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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Friday, August 01, 2025 BEARISH

Markets reacted sharply to a string of macro headlines and earnings takeaways, with tariffs and economic jitters cited as the day’s dominant driver. The Mag 7 roster weighed on the session, with Amazon (AMZN) plunging 8.3% to $214.75 and NVIDIA (NVDA) down 2.3% to $173.49, contributing to a broad pullback that left 19 sectors lower and only 5 higher. Chip Supply Chain and Infrastructure led early weakness, declines of -2.6% and -3.3% respectively, while Healthcare saw selective strength as Eli Lilly (LLY) rose 3.0% to $756.98 amid defensive flows. The US stock market and S&P 500 closed with clear risk-off tone after the headlines and Big Tech earnings takeaways pressured momentum names.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.23%
falling
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$67.33
-2.8% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Elevated Caution
20.4
+21.9% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Bullish Trend Intact
0/3 below
SPY above (+6.2%), QQQ above (+8.7%), DIA above (+2.2%)
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Add Cash
50%
34 of 68 above 50DMA · -22.1pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.70
Call-Heavy · rising
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

AI and technology themes showed durability within a choppy tape: NVIDIA (NVDA) at $173.49 remains a leader with a 50-day gain of 31.8% even as the Mag 7 group fell 3.0% on the day. The Chip Supply Chain held above its 50-day average (+17.6%), but Marvell (MRVL) slipped 7.4% to $74.29, underscoring idiosyncratic volatility across suppliers. Infrastructure (50d:+21.5%) and enterprise deployments continue to support demand for data-center and networking gear even as Enterprise Software (50d:-2.2%) and IT Services (50d:-11.7%) trade lower, signaling a divergence between hardware-driven AI buildout and softer software/services spending near-term.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -3.0% -2.4% +3.1% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain -2.6% -5.6% +2.1% ABOVE
Infrastructure -3.3% -3.5% +5.4% ABOVE
Enterprise Software -2.8% -5.7% -3.9% BELOW
Finance -2.1% -2.5% -0.5% ABOVE
Healthcare -0.9% -10.7% -11.5% BELOW
Retail +1.0% +1.5% -2.4% BELOW
IT Services -2.8% -6.4% -14.6% BELOW
Airlines -4.1% -8.1% +3.5% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel -2.7% -6.3% -7.8% BELOW
Food & Restaurant -0.8% -3.0% -2.0% BELOW
Logistics -2.4% -13.6% -11.9% BELOW
Industrial -2.1% -2.1% +0.4% BELOW
Cybersecurity -1.3% -8.0% -12.3% BELOW
Chip Equipment +0.3% -4.3% -6.5% ABOVE
Data Center REITs -2.1% -2.4% -0.2% BELOW
Utilities +0.2% +1.3% +0.9% ABOVE
Energy -1.0% -2.4% +0.7% ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace -0.3% -0.1% +0.9% ABOVE
Telecom +0.3% +0.5% +0.1% ABOVE
Media & Entertainment -1.1% -2.3% -7.7% BELOW
Biotech +0.7% -0.7% +1.3% ABOVE
Materials -1.2% -3.2% -2.3% BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips -1.0% -4.8% -10.9% BELOW

