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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Tuesday, March 18, 2025 Sectors: BEARISH

The US stock market opened on a risk-off note as the Magnificent 7 showed broad weakness, pressuring the S&P 500 after NVDA-led AI names extended a multi-week pullback. Mag 7 (AI Spenders) were down 2.6% today and are -17.2% over 20 days, with Meta (META) slipping 3.7% to $580.01 and Tesla (TSLA) tumbling 5.3% to $225.31 after heavy profit-taking. Defensive pockets held up: Telecom gained 0.2% led by Verizon (VZ) at $40.10 (+1.3%) and Energy climbed 0.6% with Chevron (CVX) at $152.49 (+1.3%). Breadth was weak with 18 sectors lower and just 5 above their 50-day moving averages, driving intra-day rotation away from AI and infrastructure-heavy exposures.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.29%
falling
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$66.90
-1.0% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Elevated Caution
21.7
+5.8% 1D
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Strong Cash-Deploy Signal
28%
19 of 68 above 50DMA · +1.5pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Heatmap (1D)

Energy +0.61%
Defense & Aerospace +0.57%
Logistics +0.44%
Healthcare +0.34%
Finance +0.26%
Telecom +0.24%
Food & Restaurant -0.46%
Materials -0.60%
Cybersecurity -0.67%
Biotech -0.67%
Memory & Storage -0.74%
Utilities -0.78%
Chip Equipment -0.88%
EDA & Semiconductor IP -1.02%
Industrial -1.03%
Media & Entertainment -1.06%
Analog & Embedded Chips -1.14%
AI Networking & Interconnect -1.15%
Chip Supply Chain -1.43%
IT Services -1.44%
Data Center REITs -1.98%
Retail -2.08%
Enterprise Software -2.23%
AI Power & Grid -2.52%
Hospitality & Travel -2.56%
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -2.61%
Airlines -2.78%
Infrastructure -3.24%
≤-3%0≥+3%

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme faces renewed volatility as the Magnificent 7 retreat from recent highs: NVIDIA (NVDA) traded at $115.27 (-3.4%) and is now -20.1% from its 50-day average, while Microsoft (MSFT) at $379.78 (-1.3%) sits -9.2% from its 50-day. Weakness in the Chip Supply Chain and Infrastructure groups — both flagged as high alerts down -15.9% and -22.6% over 20 days respectively — underscores short-term demand concerns for accelerators and datacenter spending. Enterprise Software remains under pressure, making selective exposure to proven AI infrastructure plays and diversified software franchises preferable to broad Mag 7 momentum chasing.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -2.6% -3.4% -17.2% BELOW
Chip Supply Chain -1.4% +3.9% -14.8% BELOW
Memory & Storage -0.7% +5.9% -2.9% BELOW
EDA & Semiconductor IP -1.0% +5.3% -13.5% BELOW
Infrastructure -3.2% -0.9% -22.6% BELOW
AI Networking & Interconnect -1.2% +1.2% -17.3% BELOW
Enterprise Software -2.2% -3.0% -17.4% BELOW
Finance +0.3% +3.1% -16.4% BELOW
Healthcare +0.3% +2.4% -3.1% BELOW
Retail -2.1% -1.3% -16.6% BELOW
IT Services -1.4% -0.6% -11.8% BELOW
Airlines -2.8% -0.1% -31.1% BELOW
Hospitality & Travel -2.6% +0.1% -14.3% BELOW
Food & Restaurant -0.5% +0.5% -5.8% BELOW
Logistics +0.4% +2.0% -2.0% BELOW
Industrial -1.0% +0.6% -2.3% BELOW
Cybersecurity -0.7% +2.9% -12.1% BELOW
Chip Equipment -0.9% +3.1% -8.3% BELOW
Data Center REITs -2.0% -1.4% -10.8% BELOW
AI Power & Grid -2.5% +2.4% -18.3% BELOW
Utilities -0.8% +0.7% +5.2% ABOVE
Energy +0.6% +4.7% +2.7% ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace +0.6% +2.8% +8.4% ABOVE
Telecom +0.2% +3.1% +2.0% ABOVE
Media & Entertainment -1.1% +0.9% -10.8% BELOW
Biotech -0.7% -0.3% +5.7% ABOVE
Materials -0.6% +0.7% -4.0% BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips -1.1% +2.6% -11.9% BELOW

