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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Friday, August 29, 2025 Sectors: BEARISH

Nasdaq weakness led today as hotter readings in the Fed's preferred inflation gauge pressured technology, sending the S&P 500 off record highs and catalyzing losses in the AI/semiconductor complex. Dell (DELL) fell sharply after company-specific headlines and weighed on the Infrastructure group, while NVIDIA (NVDA) slid 3.3% and steered the Mag 7 rout. The Mag 7 theme finished lower at -1.4% for the day despite mixed internals across the cohort, and Marvell (MRVL) paced losses in the Chip Supply Chain with an 18.6% drop. Across the US stock market, defensive names in Healthcare outperformed while 16 sectors sit below their 50-day moving averages, underscoring a broader leadership drift.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.23%
stable
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$64.01
-0.9% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
15.4
+6.4% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Bullish Trend Intact
0/3 below
SPY above (+9.0%), QQQ above (+10.2%), DIA above (+6.4%)
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Healthy Uptrend
54%
37 of 68 above 50DMA · -8.8pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Contrarian Sell Signal
0.64
Too Optimistic · falling
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Heatmap (1D)

Healthcare +1.30%
Telecom +0.94%
Energy +0.82%
Biotech +0.55%
Retail +0.37%
Food & Restaurant +0.31%
IT Services +0.29%
Logistics +0.05%
Utilities +0.04%
Finance -0.07%
Airlines -0.19%
Data Center REITs -0.29%
Defense & Aerospace -0.50%
Materials -0.55%
Media & Entertainment -0.63%
Analog & Embedded Chips -0.78%
Hospitality & Travel -0.91%
Memory & Storage -1.07%
Enterprise Software -1.31%
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -1.40%
EDA & Semiconductor IP -1.83%
Cybersecurity -1.87%
Industrial -2.24%
AI Networking & Interconnect -2.50%
AI Power & Grid -2.91%
Chip Equipment -2.93%
Infrastructure -4.48%
Chip Supply Chain -5.21%
≤-3%0≥+3%

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment narrative cooled as Magnificent 7 leaders showed intra-group dispersion: Alphabet (GOOG) $212.92 rose 0.5% and remains 50-day positive, while NVIDIA (NVDA) $173.95 fell 3.3% and trimmed shorter-term momentum. Pressure in the Chip Supply Chain, highlighted by Marvell (MRVL) $62.74 down 18.6%, signals supply-chain and semiconductor sentiment is amplifying rotational risk for AI-exposed hardware plays. Enterprise Software and Infrastructure names face a two-way setup where continued AI infrastructure spending supports secular demand but near-term rate and macro sensitivity can trigger pronounced pullbacks.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -1.4% -0.5% +3.7% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain -5.2% -2.2% +0.7% ABOVE
Memory & Storage -1.1% +4.5% +11.5% ABOVE
EDA & Semiconductor IP -1.8% +1.0% -3.4% ABOVE
Infrastructure -4.5% -1.5% -6.1% BELOW
AI Networking & Interconnect -2.5% +0.6% -0.5% ABOVE
Enterprise Software -1.3% +0.3% -1.3% BELOW
Finance -0.1% +1.8% +2.8% ABOVE
Healthcare +1.3% +3.5% +12.0% BELOW
Retail +0.4% +0.6% -1.8% BELOW
IT Services +0.3% +1.6% -1.1% BELOW
Airlines -0.2% +2.4% +19.2% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel -0.9% -1.1% +2.9% BELOW
Food & Restaurant +0.3% +1.4% +1.0% BELOW
Logistics +0.1% -0.6% +5.5% BELOW
Industrial -2.2% -1.8% -1.7% BELOW
Cybersecurity -1.9% +2.4% +0.5% BELOW
Chip Equipment -2.9% -1.1% -2.1% BELOW
Data Center REITs -0.3% +0.8% -0.7% BELOW
AI Power & Grid -2.9% +0.3% -9.1% BELOW
Utilities +0.0% -1.7% -0.2% BELOW
Energy +0.8% +1.9% +7.5% ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace -0.5% +1.6% +4.2% ABOVE
Telecom +0.9% +0.8% +4.6% ABOVE
Media & Entertainment -0.6% -0.1% +1.2% BELOW
Biotech +0.5% -0.6% -2.6% BELOW
Materials -0.6% +0.0% +2.3% ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips -0.8% -2.7% +7.4% ABOVE

