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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Monday, December 01, 2025 BEARISH

Markets opened with defensive tone after mixed headlines drove sector rotation: defense names fell after RTX Corp. (RTX) underperformed even as a unit won an F-35 sustainment contract, while Broadcom (AVGO) attracted bullish technical commentary and Zscaler (ZS) saw analyst story rewrites that pressured cybersecurity. The S&P 500 drifted as 6 sectors advanced and 16 retreated, with only 7 sectors trading above their 50-day moving averages. The Magnificent 7 were mixed: NVIDIA (NVDA) led modest gains (+1.6% to $179.69) while Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta (META) slipped, reflecting dispersion within the AI spending cohort. Today's action showed investors favoring chip equipment and select IT services names even as several technology-related pockets continue to languish.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.09%
stable
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$59.32
+1.3% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
17.2
+5.4% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Bullish Trend Intact
0/3 below
SPY above (+10.8%), QQQ above (+13.3%), DIA above (+8.3%)
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Add Cash
44%
30 of 68 above 50DMA · +11.8pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Contrarian Sell Signal
0.68
Too Optimistic · falling
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme remains bifurcated: Mag 7 leaders show divergent 50-day momentum, with Apple (AAPL) €282.58 (1d:+1.5%) trading above its 50-day while NVIDIA (NVDA) $179.69 (1d:+1.6%) sits below, highlighting stock-specific flows. Chip supply chain names like ASML $1084.19 (+2.6%) and Marvell (MRVL) $90.97 (+1.9%) are benefiting from the capex narrative, but persistent weakness in Enterprise Software and Cybersecurity counters suggests the infrastructure and software layers of the AI stack need clearer earnings support. Investors should separate pure-play silicon beneficiaries from software/recurring-revenue plays when positioning for the next macro impulse.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -0.0% +2.0% -2.6% BELOW
Chip Supply Chain -0.6% +4.0% -5.6% BELOW
Infrastructure -0.7% +2.8% -13.3% BELOW
Enterprise Software +0.6% +2.0% -11.1% BELOW
Finance -1.6% +3.1% +1.5% ABOVE
Healthcare -1.8% +0.1% +7.5% BELOW
Retail +0.4% +5.0% +4.0% BELOW
IT Services +1.0% +3.1% +2.2% ABOVE
Airlines -0.4% +5.7% +7.4% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel -0.5% +1.4% +6.3% BELOW
Food & Restaurant -2.3% +1.0% +4.3% ABOVE
Logistics -0.7% +2.1% +5.5% ABOVE
Industrial -1.2% +1.2% -1.8% BELOW
Cybersecurity -1.8% -3.9% -16.9% BELOW
Chip Equipment +1.0% +7.8% +1.8% ABOVE
Data Center REITs -2.5% -2.6% -10.2% BELOW
Utilities -2.3% -0.2% -0.3% BELOW
Energy +0.8% +1.2% +1.8% BELOW
Defense & Aerospace -3.3% -2.2% -5.6% BELOW
Telecom -1.0% +0.7% +3.5% BELOW
Media & Entertainment +1.8% +3.4% -2.8% BELOW
Biotech -1.8% +0.1% +8.3% ABOVE
Materials -0.4% +0.8% +3.9% BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips -0.2% +4.3% -4.7% BELOW

Sector Strength

Media & Entertainment +1.8% 20d: -2.8%
Disney (DIS) +2.2% (20d: -4.8%) [<50MA], Netflix (NFLX) +1.4% (20d: -0.8%) [<50MA]
IT Services +1.0% 20d: +2.2%
Accenture (ACN) +3.0% (20d: +3.6%), IBM -0.9% (20d: +0.9%)
Chip Equipment +1.0% 20d: +1.8%
ASML +2.6% (20d: +2.0%), Applied Materials (AMAT) +1.0% (20d: +7.4%), Lam Research (LRCX) -0.8% (20d: -4.0%)
Energy +0.8% 20d: +1.8%
Chevron (CVX) +0.9% (20d: +0.1%) [<50MA], Exxon Mobil (XOM) +0.6% (20d: +3.4%)
Enterprise Software +0.6% 20d: -11.1%
ServiceNow (NOW) +1.2% (20d: -10.0%) [<50MA], Salesforce (CRM) +1.0% (20d: -10.9%) [<50MA], Adobe (ADBE) +0.8% (20d: -4.3%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Defense & Aerospace -3.3% 20d: -5.6%
RTX Corp (RTX) -3.9% (20d: -4.7%) [<50MA], Lockheed Martin (LMT) -3.3% (20d: -9.3%) [<50MA], General Dynamics (GD) -2.7% (20d: -2.8%) [<50MA]
Data Center REITs -2.5% 20d: -10.2% CRITICAL
Equinix (EQIX) -2.7% (20d: -11.4%) [<50MA], Digital Realty (DLR) -2.3% (20d: -9.1%) [<50MA]
Food & Restaurant -2.3% 20d: +4.3%
Starbucks (SBUX) -2.5% (20d: +5.6%), McDonald's (MCD) -2.1% (20d: +3.0%)
Utilities -2.3% 20d: -0.3%
Duke Energy (DUK) -2.6% (20d: -1.5%) [<50MA], Southern Co (SO) -2.3% (20d: -3.7%) [<50MA], NextEra Energy (NEE) -1.9% (20d: +4.2%)
Cybersecurity -1.8% 20d: -16.9% CRITICAL
Zscaler (ZS) -3.3% (20d: -27.7%) [<50MA], Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -1.3% (20d: -14.4%) [<50MA], CrowdStrike (CRWD) -1.0% (20d: -8.7%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Equipment: The chip equipment patch outperformed, with ASML $1084.19 up 2.6% today and the sector average up 1.0% on the day and +7.8% over five days. Over the 50-day window the group sits ABOVE its 50-day moving average (+19.5%), signaling sustained investor preference for lithography and capital intensity exposure. Given the 20-day performance (+1.8%) and ASML's leadership, the 50-day trend supports overweight exposure to select equipment names where order visibility and capacity cycles are clearer.

