US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Tuesday, August 12, 2025 BULLISH

Stocks rallied after a hotter-than-expected CPI reading flipped into optimism for an earlier Fed rate cut, driving the S&P 500 to a record intraday high and rotating buyers into cyclicals. The Chip Supply Chain and Infrastructure sectors led gains, up 2.4% and 2.5% respectively, while Airlines exploded 9.7% on the day after strong travel demand lifted United (UAL) and Delta (DAL). Nvidia-backed headlines hit CoreWeave but did not dampen the broad Mag 7 advance; Meta (META) led the Magnificent 7 with a 3.2% rise as investors chased AI and duration trades. Overall, 20 sectors finished higher versus just three lower, a clear risk-on day for the US stock market.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Wait & Watch

4.29%

stable

Impact

Confidence

Crude Oil (WTI)

Neutral

$63.17

-1.2% 1D

Impact

Confidence

VIX (Fear Index)

Normal Range

14.7

-9.3% 1D

Impact

Confidence

200-Day Moving Average

Bullish Trend Intact

0/3 below

SPY above (+9.4%), QQQ above (+13.2%), DIA above (+4.2%)

Impact

Confidence

Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)

Healthy Uptrend

59%

40 of 68 above 50DMA · +10.3pp 5D

Impact

Confidence

Put/Call Ratio (5D)

Contrarian Sell Signal

0.66

Too Optimistic · falling

Impact

Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme held its momentum as the Magnificent 7 continued to trade above key levels, with Meta (META) at $787.42, Microsoft (MSFT) at $525.05 and NVIDIA (NVDA) at $182.92 all sitting comfortably above their 50-day trends. Strength in the Chip Supply Chain and Chip Equipment groups—helped by Intel (INTC) at $21.81 and Microchip Technology (MCHP) at $62.80—underscores capacity and fabs benefiting from AI demand. Enterprise Software remains softer despite AI tailwinds, so durable infrastructure and data-center capex plays are where near-term dollars are flowing.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector	1D	5D	20D	vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders)	+1.2%	+3.3%	+7.1%	ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain	+2.4%	+5.2%	+3.1%	ABOVE
Infrastructure	+2.5%	+4.3%	+5.5%	ABOVE
Enterprise Software	+0.7%	-2.9%	-1.1%	BELOW
Finance	+2.2%	+1.5%	+3.7%	ABOVE
Healthcare	+2.2%	-4.0%	-14.8%	BELOW
Retail	-0.0%	+1.3%	+6.6%	ABOVE
IT Services	-0.5%	-5.1%	-15.6%	BELOW
Airlines	+9.7%	+9.4%	+8.4%	ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel	+2.3%	-0.2%	-3.3%	BELOW
Food & Restaurant	+0.4%	+1.5%	+0.9%	ABOVE
Logistics	+1.9%	+1.6%	-5.8%	BELOW
Industrial	+0.6%	-2.3%	-4.0%	BELOW
Cybersecurity	+2.7%	-2.3%	-6.9%	BELOW
Chip Equipment	+2.8%	+7.6%	+0.1%	ABOVE
Data Center REITs	+0.8%	+0.9%	+0.3%	BELOW
Utilities	-0.8%	+0.2%	+0.8%	ABOVE
Energy	+0.5%	+0.4%	-1.2%	BELOW
Defense & Aerospace	+0.5%	-0.4%	-0.1%	ABOVE
Telecom	+0.9%	+3.7%	+6.9%	ABOVE
Media & Entertainment	+0.8%	+1.4%	-3.5%	BELOW
Biotech	-0.2%	+4.5%	+2.3%	BELOW
Materials	+1.2%	+0.2%	+1.5%	ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips	+5.4%	+0.6%	-11.8%	BELOW

Sector Strength

Airlines +9.7% 20d: +8.4%

United (UAL) +10.2% (20d: +11.3%), Delta (DAL) +9.2% (20d: +5.6%)

Analog & Embedded Chips +5.4% 20d: -11.8%

Microchip Technology (MCHP) +5.8% (20d: -13.3%) [<50MA], Texas Instruments (TXN) +5.0% (20d: -10.3%) [<50MA]

Chip Equipment +2.8% 20d: +0.1%

Lam Research (LRCX) +3.2% (20d: +4.9%), ASML +2.8% (20d: -1.4%) [<50MA], Applied Materials (AMAT) +2.2% (20d: -3.3%)

Cybersecurity +2.7% 20d: -6.9%

Palo Alto Networks (PANW) +4.3% (20d: -8.9%) [<50MA], CrowdStrike (CRWD) +2.2% (20d: -7.4%) [<50MA], Zscaler (ZS) +1.6% (20d: -4.3%) [<50MA]

Infrastructure +2.5% 20d: +5.5%

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) +3.5% (20d: +4.8%), Vertiv (VRT) +2.8% (20d: +14.6%), Super Micro (SMCI) +2.7% (20d: -12.8%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Utilities -0.8% 20d: +0.8%

Duke Energy (DUK) -0.9% (20d: +5.7%), NextEra Energy (NEE) -0.8% (20d: -3.9%) [<50MA], Southern Co (SO) -0.6% (20d: +0.7%)

IT Services -0.5% 20d: -15.6% CRITICAL

IBM -0.6% (20d: -16.2%) [<50MA], Accenture (ACN) -0.3% (20d: -14.9%) [<50MA]

Biotech -0.2% 20d: +2.3%

Gilead (GILD) -0.4% (20d: +9.3%), Amgen (AMGN) -0.0% (20d: -4.7%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain outperformed today, gaining 2.4% and trading above its 50-day average (+22.9% vs 50MA). Intel (INTC) led notable moves, jumping 5.6% to $21.81 as investor focus returned to capacity and foundry positioning; the group’s 50-day context points to sustained strength driven by AI buildout.

