50-day moving average despite a modest positive 50-day reading overall (+2.3%). Hospitality & Travel is mixed, with the latter showing a small 50-day gain but short-term softness. The 50-day trend suggests travel demand is stabilizing but vulnerable to macro shocks and fuel-cost dynamics; we remain cautious on cyclical exposure until clear 50-day strength reappears.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 14 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 10 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 17 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -16.3% over 50 days

HIGH 3 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Logistics, Industrial, Analog & Embedded Chips

MEDIUM TSLA down -16.5% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
TSLA	$355.94	+5.8%	-1.6%	-14.0%	-0.3%	BELOW
NVDA	$135.09	+3.2%	+4.2%	+1.3%	-2.4%	ABOVE
AAPL	$240.26	+2.0%	+6.2%	+5.9%	+0.9%	ABOVE
GOOG	$186.91	+1.3%	+0.4%	-3.4%	+8.7%	BELOW
AMZN	$230.37	+0.6%	+0.5%	+4.4%	+9.3%	ABOVE
META	$724.98	+0.4%	+2.0%	+19.2%	+23.0%	ABOVE
MSFT	$405.73	+0.4%	+0.2%	-3.3%	-4.7%	BELOW

Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
INTC	$24.13	+7.3%	+26.3%	+22.7%	+0.8%	ABOVE	0
ARM	$164.83	+6.1%	+1.4%	+11.7%	+17.5%	ABOVE	0
QCOM	$166.69	+1.1%	+2.5%	+6.6%	+6.1%	ABOVE	0
AMD	$111.81	+0.1%	+4.0%	-5.6%	-21.3%	BELOW	0
AVGO	$232.83	-0.2%	+4.9%	+2.8%	+42.0%	ABOVE	1
MRVL	$103.08	-1.8%	-6.4%	-12.0%	+6.9%	BELOW	3
TSM	$198.12	-2.2%	-2.1%	-6.0%	+4.2%	BELOW	2

Infrastructure Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SMCI	$42.28	+6.6%	+16.5%	+35.9%	+0.7%	ABOVE	0
CSCO	$61.76	+2.1%	+2.5%	+6.7%	+8.2%	ABOVE	0
HPE	$20.53	+0.9%	+0.0%	-9.1%	+0.8%	BELOW	0
VRT	$109.08	-1.8%	-10.0%	-17.6%	-14.0%	BELOW	3
DELL	$107.92	-2.4%	+3.7%	+0.5%	-12.0%	BELOW	1

Enterprise Software Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CRM	$326.05	+1.1%	+1.2%	+3.1%	-0.2%	BELOW	0
NOW	$197.90	+0.7%	-1.9%	-6.4%	-5.6%	BELOW	0
PLTR	$117.91	+0.4%	+6.4%	+70.3%	+77.6%	ABOVE	0
ADBE	$459.22	-0.8%	+6.0%	+7.6%	-11.0%	ABOVE	1

Finance Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
JPM	$268.18	+0.3%	+0.2%	+8.7%	+12.8%	ABOVE	0
GS	$629.87	-0.0%	-1.1%	+5.9%	+7.9%	ABOVE	1

Healthcare Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UNH	$511.49	+0.7%	+0.8%	+4.0%	-12.4%	ABOVE	0
LLY	$862.48	-0.1%	-0.7%	+15.1%	+9.0%	ABOVE	1

Retail Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
WMT	$103.64	+1.4%	+3.9%	+15.1%	+13.6%	ABOVE	0
COST	$1069.44	+1.1%	+3.2%	+17.2%	+10.6%	ABOVE	0

IT Services Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
IBM	$251.06	+1.3%	+3.4%	+17.2%	+14.7%	ABOVE	0
ACN	$377.89	+0.2%	+0.9%	+11.1%	+8.2%	ABOVE	0

Airlines Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UAL	$100.89	-3.2%	-7.4%	-4.9%	+3.5%	BELOW	1
DAL	$62.81	-3.4%	-6.0%	-3.2%	+1.0%	BELOW	1

Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
BKNG	$197.92	-0.2%	+2.5%	+3.0%	-4.0%	ABOVE	1
MAR	$284.34	-0.8%	-5.2%	+4.4%	+0.7%	ABOVE	1

Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MCD	$299.24	+0.8%	+5.3%	+10.8%	+6.0%	ABOVE	0
SBUX	$108.73	-0.0%	+0.7%	+19.7%	+11.3%	ABOVE	1

