US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Thursday, February 20, 2025 Sectors: BEARISH

The US stock market opened with a risk-off tilt as Financials led the sell-off, with the Finance sector down 4.2% after heavy losses in large banks — JPMorgan (JPM) fell 4.5% to $258.94 and Goldman Sachs (GS) dropped 3.9% to $623.37 — dragging broader indices lower. Defensive pockets held up, with Utilities up 1.4% and NextEra Energy (NEE) rising 1.6% to $67.07, while cyclicals like Retail and Enterprise Software underperformed. The Magnificent 7 (Mag 7) cohort was mixed to soft, overall -0.5% for the group as NVIDIA (NVDA) ticked up 0.6% to $139.90 but Microsoft (MSFT) traded below its 50-day trend at $412.08 (-0.5% group effect). Today's action reflects rotation within the S&P 500 between AI beneficiaries and rate-sensitive sectors, reverberating through sector analysis across 24 groups.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Sell / Wait

4.50%

rising

Impact

Confidence

Crude Oil (WTI)

Neutral

$72.57

+0.4% 1D

Impact

Confidence

VIX (Fear Index)

Normal Range

15.7

+2.5% 1D

Impact

Confidence

Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)

Pause Discretionary Adds

68%

46 of 68 above 50DMA · +7.4pp 5D

Impact

Confidence

Put/Call Ratio (5D)

Caution

0.75

Call-Heavy · stable

Impact

Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Heatmap (1D)

Analog & Embedded Chips +1.97%

Biotech +1.73%

Utilities +1.45%

Energy +1.27%

Logistics +0.99%

Memory & Storage +0.78%

Data Center REITs +0.77%

Chip Equipment +0.76%

Food & Restaurant +0.56%

Telecom +0.53%

Defense & Aerospace +0.45%

Industrial -0.42%

AI Networking & Interconnect -0.43%

Materials -0.46%

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -0.48%

Healthcare -0.49%

Chip Supply Chain -0.55%

IT Services -0.61%

Hospitality & Travel -0.97%

Infrastructure -1.21%

Media & Entertainment -1.26%

EDA & Semiconductor IP -1.69%

Enterprise Software -2.51%

Airlines -2.88%

AI Power & Grid -3.10%

Cybersecurity -3.27%

Finance -4.17%

Retail -4.57%

≤-3%0≥+3%

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme remains a bifurcated story: leaders within the Mag 7 are holding AI narrative support even as several sit below their 50-day trends. NVIDIA (NVDA) $139.90 is modestly higher today and remains above its 50-day average, underscoring demand for chips, while Microsoft (MSFT) $412.08 sits below its 50-day and is underperforming on a 20-day basis. Chip supply chain names showed mixed early strength — Lam Research (LRCX) rallied to $88.04 — but enterprise software faced profit-taking, exemplified by Palantir (PLTR) selling off, reinforcing that infrastructure and software monetization remain crucial to durable AI positioning.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector	1D	5D	20D	vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders)	-0.5%	-0.3%	-2.6%	BELOW
Chip Supply Chain	-0.5%	+1.9%	-2.8%	BELOW
Memory & Storage	+0.8%	+12.1%	-1.0%	ABOVE
EDA & Semiconductor IP	-1.7%	-7.9%	-12.2%	BELOW
Infrastructure	-1.2%	+9.7%	+8.8%	ABOVE
AI Networking & Interconnect	-0.4%	-2.0%	-17.2%	BELOW
Enterprise Software	-2.5%	-3.1%	+2.7%	ABOVE
Finance	-4.2%	-2.2%	+0.4%	ABOVE
Healthcare	-0.5%	-2.5%	+4.5%	BELOW
Retail	-4.6%	-5.7%	+6.8%	ABOVE
IT Services	-0.6%	+0.5%	+11.9%	ABOVE
Airlines	-2.9%	+0.6%	-3.0%	BELOW
Hospitality & Travel	-1.0%	-0.1%	+2.5%	ABOVE
Food & Restaurant	+0.6%	-0.7%	+11.4%	ABOVE
Logistics	+1.0%	+2.2%	-6.0%	BELOW
Industrial	-0.4%	+0.8%	-10.2%	BELOW
Cybersecurity	-3.3%	-3.0%	+9.7%	ABOVE
Chip Equipment	+0.8%	-0.0%	+1.0%	ABOVE
Data Center REITs	+0.8%	+3.1%	-3.2%	BELOW
AI Power & Grid	-3.1%	-1.6%	-16.1%	BELOW
Utilities	+1.4%	+1.5%	+4.5%	ABOVE
Energy	+1.3%	+3.3%	+2.7%	ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace	+0.5%	-0.1%	-7.2%	BELOW
Telecom	+0.5%	+1.9%	+15.8%	ABOVE
Media & Entertainment	-1.3%	-0.5%	+1.8%	BELOW
Biotech	+1.7%	+2.5%	+13.2%	ABOVE
Materials	-0.5%	-0.0%	+0.9%	ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips	+2.0%	+15.9%	+5.7%	ABOVE

