US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Friday, March 07, 2025 BULLISH

A late-week rotation reshaped the US stock market as chip-supply names outperformed while several defensive and travel-related sectors lagged. Broadcom (AVGO) jumped 8.6% after sector strength in Chip Supply Chain, and ARM Holdings (ARM) climbed 6.5%, helping the Chip Equipment and Analog & Embedded Chips groups to lead gains. At the same time Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) plunged 12.0%, amplifying weakness in Infrastructure and keeping five sectors more than 10% below their 50-day averages. The Magnificent 7 (AI Spenders) were mixed, up 0.3% on the day but still down 10.1% over 20 days, leaving the S&P 500 rangebound amid divergent sector leadership.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Wait & Watch

4.32%

falling

Impact

Confidence

Crude Oil (WTI)

Neutral

$67.04

+1.0% 1D

Impact

Confidence

VIX (Fear Index)

Elevated Caution

23.4

-6.0% 1D

Impact

Confidence

Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)

Add Cash

43%

29 of 68 above 50DMA · -7.4pp 5D

Impact

Confidence

Put/Call Ratio (5D)

Caution

0.75

Call-Heavy · stable

Impact

Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme showed resilience in select parts of the chip supply chain even as the Mag 7 complex remains under pressure. NVIDIA (NVDA) $112.52 rose 1.9% but is 19.3% below its 50-day average, highlighting ongoing consolidation around the largest AI compute supplier while Broadcom (AVGO) $192.50 led a rotation into chip infrastructure. Strength in ARM Holdings (ARM) $125.55 and chip-equipment-linked names suggests buyers are prioritizing the physical stack for AI deployment, but weakness in Enterprise Software and Infrastructure underlines that broader AI-related spending and deployment timelines remain uneven.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector	1D	5D	20D	vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders)	+0.3%	-1.5%	-10.1%	BELOW
Chip Supply Chain	+2.6%	-1.3%	-12.6%	BELOW
Infrastructure	-1.2%	-3.0%	-12.3%	BELOW
Enterprise Software	+0.9%	-1.6%	-12.1%	BELOW
Finance	-1.6%	-7.3%	-13.2%	BELOW
Healthcare	-1.8%	-0.4%	-3.6%	BELOW
Retail	-4.6%	-6.9%	-8.5%	BELOW
IT Services	+2.6%	+1.9%	-3.5%	BELOW
Airlines	-3.5%	-9.2%	-22.8%	BELOW
Hospitality & Travel	-0.1%	-5.4%	-8.8%	BELOW
Food & Restaurant	+2.2%	-1.1%	+2.6%	ABOVE
Logistics	+1.3%	+0.1%	+4.1%	BELOW
Industrial	+2.1%	+3.3%	+0.6%	BELOW
Cybersecurity	+0.0%	-1.3%	-8.7%	BELOW
Chip Equipment	+2.8%	+3.8%	-5.4%	ABOVE
Data Center REITs	-0.5%	-4.8%	-9.3%	BELOW
Utilities	+2.9%	+0.2%	+6.3%	ABOVE
Energy	+1.8%	+1.6%	+2.3%	ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace	+1.8%	+2.5%	+4.9%	ABOVE
Telecom	+2.2%	+0.0%	+11.4%	ABOVE
Media & Entertainment	-0.8%	-7.5%	-8.5%	BELOW
Biotech	+1.7%	+2.9%	+16.9%	ABOVE
Materials	+1.2%	+1.6%	+2.5%	ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips	+1.6%	+0.6%	+10.9%	ABOVE

Sector Strength

Utilities +2.9% 20d: +6.3%

NextEra Energy (NEE) +4.0% (20d: +7.6%), Southern Co (SO) +3.0% (20d: +9.0%), Duke Energy (DUK) +1.7% (20d: +2.5%)

Chip Equipment +2.8% 20d: -5.4%

Lam Research (LRCX) +3.3% (20d: -3.7%), Applied Materials (AMAT) +2.7% (20d: -13.3%) [<50MA], ASML +2.4% (20d: +0.8%)

IT Services +2.6% 20d: -3.5%

IBM +5.2% (20d: +4.3%), Accenture (ACN) +0.1% (20d: -11.3%) [<50MA]