Chip Supply Chain: Broader chip supply chain names were mixed — Marvell (MRVL) $90.97 gained 1.9% while Broadcom (AVGO) $383.93 lagged with a 4.2% decline after a technical bulletin. The sector is BELOW its 50-day moving average (+15.6% vs 50d: BELOW) and shows a 20-day decline of -5.6%, an active-alert trend to watch. The contrast between individual winners and an internally weakening 20-day trend argues for stock-picking within the chain rather than blanket exposure until 50-day breadth improves.

Cybersecurity & Enterprise Software: Cybersecurity underperformed again, with Zscaler (ZS) $243.28 down 3.3% amid analyst revisions that reset expectations; the Cybersecurity sector is -1.8% on the day and -16.9% over 20 days, sitting well BELOW its 50-day (-8.1%). Enterprise Software is only +0.6% today but is DOWN -11.1% over 20 days and BELOW its 50-day (-9.5%). The 50-day window shows both subsectors remain in corrective regimes, suggesting tactical caution until a sustained rotation back above the 50-day emerges.

Defense & Aerospace: Defense & Aerospace weakened sharply with RTX Corp (RTX) $166.77 off 3.9% despite contract news, and Lockheed Martin (LMT) $434.05 down 3.3% as the sector fell -3.3% on the day and -5.6% over 20 days while only +0.5% vs 50d. The negative 20-day performance and spotty 50-day context point to profit-taking and risk repricing even around discrete program wins; selective long ideas should be predicated on clearer order flow or valuation support.

IT Services & Media: IT Services saw Accenture (ACN) $252.23 lead gains (+3.0%), helping the sector to +1.0% on the day and keep it ABOVE its 50-day (+10.3%). Media & Entertainment also outperformed marginally, with Disney (DIS) $105.25 up 2.2% and the sector holding a -8.1% status vs 50d but a positive 1-day and 5-day profile. The 50-day trend in IT Services supports overweight exposure to high-quality consulting and systems integrators, while media requires earnings confirmation to re-establish trend consistency.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 7 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 17 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 11 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Infrastructure down -13.3% over 20 days
HIGH Enterprise Software down -11.1% over 20 days
HIGH Cybersecurity down -16.9% over 20 days
HIGH Data Center REITs down -10.2% over 20 days
HIGH 6 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Chip Supply Chain, Infrastructure, Enterprise Software, Cybersecurity, Data Center REITs, Defense & Aerospace