Sector Strength

Energy +0.6% 20d: +2.7%
Chevron (CVX) +1.3% (20d: +2.3%), Exxon Mobil (XOM) -0.1% (20d: +3.0%)
Defense & Aerospace +0.6% 20d: +8.4%
General Dynamics (GD) +0.9% (20d: +9.6%), RTX Corp (RTX) +0.5% (20d: +6.3%), Lockheed Martin (LMT) +0.4% (20d: +9.2%)
Logistics +0.4% 20d: -2.0%
United Parcel Service (UPS) +0.7% (20d: +3.4%) [<50MA], FedEx (FDX) +0.2% (20d: -7.4%) [<50MA]
Healthcare +0.3% 20d: -3.1%
UnitedHealth (UNH) +1.0% (20d: -1.0%) [<50MA], Eli Lilly (LLY) -0.3% (20d: -5.1%) [<50MA]
Finance +0.3% 20d: -16.4%
JPMorgan (JPM) +0.4% (20d: -15.9%) [<50MA], Goldman Sachs (GS) +0.1% (20d: -17.0%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Infrastructure -3.2% 20d: -22.6% CRITICAL
Super Micro (SMCI) -9.6% (20d: -37.1%) [<50MA], Vertiv (VRT) -4.9% (20d: -21.5%) [<50MA], Dell (DELL) -1.2% (20d: -20.3%) [<50MA]
Airlines -2.8% 20d: -31.1% CRITICAL
United (UAL) -3.5% (20d: -33.0%) [<50MA], Delta (DAL) -2.1% (20d: -29.2%) [<50MA]
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -2.6% 20d: -17.2% CRITICAL
Tesla (TSLA) -5.3% (20d: -37.5%) [<50MA], Meta (META) -3.7% (20d: -17.2%) [<50MA], NVIDIA (NVDA) -3.4% (20d: -17.1%) [<50MA]
Hospitality & Travel -2.6% 20d: -14.3% CRITICAL
Marriott (MAR) -3.1% (20d: -16.2%) [<50MA], Booking (BKNG) -2.0% (20d: -12.3%) [<50MA]
AI Power & Grid -2.5% 20d: -18.3% CRITICAL
GE Vernova (GEV) -3.9% (20d: -15.0%) [<50MA], Constellation Energy (CEG) -3.5% (20d: -34.3%) [<50MA], Eaton (ETN) -2.2% (20d: -5.7%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Infrastructure struggled as investors pared cyclicals and hardware bets; Infrastructure averaged -3.2% today and is down -22.6% over 20 days, well below its 50-day trend. Super Micro (SMCI) was a standout loser, falling 9.6% to $37.90 and reflecting the 50-day weakness that characterizes the group. Vertiv (VRT) dropped 4.9% to $84.54, and both names illustrate a 50-day context that has shifted from supply-led optimism to demand skepticism across datacenter hardware.

Chip Supply Chain weakness continued with the group down -1.4% on the day and -15.9% over 20 days, signaling stress in semiconductor equipment and component demand. Intel (INTC) bucked the intra-sector trend, rising 0.9% to $25.92, but the overall 50-day picture remains negative as chip-equipment and support stocks lag; Chip Equipment is below its 50-day, and Analog & Embedded Chips show a -5.2% 50-day placement. The 50-day decline across the supply chain increases downside risk for smaller-cap tooling and materials plays.