Sector Strength

Analog & Embedded Chips +2.0% 20d: +5.7%

Texas Instruments (TXN) +3.9% (20d: +2.4%), Microchip Technology (MCHP) +1.1% (20d: +7.9%), Analog Devices (ADI) +0.9% (20d: +6.8%)

Biotech +1.7% 20d: +13.2%

Gilead (GILD) +2.2% (20d: +18.4%), Amgen (AMGN) +1.2% (20d: +8.1%)

Utilities +1.4% 20d: +4.5%

NextEra Energy (NEE) +1.6% (20d: +1.3%) [<50MA], Southern Co (SO) +1.5% (20d: +7.7%), Duke Energy (DUK) +1.2% (20d: +4.5%)

Energy +1.3% 20d: +2.7%

Exxon Mobil (XOM) +1.5% (20d: +2.6%), Chevron (CVX) +1.0% (20d: +2.9%)

Logistics +1.0% 20d: -6.0%

United Parcel Service (UPS) +1.4% (20d: -11.5%) [<50MA], FedEx (FDX) +0.6% (20d: -0.6%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Retail -4.6% 20d: +6.8%

Walmart (WMT) -6.5% (20d: +3.6%), Costco (COST) -2.6% (20d: +10.0%)

Finance -4.2% 20d: +0.4%

JPMorgan (JPM) -4.5% (20d: +0.3%), Goldman Sachs (GS) -3.9% (20d: +0.4%)

Cybersecurity -3.3% 20d: +9.7%

Zscaler (ZS) -3.6% (20d: +7.4%), CrowdStrike (CRWD) -3.1% (20d: +15.5%), Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -3.1% (20d: +6.1%)

AI Power & Grid -3.1% 20d: -16.1% CRITICAL

GE Vernova (GEV) -4.1% (20d: -17.8%) [<50MA], Constellation Energy (CEG) -3.8% (20d: -10.6%), Quanta Services (PWR) -3.7% (20d: -20.7%) [<50MA]

Airlines -2.9% 20d: -3.0%

United (UAL) -3.8% (20d: -0.5%), Delta (DAL) -2.0% (20d: -5.5%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Finance: The Finance sector's 1-day drop of 4.2% was the most consequential move today, a decisive break in short-term momentum as the group sits +7.8% over 50 days but showed heavy downside on the day. JPMorgan (JPM) fell 4.5% to $258.94 and Goldman Sachs (GS) slid 3.9% to $623.37, both names showing intraday weakness despite the sector's positive 50-day drift. The 50-day window shows the sector still in an uptrend, but today's heavy selling increases the risk of a mean-reversion test if volatility persists.

Chips & Equipment: The Chip Equipment group registered constructive action with Lam Research (LRCX) up 1.6% to $88.04 as the sector gained 0.9% on the day and sits +7.9% over 50 days, signaling a continued 50-day uptrend. Analog & Embedded Chips led gains within semiconductors, where Texas Instruments (TXN) climbed 3.9% to $196.72 and the subgroup is outpacing in the 50-day window at +7.4%. That 50-day strength supports the view that capital spending on process and analog capacity remains intact for now.