Airlines posted the largest sector surge, up 9.7% on the day and +21.1% vs the 50-day, reflecting re-accelerating travel demand. United (UAL) climbed 10.2% to $98.47 and Delta (DAL) rose 9.2% to $57.81, both reinforcing a clear 50-day uptrend that traders should treat as momentum-led exposure to cyclical reopening.

Analog & Embedded Chips showed a bifurcated setup: the sector rallied 5.4% today but remains down -11.8% over 20 days even as the 50-day shows a +6.5% bias above the average. Microchip Technology (MCHP) advanced 5.8% to $62.80 and Texas Instruments (TXN) gained 5.0% to $189.06, signaling selective mean-reversion within an otherwise pressured 20-day window.

Infrastructure continued its steady advance, +2.5% today and +22.4% vs the 50-day, as markets price resilient capex and construction flows into the late-cycle. This sector’s persistent 50-day strength suggests it is absorbing rotation from shorter-term leaders, making names tied to industrial activity beneficiaries of a potential policy easing backdrop.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 12 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 12 are below. An even split above and below the 50-day MA suggests the market lacks directional conviction. Watch for a decisive shift in sector rotation to confirm the next trend.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Healthcare down -14.8% over 20 days

HIGH IT Services down -15.6% over 20 days

HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -11.8% over 20 days

HIGH IT Services down -17.2% over 50 days

HIGH 5 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Healthcare, IT Services, Logistics, Cybersecurity, Analog & Embedded Chips

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
META	$787.42	+3.2%	+2.3%	+12.4%	+17.8%	ABOVE
MSFT	$525.05	+1.4%	+0.8%	+4.7%	+14.6%	ABOVE
GOOG	$203.58	+1.3%	+3.7%	+11.1%	+20.0%	ABOVE
AAPL	$229.00	+1.1%	+7.8%	+9.4%	+14.0%	ABOVE
NVDA	$182.92	+0.6%	+2.1%	+6.9%	+33.3%	ABOVE
TSLA	$340.84	+0.5%	+6.5%	+6.0%	-0.5%	ABOVE
AMZN	$221.47	+0.1%	-0.4%	-0.8%	+7.2%	ABOVE

Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
INTC	$21.81	+5.6%	+6.9%	-3.9%	+10.5%	ABOVE
QCOM	$150.56	+3.9%	+5.4%	-0.2%	+5.5%	BELOW
AVGO	$310.55	+2.9%	+3.7%	+11.4%	+26.1%	ABOVE
AMD	$174.95	+1.5%	+7.3%	+9.3%	+52.6%	ABOVE
ARM	$142.39	+1.0%	+4.6%	-7.5%	+13.0%	BELOW
TSM	$241.62	+0.9%	+5.6%	+2.8%	+25.8%	ABOVE
MRVL	$77.64	+0.7%	+3.3%	+9.8%	+26.7%	ABOVE

Infrastructure Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
HPE	$20.88	+3.5%	+5.9%	+4.8%	+23.9%	ABOVE
VRT	$143.56	+2.8%	+2.8%	+14.6%	+31.6%	ABOVE
SMCI	$46.43	+2.7%	-0.8%	-12.8%	+12.7%	BELOW
DELL	$140.09	+2.4%	+10.5%	+15.1%	+31.6%	ABOVE
CSCO	$69.93	+1.0%	+3.1%	+6.0%	+12.5%	ABOVE

Enterprise Software Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
PLTR	$186.97	+2.3%	+4.1%	+23.9%	+41.6%	ABOVE	0
ADBE	$338.43	+1.4%	-2.1%	-6.5%	-16.1%	BELOW	0
NOW	$170.69	-0.3%	-6.5%	-11.7%	-15.7%	BELOW	4
CRM	$229.72	-0.4%	-7.0%	-10.2%	-11.3%	BELOW	4

Finance Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GS	$728.71	+3.4%	+2.6%	+4.9%	+24.2%	ABOVE	0
JPM	$287.35	+1.1%	+0.5%	+2.5%	+11.2%	ABOVE	0

Healthcare Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UNH	$254.75	+3.6%	+6.4%	-10.6%	-13.6%	BELOW	0
LLY	$634.94	+0.7%	-14.3%	-19.0%	-14.4%	BELOW	0

Retail Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
COST	$987.07	+0.3%	+2.3%	+4.3%	-6.1%	ABOVE	0
WMT	$102.76	-0.3%	+0.3%	+8.9%	+3.9%	ABOVE	1