Enterprise Software posted a sharp sell-off, sliding -2.1% today and down -17.4% over 20 days, leaving the sector well below its 50-day moving average. Palantir (PLTR) led losers, down 4.0% to $83.89, and the group's 50-day context points to a meaningful re-rating as subscription growth concerns and margin scrutiny accelerate. With IT Services also below the 50-day, software buyers should prioritize names showing durable ARR growth and margin convergence rather than high multiple, growth-only stories.

Defense & Aerospace offered relative safety with a +0.6% print and a 50-day-position above trend (+5.1%), as investors rotated into defense spending beneficiaries. General Dynamics (GD) gained 0.9% to $260.10, reflecting the sector's resilience versus broader cyclicals. The sector’s outperformance inside the 50-day window indicates tactical sheltering by allocators amid tech-led volatility and reinforces the role of quality industrials in mixed market environments.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 5 of 28 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 23 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 23 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500, NASDAQ 100 & Dow Jones (%)

Green shading marks breadth-below-50% regimes: BUY at the 5th session (vertical line on the fire day), STRONG at the 10th (darker). A 3rd day back above 50% ends the regime; tolerated recovery days still count toward the session total. Research display only — not investment advice.

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Mag 7 (AI Spenders) down -17.2% over 20 days
HIGH Chip Supply Chain down -14.8% over 20 days
HIGH EDA & Semiconductor IP down -13.5% over 20 days
HIGH Infrastructure down -22.6% over 20 days
HIGH AI Networking & Interconnect down -17.3% over 20 days
HIGH Enterprise Software down -17.4% over 20 days
HIGH Finance down -16.4% over 20 days
HIGH Retail down -16.6% over 20 days
HIGH IT Services down -11.8% over 20 days
HIGH Airlines down -31.1% over 20 days
HIGH Hospitality & Travel down -14.3% over 20 days
HIGH Cybersecurity down -12.1% over 20 days
HIGH Data Center REITs down -10.8% over 20 days
HIGH AI Power & Grid down -18.3% over 20 days
HIGH Media & Entertainment down -10.8% over 20 days
HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -11.9% over 20 days
HIGH Mag 7 (AI Spenders) down -17.2% over 50 days
HIGH AI Networking & Interconnect down -24.7% over 50 days
HIGH Airlines down -23.7% over 50 days
HIGH AI Power & Grid down -16.8% over 50 days
HIGH 18 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Mag 7 (AI Spenders), Chip Supply Chain, EDA & Semiconductor IP, Infrastructure, AI Networking & Interconnect, Enterprise Software, Finance, Retail, IT Services, Airlines, Hospitality & Travel, Food & Restaurant, Cybersecurity, Chip Equipment, Data Center REITs, AI Power & Grid, Media & Entertainment, Analog & Embedded Chips
HIGH 10 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Mag 7 (AI Spenders), Chip Supply Chain, EDA & Semiconductor IP, Infrastructure, AI Networking & Interconnect, Enterprise Software, Airlines, Hospitality & Travel, Data Center REITs, AI Power & Grid
MEDIUM NVDA down -17.6% from 20-day high
MEDIUM META down -17.2% from 20-day high