Enterprise Software & Cybersecurity: Enterprise Software underperformed with a 1-day decline of 2.4% and a 50-day read below at -1.1%, increasing short-term vulnerability. Palantir (PLTR) plunged 5.2% to $106.27 and contributed to the subgroup's weakness, while Cybersecurity dropped 3.3% on the day but remains above its 50-day average at +5.0%. The 50-day context suggests software demand is patchy — firms exposed to recurring SaaS revenue show more resiliency than data-dependent names facing multiple re-rating risks.

Utilities & Energy: Utilities acted as a defensive anchor, advancing 1.4% with NextEra Energy (NEE) up 1.6% to $67.07 and Southern Co (SO) rising 1.5% to $84.33; the Utilities group is slightly below its 50-day at -0.2% but showing near-term accumulation. Energy delivered a modest gain of 1.3% and remains +1.5% over the 50-day window, indicating steady demand and a supportive backdrop for dividend-yielding energy and utility stocks amid today’s risk-off rotation.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 16 of 28 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 12 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 17 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500, NASDAQ 100 & Dow Jones (%)

Green shading marks breadth-below-50% regimes: BUY at the 5th session (vertical line on the fire day), STRONG at the 10th (darker). A 3rd day back above 50% ends the regime; tolerated recovery days still count toward the session total. Research display only — not investment advice.

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH EDA & Semiconductor IP down -12.2% over 20 days

HIGH AI Networking & Interconnect down -17.2% over 20 days

HIGH Industrial down -10.2% over 20 days

HIGH AI Power & Grid down -16.1% over 20 days

HIGH 6 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: EDA & Semiconductor IP, AI Networking & Interconnect, Logistics, Industrial, AI Power & Grid, Defense & Aerospace

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NVDA	$139.90	+0.6%	+3.6%	-4.8%	-1.6%	ABOVE	0
MSFT	$411.30	+0.5%	+1.6%	-6.7%	-6.0%	BELOW	0
AAPL	$244.33	+0.4%	+1.8%	+10.0%	+1.3%	ABOVE	0
GOOG	$185.67	-0.3%	-0.7%	-6.5%	+5.9%	BELOW	1
META	$691.42	-1.3%	-4.6%	+9.2%	+11.5%	ABOVE	3
AMZN	$222.88	-1.7%	-3.3%	-5.3%	-1.8%	BELOW	4
TSLA	$354.40	-1.7%	-0.4%	-14.1%	-8.9%	BELOW	1

Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
INTC	$26.09	+1.4%	+8.1%	+21.0%	+24.7%	ABOVE	0
TSM	$196.42	-0.4%	-0.9%	-10.9%	-1.1%	BELOW	3
AMD	$114.17	-0.5%	+2.1%	-7.2%	-17.6%	BELOW	1
QCOM	$168.19	-0.9%	+0.9%	-0.4%	+8.9%	ABOVE	1
AVGO	$223.88	-0.9%	-3.8%	-5.6%	+26.6%	ABOVE	1
MRVL	$108.27	-2.1%	+5.0%	-13.8%	-4.2%	BELOW	1

Memory & Storage Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SNDK	$48.26	+4.9%	+34.1%	N/A	N/A	N/A	0
WDC	$53.64	-0.3%	+5.5%	+3.8%	+0.3%	ABOVE	2
STX	$100.44	-0.3%	+1.1%	-5.3%	+5.0%	ABOVE	2
MU	$102.78	-1.1%	+7.9%	-1.6%	+2.1%	ABOVE	2

EDA & Semiconductor IP Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CDNS	$270.23	-1.4%	-8.8%	-16.7%	-12.1%	BELOW	2
SNPS	$493.97	-1.4%	-6.5%	-10.4%	-4.5%	BELOW	2
ARM	$150.85	-2.3%	-8.5%	-9.4%	+7.1%	ABOVE	2

