US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Friday, July 25, 2025 BULLISH

Record closes in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq set the tone today as broad market risk appetite pushed 15 sectors higher while 5 declined, led by a late-day consumer lift after Deckers' surge on UGG demand. Infrastructure led gains with a 1-day average of +2.5%, helped by Vertiv (VRT) rallying 5.0% to $137.32 ahead of earnings, while Intel (INTC) tumbled 8.5% to $20.70 after news it plans to spin off its networking unit, weighing on the Chip Supply Chain complex. The Magnificent 7 broadly held positive ground — Microsoft (MSFT) $509.64 +0.6% and NVIDIA (NVDA) $173.27 -0.1% remained above their 50-day trends, supporting tech leadership even as select chip equipment names lagged. Today’s moves underscore sector rotation within the US stock market as investors favor pockets of growth and infrastructure spending.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Wait & Watch

4.40%

stable

Impact

Confidence

Crude Oil (WTI)

Neutral

$65.16

-1.3% 1D

Impact

Confidence

VIX (Fear Index)

Normal Range

14.9

-3.0% 1D

Impact

Confidence

200-Day Moving Average

Bullish Trend Intact

0/3 below

SPY above (+9.1%), QQQ above (+11.5%), DIA above (+5.5%)

Impact

Confidence

Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)

Late-Cycle Caution

72%

49 of 68 above 50DMA · -2.9pp 5D

Impact

Confidence

Put/Call Ratio (5D)

Contrarian Sell Signal

0.65

Too Optimistic · stable

Impact

Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme continues to underpin the market: the Magnificent 7 remain a backbone, with Microsoft (MSFT) $509.64 and NVIDIA (NVDA) $173.27 staying above their 50-day trends and anchoring risk-on flows. Strength in Infrastructure and select Chip Supply Chain names reflects demand for AI server and data-center buildouts even as Intel (INTC) $20.70 weakness highlights corporate restructuring risk in the supply chain. Enterprise Software faces dispersion — ServiceNow (NOW) $193.76 -2.7% shows near-term pressure — but longer-term demand for cloud and AI-enabled software should sustain capital spending across the stack.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector	1D	5D	20D	vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders)	+0.5%	+0.2%	+3.9%	ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain	-0.2%	+0.1%	+2.4%	ABOVE
Infrastructure	+2.5%	+3.5%	+8.4%	ABOVE
Enterprise Software	+0.0%	+2.2%	+2.7%	BELOW
Finance	+1.0%	+2.9%	+5.0%	ABOVE
Healthcare	+0.9%	+3.1%	-2.1%	BELOW
Retail	+0.5%	+0.3%	-2.4%	BELOW
IT Services	+0.1%	-4.3%	-7.0%	BELOW
Airlines	+0.9%	-1.7%	+12.8%	ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel	+1.0%	+1.0%	+0.5%	ABOVE
Food & Restaurant	+1.1%	+1.4%	+2.4%	BELOW
Logistics	+1.9%	+6.2%	+4.3%	ABOVE
Industrial	+0.4%	+0.6%	+5.6%	BELOW
Cybersecurity	+1.0%	-0.6%	-4.7%	BELOW
Chip Equipment	-1.3%	-3.2%	-3.2%	ABOVE
Data Center REITs	+0.2%	+1.0%	+3.0%	BELOW
Utilities	+0.1%	-1.7%	+2.9%	ABOVE
Energy	-0.5%	+2.8%	+4.3%	ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace	+0.4%	+0.2%	+2.9%	ABOVE
Telecom	-0.4%	+2.8%	+2.6%	ABOVE
Media & Entertainment	-0.2%	-1.9%	-5.7%	BELOW
Biotech	+1.0%	+5.5%	+7.8%	ABOVE
Materials	+0.5%	+1.2%	+4.3%	ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips	+0.8%	-10.0%	-6.2%	BELOW

Sector Strength

Infrastructure +2.5% 20d: +8.4%

Vertiv (VRT) +5.0% (20d: +8.1%), Super Micro (SMCI) +3.7% (20d: +14.5%), Dell (DELL) +2.2% (20d: +6.3%)