MEDIUM TSLA down -37.5% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AAPL $211.39 -0.6% -2.0% -13.1% -12.5% BELOW 1
MSFT $379.07 -1.3% +0.1% -7.3% -9.2% BELOW 1
AMZN $192.82 -1.5% -3.1% -14.9% -14.0% BELOW 2
GOOG $162.01 -2.3% -3.7% -13.0% -15.7% BELOW 2
NVDA $115.27 -3.4% -0.3% -17.1% -20.1% BELOW 2
META $580.01 -3.7% -5.9% -17.2% -3.6% BELOW 2
TSLA $225.31 -5.3% -9.2% -37.5% -45.1% BELOW 2
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
INTC $25.92 +0.9% +25.3% +0.8% +26.1% ABOVE 0
AMD $103.51 -1.0% +2.7% -9.7% -17.4% BELOW 1
QCOM $152.15 -1.1% +2.3% -10.3% -0.4% BELOW 1
TSM $170.61 -1.4% -1.9% -13.5% -16.7% BELOW 1
AVGO $186.29 -3.0% -2.9% -17.5% -18.9% BELOW 2
MRVL $68.00 -3.0% -2.2% -38.5% -42.2% BELOW 1
Memory & Storage Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SNDK $56.42 +1.4% +11.9% +22.7% N/A N/A 0
WDC $44.14 -0.9% +3.2% -18.0% -8.4% BELOW 1
MU $101.33 -1.3% +6.4% -2.5% +13.2% ABOVE 1
STX $86.74 -2.1% +2.2% -13.9% -0.6% BELOW 1
EDA & Semiconductor IP Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CDNS $253.88 -0.5% +6.1% -7.4% -16.4% BELOW 1
SNPS $447.99 -1.2% +3.6% -10.6% -9.3% BELOW 1
ARM $119.72 -1.4% +6.2% -22.4% -15.1% BELOW 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HPE $15.37 +0.6% +5.6% -27.1% -27.0% BELOW 0
CSCO $58.33 -1.0% -0.3% -7.0% +2.4% BELOW 1
DELL $94.23 -1.2% +2.0% -20.3% -19.3% BELOW 1
VRT $84.54 -4.9% -0.8% -21.5% -32.6% BELOW 1
SMCI $37.90 -9.6% -10.8% -37.1% +13.7% BELOW 2
AI Networking & Interconnect Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APH $63.31 +0.2% +1.9% -8.3% -8.7% BELOW 0
ANET $83.99 -1.3% +4.7% -19.2% -27.1% BELOW 1
COHR $65.38 -2.4% -2.9% -24.3% -38.5% BELOW 1
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CRM $275.52 -0.7% -2.1% -14.1% -16.3% BELOW 1
NOW $166.00 -1.5% -1.6% -15.9% -22.7% BELOW 2
ADBE $391.37 -2.0% -10.8% -14.4% -9.1% BELOW 1
ORCL $146.92 -3.0% -1.0% -17.7% -9.9% BELOW 1
PLTR $83.89 -4.0% +0.3% -25.1% +5.0% BELOW 1
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $228.05 +0.4% +3.1% -15.9% -2.9% BELOW 0
GS $538.21 +0.1% +3.0% -17.0% -4.4% BELOW 0
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UNH $487.20 +1.0% +4.7% -1.0% -1.4% BELOW 0
LLY $813.90 -0.3% +0.1% -5.1% +5.4% BELOW 1
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
COST $890.45 -2.0% -3.1% -15.5% -1.9% BELOW 1
WMT $84.24 -2.1% +0.5% -17.7% -5.7% BELOW 1
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $314.39 -0.5% -0.1% -17.0% -8.0% BELOW 1
IBM $237.50 -2.4% -1.1% -6.6% +11.7% ABOVE 1
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DAL $45.13 -2.1% +1.4% -29.2% -22.0% BELOW 1
UAL $71.34 -3.5% -1.5% -33.0% -25.4% BELOW 1
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
BKNG $177.05 -2.0% +1.6% -12.3% -8.6% BELOW 1
MAR $237.19 -3.1% -1.4% -16.2% -12.5% BELOW 1
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $294.74 -0.1% +1.4% +1.1% +3.6% ABOVE 1
SBUX $94.54 -0.8% -0.4% -12.6% +6.7% BELOW 1
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UPS $107.69 +0.7% +3.1% +3.4% -2.6% BELOW 0
FDX $193.04 +0.2% +0.9% -7.4% -9.9% BELOW 0
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HON $201.26 -0.3% +1.6% +0.0% -6.9% BELOW 1
CAT $330.89 -1.7% -0.4% -4.6% -7.1% BELOW 1
