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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Monday, September 15, 2025 MIXED

Stocks rallied as bond yields fell into the FOMC meeting, driving a broad risk-on move led by chip equipment and AI-related names. Chip Equipment outperformed with a 3.5% gain and ASML (ASML) jumped 6.6% to $862.74 after positive headlines, while Alphabet (GOOG) climbed 4.3% to $251.27 as Gemini momentum pushed GOOG to a $3 trillion valuation. Tesla (TSLA) rallied 3.6% to $410.04 on renewed AI positioning and Intel (INTC) rose 2.9% to $24.77, helping the Chip Supply Chain advance 1.2%. The Magnificent 7 group was uniformly higher, up 1.8% for the day and holding strong above 50-day averages, supporting the S&P 500's advance in today’s US stock market action.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.05%
falling
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$63.30
+1.0% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
15.7
+6.3% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Bullish Trend Intact
0/3 below
SPY above (+11.1%), QQQ above (+13.5%), DIA above (+7.0%)
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Healthy Uptrend
57%
39 of 68 above 50DMA · +7.4pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Contrarian Sell Signal
0.58
Too Optimistic · falling
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme held center stage as the Mag 7 continued to carry market breadth, led by Alphabet (GOOG) $251.27 and Tesla (TSLA) $410.04, both trading well above their 50-day trends. Strength in the Chip Supply Chain — with Intel (INTC) $24.77 higher — and in Chip Equipment via ASML (ASML) $862.74 underscores continued capex into semiconductors and lithography. Infrastructure beneficiaries such as Vertiv are participating, while Enterprise Software remains mixed, signaling that AI spend is concentrated in cloud, chips and data-center infrastructure rather than broadly across all software vendors.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +1.8% +4.1% +6.5% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain +1.2% +4.1% +3.2% ABOVE
Infrastructure +1.2% +4.8% +1.5% BELOW
Enterprise Software +0.3% +0.3% +0.3% BELOW
Finance +0.8% +3.3% +7.1% ABOVE
Healthcare -0.8% +0.1% +10.3% ABOVE
Retail -0.3% -0.3% +0.5% BELOW
IT Services +0.4% -3.4% +1.2% BELOW
Airlines -2.2% -2.4% -1.1% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel +0.7% +0.1% +0.3% BELOW
Food & Restaurant -0.1% -2.3% -6.1% BELOW
Logistics -1.0% -0.2% -1.6% BELOW
Industrial +0.6% +1.6% +1.7% BELOW
Cybersecurity +1.8% +2.7% +7.2% ABOVE
Chip Equipment +3.5% +8.4% +13.8% ABOVE
Data Center REITs +1.0% +4.5% +5.2% ABOVE
Utilities +0.1% +1.6% -1.6% BELOW
Energy +0.1% +1.6% +3.8% ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace +0.8% +3.2% +4.8% ABOVE
Telecom -0.3% +0.0% -1.5% ABOVE
Media & Entertainment +0.4% -3.2% -2.1% BELOW
Biotech -0.9% -2.0% -4.7% BELOW
Materials -1.1% +0.8% +0.2% BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips -2.4% -3.1% -5.6% BELOW

Sector Strength

Chip Equipment +3.5% 20d: +13.8%
ASML +6.6% (20d: +16.0%), Lam Research (LRCX) +1.9% (20d: +20.6%), Applied Materials (AMAT) +1.9% (20d: +4.8%) [<50MA]
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +1.8% 20d: +6.5%
Alphabet (GOOG) +4.3% (20d: +23.3%), Tesla (TSLA) +3.6% (20d: +22.3%), Amazon (AMZN) +1.4% (20d: -0.0%)
Cybersecurity +1.8% 20d: +7.2%
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) +2.5% (20d: +14.3%), CrowdStrike (CRWD) +2.0% (20d: +4.3%) [<50MA], Zscaler (ZS) +0.9% (20d: +3.1%)
Infrastructure +1.2% 20d: +1.5%
Vertiv (VRT) +2.6% (20d: +1.9%), Dell (DELL) +1.4% (20d: -8.2%) [<50MA], Super Micro (SMCI) +0.8% (20d: -1.0%) [<50MA]
Chip Supply Chain +1.2% 20d: +3.2%
Intel (INTC) +2.9% (20d: +4.7%), ARM Holdings (ARM) +2.1% (20d: +9.1%), AMD +1.6% (20d: -8.5%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Analog & Embedded Chips -2.4% 20d: -5.6%
Texas Instruments (TXN) -2.4% (20d: -8.3%) [<50MA], Microchip Technology (MCHP) -2.4% (20d: -3.0%) [<50MA]
Airlines -2.2% 20d: -1.1%
Delta (DAL) -2.4% (20d: -4.4%), United (UAL) -1.9% (20d: +2.1%)
Materials -1.1% 20d: +0.2%
Air Products (APD) -1.1% (20d: +0.5%) [<50MA], Linde (LIN) -1.1% (20d: -0.1%)
Logistics -1.0% 20d: -1.6%
FedEx (FDX) -1.7% (20d: -0.3%) [<50MA], UPS -0.4% (20d: -2.9%) [<50MA]
Biotech -0.9% 20d: -4.7%
Gilead (GILD) -1.1% (20d: -4.0%) [<50MA], Amgen (AMGN) -0.7% (20d: -5.5%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Equipment: ASML (ASML) led the market today, surging 6.6% to $862.74 as investor attention focused on order flow and the broader semiconductor capex cycle. The Chip Equipment sector rose 3.5% for the day, is +13.8% over 20 days and sits +7.4% over the 50-day, confirming a positive 50-day trend that supports hardware suppliers and toolmakers as customers accelerate AI-related fabs.