Infrastructure Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CSCO	$62.56	-0.3%	+1.3%	+3.9%	+8.7%	ABOVE	1
HPE	$20.97	-0.5%	+2.2%	-10.8%	-8.7%	BELOW	1
DELL	$117.15	-0.9%	+8.7%	+5.0%	-2.5%	ABOVE	1
SMCI	$59.27	-1.6%	+40.2%	+77.4%	+34.9%	ABOVE	1
VRT	$104.63	-2.8%	-4.1%	-31.7%	-21.7%	BELOW	2

AI Networking & Interconnect Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
COHR	$86.24	-0.2%	-0.3%	-20.0%	-22.5%	BELOW	2
ANET	$103.40	-0.5%	-5.8%	-19.9%	-4.5%	BELOW	2
APH	$68.60	-0.6%	+0.0%	-11.7%	-6.3%	BELOW	1

Enterprise Software Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ADBE	$454.69	-0.5%	-1.0%	+4.0%	-17.8%	ABOVE	2
CRM	$314.76	-1.9%	-3.5%	-4.8%	-11.9%	BELOW	2
NOW	$193.60	-1.9%	-2.2%	-14.7%	-13.9%	BELOW	2
ORCL	$173.03	-3.0%	+1.2%	-5.6%	-8.0%	ABOVE	1
PLTR	$106.27	-5.2%	-9.9%	+34.6%	+39.2%	ABOVE	2

Finance Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GS	$623.37	-3.9%	-1.0%	+0.4%	+7.1%	ABOVE	2
JPM	$258.94	-4.5%	-3.4%	+0.3%	+8.4%	ABOVE	2

Healthcare Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LLY	$863.98	+0.7%	+0.3%	+14.1%	+5.8%	ABOVE	0
UNH	$483.80	-1.7%	-5.4%	-5.2%	-8.2%	BELOW	1

Retail Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
COST	$1026.07	-2.6%	-3.9%	+10.0%	+4.4%	ABOVE	1
WMT	$95.68	-6.5%	-7.5%	+3.6%	+1.8%	ABOVE	1

IT Services Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
IBM	$254.60	+0.2%	+2.1%	+17.9%	+12.0%	ABOVE	0
ACN	$373.34	-1.4%	-1.2%	+5.9%	+6.6%	ABOVE	1

Airlines Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DAL	$62.50	-2.0%	-0.5%	-5.5%	-1.2%	BELOW	1
UAL	$102.49	-3.8%	+1.6%	-0.5%	+2.2%	ABOVE	1

Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MAR	$282.74	-0.1%	-0.4%	+0.7%	-1.8%	ABOVE	2
BKNG	$198.30	-1.8%	+0.2%	+4.2%	-5.3%	ABOVE	2

Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SBUX	$109.03	+0.8%	+0.8%	+16.3%	+13.8%	ABOVE	0
MCD	$292.51	+0.4%	-2.2%	+6.5%	+1.4%	ABOVE	0

Logistics Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UPS	$105.65	+1.4%	+2.3%	-11.5%	-5.8%	BELOW	0
FDX	$209.68	+0.6%	+2.0%	-0.6%	-3.9%	BELOW	0

Industrial Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
HON	$201.72	+0.3%	+3.0%	-6.3%	-6.6%	BELOW	0
CAT	$343.12	-1.1%	-1.3%	-14.1%	-11.3%	BELOW	2

Cybersecurity Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
PANW	$198.81	-3.1%	-1.5%	+6.1%	-2.0%	ABOVE	2
CRWD	$109.04	-3.1%	-3.9%	+15.5%	+19.3%	ABOVE	2
ZS	$206.97	-3.6%	-3.7%	+7.4%	-2.4%	ABOVE	2

Chip Equipment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LRCX	$88.04	+1.6%	+6.9%	+9.6%	+16.6%	ABOVE	0
AMAT	$174.05	+1.4%	-4.3%	-7.5%	+2.0%	ABOVE	0
KLAC	$76.82	+0.4%	+1.7%	+2.2%	+19.9%	ABOVE	0
ASML	$734.09	-0.2%	-4.4%	-0.2%	+5.0%	ABOVE	1

