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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Wednesday, September 03, 2025 MIXED

A surprise swing in big tech set the tone for the US stock market today after Alphabet (GOOG) jumped 9.0% on headlines tied to the Google antitrust trial and renewed optimism around ad durability, lifting the Mag 7 (AI Spenders) group up 2.1% on the day. Broader markets felt the tug-of-war between growth and cyclical news: Energy slid 2.4% as Chevron (CVX) fell 2.3% and Exxon Mobil (XOM) dropped 2.4%, while Retail and Airlines eked out gains. Macroeconomic relief from weaker-than-expected jobs data pushed rate-cut odds higher and supported defensive sectors, but sector leadership remained concentrated—only 8 of 24 sectors sit above their 50-day moving averages. Notable corporate movers included Apple (AAPL) rising 3.8% amid iPhone 17 commentary and Marvell (MRVL) slipping 3.5% after a product update in the chip supply chain.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.22%
stable
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$63.97
-2.5% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
16.4
-4.8% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Bullish Trend Intact
0/3 below
SPY above (+8.7%), QQQ above (+10.0%), DIA above (+5.7%)
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Add Cash
44%
30 of 68 above 50DMA · -16.2pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Contrarian Sell Signal
0.67
Too Optimistic · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment narrative held center stage as the Mag 7 outperformed the S&P 500 intraday, led by Alphabet (GOOG) at $230.44 (1d:+9.0%) and Apple (AAPL) at $237.80 (1d:+3.8%), underscoring investor preference for platform and consumer AI exposure. Chip supply chain and infrastructure signals were mixed: Marvell (MRVL) at $62.18 (1d:-3.5%) pulled back despite a new CXL product line, while NVIDIA (NVDA) at $170.39 (1d:-0.1%) remains a key read on AI hardware demand even as it sits below its 50-day average. Enterprise software names and data-center plays showed tepid follow-through, highlighting that durable AI adoption still depends on capex cycles, broader infrastructure upgrades, and software monetization paths.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +2.1% +0.1% +3.2% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain -0.5% -4.8% +0.6% ABOVE
Infrastructure +0.5% -4.1% -3.3% BELOW
Enterprise Software +0.4% +0.7% -2.3% BELOW
Finance -0.1% -1.0% +2.1% ABOVE
Healthcare +0.0% +0.9% +12.2% BELOW
Retail +1.4% +1.8% -2.8% BELOW
IT Services +0.1% -0.7% +0.0% BELOW
Airlines +0.8% +0.9% +16.3% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel +0.8% -1.1% +1.0% BELOW
Food & Restaurant -1.3% +0.9% +1.1% BELOW
Logistics +0.3% -2.9% +0.1% BELOW
Industrial -0.9% -3.7% -2.4% BELOW
Cybersecurity -0.3% -0.3% -1.4% BELOW
Chip Equipment +0.5% -5.0% -1.2% BELOW
Data Center REITs -1.1% -4.2% -2.8% BELOW
Utilities -0.7% -1.9% -0.7% BELOW
Energy -2.4% -0.7% +5.3% ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace -0.4% -0.8% +2.8% ABOVE
Telecom -0.5% -0.1% +5.0% ABOVE
Media & Entertainment +0.1% -0.2% +3.0% BELOW
Biotech -0.4% -1.1% +1.5% BELOW
Materials -0.4% -1.7% +0.4% ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips -1.3% -4.9% +0.8% BELOW

Sector Strength

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +2.1% 20d: +3.2%
Alphabet (GOOG) +9.0% (20d: +17.4%), Apple (AAPL) +3.8% (20d: +12.0%), Tesla (TSLA) +1.4% (20d: +4.4%)
Retail +1.4% 20d: -2.8%
Walmart (WMT) +1.6% (20d: -3.6%), Costco (COST) +1.2% (20d: -1.9%) [<50MA]
Airlines +0.8% 20d: +16.3%
United (UAL) +1.4% (20d: +19.5%), Delta (DAL) +0.2% (20d: +13.2%)
Hospitality & Travel +0.8% 20d: +1.0%
Booking (BKNG) +1.4% (20d: +0.8%) [<50MA], Marriott (MAR) +0.2% (20d: +1.2%) [<50MA]
Infrastructure +0.5% 20d: -3.3%
Dell (DELL) +2.5% (20d: -3.2%) [<50MA], Vertiv (VRT) +1.3% (20d: -10.1%) [<50MA], Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) +0.6% (20d: +13.4%)