Chip Supply Chain: Intel (INTC) climbed 2.9% to $24.77 and the Chip Supply Chain sector was up 1.2% on the session, +3.2% over 20 days and +11.5% vs the 50-day, indicating healthy momentum through the primary 50-day window. The 50-day strength suggests demand is broadening beyond pure-play foundries into integrated suppliers and legacy players positioning for AI-driven refresh cycles.

Airlines: United (UAL) eased 1.9% to $104.55 while the Airlines sector fell 2.2% on the day despite a 50-day position that is +23.1% ABOVE the moving average. The sharp 50-day outperformance signals the sector had already priced in summer strength and capacity normalization, so today’s downside reflects sensitivity to cyclical flow and a short-term pullback rather than a change in the intermediate trend.

Infrastructure: Vertiv (VRT) added 2.6% to $138.15 and the Infrastructure sector was up 1.2% for the day, yet remains BELOW its 50-day average by 4.8%. That divergence — individual infrastructure names rallying while the sector lags the 50-day — shows stock-specific AI/data-center investment stories are outperforming an otherwise tepid sector trend across the primary 50-day timeframe.

Enterprise Software / IT Services: Microsoft (MSFT) rose 1.1% to $512.12 even as the Enterprise Software sector printed only a +0.3% daily return and sits -0.9% vs its 50-day. IT Services is an active negative outlier with a HIGH alert (down -16.1% over 50 days), highlighting dispersion: large-cap software and platform names are holding 50-day support while IT Services and some smaller software vendors are under pressure through the 50-day window.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 11 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 13 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 8 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH IT Services down -16.1% over 50 days