Logistics +1.9% 20d: +4.3%

FedEx (FDX) +2.8% (20d: +6.2%), UPS +1.0% (20d: +2.4%)

Food & Restaurant +1.1% 20d: +2.4%

McDonald's (MCD) +1.4% (20d: +2.4%) [<50MA], Starbucks (SBUX) +0.8% (20d: +2.5%)

Finance +1.0% 20d: +5.0%

Goldman Sachs (GS) +1.4% (20d: +5.5%), JPMorgan (JPM) +0.7% (20d: +4.5%)

Biotech +1.0% 20d: +7.8%

Gilead (GILD) +2.7% (20d: +5.0%), Amgen (AMGN) -0.6% (20d: +10.6%)

Sector Warnings

Chip Equipment -1.3% 20d: -3.2%

ASML -1.9% (20d: -10.6%) [<50MA], Applied Materials (AMAT) -1.3% (20d: +1.4%), Lam Research (LRCX) -0.8% (20d: -0.2%)

Energy -0.5% 20d: +4.3%

Chevron (CVX) -0.6% (20d: +7.7%), Exxon Mobil (XOM) -0.4% (20d: +0.9%)

Telecom -0.4% 20d: +2.6%

T-Mobile (TMUS) -1.6% (20d: +3.5%), Verizon (VZ) +0.0% (20d: +3.5%), AT&T (T) +0.3% (20d: +0.7%)

Chip Supply Chain -0.2% 20d: +2.4%

Intel (INTC) -8.5% (20d: -8.8%) [<50MA], Qualcomm (QCOM) -0.3% (20d: -0.1%), Marvell (MRVL) +0.2% (20d: -3.7%)

Media & Entertainment -0.2% 20d: -5.7%

Disney (DIS) -0.4% (20d: -0.7%), Netflix (NFLX) -0.0% (20d: -10.8%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Infrastructure showed clear leadership today, posting a 1-day average gain of +2.5% and a robust 50-day performance of +19.0% (above its 50MA). Vertiv (VRT) led the group, jumping +5.0% to $137.32 ahead of Q2 commentary, and Super Micro (SMCI) $54.47 climbed +3.7% as server and rack demand for AI workloads remains visible. The 50-day trend for the sector is constructive, arguing that investors are pricing continued capex into data centers and networking hardware.

Chip Supply Chain was mixed intraday: the sector average was -0.2% for the day but sits +18.4% over 50 days (above its 50MA), reflecting durable strength despite headline volatility. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) $166.47 rose +2.7% as GPU and CPU demand narratives remain supportive, while Intel (INTC) $20.70 plunged -8.5% on the spin-off announcement, highlighting idiosyncratic capital allocation risk within the group. The 50-day slope remains healthy, but dispersion is widening between execution winners and restructuring laggards.

Enterprise Software is showing short-term strain against a flat 1-day average (+0.0%) and a tepid 50-day delta of +0.5% (below its 50MA), indicating consolidation after recent cloud-driven gains. ServiceNow (NOW) $193.76 led losers in software, down -2.7% on the day, underscoring sensitivity to subscription-growth execution and macro talk. For sector analysis, the 50-day behavior suggests selective positioning: favor names with clear AI monetization pathways and durable gross margins.

Chip Equipment underperformed with a -1.3% 1-day average but remains +4.6% over 50 days (above its 50MA), showing that capital equipment demand still has momentum despite nearer-term softness. Applied Materials (AMAT) $184.34 fell -1.3% and ASML $705.72 dropped -1.9%, both reflecting profit-taking after strong multi-month advances. The 50-day context points to a constructive trend, yet investors should expect higher volatility as OEM order timing and inventory digestion play out.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 14 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 10 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 17 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH 3 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: IT Services, Media & Entertainment, Analog & Embedded Chips

