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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Friday, June 13, 2025 BEARISH

The US stock market opened under pressure as a fresh sector-level alert landed on Healthcare, which sits down 19.0% over the 50-day window and weighed on risk appetite. Defensive flows supported Defense & Aerospace, where Lockheed Martin (LMT) jumped 3.7% and RTX Corp (RTX) added 3.3% after strength in contractor order chatter, while Energy names like Exxon Mobil (XOM) rose 2.2% amid oil-led commodity strength. Broad weakness left just 3 sectors up versus 21 down, and the Magnificent 7 group was mixed with NVIDIA (NVDA) -2.1% and Microsoft (MSFT) -0.8% trailing sector losses. Market breadth remains tilted toward the large-cap leadership but with pockets of dispersion across cyclicals and tech supply chains.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.41%
rising
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$72.98
+7.3% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Elevated Caution
20.8
+15.5% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Mixed Signals
1/3 below
SPY above (+3.5%), QQQ above (+5.9%), DIA below (-0.1%)
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Late-Cycle Caution
85%
58 of 68 above 50DMA · -2.9pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

AI demand still underpins the Mag 7-led narrative even as near-term profit-taking shows up in chip and infrastructure suppliers. NVIDIA (NVDA) $141.78 and Microsoft (MSFT) $471.20 remain central to the theme with NVDA's 50-day up 39.5% and MSFT's 50-day up 27.5%, while Alphabet (GOOG) $175.38 and Amazon (AMZN) $212.10 keep enterprise ad and cloud spend as durable tails. Pressure in Analog & Embedded Chips and Chip Supply Chain names suggests investors are paring near-term inventory and capex exposure even as enterprise software and data-center buildouts support a longer runway for AI infrastructure.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -0.7% -0.3% +1.5% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain -2.6% -1.1% +2.4% ABOVE
Infrastructure -3.0% -3.0% -1.8% ABOVE
Enterprise Software -2.2% -2.7% -4.1% ABOVE
Finance -1.5% -0.3% -0.7% ABOVE
Healthcare -0.3% +4.7% +7.8% BELOW
Retail -0.8% -2.3% -3.7% BELOW
IT Services -1.7% +0.2% +1.0% ABOVE
Airlines -4.1% -9.7% -6.3% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel -3.1% -4.2% -3.3% ABOVE
Food & Restaurant -0.8% +1.0% +2.1% BELOW
Logistics -0.6% +0.8% -1.0% ABOVE
Industrial -0.9% -0.8% +0.8% ABOVE
Cybersecurity -0.3% +1.4% +10.4% ABOVE
Chip Equipment -2.7% +0.2% +3.7% ABOVE
Data Center REITs -0.5% -1.1% +2.9% ABOVE
Utilities +0.3% +2.4% +1.2% ABOVE
Energy +1.4% +5.2% +3.8% ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace +2.7% +2.2% +4.5% ABOVE
Telecom -0.3% -1.5% -2.1% BELOW
Media & Entertainment -0.4% +0.5% +2.9% ABOVE
Biotech -0.9% -0.1% +8.2% ABOVE
Materials -1.0% -0.6% +1.3% ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips -2.8% -2.8% +5.8% ABOVE

Sector Strength

Defense & Aerospace +2.7% 20d: +4.5%
Lockheed Martin (LMT) +3.7% (20d: +4.6%), RTX Corp (RTX) +3.3% (20d: +8.1%), General Dynamics (GD) +1.1% (20d: +0.8%)
Energy +1.4% 20d: +3.8%
Exxon Mobil (XOM) +2.2% (20d: +3.6%), Chevron (CVX) +0.6% (20d: +3.9%)
Utilities +0.3% 20d: +1.2%
NextEra Energy (NEE) +1.3% (20d: +0.5%), Southern Co (SO) -0.0% (20d: +2.7%), Duke Energy (DUK) -0.4% (20d: +0.5%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Airlines -4.1% 20d: -6.3%
United (UAL) -4.4% (20d: -5.0%), Delta (DAL) -3.8% (20d: -7.6%)
Hospitality & Travel -3.1% 20d: -3.3%
Marriott (MAR) -3.1% (20d: -6.4%), Booking (BKNG) -3.0% (20d: -0.2%)
Infrastructure -3.0% 20d: -1.8%
Super Micro (SMCI) -4.2% (20d: -9.9%), Dell (DELL) -3.4% (20d: -4.1%), Vertiv (VRT) -3.1% (20d: +4.6%)
Analog & Embedded Chips -2.8% 20d: +5.8%
Microchip Technology (MCHP) -3.2% (20d: +8.2%), Texas Instruments (TXN) -2.3% (20d: +3.4%)
Chip Equipment -2.7% 20d: +3.7%
ASML -3.2% (20d: +1.7%), Applied Materials (AMAT) -2.5% (20d: +3.3%), Lam Research (LRCX) -2.3% (20d: +6.0%)

