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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Thursday, July 17, 2025 BULLISH

The US stock market extended a broad midsummer advance as 14 sectors finished higher while just four declined, led by strength in Infrastructure and Chip Supply Chain after fresh strength in NVIDIA (NVDA) and TSMC (TSM). NVIDIA (NVDA) climbed 1.0% to $172.77, sustaining a 50-day gain of +52.4%, and TSMC (TSM) rallied 3.4% to $242.91, boosting the Chip Supply Chain sector +1.3% on the day. Vertiv (VRT) paced winners in Infrastructure, jumping 4.6% to $130.98, while Healthcare lagged with UnitedHealth (UNH) down 1.5% to $280.56 and Eli Lilly (LLY) slipping 3.6% to $756.15. The Magnificent 7 were modestly higher as a group (+0.3%), with Microsoft (MSFT) and NVIDIA among the key movers supporting the S&P 500 and sector breadth.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.47%
stable
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$67.54
+1.8% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
16.5
-3.7% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Bullish Trend Intact
0/3 below
SPY above (+7.9%), QQQ above (+11.2%), DIA above (+4.8%)
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Late-Cycle Caution
74%
50 of 68 above 50DMA · -5.9pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Contrarian Sell Signal
0.64
Too Optimistic · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI/technology investment theme remains intact, led by durable demand for chips and cloud infrastructure where NVIDIA (NVDA) $172.77 (+1.0%) and Microsoft (MSFT) $507.65 (+1.2%) are anchoring momentum across the Mag 7. The chip supply chain and equipment segments are benefitting from capacity reallocation — TSMC (TSM) $242.91 (+3.4%) is a clear beneficiary — while Infrastructure names like Vertiv (VRT) $130.98 (+4.6%) and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) $20.40 (+2.4%) capture upgrades to data center and enterprise stacks. Enterprise Software is the one soft spot inside the theme, trading below its 50-day despite ongoing AI spending, underscoring selective stock-level work to pair AI exposure with 50-day trend confirmation.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +0.3% +1.0% +6.3% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain +1.3% +3.1% +9.3% ABOVE
Infrastructure +1.5% +2.4% +11.3% ABOVE
Enterprise Software +0.8% +3.0% +1.2% BELOW
Finance +0.5% +0.6% +8.7% ABOVE
Healthcare -2.5% -4.6% -4.6% BELOW
Retail +0.1% -0.5% -1.1% BELOW
IT Services +0.6% +0.0% -3.8% BELOW
Airlines +2.3% +1.7% +20.6% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel -0.1% -2.1% +6.5% ABOVE
Food & Restaurant +0.6% -0.8% +2.3% BELOW
Logistics -0.1% -2.5% +1.6% ABOVE
Industrial +0.9% +2.0% +11.8% ABOVE
Cybersecurity +0.4% +0.6% -3.7% ABOVE
Chip Equipment -0.7% -3.6% +6.2% ABOVE
Data Center REITs +1.7% +3.7% -6.2% BELOW
Utilities +0.1% +0.6% +4.3% ABOVE
Energy +0.2% -2.9% +0.4% ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace +0.1% +0.9% +4.1% ABOVE
Telecom -0.4% -0.6% +0.4% BELOW
Media & Entertainment +2.0% +2.1% +4.2% ABOVE
Biotech -0.6% +0.1% +1.9% ABOVE
Materials +1.0% -0.5% +3.9% BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips -0.1% -1.2% +9.2% ABOVE

Sector Strength

Airlines +2.3% 20d: +20.6%
United (UAL) +3.1% (20d: +22.8%), Delta (DAL) +1.4% (20d: +18.5%)
Media & Entertainment +2.0% 20d: +4.2%
Disney (DIS) +2.0% (20d: +4.1%), Netflix (NFLX) +1.9% (20d: +4.2%)
Data Center REITs +1.7% 20d: -6.2%
Digital Realty (DLR) +2.2% (20d: +0.1%), Equinix (EQIX) +1.3% (20d: -12.5%) [<50MA]
Infrastructure +1.5% 20d: +11.3%
Vertiv (VRT) +4.6% (20d: +10.1%), Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) +2.4% (20d: +17.2%), Cisco (CSCO) +1.4% (20d: +4.4%)
Chip Supply Chain +1.3% 20d: +9.3%
TSMC (TSM) +3.4% (20d: +15.0%), ARM Holdings (ARM) +2.1% (20d: +7.6%), Broadcom (AVGO) +2.0% (20d: +14.3%)

