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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Thursday, November 13, 2025 BEARISH

Disney (DIS) headlines the session after Q4 results and commentary spurred a 7.7% slide to $106.07, initiating a broader risk-off move that pressured Media & Entertainment (-4.0%) and other rate-sensitive names. The US stock market pulled back as rate-cut doubts and weak macro cues hit technology, with the Mag 7 (AI Spenders) down 2.5% on the day after outsized weakness in NVIDIA (NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA). Chip Supply Chain and Chip Equipment led sector losses, off 3.7% and 3.3% respectively, while Energy outperformed, up 1.0% as Chevron (CVX) rose to $150.99. Today's action left only 12 of 24 sectors above their 50-day moving average, reinforcing a bifurcated S&P 500 backdrop.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.11%
stable
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$58.69
+0.3% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Elevated Caution
20.0
+14.2% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Bullish Trend Intact
0/3 below
SPY above (+10.1%), QQQ above (+12.6%), DIA above (+8.8%)
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Add Cash
52%
35 of 68 above 50DMA · -2.9pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Contrarian Sell Signal
0.67
Too Optimistic · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme showed cracks as the Mag 7 (AI Spenders) group fell 2.5%, with NVIDIA (NVDA) at $186.62 down 3.6% and Amazon (AMZN) at $237.58 down 2.7%, testing enthusiasm for hardware-led capacity expansion. Weakness in Chip Supply Chain (-3.7%) and Chip Equipment (-3.3%) highlights near-term caution on semiconductor demand even as long-term infrastructure remain under buildout. Enterprise Software saw pressure — Palantir (PLTR) fell to $172.14 amid narrative volatility — underscoring that AI software spend will need clearer visibility to re-accelerate multiple expansion.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -2.5% -1.3% +0.9% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain -3.7% -1.9% -1.8% ABOVE
Infrastructure -3.1% -4.6% -7.7% BELOW
Enterprise Software -2.9% -0.6% -2.6% BELOW
Finance -3.7% +0.5% +5.6% ABOVE
Healthcare -0.7% +6.6% +10.3% BELOW
Retail +0.2% +0.1% -2.9% BELOW
IT Services -1.4% +0.4% +6.4% ABOVE
Airlines -1.9% +0.7% -0.8% BELOW
Hospitality & Travel -1.7% +0.7% +5.2% BELOW
Food & Restaurant -0.4% +1.8% +0.5% ABOVE
Logistics -0.4% +1.0% +11.7% ABOVE
Industrial -2.1% +0.6% +4.9% ABOVE
Cybersecurity -2.7% -3.0% +3.5% ABOVE
Chip Equipment -3.3% -2.2% +2.3% ABOVE
Data Center REITs -3.4% -5.8% -5.9% BELOW
Utilities -1.1% -0.1% -3.8% BELOW
Energy +1.0% +0.9% +3.7% ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace -1.3% -1.0% +2.0% ABOVE
Telecom +0.7% +3.4% -2.4% BELOW
Media & Entertainment -4.0% +0.9% -3.3% BELOW
Biotech +0.7% +5.1% +7.2% ABOVE
Materials +0.2% +1.6% -0.5% BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips -1.0% -0.8% -11.6% BELOW

Sector Strength

Energy +1.0% 20d: +3.7%
Chevron (CVX) +1.5% (20d: +1.6%), Exxon Mobil (XOM) +0.6% (20d: +5.8%)
Biotech +0.7% 20d: +7.2%
Gilead (GILD) +1.5% (20d: +1.9%), Amgen (AMGN) -0.1% (20d: +12.4%)
Telecom +0.7% 20d: -2.4%
T-Mobile (TMUS) +0.9% (20d: -6.4%) [<50MA], Verizon (VZ) +0.8% (20d: +1.4%) [<50MA], AT&T (T) +0.4% (20d: -2.2%) [<50MA]
Materials +0.2% 20d: -0.5%
Air Products (APD) +0.6% (20d: +3.9%) [<50MA], Linde (LIN) -0.1% (20d: -4.9%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Media & Entertainment -4.0% 20d: -3.3%
Disney (DIS) -7.7% (20d: -2.8%) [<50MA], Netflix (NFLX) -0.3% (20d: -3.8%) [<50MA]
Finance -3.7% 20d: +5.6%
Goldman Sachs (GS) -4.0% (20d: +7.3%), JPMorgan (JPM) -3.4% (20d: +4.0%)
Chip Supply Chain -3.7% 20d: -1.8%
ARM Holdings (ARM) -5.7% (20d: -15.3%) [<50MA], Intel (INTC) -5.2% (20d: -3.0%), Broadcom (AVGO) -4.3% (20d: -2.7%) [<50MA]
Data Center REITs -3.4% 20d: -5.9%
Digital Realty (DLR) -3.5% (20d: -8.5%) [<50MA], Equinix (EQIX) -3.3% (20d: -3.4%) [<50MA]
Chip Equipment -3.3% 20d: +2.3%
Lam Research (LRCX) -5.0% (20d: +8.3%), Applied Materials (AMAT) -3.3% (20d: -0.8%), ASML -1.7% (20d: -0.7%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain: The group dropped 3.7% on the day, reflecting profit-taking after recent strength; ARM Holdings (ARM) led on the downside, -5.7% to $140.31. Over the 50-day window the sector remains above its 50-day moving average with a +25.4% 50d performance, but the 20-day is negative at -1.8%, signaling a pullback within a longer-term uptrend. Investors should watch order flow and capital expenditure guides from equipment buyers for confirmation of a sustained recovery.