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GOOG $251.27 +4.3% +4.9% +23.3% +41.9% ABOVE 0
TSLA $410.04 +3.6% +18.2% +22.3% +39.5% ABOVE 0
AMZN $231.43 +1.4% -2.9% -0.0% +3.6% ABOVE 0
META $762.20 +1.2% -0.1% -0.3% +6.5% ABOVE 0
AAPL $236.03 +1.1% +1.0% +2.5% +12.9% ABOVE 0
MSFT $512.12 +1.1% +3.4% -0.2% +3.7% ABOVE 0
NVDA $177.52 -0.0% +4.1% -2.3% +12.3% ABOVE 1
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
INTC $24.77 +2.9% +1.4% +4.7% +12.6% ABOVE 0
ARM $153.86 +2.1% +9.3% +9.1% +4.8% ABOVE 0
AMD $161.16 +1.6% +3.4% -8.5% +19.6% BELOW 0
AVGO $361.44 +1.2% +8.1% +19.1% +32.8% ABOVE 0
TSM $258.52 +0.8% +4.2% +8.3% +14.1% ABOVE 0
MRVL $67.29 +0.1% +0.9% -12.1% -5.7% BELOW 0
QCOM $158.79 -0.4% +1.6% +2.0% +2.6% ABOVE 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VRT $138.15 +2.6% +10.1% +1.9% +9.5% ABOVE 0
DELL $125.41 +1.4% +4.5% -8.2% +2.0% BELOW 0
SMCI $45.38 +0.8% +5.7% -1.0% -3.7% BELOW 0
CSCO $65.66 +0.7% -0.5% +0.1% -2.8% BELOW 0
HPE $24.33 +0.4% +4.0% +14.8% +18.8% ABOVE 0
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NOW $189.48 +2.0% +1.5% +6.2% -8.5% ABOVE 0
CRM $240.48 -0.1% -3.8% -0.6% -10.1% BELOW 2
PLTR $171.21 -0.1% +5.5% -1.6% +23.1% ABOVE 1
ADBE $347.10 -0.6% -2.0% -2.8% -7.9% BELOW 2
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GS $775.36 +0.9% +3.0% +8.2% +11.3% ABOVE 0
JPM $303.10 +0.6% +3.7% +6.0% +5.8% ABOVE 0
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UNH $340.95 -0.7% +0.6% +13.5% +15.3% ABOVE 2
LLY $744.57 -1.0% -0.3% +7.2% -3.0% ABOVE 2
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $103.07 +0.2% +1.4% +3.0% +4.6% ABOVE 0
COST $956.05 -0.8% -2.0% -2.0% -3.1% BELOW 1
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
IBM $251.54 +1.1% -1.1% +7.0% -11.8% BELOW 0
ACN $233.07 -0.3% -5.6% -4.5% -20.5% BELOW 2
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UAL $104.55 -1.9% -1.0% +2.1% +28.9% ABOVE 2
DAL $57.79 -2.4% -3.7% -4.4% +17.3% ABOVE 3
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
BKNG $220.91 +1.9% -0.2% +0.7% -4.2% BELOW 0
MAR $263.48 -0.5% +0.4% -0.2% -4.5% BELOW 2
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SBUX $81.09 +1.0% -1.3% -10.7% -11.1% BELOW 0
MCD $296.59 -1.1% -3.3% -1.6% +3.5% BELOW 2
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UPS $80.10 -0.4% -0.5% -2.9% -15.1% BELOW 2
FDX $179.53 -1.7% -0.0% -0.3% -3.4% BELOW 1
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CAT $432.85 +1.0% +4.3% +5.6% +11.8% ABOVE 0
HON $205.89 +0.1% -1.1% -2.2% -11.1% BELOW 0
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PANW $201.28 +2.5% +1.9% +14.3% -0.1% ABOVE 0
CRWD $111.19 +2.0% +5.0% +4.3% -12.0% BELOW 0
ZS $285.66 +0.9% +1.2% +3.1% -9.4% ABOVE 0
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ASML $862.74 +6.6% +7.7% +16.0% +10.8% ABOVE 0
LRCX $118.55 +1.9% +12.9% +20.6% +21.5% ABOVE 0
AMAT $170.17 +1.9% +4.5% +4.8% -10.1% BELOW 0
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DLR $171.33 +1.6% +7.5% +6.8% +2.7% ABOVE 0
EQIX $778.80 +0.4% +1.6% +3.5% +2.5% ABOVE 0
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DUK $119.26 +0.3% +1.7% +0.7% +5.2% ABOVE 0
SO $90.07 +0.0% +1.2% -0.6% +1.5% BELOW 0
NEE $70.03 -0.2% +2.0% -4.8% -3.6% BELOW 1
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
XOM $109.89 +0.2% +1.5% +5.3% +2.1% ABOVE 0
CVX $152.67 +0.1% +1.6% +2.4% +7.9% ABOVE 0
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
RTX $156.57 +1.6% +4.4% +1.8% +9.0% ABOVE 0
LMT $464.18 +0.4% +3.5% +8.2% +1.6% ABOVE 0
GD $321.31 +0.3% +1.8% +4.3% +11.0% ABOVE 0
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
T $28.29 +0.2% +0.7% +2.4% +5.3% ABOVE 0
VZ $41.06 -0.2% +0.7% -1.2% +4.2% ABOVE 2
TMUS $236.14 -0.8% -1.2% -5.7% +1.2% BELOW 1
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NFLX $120.23 +1.2% -4.8% -3.4% -6.8% BELOW 0
DIS $113.97 -0.3% -1.5% -0.8% -6.1% BELOW 2
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMGN $268.55 -0.7% -2.0% -5.5% -5.6% BELOW 2
GILD $110.44 -1.1% -2.1% -4.0% +1.4% BELOW 2
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LIN $471.90 -1.1% +0.7% -0.1% +1.8% ABOVE 2
APD $282.00 -1.1% +0.8% +0.5% +0.2% BELOW 2
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCHP $61.93 -2.4% -2.5% -3.0% -11.0% BELOW 2
TXN $174.59 -2.4% -3.7% -8.3% -15.9% BELOW 2

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: ASML (Chip Equipment) rose 6.6% to $862.74. Alphabet (GOOG) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) rose 4.3% to $251.27. Tesla (TSLA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) rose 3.6% to $410.04. Intel (INTC) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 2.9% to $24.77. Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) rose 2.6% to $138.15. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 1 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

With 11 sectors above their 50-day averages and 13 below, breadth is mixed heading into the FOMC decision and active alerting points to stress in IT Services (one HIGH alert). The 50-day trends favor chip equipment, chip supply chain and the Mag 7, so positioning should overweight AI-capex beneficiaries and selective data-center names while trimming exposure to lagging IT Services and Analog & Embedded chips that remain well below 50-day. Monitor yield moves and FOMC guidance closely — a hawkish surprise could flatten the recent 50-day momentum and widen sector divergence.

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