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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Tuesday, November 11, 2025 BULLISH

The US stock market rallied on optimism that a government shutdown is nearing an end and on upbeat company-specific news, with FedEx (FDX) jumping after management said profits should improve in Q2 and Amgen (AMGN) rallying on positive company commentary. The Logistics sector led with a 3.8% gain as FedEx climbed 5.4% to $212.96, while Biotech strength lifted Gilead (GILD) and AMGN, supporting S&P 500 breadth. The Magnificent 7 (AI Spenders) were mixed, the group was essentially flat for the day (-0.2%) as Apple (AAPL) outperformed with a 2.2% rise to $274.74 while NVIDIA (NVDA) slipped 3.0% to $192.91. Market participants rotated into defensive and cyclical pockets after fresh downgrades and profit-taking in parts of the chip supply chain and infrastructure names.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.13%
stable
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$61.04
+1.5% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
17.3
-1.8% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Bullish Trend Intact
0/3 below
SPY above (+12.1%), QQQ above (+15.2%), DIA above (+10.0%)
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Pause Discretionary Adds
60%
41 of 68 above 50DMA · +0.0pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Contrarian Sell Signal
0.67
Too Optimistic · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme remains a dominant structural force but showed signs of selective profit-taking today as the Mag 7 balance shifted intraday. Apple (AAPL) $274.74 and NVIDIA (NVDA) $192.91 remain leaders in AI-driven spend, yet Microsoft (MSFT) $505.48 trading below its 50-day suggests some near-term digestion even as enterprise software and cloud infrastructure continue to see incremental deployments. Pressure in the Chip Supply Chain and Infrastructure groups underscores where capex and equipment links are being repriced, creating selective opportunities in chip equipment and systems suppliers for long-term AI exposure.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -0.2% -0.4% +5.3% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain -1.9% -3.6% -1.1% ABOVE
Infrastructure -3.1% -5.3% -8.7% BELOW
Enterprise Software +0.1% -1.1% +1.4% BELOW
Finance +0.6% +1.7% +4.4% ABOVE
Healthcare +2.0% +3.3% +5.1% BELOW
Retail +0.4% -0.2% -4.6% BELOW
IT Services +0.3% +0.4% +6.8% BELOW
Airlines -1.3% -1.6% -7.4% BELOW
Hospitality & Travel +1.2% +3.0% +4.5% BELOW
Food & Restaurant +2.4% +2.3% +2.4% ABOVE
Logistics +3.8% +3.4% +13.3% ABOVE
Industrial +0.9% +0.7% +5.8% ABOVE
Cybersecurity +0.5% +3.0% +9.7% ABOVE
Chip Equipment -2.9% -3.6% +4.0% ABOVE
Data Center REITs -0.6% +0.5% -2.0% BELOW
Utilities +0.7% +1.3% -4.2% BELOW
Energy +0.8% +3.9% +5.0% ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace +0.7% +0.8% +3.9% ABOVE
Telecom +2.2% +2.9% -3.0% BELOW
Media & Entertainment +1.9% +3.3% -1.4% BELOW
Biotech +4.2% +2.9% +8.7% ABOVE
Materials +1.4% +6.2% -1.8% BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips -0.9% -6.2% -12.1% BELOW

Sector Strength

Biotech +4.2% 20d: +8.7%
Amgen (AMGN) +4.6% (20d: +13.8%), Gilead (GILD) +3.7% (20d: +3.6%)
Logistics +3.8% 20d: +13.3%
FedEx (FDX) +5.4% (20d: +13.5%), UPS +2.1% (20d: +13.0%)
Food & Restaurant +2.4% 20d: +2.4%
McDonald's (MCD) +2.6% (20d: +0.5%), Starbucks (SBUX) +2.2% (20d: +4.3%)
Telecom +2.2% 20d: -3.0%
T-Mobile (TMUS) +3.0% (20d: -6.5%) [<50MA], Verizon (VZ) +2.1% (20d: +0.8%) [<50MA], AT&T (T) +1.4% (20d: -3.4%) [<50MA]
Healthcare +2.0% 20d: +5.1%
Eli Lilly (LLY) +2.3% (20d: +19.6%), UnitedHealth (UNH) +1.8% (20d: -9.3%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Infrastructure -3.1% 20d: -8.7%
Vertiv (VRT) -4.7% (20d: -0.8%), Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) -4.1% (20d: -8.6%) [<50MA], Super Micro (SMCI) -3.4% (20d: -28.0%) [<50MA]
Chip Equipment -2.9% 20d: +4.0%
Lam Research (LRCX) -4.3% (20d: +9.9%), Applied Materials (AMAT) -2.7% (20d: +0.5%), ASML -1.6% (20d: +1.4%)
Chip Supply Chain -1.9% 20d: -1.1%
Marvell (MRVL) -4.2% (20d: +0.5%), ARM Holdings (ARM) -3.3% (20d: -12.3%) [<50MA], AMD -2.6% (20d: -0.5%)
Airlines -1.3% 20d: -7.4%
Delta (DAL) -1.4% (20d: -6.1%) [<50MA], United (UAL) -1.2% (20d: -8.7%) [<50MA]
Analog & Embedded Chips -0.9% 20d: -12.1% CRITICAL
Microchip Technology (MCHP) -1.3% (20d: -16.1%) [<50MA], Texas Instruments (TXN) -0.5% (20d: -8.1%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Logistics widened its leadership after FedEx (FDX) reported an easing of holiday-season worries and guidance that implies improving Q2 profits; FDX rose 5.4% to $212.96 while the Logistics sector sits +15.5% vs its 50-day, signaling a robust 50-day trend. The move reinforced a rotation into high-conviction cyclical names and helped lift industrial leaves as investors discounted supply-chain normalization. Watch carrier profitability and pricing cadence over the next two quarters for confirmation of sustainable earnings improvement.