Infrastructure & Data Center REITs: Infrastructure fell 3.1% and Data Center REITs steeper at -3.4%, with Super Micro (SMCI) plunging 7.4% to $35.09 on stock-specific weakness. Both groups are on alert: Infrastructure is below its 50-day moving average despite a +8.2% 50d return for the broader sector average, while Data Center REITs are already negative over 50 days (-0.4%) and down -5.9% over 20 days. The active alert noting three sectors declining >5% over 20 days flags rising dispersion and risk among names tied to server buildouts and leasing cycles.

Mag 7 & Enterprise Software: Within the Mag 7 (AI Spenders), Microsoft (MSFT) at $500.12 slipped 1.5% and Apple (AAPL) at $272.44 eased 0.2%, leaving the group +6.3% over 50 days but mixed over shorter windows. Enterprise Software was weaker, -2.9% on the day, with Palantir (PLTR) down 6.5% to $172.14 and the sub-sector trading below its 50-day average (-0.7% 50d). The divergence between large-cap AI hardware beneficiaries and select software names suggests rotation and headline sensitivity within the theme.

Media & Entertainment and Consumer: Media & Entertainment posted the worst sector reading at -4.0% as Disney (DIS) dropped 7.7% to $106.07 after earnings commentary, placing the sector well below its 50-day (-8.0% 50d). Retail showed resilience with Costco (COST) up 1.2% to $922.48 even as broader consumer segments lag, and Hospitality & Travel remains marginally below its 50-day at +0.4% over 50 days. The earnings-driven move in DIS underscores the importance of content guidance and subscriber metrics for reopening narratives and advertising trends.