Data Center REITs Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DLR	$164.63	+1.4%	+4.4%	-6.3%	-10.2%	BELOW	0
EQIX	$905.36	+0.1%	+1.9%	-0.1%	-4.5%	ABOVE	0

AI Power & Grid Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ETN	$302.36	-0.2%	+0.3%	-16.5%	-16.8%	BELOW	2
VST	$161.84	-3.6%	-1.5%	-15.0%	+2.2%	ABOVE	1
PWR	$280.74	-3.7%	-3.3%	-20.7%	-15.4%	BELOW	1
CEG	$306.34	-3.8%	-0.7%	-10.6%	+22.0%	ABOVE	2
GEV	$358.44	-4.1%	-2.9%	-17.8%	+3.9%	BELOW	1

Utilities Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
NEE	$67.07	+1.6%	+2.2%	+1.3%	-6.8%	BELOW
SO	$83.64	+1.5%	+2.1%	+7.7%	+4.4%	ABOVE
DUK	$107.41	+1.2%	+0.2%	+4.5%	+1.9%	ABOVE

Energy Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
XOM	$106.86	+1.5%	+3.6%	+2.6%	-0.5%	ABOVE	0
CVX	$149.27	+1.0%	+3.0%	+2.9%	+3.4%	ABOVE	0

Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GD	$239.37	+0.8%	+0.0%	-8.3%	-8.9%	BELOW	0
LMT	$418.83	+0.8%	+0.4%	-12.3%	-15.0%	BELOW	0
RTX	$121.50	-0.2%	-0.6%	-0.9%	+6.0%	ABOVE	1

Telecom Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
VZ	$38.52	+1.1%	+3.5%	+8.4%	+2.1%	ABOVE	0
TMUS	$258.67	+0.8%	+0.1%	+22.8%	+8.9%	ABOVE	0
T	$24.47	-0.3%	+2.0%	+16.1%	+10.9%	ABOVE	1

Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DIS	$108.51	-0.7%	+0.9%	-0.4%	-4.9%	BELOW	1
NFLX	$102.45	-1.8%	-1.8%	+4.0%	+9.6%	ABOVE	1

Biotech Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GILD	$105.74	+2.2%	+3.8%	+18.4%	+20.4%	ABOVE	0
AMGN	$285.04	+1.2%	+1.1%	+8.1%	+10.2%	ABOVE	0

Materials Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LIN	$452.81	-0.0%	+0.2%	+4.8%	+2.8%	ABOVE	2
APD	$302.33	-0.9%	-0.3%	-3.0%	-1.2%	ABOVE	1

Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
TXN	$195.71	+3.9%	+12.8%	+2.4%	+6.4%	ABOVE
MCHP	$61.29	+1.1%	+18.5%	+7.9%	+8.4%	ABOVE
ADI	$238.46	+0.9%	+16.5%	+6.8%	+12.2%	ABOVE

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Walmart (WMT) (Retail) fell 6.5% to $95.68. Palantir (PLTR) (Enterprise Software) fell 5.2% to $106.27. Sandisk (SNDK) (Memory & Storage) rose 4.9% to $48.26. JPMorgan (JPM) (Finance) fell 4.5% to $258.94. GE Vernova (GEV) (AI Power & Grid) fell 4.1% to $358.44. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 5 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Market breadth is mixed: 15 sectors remain above their 50-day moving averages while 9 are below, and we have two active HIGH alerts including Industrial down over 20 days and three sectors declining more than 5% over 20 days. With 10 sectors up and 14 down today, the S&P 500 faces cross-currents between AI leadership and banking-led weakness; the 50-day trends still favor many cyclical pockets but risks are concentrated in Logistics, Industrial and Defense & Aerospace. Positioning should favor quality within AI supply chains that maintain 50-day strength and defensive income exposure in Utilities and select Energy names until breadth and the high-alert sectors stabilize.

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