Chip Equipment delivered a weaker session as Lam Research (LRCX) traded down 4.3% to $158.62, reflecting equipment-order volatility even though the sector is +49.5% over the 50-day and remains ABOVE its 50MA. That disparity highlights a bifurcation: leading equipment names trade with stretched momentum over 50 days while near-term headlines on bookings create episodic drawdowns. Traders should respect the 50-day momentum but use pullbacks in select equipment names for staged exposure to secular semiconductor capex.

Infrastructure underperformed, led lower by Vertiv (VRT) which fell 4.7% to $178.90 and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) which slid 4.1% to $22.54; the Infrastructure sector is +11.8% over 50 days but is currently trading BELOW its 50MA in the shorter term. The divergence reflects profit-taking after a strong multi-month run and fresh negative news flow for discrete suppliers. Risk management here favors waiting for a re-test of the sector 50-day bias before increasing cyclicals exposure tied to data-center builds and industrial automation.

Biotech stood out as one of the top-performing groups with Amgen (AMGN) up 4.6% to $331.24 and Gilead (GILD) rising 3.7% to $120.28, while the sector maintains a +14.2% 50-day advantage and is ABOVE its 50MA. Positive company-specific catalysts and defensive earnings characteristics supported flows into the group, producing a clean 50-day trend that looks constructive for patient accumulation. Investors seeking lower-beta exposure to fundamentals may favor high-quality biopharma names given current macro uncertainty.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 11 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 13 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 10 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -12.1% over 20 days
HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -15.6% over 50 days
HIGH 3 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Infrastructure, Airlines, Analog & Embedded Chips
MEDIUM META down -16.6% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AAPL $274.74 +2.2% +2.0% +10.5% +15.5% ABOVE 0
MSFT $505.48 +0.5% +0.3% -0.9% +0.7% BELOW 0
GOOG $291.17 +0.4% +2.5% +15.9% +26.4% ABOVE 0
AMZN $249.10 +0.3% -0.4% +15.6% +10.2% ABOVE 0
META $625.45 -0.7% -1.4% -12.6% -14.9% BELOW 1
TSLA $439.62 -1.3% -4.9% +1.0% +31.6% ABOVE 1
NVDA $192.91 -3.0% -1.1% +7.4% +13.2% ABOVE 1
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
QCOM $171.36 +1.4% -3.2% +6.8% +11.2% ABOVE 0
TSM $288.89 -1.4% -0.8% -4.4% +26.2% ABOVE 1
INTC $37.88 -1.5% -1.3% +2.0% +57.8% ABOVE 1
AVGO $350.00 -1.8% -2.0% +0.2% +16.6% ABOVE 1
AMD $237.52 -2.6% -7.3% -0.5% +46.5% ABOVE 1
ARM $149.74 -3.3% -6.5% -12.3% +13.9% BELOW 1
MRVL $89.20 -4.2% -3.8% +0.5% +43.5% ABOVE 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CSCO $70.68 -0.5% -0.5% +3.2% +6.6% ABOVE 1
DELL $137.73 -2.8% -9.0% -9.4% +12.3% BELOW 7
SMCI $38.82 -3.4% -7.6% -28.0% -3.2% BELOW 1
HPE $22.54 -4.1% -3.5% -8.6% +0.8% BELOW 1
VRT $178.90 -4.7% -6.1% -0.8% +42.6% ABOVE 1
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ADBE $333.22 +1.3% -0.7% +0.8% -4.4% BELOW 0
CRM $242.87 +1.2% -3.2% +3.3% -4.5% BELOW 0
NOW $172.13 -0.6% -2.2% -4.7% -6.4% BELOW 1
PLTR $190.96 -1.4% +1.6% +6.3% +23.3% ABOVE 1
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GS $798.57 +1.6% +2.2% +5.5% +10.9% ABOVE 0
JPM $311.20 -0.4% +1.3% +3.2% +5.9% ABOVE 1
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LLY $983.83 +2.3% +6.8% +19.6% +34.0% ABOVE 0
UNH $320.92 +1.8% -0.1% -9.3% +7.0% BELOW 0
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $102.82 +1.0% +1.9% -5.1% +4.0% ABOVE 0
COST $911.29 -0.2% -2.3% -4.2% -3.6% BELOW 5
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
IBM $309.66 +1.5% +2.8% +12.4% +29.2% ABOVE 0