Sector Strength

Healthcare +1.3% 20d: +12.0%
UnitedHealth (UNH) +2.5% (20d: +28.6%), Eli Lilly (LLY) +0.1% (20d: -4.5%) [<50MA]
Telecom +0.9% 20d: +4.6%
AT&T (T) +1.2% (20d: +5.8%), T-Mobile (TMUS) +0.9% (20d: +4.9%), Verizon (VZ) +0.7% (20d: +3.0%)
Energy +0.8% 20d: +7.5%
Exxon Mobil (XOM) +0.8% (20d: +7.4%), Chevron (CVX) +0.8% (20d: +7.5%)
Biotech +0.5% 20d: -2.6%
Amgen (AMGN) +0.7% (20d: -3.9%) [<50MA], Gilead (GILD) +0.4% (20d: -1.3%)
Retail +0.4% 20d: -1.8%
Walmart (WMT) +0.9% (20d: -2.4%) [<50MA], Costco (COST) -0.2% (20d: -1.3%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Chip Supply Chain -5.2% 20d: +0.7%
Marvell (MRVL) -18.6% (20d: -17.8%) [<50MA], Broadcom (AVGO) -3.6% (20d: -0.1%), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) -3.5% (20d: -8.0%)
Infrastructure -4.5% 20d: -6.1%
Dell (DELL) -8.9% (20d: -6.2%) [<50MA], Super Micro (SMCI) -5.5% (20d: -28.7%) [<50MA], Vertiv (VRT) -5.0% (20d: -9.0%) [<50MA]
Chip Equipment -2.9% 20d: -2.1%
Lam Research (LRCX) -3.8% (20d: +1.8%), ASML Holding (ASML) -2.7% (20d: +6.2%) [<50MA], Applied Materials (AMAT) -2.7% (20d: -11.8%) [<50MA]
AI Power & Grid -2.9% 20d: -9.1%
Vistra (VST) -3.9% (20d: -11.7%) [<50MA], Constellation Energy (CEG) -3.6% (20d: -13.1%) [<50MA], GE Vernova (GEV) -3.3% (20d: -7.5%)
AI Networking & Interconnect -2.5% 20d: -0.5%
Coherent (COHR) -5.0% (20d: -15.2%) [<50MA], Amphenol (APH) -2.8% (20d: +0.2%), Arista Networks (ANET) +0.2% (20d: +13.5%)

Sector Deep Dive

Infrastructure took the brunt of today's headlines as Dell (DELL) $120.81 plunged 8.9% and Super Micro (SMCI) $41.54 fell 5.5%, leaving the sector down 4.5% on the day and -6.1% over 20 days; the group sits above its 50-day average by 6.5% but showed clear volatility within the 50-day window. Investors should parse earnings cadence and order book commentary carefully — the 50-day context shows a recent run above the mean, yet today's outsized declines highlight event-driven downside risk in names tied to server and enterprise hardware cycles.

Chip Supply Chain was the weakest sector, sliding 4.9% intraday with Marvell (MRVL) $62.74 leading losses at -18.6%, leaving the group +8.4% above its 50-day moving average despite the sharp pullback. NVIDIA (NVDA) $173.95, down 3.3% and still +21.1% versus its 50-day, illustrates the bifurcation between leading GPUs and broader component suppliers; the 50-day trend remains constructive for the group overall, but today's breadth deterioration warns of potential mean reversion in smaller-cap suppliers.

Cybersecurity softened as CrowdStrike (CRWD) $105.93 dropped 4.1%, contributing to the sector's 1.9% decline and a 50-day position that is 8.0% below the mean. The 50-day frame shows Cybersecurity under pressure and vulnerable to headline-driven rotations out of growth-sensitive software. For allocators, the 50-day weakness suggests favoring larger-cap, cash-generative names with durable renewal economics until breadth improves across the 50-day window.

Healthcare outperformed with UnitedHealth (UNH) $301.79 up 2.5%, lifting the sector 1.3% on the day and delivering a strong 12.0% gain over 20 days despite being 0.6% below its 50-day moving average. The 50-day context indicates relative resilience in earnings visibility versus cyclical sectors, making selective healthcare exposure a defensive tilt while technology and infrastructure work through rate- and macro-driven volatility.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 12 of 28 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 16 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 12 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500, NASDAQ 100 & Dow Jones (%)

Green shading marks breadth-below-50% regimes: BUY at the 5th session (vertical line on the fire day), STRONG at the 10th (darker). A 3rd day back above 50% ends the regime; tolerated recovery days still count toward the session total. Research display only — not investment advice.