Sector Warnings

Healthcare -2.5% 20d: -4.6%
Eli Lilly (LLY) -3.6% (20d: -3.0%) [<50MA], UnitedHealth (UNH) -1.5% (20d: -6.2%) [<50MA]
Chip Equipment -0.7% 20d: +6.2%
ASML -1.3% (20d: -2.2%) [<50MA], Applied Materials (AMAT) -1.2% (20d: +11.4%), Lam Research (LRCX) +0.4% (20d: +9.3%)
Biotech -0.6% 20d: +1.9%
Gilead (GILD) -1.0% (20d: +0.7%), Amgen (AMGN) -0.3% (20d: +3.0%)
Telecom -0.4% 20d: +0.4%
T-Mobile (TMUS) -0.7% (20d: +2.7%) [<50MA], Verizon (VZ) -0.7% (20d: -0.1%) [<50MA], AT&T (T) +0.1% (20d: -1.4%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Infrastructure showed leadership today, rising +1.5% as Vertiv (VRT) jumped 4.6% to $130.98 and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) advanced 2.4% to $20.40; both names are trading comfortably above their 50-day trends in a sector that sits +35.1% versus its 50-day. The 50-day window highlights steady rotation into equipment and facilities exposure as cloud providers and hyperscalers refresh capacity, and the sector's 1-day strength followed a 5-day gain of +2.4%, reinforcing the intermediate trend.

Chip Supply Chain outperformed with a +1.3% gain as TSMC (TSM) surged 3.4% to $242.91, contributing to the group's 50-day outperformance of +31.3%. Within the 50-day window, the sector has accumulated a 20- to 50-day constructive setup: 20-day +9.3% and 50-day +31.3%, indicating that demand for foundry and packaging exposure remains a core way to access AI hardware upside without relying solely on marquee chip designers.

Data Center REITs benefited from a rotation into real assets supporting cloud growth, with Digital Realty (DLR) up 2.2% to $171.80 and the sector up +1.7% on the day. Notably, Data Center REITs remain below their 50-day (-2.1%), reflecting mixed sentiment: short-term buying (5-day +3.7%) is colliding with a longer 50-day consolidation. Investors should watch whether DLR and peers can reassert above the 50-day in the coming sessions to confirm a sustainable recovery.

