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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Wednesday, July 02, 2025 BULLISH

Healthcare weakness dominated today’s tape after a fresh alert flagged the sector down 16.6% over the last 50 days, putting pressure on names like UnitedHealth (UNH) which slid 5.7% to $299.54. The broader US stock market still showed resilience with 14 sectors up and the S&P 500 sustained by strength in chip-related groups and infrastructure; the Mag 7 (AI Spenders) group rose 1.5% on the day. Leading individual movers included Tesla (TSLA) which jumped 5.0% to $315.65 and TSMC (TSM) which rallied 4.0% to $231.04, while Adobe (ADBE) lagged after a 3.5% drop to $378.47. Market breadth remains constructive with 18 sectors trading above their 50-day moving averages, tempering the headline health-care deterioration.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.30%
stable
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$67.45
+3.1% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
16.6
-1.1% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Bullish Trend Intact
0/3 below
SPY above (+7.2%), QQQ above (+9.8%), DIA above (+5.0%)
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Late-Cycle Caution
82%
56 of 68 above 50DMA · +1.5pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

Narrow tech leadership tied to AI spending remained a central theme as the Mag 7 (AI Spenders) advanced 1.5%, led by NVIDIA (NVDA) up 2.6% to $157.04 and Apple (AAPL) up 2.2% to $211.60, reinforcing large-cap dominance in the S&P 500. Chip supply chain and equipment groups are benefitting from durable demand signals: TSMC (TSM) gained 4.0% to $231.04 and Applied Materials (AMAT) rose 3.4% to $188.63, reflecting progress in capacity and tools spending. Enterprise software showed relative weakness on the day, highlighting a bifurcation between infrastructure-heavy AI beneficiaries and software vendors where near-term demand visibility remains mixed.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +1.5% +0.8% +4.7% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain +0.2% -1.3% +12.1% ABOVE
Infrastructure +1.8% +2.5% +11.3% ABOVE
Enterprise Software -0.9% -2.7% -1.2% BELOW
Finance +0.9% +2.7% +15.0% ABOVE
Healthcare -2.6% -0.2% +2.4% BELOW
Retail -0.5% +0.8% -4.2% BELOW
IT Services -0.7% +0.3% +1.9% BELOW
Airlines +1.8% +3.4% +0.8% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel -0.4% +2.4% +4.4% ABOVE
Food & Restaurant -0.9% +2.8% +0.7% BELOW
Logistics +1.5% +6.5% +8.5% ABOVE
Industrial +1.1% +5.0% +9.6% ABOVE
Cybersecurity +0.4% -2.0% +4.5% ABOVE
Chip Equipment +2.2% +1.9% +14.0% ABOVE
Data Center REITs +0.3% +4.1% -7.2% BELOW
Utilities -0.9% +1.5% +2.9% ABOVE
Energy +1.7% +1.7% +8.1% ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace -0.2% +1.1% +2.4% ABOVE
Telecom -1.3% +2.4% +0.8% ABOVE
Media & Entertainment -0.5% -0.2% +6.2% ABOVE
Biotech +1.0% +5.0% +3.2% ABOVE
Materials +0.9% +3.0% +2.5% ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips +2.3% +3.9% +13.1% ABOVE

Sector Strength

Analog & Embedded Chips +2.3% 20d: +13.1%
Texas Instruments (TXN) +2.4% (20d: +13.0%), Microchip Technology (MCHP) +2.1% (20d: +13.1%)
Chip Equipment +2.2% 20d: +14.0%
Applied Materials (AMAT) +3.4% (20d: +17.3%), Lam Research (LRCX) +2.1% (20d: +16.9%), ASML +1.2% (20d: +7.6%)
Infrastructure +1.8% 20d: +11.3%
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) +3.8% (20d: +20.0%), Super Micro (SMCI) +3.3% (20d: +10.4%), Vertiv (VRT) +1.5% (20d: +10.2%)
Airlines +1.8% 20d: +0.8%
Delta (DAL) +2.3% (20d: +2.3%), United (UAL) +1.2% (20d: -0.7%)
Energy +1.7% 20d: +8.1%
Exxon Mobil (XOM) +1.7% (20d: +8.6%), Chevron (CVX) +1.7% (20d: +7.7%)