Sector Strength

Retail +1.0% 20d: -2.4%
Costco (COST) +1.5% (20d: -3.9%) [<50MA], Walmart (WMT) +0.5% (20d: -0.9%)
Biotech +0.7% 20d: +1.3%
Gilead (GILD) +0.8% (20d: +1.3%), Amgen (AMGN) +0.6% (20d: +1.3%)
Telecom +0.3% 20d: +0.1%
AT&T (T) +1.2% (20d: -1.3%), Verizon (VZ) +0.3% (20d: +1.8%), T-Mobile (TMUS) -0.5% (20d: -0.2%)
Chip Equipment +0.3% 20d: -6.5%
Lam Research (LRCX) +1.6% (20d: -1.8%), Applied Materials (AMAT) -0.0% (20d: -5.7%), ASML -0.7% (20d: -11.9%) [<50MA]
Utilities +0.2% 20d: +0.9%
Duke Energy (DUK) +1.0% (20d: +4.8%), Southern Co (SO) +0.5% (20d: +3.6%), NextEra Energy (NEE) -0.9% (20d: -5.8%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Airlines -4.1% 20d: +3.5%
United (UAL) -4.2% (20d: +4.3%), Delta (DAL) -3.9% (20d: +2.7%)
Infrastructure -3.3% 20d: +5.4%
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) -4.3% (20d: -5.3%), Dell (DELL) -4.0% (20d: +2.5%), Super Micro (SMCI) -4.0% (20d: +20.2%)
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -3.0% 20d: +3.1%
Amazon (AMZN) -8.3% (20d: -3.9%) [<50MA], Meta (META) -3.0% (20d: +4.4%), Apple (AAPL) -2.5% (20d: -3.6%) [<50MA]
Enterprise Software -2.8% 20d: -3.9%
ServiceNow (NOW) -3.0% (20d: -11.7%) [<50MA], Salesforce (CRM) -2.9% (20d: -7.1%) [<50MA], Adobe (ADBE) -2.8% (20d: -7.7%) [<50MA]
IT Services -2.8% 20d: -14.6% CRITICAL
Accenture (ACN) -4.4% (20d: -14.6%) [<50MA], IBM -1.2% (20d: -14.5%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain exhibited clear bifurcation today: the group is +17.6% vs its 50-day average but traded down -2.6% on the day and -5.6% over five days, reflecting profit-taking after a run-up. Marvell (MRVL) fell 7.4% to $74.29 and is a reminder of name-specific risk even in a strong 50-day trend; Lam Research (LRCX) bucked the intra-group weakness, rising 1.6% to $95.84, showing chip equipment demand remains intact. Over the 50-day window the sector’s positive trend supports continued exposure to select suppliers tied to AI capacity expansion.

Infrastructure was the weakest sector today with a 1-day decline of -3.3% despite sitting +21.5% above its 50-day average, highlighting a short-term pullback inside a durable uptrend. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) led losses in the group, down 4.3% to $19.41, signaling investor sensitivity to near-term spending cues. For portfolio positioning, the infrastructure 50-day strength suggests selectively trimming rallies while maintaining exposure to names benefiting from data-center modernization.

Healthcare softened with the sector down -0.9% on the day and lagging badly over 20 and 50 days (20d:-11.5%, 50d:-7.9%); UnitedHealth Group (UNH) dropped 4.7% to $231.57 following company-specific corporate changes, amplifying the sector’s volatility. Eli Lilly (LLY) provided a defensive counterpoint, rising 3.0% to $756.98 and reinforcing concentration risk within healthcare where a handful of leaders can influence the group. Given the active HIGH alert on Healthcare’s 20-day decline, risk managers should favor larger-cap defensives and avoid weak small-cap biotech exposure despite short-term relief rallies.

Enterprise Software and IT Services are under pressure: Enterprise Software is -2.8% today and sits -2.2% vs its 50-day, while IT Services is down -2.8% and a notable -11.7% vs its 50-day average. Accenture (ACN) slumped 4.4% to $250.21, underscoring demand concerns and driving the sector-level softness. The 50-day context argues for cautious exposure; investors should prioritize cash-flow resilient vendors and defer aggressive entries until five-day and 20-day momentum stabilizes.

Logistics and Cybersecurity remain structural areas of concern with active HIGH alerts: Logistics is down -2.4% today and -11.9% over 20 days with an average of five consecutive down days and sits -5.5% vs its 50-day, while Cybersecurity is -1.3% today and -12.3% over 20 days, trading below its 50-day trend (+3.6% over 50d not withstanding). These 50-day readings indicate loss of intermediate support and argue for defensive positioning — trim exposure to names showing repeated breakdowns and look for clearer trend recovery before adding risk.