Healthcare was the clear underperformer, falling -2.5% driven by profit-taking in large caps; UnitedHealth (UNH) fell 1.5% to $280.56 and Eli Lilly (LLY) dropped 3.6% to $756.15. The sector is trading below its 50-day by -14.0% and has shown deterioration across the 20- and 50-day windows, signaling that drug and managed-care groups are under pressure from valuation resets and rotation into cyclicals. Within the 50-day frame, the trend is decisively negative, warranting caution for new long exposure until a 50-day stabilization appears.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 16 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 8 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 19 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MSFT $507.65 +1.2% +1.7% +6.6% +18.3% ABOVE 0
NVDA $172.77 +1.0% +4.9% +18.9% +52.4% ABOVE 0
GOOG $184.17 +0.5% +1.9% +6.2% +11.9% ABOVE 0
AMZN $223.88 +0.3% -0.5% +5.3% +21.0% ABOVE 0
AAPL $209.19 -0.1% -0.5% +6.8% +5.9% ABOVE 1
META $699.12 -0.2% -2.2% +0.8% +19.5% ABOVE 3
TSLA $319.41 -0.7% +1.9% -0.8% +16.0% BELOW 1
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TSM $242.91 +3.4% +6.6% +15.0% +43.1% ABOVE 0
ARM $157.18 +2.1% +7.7% +7.6% +28.4% ABOVE 0
AVGO $284.37 +2.0% +4.4% +14.3% +43.5% ABOVE 0
MRVL $71.86 +1.6% -1.0% -3.8% +17.7% ABOVE 0
INTC $22.80 +0.5% -2.7% +6.1% +14.3% ABOVE 0
AMD $160.41 +0.2% +9.6% +26.5% +62.7% ABOVE 0
QCOM $149.46 -0.9% -3.1% -0.7% +9.7% BELOW 2
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VRT $130.98 +4.6% +6.3% +10.1% +40.3% ABOVE 0
HPE $20.40 +2.4% +0.5% +17.2% +27.2% ABOVE 0
CSCO $66.91 +1.4% +0.5% +4.4% +16.0% ABOVE 0
DELL $122.02 +0.3% -2.3% +6.3% +31.9% ABOVE 0
SMCI $52.75 -0.9% +7.1% +18.6% +60.1% ABOVE 1
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PLTR $153.99 +2.0% +8.4% +10.0% +41.5% ABOVE 0
ADBE $366.45 +1.3% +0.9% -3.1% -4.3% BELOW 0
CRM $257.70 +0.7% +0.7% +0.1% -4.8% BELOW 0
NOW $191.83 -0.8% +2.2% -2.3% -0.6% BELOW 1
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $284.46 +1.4% +1.1% +6.3% +16.9% ABOVE 0
GS $691.91 -0.4% +0.1% +11.1% +29.1% ABOVE 1
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UNH $280.56 -1.5% -5.3% -6.2% -26.5% BELOW 1
LLY $756.15 -3.6% -4.0% -3.0% -1.6% BELOW 1
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
COST $948.57 +0.3% -1.7% -2.2% -5.6% BELOW 0
WMT $94.30 -0.1% +0.7% +0.0% -3.3% BELOW 3
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $276.99 +1.1% +0.6% -7.3% -6.5% BELOW 0
IBM $274.97 +0.0% -0.6% -0.4% +14.0% ABOVE 0
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UAL $91.22 +3.1% +4.0% +22.8% +24.1% ABOVE 0
DAL $55.53 +1.4% -0.5% +18.5% +26.1% ABOVE 0
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
BKNG $225.45 +0.5% -0.6% +7.5% +10.3% ABOVE 0
MAR $269.22 -0.7% -3.6% +5.5% +8.1% ABOVE 3
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SBUX $90.79 +0.7% -1.8% +1.0% +13.4% ABOVE 0
MCD $293.25 +0.5% +0.2% +3.7% -4.6% BELOW 0
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UPS $93.10 -0.1% -1.7% +0.3% +7.8% ABOVE 1
FDX $180.50 -0.2% -3.3% +2.9% +7.7% ABOVE 5
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CAT $413.59 +1.3% +3.0% +16.2% +30.3% ABOVE 0
HON $230.59 +0.6% +1.0% +7.4% +14.1% ABOVE 0
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PANW $196.28 +1.9% +4.7% -1.8% +4.0% ABOVE 0
CRWD $117.46 -0.1% -1.8% -3.2% +6.0% BELOW 6
ZS $286.29 -0.5% -1.2% -6.3% +22.8% ABOVE 3
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LRCX $100.24 +0.4% -0.9% +9.3% +38.1% ABOVE 0
AMAT $191.12 -1.2% -2.7% +11.4% +26.2% ABOVE 2
ASML $739.12 -1.3% -7.1% -2.2% +9.5% BELOW 2
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DLR $171.80 +2.2% +4.9% +0.1% +6.8% ABOVE 0
EQIX $758.32 +1.3% +2.5% -12.5% -10.9% BELOW 0
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NEE $73.06 +0.5% +1.0% +5.0% +13.9% ABOVE 0
SO $90.38 +0.0% +0.7% +5.3% +3.2% ABOVE 0
DUK $113.49 -0.3% +0.0% +2.5% -3.6% ABOVE 1
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $145.29 +1.0% -2.5% +2.2% +13.0% ABOVE 0
XOM $108.21 -0.5% -3.3% -1.4% +7.6% ABOVE 4
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
RTX $149.12 +0.9% +3.2% +3.9% +18.8% ABOVE 0
GD $294.89 +0.0% -0.7% +8.3% +11.5% ABOVE 0
LMT $456.88 -0.5% +0.4% +0.1% +0.9% ABOVE 1
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
T $25.77 +0.1% +0.1% -1.4% -3.2% BELOW 0
VZ $38.33 -0.7% -1.6% -0.1% -5.7% BELOW 5
TMUS $222.83 -0.7% -0.3% +2.7% -10.2% BELOW 1
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $120.47 +2.0% +2.0% +4.1% +33.2% ABOVE 0
NFLX $127.42 +1.9% +2.3% +4.2% +12.0% ABOVE 0
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMGN $289.55 -0.3% +1.0% +3.0% +11.3% ABOVE 1
GILD $106.04 -1.0% -0.8% +0.7% +11.9% ABOVE 1
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $285.96 +1.6% +0.6% +7.3% +10.4% ABOVE 0
LIN $455.16 +0.4% -1.6% +0.6% +3.5% BELOW 0
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $210.68 -0.0% -2.1% +9.2% +34.5% ABOVE 4
MCHP $72.34 -0.2% -0.3% +9.2% +58.5% ABOVE 1

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) rose 4.6% to $130.98. Eli Lilly (LLY) (Healthcare) fell 3.6% to $756.15. TSMC (TSM) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 3.4% to $242.91. United (UAL) (Airlines) rose 3.1% to $91.22. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) (Infrastructure) rose 2.4% to $20.40. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

No high-severity risk alerts are active. Market conditions are favorable, but always maintain awareness of potential profit-taking after extended rallies. Sector diversification remains important to manage concentration risk.

US Stock Market Outlook

Looking ahead, market breadth is constructive with 16 of 24 sectors above their 50MA and 14 sectors positive on the day, though alert counts should track pockets of weakness in Healthcare and Enterprise Software where 50-day trends remain negative. The S&P 500 is being supported by Mag 7 leadership — MSFT and NVDA leading 50-day strength — while selective cyclical reflation in Infrastructure and Chip Supply Chain argues for overweighting industry exposure with confirmed 50-day momentum. Tactical positioning: maintain core Mag 7 exposure but add selective infrastructure and foundry/supply-chain names that are above their 50-day averages, and trim or avoid Healthcare and Enterprise Software positions until 50-day breadth improves.

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