Sector Warnings

Energy -2.4% 20d: +5.3%
Exxon Mobil (XOM) -2.4% (20d: +6.0%), Chevron (CVX) -2.3% (20d: +4.6%)
Food & Restaurant -1.3% 20d: +1.1%
Starbucks (SBUX) -2.8% (20d: -1.3%) [<50MA], McDonald's (MCD) +0.2% (20d: +3.4%)
Analog & Embedded Chips -1.3% 20d: +0.8%
Texas Instruments (TXN) -2.0% (20d: +5.3%) [<50MA], Microchip Technology (MCHP) -0.5% (20d: -3.7%) [<50MA]
Data Center REITs -1.1% 20d: -2.8%
Equinix (EQIX) -1.2% (20d: -0.8%) [<50MA], Digital Realty (DLR) -0.9% (20d: -4.7%) [<50MA]
Industrial -0.9% 20d: -2.4%
Honeywell (HON) -1.7% (20d: -1.9%) [<50MA], Caterpillar (CAT) -0.2% (20d: -2.9%)

Sector Deep Dive

Technology / Mag 7: Alphabet (GOOG) paced the Magnificent Seven move, finishing at $230.44 with a 1-day gain of 9.0% and a 20-day advance of 17.4%; the stock sits comfortably above its 50-day trend (+37.8% vs 50d). Apple (AAPL) closed at $237.80, up 3.8% for the day and +12.0% over 20 days, maintaining a strong 50-day position (+19.2%). NVIDIA (NVDA) traded at $170.39 and was essentially flat today (1d:-0.1%) but remains +15.4% over 50 days; however, NVDA is trading below its 50-day average in the shorter-term breadth reading, signaling that leadership may be consolidating within the Mag 7 rather than broadening to mid-cap AI hardware names.

Chip Supply Chain & Equipment: The chip supply chain index slipped 0.5% on the day but remains +1.6% above its 50-day average, reflecting divergent signals across suppliers. Marvell (MRVL) finished at $62.18, down 3.5% after product announcements, highlighting investor caution despite incremental CXL traction. ASML (ASML) provided a rare bright spot in equipment, trading at $732.95 with a 1.5% gain and helping to anchor the equipment complex even as chip equipment peers show weakness versus their 50-day trends.

Energy & Materials: Energy led the losers as the sector fell 2.4% and both Chevron (CVX) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) underperformed, with CVX at $153.39 (1d:-2.3%) and XOM at $109.46 (1d:-2.4%), even though the group remains +7.8% above the 50-day average. Materials was down modestly by 0.4% but remains +3.1% above its 50-day, signaling that commodity-related reflation narratives still have some runway despite near-term profit-taking in energy names.

Services & Retail: Retail outperformed with a 1.4% gain and Walmart (WMT) trading at $98.85 (1d:+1.6%) as consumer resilience trended into discretionary spend. Food & Restaurant undercut that strength: Starbucks (SBUX) fell to $85.57 (1d:-2.8%) on an AI rollout announcement that failed to appease investors concerned about margin disruption and store traffic, and the sector sits below its 50-day average, suggesting mixed demand signals across consumer-facing operators.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 8 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 16 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 8 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH IT Services down -15.7% over 50 days
HIGH 3 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: IT Services, Cybersecurity, Data Center REITs
LOW Analog & Embedded Chips below 50-day MA with avg 6 consecutive down days