Energy and Defensive Responses: Energy bucked the trend, rising 1.0% with Chevron (CVX) at $150.99 up 1.5%, as commodity-driven fundamentals provided shelter during equity volatility. Utilities and Telecom are split on defensive footing: Telecom gained 0.7% with T-Mobile (TMUS) at $211.34 up 0.9% but sits below its 50-day (-11.0% 50d), while Utilities are down 1.1% and trading below their 50-day despite a modest near-term pullback. These moves reflect selective risk-off flows into yield- and commodity-supported names while duration-sensitive sectors digest rate-expectation shifts.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 12 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 12 are below. An even split above and below the 50-day MA suggests the market lacks directional conviction. Watch for a decisive shift in sector rotation to confirm the next trend.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -11.6% over 20 days
HIGH 3 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Infrastructure, Data Center REITs, Analog & Embedded Chips
MEDIUM META down -18.9% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
META $608.31 +0.1% -1.9% -14.9% -18.9% BELOW 0
AAPL $272.44 -0.2% +1.8% +8.3% +14.0% ABOVE 2
MSFT $500.12 -1.5% +1.3% -2.0% +1.7% BELOW 1
AMZN $237.58 -2.7% -2.8% +11.5% +2.3% ABOVE 2
GOOG $278.57 -2.9% -0.2% +10.0% +18.8% ABOVE 2
NVDA $186.62 -3.6% -0.7% +2.0% +11.9% ABOVE 1
TSLA $401.99 -6.6% -6.4% -8.5% +14.6% BELOW 3
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
QCOM $171.87 -1.2% +2.1% +6.8% +9.2% ABOVE 1
MRVL $87.39 -2.0% -3.7% -0.5% +38.3% ABOVE 1
TSM $279.99 -2.9% -1.5% -4.4% +16.3% BELOW 3
AMD $247.96 -4.2% +6.2% +6.4% +64.1% ABOVE 1
AVGO $338.09 -4.3% -2.7% -2.7% +1.7% BELOW 1
INTC $35.91 -5.2% -5.8% -3.0% +46.6% ABOVE 1
ARM $140.31 -5.7% -7.9% -15.3% +1.5% BELOW 3
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CSCO $76.27 +4.6% +8.9% +10.3% +16.4% ABOVE 0
HPE $22.58 -2.3% -2.2% -0.1% -2.0% BELOW 1
DELL $132.95 -4.8% -8.7% -10.1% +7.7% BELOW 1
VRT $163.51 -5.6% -9.0% -6.0% +32.0% ABOVE 3
SMCI $35.09 -7.4% -11.7% -32.8% -13.2% BELOW 3
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ADBE $333.60 -1.0% +2.0% +0.1% -4.4% BELOW 1
NOW $169.94 -1.7% -1.4% -6.0% -7.0% BELOW 1
CRM $238.83 -2.3% +0.2% -1.1% -4.0% BELOW 1
PLTR $172.14 -6.5% -3.3% -3.4% +12.4% BELOW 3
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $305.15 -3.4% -1.5% +4.0% +5.6% ABOVE 1
GS $793.83 -4.0% +2.4% +7.3% +9.1% ABOVE 1
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LLY $1017.92 +0.5% +10.7% +27.4% +40.7% ABOVE 0
UNH $325.89 -1.9% +2.6% -6.8% +6.1% BELOW 1
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
COST $922.48 +1.2% +0.3% -1.1% -3.8% BELOW 0
WMT $101.93 -0.9% -0.0% -4.8% +2.0% BELOW 1
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $242.57 +0.4% +0.7% +3.9% -2.9% ABOVE 0
IBM $300.92 -3.2% +0.1% +9.0% +23.3% ABOVE 1
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DAL $59.44 -0.9% +1.7% +0.5% -1.8% ABOVE 1
UAL $97.17 -2.8% -0.3% -2.0% -8.8% BELOW 1
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $285.64 -1.5% -1.3% +10.2% +8.6% ABOVE 2
BKNG $201.67 -1.9% +2.7% +0.1% -7.8% BELOW 1
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $302.00 +0.2% +2.6% -0.2% -2.2% ABOVE 0
SBUX $84.77 -0.9% +1.0% +1.3% +1.2% ABOVE 1
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UPS $91.49 -0.2% +0.0% +11.1% +12.9% ABOVE 1
FDX $212.66 -0.5% +2.0% +12.4% +18.2% ABOVE 1
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HON $206.21 -0.9% +3.0% +4.5% -1.0% ABOVE 1
CAT $551.21 -3.4% -1.7% +5.3% +31.2% ABOVE 1
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PANW $204.77 -2.5% -3.5% -1.5% +5.3% BELOW 2
ZS $308.60 -2.7% -3.6% +2.8% +12.5% ABOVE 2
CRWD $132.45 -2.9% -1.9% +9.3% +26.9% ABOVE 3
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ASML $1016.30 -1.7% +0.3% -0.7% +30.7% ABOVE 1
AMAT $222.24 -3.3% -3.0% -0.8% +37.2% ABOVE 1
LRCX $152.78 -5.0% -3.8% +8.3% +49.2% ABOVE 1
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $773.74 -3.3% -4.6% -3.4% +1.7% BELOW 3
DLR $154.76 -3.5% -6.9% -8.5% -2.5% BELOW 4
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DUK $120.45 -0.3% -0.1% -3.8% +2.5% BELOW 1
SO $88.98 -0.8% -0.3% -6.8% -0.7% BELOW 1
NEE $82.26 -2.2% +0.1% -0.6% +18.5% ABOVE 1
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $150.99 +1.5% +0.4% +1.6% +1.2% ABOVE 0
XOM $116.19 +0.6% +1.3% +5.8% +8.8% ABOVE 0
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LMT $447.12 -0.3% -0.5% -7.9% -1.7% BELOW 2
GD $339.58 -1.5% -0.7% +3.9% +7.0% ABOVE 2
RTX $171.99 -2.1% -1.7% +10.1% +10.4% ABOVE 2
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TMUS $211.34 +0.9% +3.7% -6.4% -15.1% BELOW 0
VZ $39.14 +0.8% +2.7% +1.4% -5.8% BELOW 0
T $24.86 +0.4% +3.7% -2.2% -12.0% BELOW 0
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NFLX $115.42 -0.3% +4.6% -3.8% -7.2% BELOW 1
DIS $106.07 -7.7% -2.8% -2.8% -8.7% BELOW 1
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $122.87 +1.5% +5.4% +1.9% +9.6% ABOVE 0
AMGN $328.84 -0.1% +4.9% +12.4% +18.5% ABOVE 2
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $257.89 +0.6% +1.3% +3.9% -8.7% BELOW 0
LIN $424.30 -0.1% +1.9% -4.9% -8.7% BELOW 1
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $160.36 -0.5% +1.0% -7.3% -12.9% BELOW 1
MCHP $53.73 -1.5% -2.6% -15.9% -16.9% BELOW 1

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Disney (DIS) (Media & Entertainment) fell 7.7% to $106.07. Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) fell 7.4% to $35.09. Tesla (TSLA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) fell 6.6% to $401.99. Palantir (PLTR) (Enterprise Software) fell 6.5% to $172.14. ARM Holdings (ARM) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 5.7% to $140.31. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 2 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Looking ahead, breadth is deteriorating: only 12 of 24 sectors trade above their 50-day moving averages and three sectors are flagged declining >5% over 20 days, raising the probability of continued dispersion. Active alerts — notably Analog & Embedded Chips down -11.6% over 20 days and META -18.9% from its 20-day high — argue for cautious positioning and tighter risk controls. Tactical positioning should favor earnings- and cash-flow-resilient Energy and select large-cap defensive names, while reducing exposure to cyclical infrastructure and beaten-up semiconductor midcaps until 20- and 50-day trend confirmations re-emerge.

Hypothetical Portfolio

SIMULATION
Value $98,389
P&L -1.61%
Today -1.94%
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Calendar
2025-11-14 →