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GOOG $212.92 +0.5% +2.1% +9.1% +27.3% ABOVE 0
AAPL $231.29 -0.2% +2.2% +14.3% +15.6% ABOVE 1
MSFT $502.56 -0.6% +0.5% -5.2% +6.3% BELOW 1
AMZN $229.00 -1.1% +0.5% +8.2% +9.2% ABOVE 1
META $736.29 -1.7% -1.9% -4.9% +8.3% ABOVE 1
NVDA $173.95 -3.3% -3.1% -3.2% +21.1% ABOVE 3
TSLA $333.87 -3.5% -3.7% +8.0% +3.6% ABOVE 3
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
QCOM $157.41 -0.0% +2.8% +9.0% +6.2% ABOVE 1
INTC $24.35 -2.3% -0.8% +24.9% +15.5% ABOVE 1
TSM $228.34 -3.1% -2.0% -3.4% +10.2% BELOW 2
AMD $162.63 -3.5% -0.4% -8.0% +26.8% ABOVE 1
AVGO $295.23 -3.6% +1.1% -0.1% +19.0% ABOVE 1
MRVL $62.74 -18.6% -13.8% -17.8% -14.4% BELOW 1
Memory & Storage Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SNDK $52.47 +3.1% +12.2% +23.4% +12.6% ABOVE 0
WDC $80.12 -2.1% +1.4% +3.9% +35.5% ABOVE 1
MU $118.82 -2.5% +2.2% +10.4% -3.6% ABOVE 1
STX $166.03 -2.9% +2.1% +8.1% +28.5% ABOVE 1
EDA & Semiconductor IP Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CDNS $350.43 -1.1% +1.5% -4.0% +18.6% ABOVE 1
SNPS $603.52 -1.4% +1.1% -5.1% +28.3% ABOVE 1
ARM $138.31 -3.0% +0.4% -1.2% -4.6% BELOW 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CSCO $67.69 -0.5% +2.9% +0.9% +4.8% ABOVE 1
HPE $22.11 -2.5% +0.0% +12.7% +25.7% ABOVE 1
VRT $127.41 -5.0% +2.0% -9.0% +7.6% BELOW 1
SMCI $41.54 -5.5% -5.7% -28.7% -8.3% BELOW 2
DELL $120.61 -8.9% -6.8% -6.2% +2.7% BELOW 1
AI Networking & Interconnect Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ANET $136.55 +0.2% +2.6% +13.5% +58.3% ABOVE 0
APH $108.12 -2.8% -0.8% +0.2% +16.0% ABOVE 1
COHR $90.47 -5.0% -0.0% -15.2% +11.4% BELOW 1
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ADBE $356.70 +0.8% -1.8% +5.3% -5.4% BELOW 0
CRM $254.10 +0.7% +3.4% +1.6% -1.7% BELOW 0
PLTR $156.71 -0.9% -0.3% -2.5% +14.1% ABOVE 1
NOW $183.49 -1.2% +4.3% -0.6% -5.6% BELOW 1
ORCL $223.58 -5.9% -3.9% -10.5% +10.5% BELOW 1
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $295.76 +0.1% +2.2% +2.4% +10.1% ABOVE 0
GS $734.45 -0.3% +1.4% +3.2% +16.9% ABOVE 1
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UNH $301.79 +2.5% +1.6% +28.6% +2.6% ABOVE 0
LLY $727.99 +0.1% +5.4% -4.5% -3.7% BELOW 0
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $96.17 +0.9% +0.9% -2.4% +1.1% BELOW 0
COST $937.85 -0.2% +0.2% -1.3% -3.6% BELOW 2
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $254.72 +1.5% +1.5% +0.5% -8.4% BELOW 0
IBM $237.32 -0.9% +1.7% -2.7% -12.8% BELOW 1
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UAL $105.00 -0.1% +2.6% +20.7% +41.4% ABOVE 1
DAL $61.11 -0.3% +2.3% +17.6% +31.4% ABOVE 1
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $265.65 -0.9% -0.3% +3.6% +3.2% BELOW 1
BKNG $222.08 -0.9% -1.8% +2.2% +5.6% BELOW 1
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $306.11 +0.4% +0.0% +3.1% +9.1% ABOVE 0
SBUX $86.00 +0.2% +2.8% -1.1% -4.7% BELOW 0
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UPS $82.05 +0.2% -0.3% +4.8% -10.3% BELOW 0
FDX $182.64 -0.1% -0.8% +6.2% +2.9% ABOVE 2
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HON $212.80 -0.8% -0.5% -0.1% -0.5% BELOW 1
CAT $415.30 -3.6% -3.1% -3.4% +16.7% ABOVE 1
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PANW $190.52 -0.3% +3.2% +11.4% -4.4% ABOVE 1
ZS $277.05 -1.2% +2.7% -3.1% -8.5% BELOW 1