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
TSLA	$316.06	+3.5%	-3.8%	-2.3%	-9.1%	BELOW	0
MSFT	$509.64	+0.6%	+0.7%	+3.6%	+13.6%	ABOVE	0
GOOG	$193.53	+0.5%	+1.5%	+8.9%	+16.5%	ABOVE	0
AAPL	$213.03	+0.1%	+0.7%	+6.4%	+0.7%	ABOVE	0
NVDA	$173.27	-0.1%	+1.2%	+10.0%	+28.2%	ABOVE	1
META	$710.35	-0.3%	-0.0%	-2.9%	+8.2%	ABOVE	1
AMZN	$231.44	-0.3%	+0.9%	+3.6%	+10.1%	ABOVE	1

Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMD	$166.47	+2.7%	+6.0%	+15.8%	+41.4%	ABOVE	0
ARM	$163.17	+2.0%	+0.8%	-1.4%	+22.3%	ABOVE	0
TSM	$242.91	+1.7%	+2.8%	+7.5%	+26.6%	ABOVE	0
AVGO	$288.07	+0.5%	+0.7%	+7.7%	+25.3%	ABOVE	0
MRVL	$74.05	+0.2%	+1.6%	-3.7%	+12.7%	ABOVE	0
QCOM	$155.13	-0.3%	-0.4%	-0.1%	+4.2%	ABOVE	2
INTC	$20.70	-8.5%	-11.0%	-8.8%	-3.8%	BELOW	2

Infrastructure Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
VRT	$137.32	+5.0%	+8.9%	+8.1%	+25.6%	ABOVE
SMCI	$54.47	+3.7%	+5.8%	+14.5%	+21.0%	ABOVE
DELL	$129.78	+2.2%	+2.2%	+6.3%	+18.7%	ABOVE
HPE	$20.31	+1.1%	+0.3%	+12.6%	+17.0%	ABOVE
CSCO	$67.30	+0.6%	+0.5%	+0.7%	+12.7%	ABOVE

Enterprise Software Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
PLTR	$158.80	+2.5%	+4.6%	+21.5%	+22.0%	ABOVE	0
CRM	$266.85	+0.5%	+2.6%	-1.6%	-7.3%	BELOW	0
ADBE	$370.74	-0.3%	+0.8%	-3.9%	-7.2%	BELOW	3
NOW	$193.76	-2.7%	+0.9%	-5.2%	-5.7%	BELOW	1

Finance Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GS	$714.59	+1.4%	+3.3%	+5.5%	+19.8%	ABOVE	0
JPM	$293.01	+0.7%	+2.6%	+4.5%	+13.0%	ABOVE	0

Healthcare Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LLY	$806.98	+0.9%	+6.6%	+4.8%	+13.8%	ABOVE	0
UNH	$273.73	+0.9%	-0.4%	-9.1%	-8.1%	BELOW	0

Retail Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
WMT	$96.66	+0.9%	+1.9%	+0.2%	+0.7%	ABOVE	0
COST	$930.24	+0.2%	-1.3%	-5.0%	-5.7%	BELOW	0

IT Services Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ACN	$277.43	+0.5%	+0.2%	-3.7%	-11.2%	BELOW	0
IBM	$253.24	-0.3%	-8.8%	-10.3%	+0.7%	BELOW	2

Airlines Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UAL	$91.11	+1.5%	-1.3%	+15.1%	+15.3%	ABOVE	0
DAL	$54.08	+0.3%	-2.1%	+10.6%	+8.5%	ABOVE	0

Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MAR	$276.66	+2.3%	+2.8%	+2.1%	+2.7%	ABOVE	0
BKNG	$223.40	-0.3%	-0.8%	-1.1%	+8.2%	ABOVE	3

Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MCD	$291.40	+1.4%	+0.9%	+2.4%	-2.4%	BELOW	0
SBUX	$91.99	+0.8%	+1.9%	+2.5%	+9.9%	ABOVE	0

Logistics Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
FDX	$192.23	+2.8%	+7.7%	+6.2%	+5.6%	ABOVE	0
UPS	$96.90	+1.0%	+4.7%	+2.4%	+5.6%	ABOVE	0