Sector Warnings

Healthcare -2.6% 20d: +2.4%
UnitedHealth (UNH) -5.7% (20d: +3.1%) [<50MA], Eli Lilly (LLY) +0.4% (20d: +1.8%) [<50MA]
Telecom -1.3% 20d: +0.8%
AT&T (T) -2.0% (20d: +3.5%), T-Mobile (TMUS) -1.7% (20d: -1.9%) [<50MA], Verizon (VZ) -0.2% (20d: +0.8%)
Utilities -0.9% 20d: +2.9%
Duke Energy (DUK) -1.5% (20d: +0.9%) [<50MA], Southern Co (SO) -1.2% (20d: +3.2%), NextEra Energy (NEE) -0.1% (20d: +4.5%)
Enterprise Software -0.9% 20d: -1.2%
Adobe (ADBE) -3.5% (20d: -8.6%) [<50MA], Salesforce (CRM) -1.0% (20d: +2.5%) [<50MA], ServiceNow (NOW) -0.2% (20d: -0.3%)
Food & Restaurant -0.9% 20d: +0.7%
McDonald's (MCD) -1.0% (20d: -5.4%) [<50MA], Starbucks (SBUX) -0.8% (20d: +6.9%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain posted a modest 0.2% gain today and sits 43.6% above its 50-day moving average over the 50-day window — a clear uptrend across the half-month timeframe. TSMC (TSM) led the group higher, jumping 4.0% to $231.04 and signaling continued appetite for foundry exposure, while Marvell (MRVL) bucked the rally, down 2.6% to $74.03. Intel (INTC) was a notable laggard within the supply chain, slipping 4.2% to $21.88, but the 50-day context shows the sector broadly constructive as capacity and node transitions keep order books visible.

Chip Equipment outperformed with a 2.2% advance today and remains 39.8% above its 50-day moving average, underscoring sustained capital spending into fab tooling. Applied Materials (AMAT) moved up 3.4% to $188.63, reflecting strength in both legacy and advanced process tool demand, while broader equipment names are tracking the multi-week momentum that has driven the sector’s 50-day leadership. That 50-day strength supports a cyclical continuation thesis as customers prioritize throughput increases ahead of next-generation node deployments.

Infrastructure climbed 1.8% on the session and sits 49.1% above its 50-day moving average, nearly a breakout cadence across the 50-day timeframe for data-center and enterprise hardware names. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) gained 3.8% to $20.82 and Super Micro (SMCI) rallied 3.3% to $48.74, both reflecting ongoing refresh cycles tied to AI and cloud scaling. Given the sector’s 50-day trend, investors should view infrastructure exposure as a levered way to play underlying AI capacity buildouts.

Enterprise Software underperformed, down 0.9% today and trading below its 50-day moving average despite mixed longer-term readings; the sector’s 50-day position is marked as BELOW, flagging a corrective phase. Adobe (ADBE) fell 3.5% to $378.47 and exemplifies the near-term revenue visibility concerns that are weighing on software valuations. With the sector failing to recapture its 50-day trend, stock-specific fundamentals and execution on enterprise AI transitions will be critical to any sustained recovery.

Healthcare showed the most material deterioration across our sector analysis, posting a 2.6% decline for the sector today and sitting 16.6% below its 50-day moving average — the active alert of highest severity. UnitedHealth (UNH) led downside action, falling 5.7% to $299.54, and the 50-day context signals a pronounced downtrend requiring caution. For portfolio positioning, defensive rotations into areas less tethered to health-care fundamentals make sense until clear technical and fundamental stabilization emerges.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 18 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 6 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 21 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Healthcare down -16.6% over 50 days