Retail and Utilities diverged intraday: Retail rose 1.0% with Costco (COST) up 1.5% to $948.50, but the sector remains slightly below its 50-day (-2.4%), suggesting selective strength in dominant retailers. Utilities eked out a 0.2% gain with Duke Energy (DUK) up 1.0% to $118.76, holding +3.6% vs its 50-day average and serving as a safe-haven allocation amid the broader S&P 500 weakness. The 50-day context supports overweighting high-quality utility and select retail franchises for downside protection.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 11 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 13 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 14 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Healthcare down -11.5% over 20 days
HIGH IT Services down -14.6% over 20 days
HIGH Logistics down -11.9% over 20 days
HIGH Cybersecurity down -12.3% over 20 days
HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -10.9% over 20 days
HIGH 8 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Healthcare, IT Services, Hospitality & Travel, Logistics, Cybersecurity, Chip Equipment, Media & Entertainment, Analog & Embedded Chips
LOW Logistics below 50-day MA with avg 5 consecutive down days

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GOOG $189.41 -1.5% -1.8% +7.0% +11.8% ABOVE 2
MSFT $519.96 -1.8% +2.3% +5.3% +15.8% ABOVE 1
TSLA $302.63 -1.8% -7.1% +3.0% -9.6% BELOW 4
NVDA $173.49 -2.3% -1.7% +9.8% +31.8% ABOVE 2
AAPL $201.58 -2.5% -5.5% -3.6% +0.1% BELOW 4
META $747.56 -3.0% +4.5% +4.4% +18.1% ABOVE 1
AMZN $214.75 -8.3% -7.7% -3.9% +6.8% BELOW 1
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
QCOM $145.13 +1.0% -8.0% -6.3% -1.5% BELOW 0
AVGO $286.54 -1.7% -1.9% +5.3% +25.9% ABOVE 2
INTC $19.31 -2.5% -6.6% -12.2% -6.7% BELOW 7
AMD $171.70 -2.6% -1.1% +27.4% +53.2% ABOVE 2
TSM $232.64 -2.7% -3.1% +2.6% +23.1% ABOVE 2
ARM $137.58 -2.7% -16.3% -6.3% +5.5% BELOW 4
MRVL $74.29 -7.4% -1.9% +4.1% +24.0% ABOVE 2
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CSCO $65.75 -1.4% -1.2% -2.6% +6.8% ABOVE 2
VRT $141.43 -2.8% -0.7% +12.1% +36.7% ABOVE 1
SMCI $56.64 -4.0% -5.7% +20.2% +36.0% ABOVE 2
DELL $125.93 -4.0% -4.9% +2.5% +14.2% ABOVE 2
HPE $19.41 -4.3% -5.1% -5.3% +13.8% ABOVE 2
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PLTR $154.27 -2.6% -2.3% +10.9% +27.9% ABOVE 2
ADBE $347.80 -2.8% -5.9% -7.7% -16.0% BELOW 3
CRM $248.64 -2.9% -7.2% -7.1% -11.0% BELOW 4
NOW $182.87 -3.0% -7.2% -11.7% -9.9% BELOW 3
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GS $695.57 -1.9% -1.9% -0.2% +20.2% ABOVE 3
JPM $283.94 -2.3% -3.0% -0.9% +11.4% ABOVE 2
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LLY $756.98 +3.0% -5.7% -1.4% +5.2% BELOW 0
UNH $231.57 -4.7% -15.7% -21.7% -21.0% BELOW 2
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
COST $948.50 +1.5% +2.1% -3.9% -7.0% BELOW 0
WMT $97.67 +0.5% +0.9% -0.9% +2.1% ABOVE 0
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
IBM $243.81 -1.2% -5.0% -14.5% -4.1% BELOW 4
ACN $250.21 -4.4% -7.8% -14.6% -19.2% BELOW 3
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DAL $50.60 -3.9% -7.7% +2.7% +6.3% ABOVE 4
UAL $84.57 -4.2% -8.5% +4.3% +15.3% ABOVE 4
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
BKNG $213.64 -2.1% -5.2% -7.4% +1.9% BELOW 2
MAR $253.11 -3.2% -7.4% -8.3% -1.8% BELOW 5
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $295.71 +0.9% +1.2% +3.2% -3.7% ABOVE 0