ACN $237.66 -0.8% -2.1% +1.2% -4.6% BELOW 2
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UAL $94.95 -1.2% -1.8% -8.7% -10.6% BELOW 2
DAL $57.29 -1.4% -1.4% -6.1% -5.5% BELOW 2
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
BKNG $200.68 +1.9% +2.8% -0.6% -9.4% BELOW 0
MAR $290.08 +0.5% +3.1% +9.7% +10.1% ABOVE 0
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $301.26 +2.6% +0.4% +0.5% -3.0% ABOVE 0
SBUX $84.75 +2.2% +4.3% +4.3% -1.0% ABOVE 0
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $212.96 +5.4% +4.5% +13.5% +19.6% ABOVE 0
UPS $90.59 +2.1% +2.3% +13.0% +11.4% ABOVE 0
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HON $206.76 +2.2% +1.7% +5.0% -0.6% ABOVE 0
CAT $565.53 -0.5% -0.2% +6.6% +37.2% ABOVE 1
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PANW $218.27 +0.8% +2.4% +5.6% +14.0% ABOVE 0
ZS $331.29 +0.7% +2.3% +9.6% +22.4% ABOVE 0
CRWD $139.18 -0.1% +4.2% +13.8% +34.7% ABOVE 1
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ASML $1018.85 -1.6% -2.0% +1.4% +39.0% ABOVE 1
AMAT $227.66 -2.7% -5.1% +0.5% +46.3% ABOVE 1
LRCX $158.62 -4.3% -3.6% +9.9% +63.2% ABOVE 1
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DLR $165.00 -0.4% +1.2% -3.8% +5.1% BELOW 2
EQIX $807.68 -0.9% -0.1% -0.1% +7.7% ABOVE 1
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NEE $83.99 +1.2% +4.4% -0.0% +19.7% ABOVE 0
DUK $120.53 +0.6% -0.1% -3.9% +1.8% BELOW 0
SO $88.96 +0.4% -0.3% -8.6% -0.6% BELOW 0
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
XOM $117.16 +1.3% +5.4% +7.3% +7.0% ABOVE 0
CVX $151.63 +0.4% +2.3% +2.7% -1.2% ABOVE 0
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LMT $448.31 +1.1% -3.4% -8.5% +1.8% BELOW 0
GD $347.83 +0.8% +2.8% +6.1% +9.7% ABOVE 0
RTX $177.19 +0.1% +3.0% +14.2% +13.4% ABOVE 0
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TMUS $208.79 +3.0% +3.5% -6.5% -16.1% BELOW 0
VZ $38.75 +2.1% +2.5% +0.8% -5.4% BELOW 0
T $24.30 +1.4% +2.5% -3.4% -12.4% BELOW 0
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $113.21 +2.3% +3.1% +2.8% -2.2% ABOVE 0
NFLX $113.64 +1.5% +3.5% -5.6% -7.3% BELOW 0
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMGN $331.24 +4.6% +5.8% +13.8% +19.2% ABOVE 0
GILD $120.28 +3.7% -0.0% +3.6% +9.2% ABOVE 0
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $257.11 +1.5% +10.4% +1.9% -9.4% BELOW 0
LIN $422.33 +1.4% +2.0% -5.5% -9.3% BELOW 0
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $157.89 -0.5% -2.3% -8.1% -17.7% BELOW 1
MCHP $53.63 -1.3% -10.0% -16.1% -13.5% BELOW 4

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: FedEx (FDX) (Logistics) rose 5.4% to $212.96. Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) fell 4.7% to $178.90. Amgen (AMGN) (Biotech) rose 4.6% to $331.24. Lam Research (LRCX) (Chip Equipment) fell 4.3% to $158.62. Marvell (MRVL) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 4.2% to $89.20. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 3 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

With 16 sectors up versus 7 down and 11 sectors trading above their 50MA (13 below), market breadth is mixed and momentum is concentrated. Active alerts — including three sectors declining >5% over 20 days and a high alert on Analog & Embedded Chips down -15.6% over 50 days — argue for selective positioning and heightened risk controls. We recommend overweighting high-quality cyclicals that show clear 50-day strength (Logistics, Biotech) while trimming positions in stretched chip-supply and infrastructure names until they re-establish positive 50-day confirmation; keep hedges in place for headline-driven volatility.

Hypothetical Portfolio

SIMULATION
Value $100,000
P&L +0.00%
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Calendar
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