Logistics Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UPS	$104.95	+1.2%	+2.2%	-11.0%	-13.7%	BELOW	0
FDX	$205.51	+0.2%	+2.7%	-5.1%	-10.9%	BELOW	0

Industrial Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CAT	$348.24	+0.5%	-2.8%	-6.7%	-11.8%	BELOW	0
HON	$196.51	+0.1%	-0.1%	-7.8%	-10.7%	BELOW	0

Cybersecurity Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
CRWD	$113.44	+4.4%	+7.6%	+24.9%	+30.8%	ABOVE
PANW	$201.88	+2.6%	+4.1%	+13.9%	+3.5%	ABOVE
ZS	$214.84	+1.8%	+4.5%	+14.6%	+3.0%	ABOVE

Chip Equipment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
ASML	$768.57	+2.8%	+7.0%	+3.8%	+9.4%	ABOVE
LRCX	$82.39	+2.1%	+1.2%	+5.2%	+6.4%	ABOVE
AMAT	$181.99	+1.9%	+2.4%	-1.2%	+0.5%	ABOVE

Data Center REITs Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DLR	$157.75	+1.0%	-1.9%	-8.5%	-13.7%	BELOW	0
EQIX	$893.00	-1.3%	-1.1%	+0.3%	-4.3%	BELOW	2

Utilities Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SO	$82.63	-0.0%	+2.6%	+3.4%	-1.1%	ABOVE	1
NEE	$65.59	-1.0%	+0.5%	-3.9%	-11.0%	BELOW	2
DUK	$108.11	-2.1%	-0.9%	+4.5%	-1.1%	ABOVE	2

Energy Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
XOM	$103.83	+0.7%	+0.2%	-2.0%	-7.4%	BELOW	0
CVX	$146.19	+0.6%	+2.1%	-2.2%	-3.9%	ABOVE	0

Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
RTX	$122.62	-0.7%	-1.6%	+4.5%	+6.0%	ABOVE	2
LMT	$417.33	-1.6%	-2.2%	-10.7%	-16.5%	BELOW	2
GD	$239.33	-2.1%	-3.4%	-7.9%	-10.5%	BELOW	2

Telecom Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
TMUS	$258.36	+3.8%	+7.7%	+22.9%	+8.3%	ABOVE
VZ	$37.21	+1.3%	+2.9%	+7.0%	-4.7%	ABOVE
T	$23.98	+1.1%	+4.4%	+16.4%	+14.3%	ABOVE

Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NFLX	$104.37	+1.6%	+2.9%	+23.9%	+16.3%	ABOVE	0
DIS	$107.57	+0.3%	-1.1%	+2.9%	-6.0%	BELOW	0

Biotech Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GILD	$101.83	+2.6%	+10.3%	+15.6%	+13.6%	ABOVE	0
AMGN	$283.49	+0.6%	+1.2%	+10.2%	+6.8%	ABOVE	0

Materials Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
APD	$303.18	+1.5%	+1.5%	+1.0%	-5.5%	ABOVE	0
LIN	$451.97	+0.5%	+1.3%	+6.6%	+0.6%	ABOVE	0

Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MCHP	$52.03	+0.8%	+4.6%	-3.4%	-22.8%	BELOW	0
TXN	$174.38	+0.5%	+0.4%	-2.8%	-9.7%	BELOW	0

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Intel (INTC) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 7.3% to $24.13. Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) rose 6.6% to $42.28. ARM Holdings (ARM) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 6.1% to $164.83. Tesla (TSLA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) rose 5.8% to $355.94. CrowdStrike (CRWD) (Cybersecurity) rose 4.4% to $113.44. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 2 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Looking ahead, breadth remains favorable with 18 sectors up and 14 sectors above their 50MA, but alerts flag concentrated weakness: Analog & Embedded Chips is down -16.3% over 50 days and three sectors (Logistics, Industrial, Analog & Embedded Chips) are each down more than 10% across the 50-day window. Active alerts and a medium priority TSLA drawdown (TSLA down -16.5% from its 20-day high) argue for selective positioning: overweight AI-capex beneficiaries with clean 50-day trends like Chip Supply Chain and Cybersecurity, maintain neutral exposure to cyclicals until the industrial/ logistics 50-day picture improves, and use tight risk-management on names below their 50MA.

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