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CRWD $90.79 -0.5% +4.7% -19.3% +1.2% BELOW 1
ZS $201.59 -0.5% +1.9% -6.1% +8.5% ABOVE 1
PANW $183.10 -1.0% +2.0% -10.8% -0.1% BELOW 1
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ASML $722.25 +0.1% +3.9% -1.8% +2.6% ABOVE 0
KLAC $70.30 -1.2% +4.4% -8.2% +8.3% BELOW 1
LRCX $76.74 -1.2% +1.0% -11.5% +3.3% BELOW 2
AMAT $151.80 -1.3% +3.0% -11.6% -9.5% BELOW 2
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $814.26 -1.9% -1.6% -10.0% -11.9% BELOW 1
DLR $143.49 -2.1% -1.2% -11.6% -17.5% BELOW 1
AI Power & Grid Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VST $123.44 -1.4% +2.1% -26.5% -23.3% BELOW 1
PWR $262.97 -1.5% +5.7% -9.8% -19.3% BELOW 1
ETN $285.61 -2.2% -0.5% -5.7% -14.9% BELOW 1
CEG $209.14 -3.5% -2.1% -34.3% -16.3% BELOW 1
GEV $317.83 -3.9% +6.8% -15.0% -9.9% BELOW 1
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DUK $114.62 -0.0% +3.5% +8.0% +13.1% ABOVE 1
SO $85.94 -0.3% +1.7% +4.3% +10.5% ABOVE 1
NEE $68.16 -2.0% -3.0% +3.2% -1.0% ABOVE 2
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $151.17 +1.3% +5.3% +2.3% +10.0% ABOVE 0
XOM $108.42 -0.1% +4.1% +3.0% +6.3% ABOVE 1
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GD $260.10 +0.9% +2.9% +9.6% +2.1% ABOVE 0
RTX $129.52 +0.5% +3.7% +6.3% +15.1% ABOVE 0
LMT $453.83 +0.4% +1.7% +9.2% -1.9% ABOVE 0
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VZ $40.10 +1.3% +3.9% +5.3% +11.8% ABOVE 0
TMUS $254.97 +0.2% +2.0% -0.7% +19.4% ABOVE 0
T $24.90 -0.8% +3.5% +1.4% +18.9% ABOVE 1
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $97.52 -0.0% +0.6% -10.8% -10.6% BELOW 1
NFLX $93.00 -2.1% +1.1% -10.9% +5.6% BELOW 1
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMGN $304.86 +0.5% +2.0% +8.3% +23.0% ABOVE 0
GILD $106.67 -1.8% -2.6% +3.1% +21.4% ABOVE 1
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LIN $453.15 +0.1% +2.5% +0.0% +11.8% ABOVE 0
APD $280.73 -1.3% -1.0% -8.0% +2.8% BELOW 1
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $172.20 -0.3% +2.1% -8.6% -5.1% BELOW 1
ADI $205.45 -1.2% +1.2% -13.1% -2.5% BELOW 1
MCHP $52.05 -1.9% +4.4% -14.1% -5.3% BELOW 1

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) fell 9.6% to $37.90. Tesla (TSLA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) fell 5.3% to $225.31. Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) fell 4.9% to $84.54. Palantir (PLTR) (Enterprise Software) fell 4.0% to $83.89. GE Vernova (GEV) (AI Power & Grid) fell 3.9% to $317.83. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 22 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Near-term outlook remains cautious: active alerts show 15 sectors down more than 5% over 20 days and 7 sectors down over 10% across 50 days, while only 5 of 24 sectors trade above their 50-day moving average. Breadth metrics and the concentration of Mag 7 weakness argue for defensive positioning — trim high-beta AI-exposure and add quality earnings growers and select defensives such as Telecom and Defense & Aerospace that are holding above 50MA. Monitor alert counts for the Mag 7 and Chip Supply Chain, and favor incremental, risk-managed deployments where 50-day trends begin to flatten or reverse.

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