CRWD $105.93 -4.1% +1.2% -6.9% -11.0% BELOW 1
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
KLAC $86.73 -2.5% -0.9% -4.6% +2.8% BELOW 1
AMAT $159.88 -2.7% -0.8% -11.8% -4.9% BELOW 1
ASML $737.76 -2.7% -1.6% +6.2% -1.6% BELOW 2
LRCX $99.60 -3.8% -1.1% +1.8% +10.7% ABOVE 1
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $769.72 -0.0% +0.5% +1.6% -10.4% ABOVE 2
DLR $162.94 -0.6% +1.1% -3.0% -4.4% BELOW 2
AI Power & Grid Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ETN $345.29 -1.7% +1.0% -9.0% +5.7% BELOW 1
PWR $377.64 -2.1% -0.1% -4.0% +4.8% BELOW 1
GEV $611.58 -3.3% +1.8% -7.5% +25.9% ABOVE 1
CEG $306.27 -3.6% -0.9% -13.1% +1.1% BELOW 1
VST $188.12 -3.9% -0.5% -11.7% +2.2% BELOW 1
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DUK $118.34 +0.1% -0.5% -0.5% +7.1% ABOVE 0
SO $89.35 +0.1% -0.9% -3.1% +4.2% BELOW 0
NEE $70.56 -0.1% -3.6% +2.9% +1.5% BELOW 5
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
XOM $111.07 +0.8% +2.3% +7.4% +0.6% ABOVE 0
CVX $154.51 +0.8% +1.5% +7.5% +8.6% ABOVE 0
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GD $318.94 -0.1% +1.5% +3.8% +17.0% ABOVE 2
LMT $443.66 -0.1% +1.8% +7.5% -3.2% ABOVE 1
RTX $156.28 -1.3% +1.5% +1.2% +8.6% ABOVE 1
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
T $27.97 +1.2% +1.9% +5.8% +6.5% ABOVE 0
TMUS $248.20 +0.9% +0.5% +4.9% +14.2% ABOVE 0
VZ $41.40 +0.7% +0.0% +3.0% +7.8% ABOVE 0
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $116.69 +0.6% +0.6% -0.8% +1.1% BELOW 0
NFLX $120.82 -1.9% -0.8% +3.2% -1.9% BELOW 1
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMGN $279.94 +0.7% -0.3% -3.9% +0.2% BELOW 0
GILD $110.10 +0.4% -1.0% -1.3% +4.1% ABOVE 0
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $286.48 -0.3% -0.0% +2.3% +9.4% ABOVE 1
LIN $471.94 -0.8% +0.1% +2.3% +4.9% ABOVE 2
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCHP $63.34 -0.4% -5.2% -1.7% -5.1% BELOW 5
TXN $197.37 -0.8% -1.7% +10.8% +2.9% ABOVE 3
ADI $247.98 -1.2% -1.2% +13.0% +10.1% ABOVE 3

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Marvell (MRVL) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 18.6% to $62.74. Dell (DELL) (Infrastructure) fell 8.9% to $120.61. Oracle (ORCL) (Enterprise Software) fell 5.9% to $223.58. Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) fell 5.5% to $41.54. Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) fell 5.0% to $127.41. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

No major risk alerts are triggered. In a directionless market, maintaining disciplined position sizing and clear stop-loss levels is key to managing downside risk while staying positioned for breakouts.

US Stock Market Outlook

Market positioning should remain cautious heading into September as alert counts show 7 sectors up, 12 down and 5 flat today while breadth metrics reveal only 8 sectors above their 50-day moving averages and 16 below. The 50-day trends favor caution: key groups that powered the rally remain mixed and event-driven risks can rapidly flip momentum. Positioning guidance is to trim conviction-sized tech and chip-supply exposure, favor high-quality Healthcare and select defensive staples, and use rallies in beaten-down names as opportunity to rebalance rather than add leverage.

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