Chip Supply Chain +2.6% 20d: -12.6%

Broadcom (AVGO) +8.6% (20d: -13.3%) [<50MA], ARM Holdings (ARM) +6.5% (20d: -22.7%) [<50MA], Qualcomm (QCOM) +3.3% (20d: -3.5%) [<50MA]

Food & Restaurant +2.2% 20d: +2.6%

McDonald's (MCD) +3.5% (20d: +9.8%), Starbucks (SBUX) +1.0% (20d: -4.6%)

Sector Warnings

Retail -4.6% 20d: -8.5%

Costco (COST) -6.1% (20d: -7.6%) [<50MA], Walmart (WMT) -3.1% (20d: -9.3%) [<50MA]

Airlines -3.5% 20d: -22.8% CRITICAL

United (UAL) -3.9% (20d: -24.0%) [<50MA], Delta (DAL) -3.1% (20d: -21.6%) [<50MA]

Healthcare -1.8% 20d: -3.6%

Eli Lilly (LLY) -4.7% (20d: -0.8%), UnitedHealth (UNH) +1.2% (20d: -6.4%) [<50MA]

Finance -1.6% 20d: -13.2% CRITICAL

JPMorgan (JPM) -1.7% (20d: -12.2%) [<50MA], Goldman Sachs (GS) -1.4% (20d: -14.2%) [<50MA]

Infrastructure -1.2% 20d: -12.3% CRITICAL

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) -12.0% (20d: -25.7%) [<50MA], Dell (DELL) -1.7% (20d: -14.0%) [<50MA], Cisco (CSCO) +0.8% (20d: +2.7%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain showed one of the clearest breakouts today as the group posted a 2.6% gain for the session and sits 12.0% below its 50-day average, a key 50-day trend context for tactical traders. Broadcom (AVGO) $192.50 led with an 8.6% jump, and ARM Holdings (ARM) $125.55 added 6.5%, signaling selective accumulation around suppliers even while the sector remains in a 50-day downtrend. Chip Equipment outperformed within the complex, rising 2.8% on the day and remaining 0.8% above its 50-day average — a sign that capital spending expectations for fabs are holding in pockets despite broader 20-day weakness.

Retail diverged sharply today with the sector down 4.6% on the session yet sitting 1.6% above its 50-day average, underscoring a choppy 50-day context. Costco (COST) $957.66 fell 6.1% and was the day's notable loser in retail, suggesting profit-taking in high-multiple distributors even as the broader Retail 50-day posture remains marginally positive. This split between daily weakness and modest 50-day strength argues for selective stock picking within retail rather than blanket exposure.

Infrastructure registered a notable sell-off and remains one of the weakest 50-day stories, trading 10.2% below its 50-day average and contributing to a high alert on 50-day declines. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) $15.25 plunged 12.0%, amplifying the sector's downside and validating concerns around capital-cycle sensitivity and enterprise spending softness. Given Infrastructure's 50-day deterioration, investors should treat rebounds cautiously and watch HPE as a barometer for broader capex-related sentiment.

Airlines continued to underperform with the sector down 3.5% on the day and a deeply negative 50-day backdrop, 14.9% below the 50-day average and down 22.8% over 20 days. United (UAL) $82.88 fell 3.9%, reinforcing the travel group's extended downtrend; this 50-day context reflects excess capacity and demand worries that remain unresolved. The persistent 20-day and 50-day weakness argues for underweight exposure until travel fundamentals or pricing power improve.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 9 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 15 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 14 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Mag 7 (AI Spenders) down -10.1% over 20 days

HIGH Chip Supply Chain down -12.6% over 20 days

HIGH Infrastructure down -12.3% over 20 days

HIGH Enterprise Software down -12.1% over 20 days

HIGH Finance down -13.2% over 20 days

HIGH Airlines down -22.8% over 20 days

HIGH 12 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Mag 7 (AI Spenders), Chip Supply Chain, Infrastructure, Enterprise Software, Finance, Retail, Airlines, Hospitality & Travel, Cybersecurity, Chip Equipment, Data Center REITs, Media & Entertainment