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TSLA $315.65 +5.0% -3.1% -4.9% +32.6% BELOW 0
NVDA $157.04 +2.6% +1.4% +10.8% +59.0% ABOVE 0
AAPL $211.60 +2.2% +5.7% +4.7% +6.5% ABOVE 0
GOOG $179.25 +1.6% +3.1% +6.2% +16.9% ABOVE 0
MSFT $487.20 -0.2% -1.3% +5.9% +34.1% ABOVE 2
AMZN $219.92 -0.2% +1.3% +6.1% +27.0% ABOVE 1
META $711.24 -0.8% -1.7% +3.8% +42.7% ABOVE 2
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TSM $231.04 +4.0% +4.3% +15.8% +54.9% ABOVE 0
AVGO $267.94 +1.9% -0.1% +3.6% +59.5% ABOVE 0
QCOM $158.97 +1.8% +2.6% +9.6% +17.7% ABOVE 0
AMD $138.52 +1.8% -3.6% +16.8% +60.6% ABOVE 0
ARM $154.63 -1.1% -2.2% +18.6% +53.8% ABOVE 3
MRVL $74.03 -2.6% -7.2% +12.0% +46.7% ABOVE 2
INTC $21.88 -4.2% -2.8% +8.0% +12.1% ABOVE 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HPE $20.82 +3.8% +15.7% +20.0% +41.3% ABOVE 0
SMCI $48.74 +3.3% -1.1% +10.4% +59.4% ABOVE 0
VRT $124.19 +1.5% +0.4% +10.2% +73.2% ABOVE 0
DELL $121.63 +1.4% -2.0% +9.6% +46.9% ABOVE 0
CSCO $66.80 -0.7% -0.5% +6.5% +24.6% ABOVE 2
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PLTR $132.12 +1.1% -8.4% +1.6% +40.6% ABOVE 0
NOW $201.95 -0.2% -0.2% -0.3% +31.7% ABOVE 2
CRM $266.95 -1.0% -0.6% +2.5% +10.8% BELOW 3
ADBE $378.47 -3.5% -1.7% -8.6% +8.2% BELOW 1
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GS $701.76 +1.3% +4.2% +19.5% +38.4% ABOVE 0
JPM $285.14 +0.5% +1.1% +10.5% +23.9% ABOVE 0
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LLY $773.81 +0.4% -2.0% +1.8% -5.6% BELOW 0
UNH $299.54 -5.7% +1.6% +3.1% -27.5% BELOW 1
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
COST $976.86 -0.4% -0.1% -6.6% +0.5% BELOW 2
WMT $96.80 -0.6% +1.7% -1.8% +3.2% ABOVE 1
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $294.71 -0.1% +2.1% -4.5% +6.5% BELOW 1
IBM $280.48 -1.2% -1.5% +8.3% +20.2% ABOVE 2
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DAL $49.41 +2.3% +2.4% +2.3% +24.6% ABOVE 0
UAL $81.01 +1.2% +4.5% -0.7% +21.0% ABOVE 0
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $275.09 -0.2% +2.9% +6.0% +26.1% ABOVE 1
BKNG $226.16 -0.5% +1.9% +2.8% +24.2% ABOVE 2
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SBUX $91.76 -0.8% +2.5% +6.9% +16.0% ABOVE 1
MCD $287.65 -1.0% +3.2% -5.4% -7.1% BELOW 1
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $189.02 +2.1% +8.2% +10.0% +16.5% ABOVE 0
UPS $98.75 +1.0% +4.9% +7.1% +10.8% ABOVE 0
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CAT $394.16 +1.9% +4.3% +14.1% +36.8% ABOVE 0
HON $231.45 +0.2% +5.7% +5.2% +21.2% ABOVE 0
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CRWD $124.03 +0.8% -1.8% +7.7% +34.6% ABOVE 0
ZS $309.33 +0.7% -1.4% +4.2% +57.4% ABOVE 0
PANW $196.97 -0.3% -2.7% +1.5% +20.4% ABOVE 2
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMAT $188.63 +3.4% +3.5% +17.3% +37.8% ABOVE 0
LRCX $98.29 +2.1% +2.1% +16.9% +56.1% ABOVE 0
ASML $793.37 +1.2% +0.2% +7.6% +25.6% ABOVE 0
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DLR $167.33 +0.5% +1.5% -1.5% +16.4% ABOVE 0
EQIX $777.47 -0.0% +6.7% -12.8% +1.1% BELOW 2
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NEE $70.97 -0.1% +2.9% +4.5% +10.5% ABOVE 1
SO $88.27 -1.2% +0.9% +3.2% +0.1% ABOVE 1
DUK $113.11 -1.5% +0.7% +0.9% -3.6% BELOW 1
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
XOM $107.62 +1.7% +1.0% +8.6% +3.5% ABOVE 0
CVX $142.03 +1.7% +2.5% +7.7% +9.1% ABOVE 0
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
RTX $142.25 +0.2% +1.3% +4.3% +27.7% ABOVE 0
GD $287.35 -0.2% +0.9% +6.9% +7.0% ABOVE 1
LMT $450.40 -0.7% +1.0% -4.1% +0.8% BELOW 1
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VZ $40.15 -0.2% +3.5% +0.8% +0.9% ABOVE 1
TMUS $233.03 -1.7% +2.6% -1.9% -7.7% BELOW 1
T $26.77 -2.0% +1.1% +3.5% +5.0% ABOVE 2
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $121.22 -0.4% +1.3% +8.8% +43.5% ABOVE 2
NFLX $128.49 -0.7% -1.7% +3.6% +23.5% ABOVE 2
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMGN $288.19 +2.2% +6.4% +3.4% +7.6% ABOVE 0
GILD $108.68 -0.2% +3.6% +3.0% +6.4% ABOVE 1
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $282.76 +1.7% +3.2% +4.3% +10.1% ABOVE 0
LIN $470.83 +0.1% +2.7% +0.7% +5.3% ABOVE 0
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $209.71 +2.4% +4.5% +13.0% +48.2% ABOVE 0
MCHP $71.23 +2.1% +3.4% +13.1% +83.0% ABOVE 0

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: UnitedHealth (UNH) (Healthcare) fell 5.7% to $299.54. Tesla (TSLA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) rose 5.0% to $315.65. Intel (INTC) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 4.2% to $21.88. TSMC (TSM) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 4.0% to $231.04. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) (Infrastructure) rose 3.8% to $20.82. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 1 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Near-term markets remain bifurcated: 18 sectors are above their 50-day moving averages while 6 remain below, and active alerts — notably healthcare’s -16.6% 50-day deterioration — demand selective risk management. Breadth metrics show healthy participation among chip, equipment and infrastructure names even as enterprise software and several defensive pockets lag. Positioning guidance is to maintain overweight exposure to chip supply chain and infrastructure for AI-capex capture, dial back discretionary exposure in weak healthcare positions, and watch for 50-day trend changes as triggers to add or trim exposure.

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