Sector Deep Dive

Defense & Aerospace stands out today, led by Lockheed Martin (LMT) $473.67, which climbed 3.7% and sits well above its 50-day trend as investors favor defense spending visibility. RTX Corp (RTX) $143.40 rose 3.3% and the sector average gained 2.7% on the day, reflecting a 50-day context of outperformance versus broader industrials. Over the past 50 trading days the sector has held a constructive pattern, and strength in prime contractors is consistent with rotation into defensive, cash-flow-stable names.

Analog & Embedded Chips and the broader Chip Supply Chain showed notable softness as Marvell (MRVL) $66.99 slid 3.5% and the Analog & Embedded Chips sector fell 2.8% on the day. Despite the 1-day weakness, Analog & Embedded Chips remain well above their 50-day average (Analog & Embedded Chips 50d:+41.2%), indicating that today's pullback is intraday digestion within a longer uptrend. Supply-chain-sensitive names are showing more volatility inside the 50-day window, signaling caution for short-term cyclical exposure.

Enterprise Software weakened with Adobe (ADBE) $391.68 dropping 5.3% and dragging the sector down 2.2% on the session; Palantir (PLTR) $137.40 bucked the trend, rising 1.6% amid mixed earnings reactions. Enterprise Software's 50-day context remains positive (Enterprise Software 50d:+25.0%), but 20-day performance is negative, highlighting near-term profit-taking despite a stronger medium-term trend. Investors should watch 50-day support levels on large-cap software names for signs the sector resumes leadership versus the Mag 7.

Airlines and Travel are under renewed pressure, with United (UAL) $74.00 down 4.4% and Delta (DAL) $46.37 down 3.8%, leaving the Airlines sector off 4.1% for the day. Airlines still sit above their 50-day average (Airlines 50d:+22.4%), but the steep 5-day and 20-day pullbacks indicate a short-term reset inside a broader uptrend. This pattern suggests traders are trimming cyclical exposures while holding longer-term positions for summer demand recovery.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 20 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 4 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 16 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Healthcare down -19.0% over 50 days