HIGH 5 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Mag 7 (AI Spenders), Chip Supply Chain, Infrastructure, Airlines, Data Center REITs

MEDIUM NVDA down -19.6% from 20-day high

MEDIUM META down -15.1% from 20-day high

MEDIUM TSLA down -27.4% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NVDA	$112.52	+1.9%	-1.2%	-13.2%	-19.3%	BELOW	0
AAPL	$237.81	+1.6%	+0.4%	+5.1%	-6.2%	ABOVE	0
GOOG	$174.84	+0.9%	+4.2%	-6.1%	-10.3%	BELOW	0
TSLA	$262.67	-0.3%	-7.7%	-27.4%	-39.0%	BELOW	2
META	$622.58	-0.4%	-4.5%	-12.4%	+4.3%	BELOW	2
AMZN	$199.25	-0.7%	-2.8%	-13.0%	-11.5%	BELOW	2
MSFT	$389.48	-0.9%	+1.2%	-3.8%	-9.5%	BELOW	2

Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AVGO	$192.50	+8.6%	+4.1%	-13.3%	-16.1%	BELOW	0
ARM	$125.55	+6.5%	+3.7%	-22.7%	-1.0%	BELOW	0
QCOM	$156.95	+3.3%	+5.5%	-3.5%	+2.4%	BELOW	0
AMD	$100.31	+1.5%	+2.1%	-6.7%	-19.5%	BELOW	0
TSM	$173.85	+0.7%	+2.4%	-14.1%	-14.6%	BELOW	0
INTC	$20.64	-0.5%	-9.2%	+8.1%	+2.2%	BELOW	5
MRVL	$70.55	-2.0%	-17.5%	-36.0%	-37.7%	BELOW	2

Infrastructure Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
VRT	$84.88	+3.7%	-0.4%	-29.9%	-27.8%	BELOW	0
SMCI	$38.24	+3.2%	+6.0%	+5.4%	+18.0%	ABOVE	0
CSCO	$61.86	+0.8%	+0.7%	+2.7%	+9.1%	ABOVE	0
DELL	$89.52	-1.7%	-4.3%	-14.0%	-22.7%	BELOW	2
HPE	$15.25	-12.0%	-16.9%	-25.7%	-27.5%	BELOW	2

Enterprise Software Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
PLTR	$84.91	+5.5%	+1.8%	-23.4%	+5.2%	BELOW	0
ADBE	$449.40	+1.0%	+2.0%	+3.8%	+0.6%	ABOVE	0
CRM	$279.63	-1.1%	-3.5%	-13.2%	-17.5%	BELOW	2
NOW	$170.13	-1.9%	-6.6%	-15.6%	-21.8%	BELOW	2

Finance Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GS	$545.90	-1.4%	-7.5%	-14.2%	-1.5%	BELOW	2
JPM	$235.14	-1.7%	-7.0%	-12.2%	+2.2%	BELOW	2

Healthcare Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UNH	$475.19	+1.2%	+5.7%	-6.4%	-2.5%	BELOW	0
LLY	$861.71	-4.7%	-6.5%	-0.8%	+9.4%	ABOVE	2

Retail Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
WMT	$90.49	-3.1%	-6.0%	-9.3%	+1.5%	BELOW	2
COST	$957.66	-6.1%	-7.9%	-7.6%	+1.6%	BELOW	2

IT Services Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
IBM	$253.33	+5.2%	+4.5%	+4.3%	+18.6%	ABOVE	0
ACN	$331.96	+0.1%	-0.8%	-11.3%	-4.2%	BELOW	0

Airlines Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DAL	$52.36	-3.1%	-8.8%	-21.6%	-13.2%	BELOW	2
UAL	$82.88	-3.9%	-9.6%	-24.0%	-16.7%	BELOW	2

Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MAR	$259.78	+0.0%	-5.4%	-13.4%	-7.2%	BELOW	0
BKNG	$185.05	-0.3%	-5.3%	-4.2%	-7.5%	BELOW	2

Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MCD	$311.91	+3.5%	+5.6%	+9.8%	+10.9%	ABOVE	0
SBUX	$103.02	+1.0%	-7.7%	-4.6%	+22.4%	ABOVE	0