IT Services Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ACN	$233.07	-0.3%	-3.9%	-14.9%	-24.0%	BELOW	4
IBM	$230.46	-0.6%	-6.3%	-16.2%	-10.4%	BELOW	4

Airlines Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UAL	$98.47	+10.2%	+10.8%	+11.3%	+21.2%	ABOVE	0
DAL	$57.81	+9.2%	+8.0%	+5.6%	+20.9%	ABOVE	0

Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MAR	$262.69	+2.7%	+0.9%	-3.1%	+1.5%	BELOW	0
BKNG	$216.63	+1.8%	-1.4%	-3.5%	-1.2%	BELOW	0

Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SBUX	$90.97	+1.8%	+4.9%	+0.9%	+9.6%	ABOVE	0
MCD	$294.49	-0.9%	-2.0%	+0.9%	-3.5%	ABOVE	3

Logistics Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
FDX	$182.12	+2.6%	+1.8%	+0.7%	+6.4%	ABOVE	0
UPS	$81.80	+1.3%	+1.4%	-12.2%	-10.2%	BELOW	0

Industrial Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CAT	$409.79	+1.0%	-3.5%	+0.3%	+20.2%	ABOVE	0
HON	$209.93	+0.3%	-1.0%	-8.4%	-3.8%	BELOW	0

Cybersecurity Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
PANW	$175.40	+4.3%	+1.5%	-8.9%	-10.0%	BELOW
CRWD	$108.95	+2.2%	-3.5%	-7.4%	-9.1%	BELOW
ZS	$275.43	+1.6%	-4.8%	-4.3%	-6.1%	BELOW

Chip Equipment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
LRCX	$104.70	+3.2%	+9.7%	+4.9%	+28.0%	ABOVE
ASML	$737.89	+2.8%	+7.4%	-1.4%	-0.4%	BELOW
AMAT	$187.08	+2.2%	+5.8%	-3.3%	+19.8%	ABOVE

Data Center REITs Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
EQIX	$769.81	+1.4%	+1.9%	+2.8%	-11.6%	BELOW	0
DLR	$164.52	+0.3%	-0.1%	-2.1%	-1.3%	BELOW	0

Utilities Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SO	$90.99	-0.6%	-0.8%	+0.7%	+4.5%	ABOVE	3
NEE	$69.84	-0.8%	+1.9%	-3.9%	+2.4%	BELOW	1
DUK	$120.27	-0.9%	-0.6%	+5.7%	+6.2%	ABOVE	1

Energy Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CVX	$148.23	+0.6%	+1.1%	+3.0%	+12.0%	ABOVE	0
XOM	$102.85	+0.3%	-0.4%	-5.4%	+3.0%	BELOW	0

Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LMT	$420.23	+1.2%	-0.8%	-8.5%	-9.9%	BELOW	0
RTX	$153.05	+0.4%	-0.2%	+3.5%	+13.1%	ABOVE	0
GD	$308.57	-0.3%	-0.3%	+4.7%	+14.5%	ABOVE	1

Telecom Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
TMUS	$247.61	+1.4%	+5.5%	+10.3%	+3.8%	ABOVE
T	$27.20	+1.2%	+3.6%	+5.7%	+3.0%	ABOVE
VZ	$40.48	+0.2%	+2.1%	+4.8%	-0.3%	ABOVE

Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DIS	$112.10	+1.0%	-1.3%	-5.1%	+1.1%	BELOW	0
NFLX	$122.53	+0.6%	+4.0%	-2.0%	+0.5%	BELOW	0

Biotech Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMGN	$276.66	-0.0%	+0.1%	-4.7%	-1.2%	BELOW	2
GILD	$116.97	-0.4%	+8.8%	+9.3%	+11.0%	ABOVE	1

Materials Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
APD	$281.76	+1.9%	+0.1%	+0.1%	+4.5%	ABOVE	0
LIN	$466.94	+0.6%	+0.4%	+2.9%	+2.2%	ABOVE	0

Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MCHP	$62.80	+5.8%	-2.5%	-13.3%	+7.5%	BELOW	0
TXN	$189.06	+5.0%	+3.8%	-10.3%	+5.5%	BELOW	0

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: United (UAL) (Airlines) rose 10.2% to $98.47. Delta (DAL) (Airlines) rose 9.2% to $57.81. Microchip Technology (MCHP) (Analog & Embedded Chips) rose 5.8% to $62.80. Intel (INTC) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 5.6% to $21.81. Texas Instruments (TXN) (Analog & Embedded Chips) rose 5.0% to $189.06. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 5 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Breadth is constructive with 20 sectors up, but internal caution remains: exactly 12 sectors trade above their 50MA and 12 below, so leadership is narrow despite broad participation. Active alerts highlight elevated risk in Healthcare and IT Services (both flagged HIGH for sharp 20- and 50-day deterioration) and three other sectors down more than 5% over 20 days, signaling pockets of structural weakness. Positioning should favor high-conviction AI supply-chain and infrastructure exposures while trimming defensives in Utilities and names showing persistent 50-day declines; maintain risk management until breadth improves above the 50MA threshold.

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