Industrial Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CAT	$430.68	+1.0%	+5.8%	+13.2%	+24.5%	ABOVE	0
HON	$216.92	-0.1%	-4.7%	-2.0%	+3.8%	BELOW	2

Cybersecurity Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
CRWD	$116.98	+1.3%	-2.8%	-6.3%	+7.3%	BELOW
PANW	$203.27	+1.0%	+1.7%	+1.3%	+6.5%	ABOVE
ZS	$286.18	+0.7%	-0.8%	-9.2%	+17.1%	BELOW

Chip Equipment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LRCX	$96.43	-0.8%	-4.7%	-0.2%	+14.4%	ABOVE	1
AMAT	$184.34	-1.3%	-3.6%	+1.4%	+6.9%	ABOVE	1
ASML	$705.72	-1.9%	-1.2%	-10.6%	-7.5%	BELOW	1

Data Center REITs Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
EQIX	$783.61	+1.5%	+1.6%	+2.1%	-6.2%	BELOW	0
DLR	$172.92	-1.2%	+0.5%	+3.8%	+8.1%	ABOVE	1

Utilities Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SO	$92.33	+0.4%	+0.6%	+4.9%	+13.2%	ABOVE	0
DUK	$115.88	+0.2%	+0.1%	+2.6%	+7.6%	ABOVE	0
NEE	$69.83	-0.2%	-5.7%	+1.4%	+0.3%	BELOW	3

Energy Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
XOM	$106.99	-0.4%	+2.2%	+0.9%	+2.7%	ABOVE	1
CVX	$148.62	-0.6%	+3.4%	+7.7%	+10.6%	ABOVE	1

Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
RTX	$154.42	+1.1%	+3.5%	+8.4%	+20.6%	ABOVE	0
LMT	$410.11	+0.1%	-8.5%	-8.2%	-5.6%	BELOW	0
GD	$308.58	-0.1%	+5.7%	+8.6%	+16.6%	ABOVE	2

Telecom Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
T	$26.74	+0.3%	+2.3%	+0.7%	+7.0%	ABOVE	0
VZ	$40.33	+0.0%	+1.4%	+3.5%	+3.4%	ABOVE	0
TMUS	$239.05	-1.6%	+4.7%	+3.5%	+3.9%	ABOVE	1

Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NFLX	$118.05	-0.0%	-4.3%	-10.8%	+2.6%	BELOW	1
DIS	$119.74	-0.4%	+0.5%	-0.7%	+8.0%	ABOVE	2

Biotech Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GILD	$113.25	+2.7%	+7.3%	+5.0%	+19.0%	ABOVE	0
AMGN	$297.63	-0.6%	+3.6%	+10.6%	+17.9%	ABOVE	2

Materials Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
APD	$291.47	+0.7%	+1.9%	+6.7%	+10.9%	ABOVE	0
LIN	$466.61	+0.3%	+0.5%	+2.0%	+6.4%	ABOVE	0

Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MCHP	$67.38	+2.1%	-6.3%	-1.8%	+15.0%	ABOVE	0
TXN	$179.94	-0.4%	-13.8%	-10.7%	-1.3%	BELOW	3

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Intel (INTC) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 8.5% to $20.70. Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) rose 5.0% to $137.32. Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) rose 3.7% to $54.47. Tesla (TSLA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) rose 3.5% to $316.06. FedEx (FDX) (Logistics) rose 2.8% to $192.23. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 1 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

With 14 sectors above their 50MA and 10 below, breadth is healthy but not uniform; active alerts flag three sectors declining >5% over 20 days (IT Services, Media & Entertainment, Analog & Embedded Chips), which warrants caution on cyclicals tied to discretionary ad spend and legacy hardware. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq records alongside a strong 50-day slope in Infrastructure and Chip Supply Chain argue for overweight exposure to select AI infrastructure and high-quality software franchises while trimming exposure to names facing structural 20-day declines. Positioning should be tactical: add to leaders that remain above their 50-day trend and show earnings/cash-flow durability, and protect gains in pressured sectors with disciplined stop/hedge rules.

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