SBUX $84.63 -2.6% -7.3% -7.2% +4.7% BELOW 5
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UPS $79.06 -1.9% -16.8% -16.2% -11.8% BELOW 5
FDX $171.60 -2.9% -10.4% -7.7% +0.8% BELOW 5
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HON $210.60 -2.1% -3.3% -9.0% -1.9% BELOW 1
CAT $425.65 -2.1% -1.0% +9.9% +25.6% ABOVE 1
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PANW $172.88 -0.4% -15.5% -14.2% -4.6% BELOW 4
CRWD $111.67 -1.7% -5.4% -11.6% +2.7% BELOW 4
ZS $280.27 -1.9% -3.0% -11.2% +12.7% BELOW 3
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LRCX $95.84 +1.6% -2.3% -1.8% +16.7% ABOVE 0
AMAT $178.68 -0.0% -5.4% -5.7% +11.3% ABOVE 2
ASML $686.19 -0.7% -5.3% -11.9% -6.2% BELOW 2
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $754.59 -1.7% -2.8% -0.7% -10.2% BELOW 3
DLR $167.38 -2.4% -2.0% +0.3% +3.7% BELOW 3
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DUK $118.76 +1.0% +4.5% +4.8% +5.6% ABOVE 0
SO $91.98 +0.5% +0.7% +3.6% +5.9% ABOVE 0
NEE $68.42 -0.9% -1.3% -5.8% -0.8% BELOW 1
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $145.31 -0.2% -3.1% +2.7% +11.7% ABOVE 3
XOM $106.25 -1.8% -1.6% -1.3% +5.8% ABOVE 3
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LMT $409.95 +0.0% -0.1% -10.2% -9.9% BELOW 0
GD $305.35 -0.3% -0.8% +5.5% +12.5% ABOVE 3
RTX $154.35 -0.5% +0.5% +7.5% +16.8% ABOVE 2
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
T $26.50 +1.2% +0.5% -1.3% +2.0% ABOVE 0
VZ $40.14 +0.3% +1.2% +1.8% -0.4% ABOVE 0
TMUS $232.81 -0.5% -0.4% -0.2% -1.1% ABOVE 2
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NFLX $115.86 -0.1% -1.4% -10.2% -3.0% BELOW 2
DIS $114.93 -2.1% -3.1% -5.3% +6.0% BELOW 7
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $110.31 +0.8% +0.1% +1.3% +5.8% ABOVE 0
AMGN $288.22 +0.6% -1.5% +1.3% +9.4% ABOVE 0
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LIN $453.31 -0.2% -1.7% -2.2% +1.2% BELOW 3
APD $274.44 -2.1% -4.7% -2.5% +5.1% BELOW 5
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $177.20 -0.1% -3.7% -14.6% -1.8% BELOW 3
MCHP $64.61 -1.8% -5.9% -7.2% +12.9% BELOW 3

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Amazon (AMZN) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) fell 8.3% to $214.75. Marvell (MRVL) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 7.4% to $74.29. UnitedHealth (UNH) (Healthcare) fell 4.7% to $231.57. Accenture (ACN) (IT Services) fell 4.4% to $250.21. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) (Infrastructure) fell 4.3% to $19.41. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 6 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Near-term outlook is cautious: 11 sectors trade above their 50-day moving averages while 13 are below, and active alerts highlight eight sectors down more than 5% over 20 days, signaling widening internal dispersion in the US stock market. Breadth metrics and eight HIGH alerts argue for risk-off positioning into upcoming macro prints (U.S. Services PMI) and central bank decisions, with priority on trimming momentum exposures in Mag 7 names that show short-term weakness. Tactical allocation should favor sectors with intact 50-day trends (Infrastructure, Chip Supply Chain, Utilities) while underweighting Healthcare, IT Services, Logistics and Cybersecurity until 20-day and 50-day trends confirm stabilization.

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