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GOOG $230.44 +9.0% +11.0% +17.4% +37.8% ABOVE 0
AAPL $237.80 +3.8% +3.5% +12.0% +19.2% ABOVE 0
TSLA $334.09 +1.4% -4.4% +4.4% -1.9% ABOVE 0
AMZN $225.99 +0.3% -1.4% +1.7% +6.2% ABOVE 0
META $734.64 +0.3% -1.4% -4.5% +3.5% ABOVE 0
MSFT $502.17 +0.0% -0.3% -3.6% +3.3% BELOW 0
NVDA $170.39 -0.1% -6.0% -4.9% +15.4% BELOW 5
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AVGO $300.19 +1.4% +0.7% +0.2% +14.6% ABOVE 0
TSM $228.86 +1.3% -3.3% +0.0% +5.1% BELOW 0
AMD $162.13 -0.1% -3.0% -0.6% +17.1% ABOVE 3
ARM $131.42 -0.7% -6.6% -3.5% -16.0% BELOW 3
INTC $24.00 -0.9% -3.4% +17.6% +6.4% ABOVE 3
QCOM $154.03 -0.9% -1.6% +7.8% +1.0% ABOVE 3
MRVL $62.18 -3.5% -16.7% -17.3% -17.1% BELOW 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DELL $122.66 +2.5% -6.4% -3.2% +3.3% BELOW 0
VRT $125.45 +1.3% -2.9% -10.1% +2.7% BELOW 0
HPE $22.35 +0.6% +0.4% +13.4% +25.7% ABOVE 0
CSCO $66.30 -0.2% -1.1% -2.2% +0.3% BELOW 3
SMCI $40.10 -1.7% -10.4% -14.3% -6.4% BELOW 4
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CRM $254.30 +1.4% +2.5% +2.9% -5.4% BELOW 0
NOW $183.88 +0.9% +3.5% +0.8% -7.7% BELOW 0
ADBE $348.50 +0.8% -2.2% +0.8% -8.9% BELOW 0
PLTR $154.90 -1.4% -1.2% -13.7% +8.1% BELOW 1
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GS $719.98 -0.0% -2.0% +1.3% +10.9% ABOVE 3
JPM $293.89 -0.1% +0.1% +2.8% +7.0% ABOVE 2
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LLY $734.26 +0.4% +0.5% -0.9% -5.0% BELOW 0
UNH $299.85 -0.3% +1.3% +25.3% +0.7% ABOVE 2
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $98.85 +1.6% +3.5% -3.6% +1.7% ABOVE 0
COST $945.77 +1.2% +0.0% -1.9% -5.1% BELOW 0
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
IBM $239.62 +1.1% -0.3% -2.6% -16.4% BELOW 0
ACN $249.02 -0.8% -1.2% +2.7% -15.1% BELOW 2
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UAL $106.16 +1.4% +1.9% +19.5% +34.3% ABOVE 0
DAL $60.61 +0.2% +0.0% +13.2% +24.1% ABOVE 0
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
BKNG $221.45 +1.4% -0.6% +0.8% +1.8% BELOW 0
MAR $263.42 +0.2% -1.7% +1.2% -1.1% BELOW 0
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $310.65 +0.2% +2.2% +3.4% +9.2% ABOVE 0
SBUX $85.57 -2.8% -0.5% -1.3% -4.0% BELOW 1
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $178.11 +0.5% -3.0% -0.5% -1.8% BELOW 0
UPS $81.31 +0.1% -2.9% +0.8% -13.6% BELOW 0
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CAT $412.18 -0.2% -4.1% -2.9% +11.7% ABOVE 3
HON $208.09 -1.7% -3.3% -1.9% -4.2% BELOW 3
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PANW $191.53 +0.5% +2.1% +10.8% -5.0% ABOVE 0
CRWD $103.30 -0.1% -2.2% -8.5% -14.9% BELOW 3
ZS $270.58 -1.5% -0.9% -6.5% -12.3% BELOW 3
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ASML $732.95 +1.5% -4.3% +6.6% -9.2% BELOW 0
LRCX $97.20 +0.7% -5.7% +1.9% +2.2% BELOW 0
AMAT $155.56 -0.8% -5.0% -12.0% -13.0% BELOW 3
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DLR $156.97 -0.9% -4.8% -4.7% -9.1% BELOW 4
EQIX $749.82 -1.2% -3.6% -0.8% -15.4% BELOW 4
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DUK $118.41 -0.3% -1.8% -2.1% +4.8% ABOVE 2
SO $89.46 -0.5% -1.7% -2.4% +1.6% BELOW 2
NEE $70.15 -1.4% -2.3% +2.3% +1.1% BELOW 1
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $153.39 -2.3% -0.7% +4.6% +11.3% ABOVE 1
XOM $109.46 -2.4% -0.7% +6.0% +4.3% ABOVE 1
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
RTX $156.32 +0.1% -1.1% +2.0% +12.0% ABOVE 0
GD $317.21 -0.5% -0.8% +2.5% +15.4% ABOVE 4
LMT $440.46 -0.8% -0.5% +4.0% -1.7% ABOVE 1
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VZ $40.94 -0.1% -1.2% +3.3% +4.3% ABOVE 2
T $27.73 -0.1% -0.1% +5.6% +3.7% ABOVE 2
TMUS $248.86 -1.3% +0.9% +6.0% +10.3% ABOVE 1
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NFLX $122.62 +1.0% +0.2% +4.0% -4.1% BELOW 0
DIS $115.70 -0.8% -0.6% +1.9% -1.1% BELOW 2
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $110.12 +0.2% -0.8% +2.5% +5.4% BELOW 0
AMGN $277.80 -1.1% -1.4% +0.5% +3.1% BELOW 2
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $283.72 -0.3% -1.1% +0.8% +4.3% ABOVE 3
LIN $465.51 -0.5% -2.3% +0.1% +1.9% ABOVE 4
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCHP $62.04 -0.5% -5.1% -3.7% -9.5% BELOW 7
TXN $191.78 -2.0% -4.7% +5.3% -4.2% BELOW 5

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Alphabet (GOOG) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) rose 9.0% to $230.44. Apple (AAPL) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) rose 3.8% to $237.80. Marvell (MRVL) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 3.5% to $62.18. Starbucks (SBUX) (Food & Restaurant) fell 2.8% to $85.57. Dell (DELL) (Infrastructure) rose 2.5% to $122.66. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 2 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Forward-looking positioning should respect the narrow leadership: alerts show three sectors with >10% declines over 50 days (IT Services, Cybersecurity, Data Center REITs) and eight sectors above their 50-day moving averages, indicating uneven breadth in the S&P 500. With active high alerts on IT Services (-15.7% over 50 days) and continued weakness in data-center and security-related groups, tactically favor Mag 7 exposure and selective materials/airlines names that remain above 50-day support while trimming names in flagged weak sectors. Monitor market breadth and the count of sectors above/below 50MA as the primary risk gauge for rotational trades into earnings and Fed-driven rate expectations.

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