Logistics Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
FDX	$198.33	+1.7%	-1.9%	-0.8%	-5.6%	BELOW	0
UPS	$111.95	+0.9%	+2.0%	+9.1%	-1.9%	ABOVE	0

Industrial Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CAT	$344.89	+2.7%	+5.5%	-3.7%	-3.8%	BELOW	0
HON	$206.46	+1.5%	+1.2%	+4.9%	-5.1%	BELOW	0

Cybersecurity Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ZS	$208.76	+3.3%	+10.6%	+1.6%	+12.3%	ABOVE	0
PANW	$180.93	+0.9%	-1.5%	-6.7%	-3.9%	BELOW	0
CRWD	$83.38	-4.1%	-12.9%	-20.9%	-7.7%	BELOW	3

Chip Equipment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
LRCX	$78.38	+3.3%	+4.6%	-3.7%	+7.4%	ABOVE
AMAT	$154.11	+2.7%	+2.3%	-13.3%	-6.8%	BELOW
ASML	$724.28	+2.4%	+4.6%	+0.8%	+1.8%	ABOVE

Data Center REITs Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DLR	$142.78	+0.5%	-4.0%	-11.2%	-16.4%	BELOW	0
EQIX	$835.91	-1.4%	-5.6%	-7.4%	-8.0%	BELOW	2

Utilities Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
NEE	$70.21	+4.0%	+1.7%	+7.6%	+1.3%	ABOVE
SO	$87.77	+3.0%	+0.6%	+9.0%	+11.0%	ABOVE
DUK	$111.78	+1.7%	-1.6%	+2.5%	+8.5%	ABOVE

Energy Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CVX	$148.25	+2.2%	+2.1%	+3.6%	+10.6%	ABOVE	0
XOM	$104.69	+1.3%	+1.2%	+1.0%	+3.5%	ABOVE	0

Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
GD	$264.03	+2.6%	+6.9%	+6.6%	+2.9%	ABOVE
LMT	$458.06	+2.6%	+4.8%	+7.4%	-1.9%	ABOVE
RTX	$125.74	+0.1%	-4.1%	+0.9%	+10.6%	ABOVE

Telecom Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
VZ	$41.76	+4.1%	+5.0%	+15.5%	+17.4%	ABOVE
T	$25.37	+1.5%	-2.2%	+10.5%	+20.2%	ABOVE
TMUS	$259.38	+0.9%	-2.8%	+8.1%	+20.1%	ABOVE

Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DIS	$103.56	+0.1%	-6.5%	-4.8%	-5.3%	BELOW	0
NFLX	$89.11	-1.7%	-8.5%	-12.1%	-2.2%	BELOW	2

Biotech Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMGN	$312.62	+2.2%	+4.5%	+11.6%	+24.0%	ABOVE	0
GILD	$112.83	+1.2%	+1.2%	+22.3%	+25.7%	ABOVE	0

Materials Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
APD	$304.38	+1.8%	+1.9%	+1.9%	+8.4%	ABOVE	0
LIN	$459.54	+0.6%	+1.4%	+3.0%	+11.0%	ABOVE	0

Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MCHP	$57.74	+2.6%	+3.1%	+16.1%	+4.1%	ABOVE	0
TXN	$183.75	+0.6%	-2.0%	+5.8%	+0.9%	ABOVE	0

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) (Infrastructure) fell 12.0% to $15.25. Broadcom (AVGO) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 8.6% to $192.50. ARM Holdings (ARM) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 6.5% to $125.55. Costco (COST) (Retail) fell 6.1% to $957.66. Palantir (PLTR) (Enterprise Software) rose 5.5% to $84.91. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 8 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Market breadth shows 15 sectors up and 7 down today, but only 9 sectors trading above their 50MA while 15 sit below, a cautionary 50-day leadership picture for the S&P 500. Active alerts remain elevated — multiple [HIGH] flags on Mag 7, Chip Supply Chain, Infrastructure and Enterprise Software — and 12 sectors are down more than 5% over 20 days, signaling risk-off in economically sensitive and AI-exposed pockets. Positioning should be selective: trim cyclical exposure where 50-day trends are negative, favor high-conviction chip-supply names showing technical recovery, and keep portfolio hedges for continued dispersion across sectors.

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