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TSLA $325.31 +1.9% +5.4% -7.0% +21.7% ABOVE 0
AMZN $212.10 -0.5% -2.2% +3.2% +18.9% ABOVE 1
GOOG $175.38 -0.6% -1.0% +5.2% +15.4% ABOVE 3
MSFT $471.20 -0.8% +0.5% +4.6% +27.5% ABOVE 1
AAPL $195.67 -1.4% -2.5% -7.0% -3.2% BELOW 1
META $680.12 -1.5% -1.6% +6.6% +28.5% ABOVE 3
NVDA $141.78 -2.1% -0.5% +4.9% +39.5% ABOVE 1
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMD $116.16 -2.0% -4.6% -0.9% +23.8% ABOVE 3
TSM $208.79 -2.0% +2.4% +9.1% +34.6% ABOVE 1
ARM $135.55 -2.2% -2.2% -0.3% +38.7% ABOVE 3
QCOM $151.53 -2.5% -0.4% +2.1% +11.6% ABOVE 2
AVGO $246.31 -2.9% +1.8% +8.8% +61.5% ABOVE 1
INTC $20.14 -3.0% -1.7% -7.0% -10.2% BELOW 1
MRVL $66.99 -3.5% -2.8% +5.4% +20.9% ABOVE 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CSCO $62.41 -1.6% -2.7% +0.7% +11.8% ABOVE 1
HPE $17.16 -2.6% -3.6% -0.6% +29.0% ABOVE 3
VRT $110.81 -3.1% -0.9% +4.6% +64.5% ABOVE 1
DELL $107.92 -3.4% -4.1% -4.1% +42.8% ABOVE 1
SMCI $41.56 -4.2% -3.6% -9.9% +28.6% ABOVE 1
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PLTR $137.40 +1.6% +4.0% +6.1% +64.4% ABOVE 0
NOW $197.73 -1.9% -3.7% -5.0% +27.7% ABOVE 1
CRM $255.83 -3.2% -5.1% -11.2% +1.4% BELOW 1
ADBE $391.68 -5.3% -5.9% -6.1% +6.7% ABOVE 1
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $258.73 -1.2% -0.7% -1.0% +16.6% ABOVE 1
GS $601.43 -1.9% +0.0% -0.4% +20.6% ABOVE 1
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LLY $813.60 +0.9% +5.9% +8.2% +4.0% ABOVE 0
UNH $303.20 -1.6% +3.4% +7.4% -42.0% BELOW 1
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $93.66 -0.4% -3.1% -3.9% +8.5% BELOW 8
COST $984.67 -1.2% -1.6% -3.5% +2.5% BELOW 1
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
IBM $270.31 -1.4% +1.9% +3.9% +14.6% ABOVE 2
ACN $303.90 -2.0% -1.6% -1.9% +3.9% ABOVE 3
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DAL $46.37 -3.8% -8.1% -7.6% +21.9% ABOVE 3
UAL $74.00 -4.4% -11.3% -5.0% +22.9% ABOVE 5
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
BKNG $210.16 -3.0% -4.4% -0.2% +19.3% ABOVE 5
MAR $252.75 -3.1% -4.1% -6.4% +13.8% ABOVE 3
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $294.76 -0.4% -0.9% -4.7% -4.6% BELOW 1
SBUX $90.86 -1.1% +2.9% +9.0% +6.4% ABOVE 2
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $176.21 -0.3% +1.0% -2.2% +3.9% ABOVE 1
UPS $93.57 -0.9% +0.7% +0.3% +1.5% ABOVE 3
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HON $216.97 -0.8% -1.3% +0.6% +9.1% ABOVE 1
CAT $353.23 -1.1% -0.3% +1.0% +17.3% ABOVE 2
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ZS $301.95 +0.2% +0.7% +20.1% +57.1% ABOVE 0
CRWD $120.15 -0.2% +3.5% +9.4% +38.4% ABOVE 1
PANW $196.27 -0.7% -0.0% +1.7% +18.8% ABOVE 1
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LRCX $88.81 -2.3% +1.4% +6.0% +37.3% ABOVE 1
AMAT $169.35 -2.5% +0.5% +3.3% +26.2% ABOVE 1
ASML $755.08 -3.2% -1.2% +1.7% +22.5% ABOVE 1
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $872.79 -0.4% -1.6% +2.5% +12.0% ABOVE 1
DLR $169.57 -0.5% -0.6% +3.3% +24.5% ABOVE 1
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NEE $72.68 +1.3% +4.0% +0.5% +4.5% ABOVE 0
SO $87.49 -0.0% +2.1% +2.7% -1.6% ABOVE 1
DUK $112.91 -0.4% +1.2% +0.5% -4.9% BELOW 1
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
XOM $108.66 +2.2% +6.8% +3.6% +0.6% ABOVE 0
CVX $140.04 +0.6% +3.7% +3.9% -5.4% ABOVE 0
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LMT $473.67 +3.7% +1.2% +4.6% +7.7% ABOVE 0
RTX $143.40 +3.3% +3.3% +8.1% +12.4% ABOVE 0
GD $276.67 +1.1% +2.1% +0.8% +5.5% ABOVE 0
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
T $26.65 -0.3% +1.2% +1.7% -0.4% ABOVE 3
TMUS $223.78 -0.3% -4.2% -5.7% -14.6% BELOW 5
VZ $39.62 -0.3% -1.5% -2.2% -4.2% BELOW 3
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NFLX $121.21 -0.2% -1.0% +1.7% +32.2% ABOVE 2
DIS $115.76 -0.6% +2.0% +4.0% +32.8% ABOVE 2
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMGN $286.61 -0.7% +1.8% +8.4% -3.9% ABOVE 1
GILD $107.19 -1.2% -2.0% +8.1% -1.4% ABOVE 1
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LIN $459.79 -1.0% -1.3% +2.1% +0.1% ABOVE 1
APD $271.36 -1.0% +0.2% +0.5% -1.0% ABOVE 1
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $189.68 -2.3% -2.1% +3.4% +19.8% ABOVE 3
MCHP $63.99 -3.2% -3.4% +8.2% +62.7% ABOVE 2

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Adobe (ADBE) (Enterprise Software) fell 5.3% to $391.68. United (UAL) (Airlines) fell 4.4% to $74.00. Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) fell 4.2% to $41.56. Delta (DAL) (Airlines) fell 3.8% to $46.37. Lockheed Martin (LMT) (Defense & Aerospace) rose 3.7% to $473.67. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 1 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

With 20 sectors above their 50MA and 4 below, market structure retains a constructive 50-day bias even as only 3 sectors gained today and active alerts flagged Healthcare as a high concern. Breadth metrics show selective weakness — sector counts up/down were 3/21 — so positioning should favor quality growth names with clear 50-day support and defensive cyclicals like Defense & Aerospace. Consider trimming short-term cyclical exposures where 20-day trends have rolled over and add selectively to AI infrastructure leaders on pullbacks, while monitoring the Healthcare alert for any spillover into broader risk sentiment.

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