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NVDA $179.69 +1.6% -1.4% -13.0% -2.0% BELOW 0
AAPL $282.58 +1.5% +2.6% +5.3% +10.7% ABOVE 0
AMZN $233.88 +0.3% +3.4% -7.9% +2.7% ABOVE 0
TSLA $430.14 -0.0% +3.0% -8.2% -0.9% BELOW 1
MSFT $484.58 -1.1% +2.7% -5.7% -5.2% BELOW 1
META $639.21 -1.1% +4.5% +0.5% -16.2% BELOW 1
GOOG $314.50 -1.6% -1.1% +10.9% +24.6% ABOVE 3
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MRVL $90.97 +1.9% +8.7% +0.8% +20.7% ABOVE 0
AMD $219.76 +1.0% +2.2% -15.4% +37.5% BELOW 0
QCOM $165.51 -0.0% +1.8% -7.0% -1.0% BELOW 1
ARM $135.01 -0.4% +0.2% -20.0% -6.6% BELOW 1
TSM $285.43 -1.3% +1.1% -5.6% +5.5% BELOW 1
INTC $40.01 -1.4% +11.8% +1.3% +39.1% ABOVE 1
AVGO $383.93 -4.2% +2.1% +6.5% +14.0% ABOVE 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HPE $21.61 +0.3% +4.0% -10.4% -12.8% BELOW 0
VRT $179.14 -0.3% +6.1% -6.3% +18.0% ABOVE 1
DELL $131.11 -0.9% +3.8% -17.5% -2.3% BELOW 1
CSCO $74.95 -1.2% -0.3% +2.1% +12.9% ABOVE 1
SMCI $33.41 -1.3% +0.3% -34.2% -28.7% BELOW 1
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NOW $164.41 +1.2% +0.8% -10.0% -13.3% BELOW 0
CRM $231.28 +1.0% +2.6% -10.9% -6.8% BELOW 0
ADBE $322.85 +0.8% +1.3% -4.3% -11.3% BELOW 0
PLTR $167.49 -0.6% +3.2% -19.2% -6.6% BELOW 1
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $304.59 -1.3% +3.7% -0.1% -0.6% ABOVE 1
GS $799.11 -1.8% +2.5% +3.2% +0.7% ABOVE 1
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LLY $1054.31 -1.6% -1.1% +18.2% +40.3% ABOVE 3
UNH $316.77 -2.0% +1.3% -3.2% -5.3% BELOW 1
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $110.86 +0.9% +7.2% +9.8% +8.5% ABOVE 0
COST $909.40 -0.2% +2.9% -1.7% -3.2% BELOW 1
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $252.23 +3.0% +5.7% +3.6% +7.3% ABOVE 0
IBM $301.72 -0.9% +0.5% +0.9% +13.3% ABOVE 1
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DAL $63.65 +0.1% +5.7% +9.7% +9.3% ABOVE 0
UAL $101.12 -0.8% +5.8% +5.2% -2.9% ABOVE 1
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $302.26 -0.4% +2.4% +15.3% +15.2% ABOVE 1
BKNG $194.37 -0.5% +0.3% -2.8% -10.4% BELOW 1
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $299.85 -2.1% +0.2% +3.0% +0.8% ABOVE 2
SBUX $83.87 -2.5% +1.9% +5.6% +0.3% ABOVE 1
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UPS $92.35 -0.6% +1.8% +3.0% +15.0% ABOVE 1
FDX $217.43 -0.8% +2.4% +8.0% +18.8% ABOVE 2
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HON $197.43 -1.0% +0.8% -3.2% -2.9% BELOW 1
CAT $565.66 -1.3% +1.5% -0.4% +20.7% ABOVE 1
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CRWD $126.03 -1.0% -0.5% -8.7% +2.2% BELOW 1
PANW $187.73 -1.3% +2.1% -14.4% -9.8% BELOW 1
ZS $243.28 -3.3% -13.2% -27.7% -16.6% BELOW 3
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ASML $1084.19 +2.6% +10.1% +2.0% +13.8% ABOVE 0
AMAT $254.12 +1.0% +10.3% +7.4% +27.3% ABOVE 0
LRCX $154.24 -0.8% +2.9% -4.0% +17.3% ABOVE 1
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DLR $153.08 -2.3% -1.6% -9.1% -10.5% BELOW 1
EQIX $725.72 -2.7% -3.6% -11.4% -7.6% BELOW 1
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NEE $83.47 -1.9% +0.5% +4.2% +17.8% ABOVE 1
SO $87.59 -2.3% -0.1% -3.7% -2.8% BELOW 1
DUK $118.70 -2.6% -1.1% -1.5% +0.2% BELOW 1
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $149.69 +0.9% +1.9% +0.1% -1.2% BELOW 0
XOM $115.08 +0.6% +0.6% +3.4% +5.0% ABOVE 0
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GD $328.05 -2.7% -1.7% -2.8% +3.5% BELOW 1
LMT $434.05 -3.3% -1.9% -9.3% -7.9% BELOW 1
RTX $166.77 -3.9% -3.0% -4.7% +5.8% BELOW 1
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
T $24.89 -0.9% +0.7% +5.1% -9.9% BELOW 1
VZ $38.79 -0.9% +1.3% +3.2% -4.0% BELOW 1
TMUS $204.53 -1.1% +0.2% +2.1% -12.5% BELOW 1
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $105.25 +2.2% +4.7% -4.8% -5.1% BELOW 0
NFLX $109.13 +1.4% +2.0% -0.8% -11.1% BELOW 0
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $122.01 -1.2% -0.8% +1.9% +10.5% ABOVE 2
AMGN $332.66 -2.3% +1.0% +14.7% +18.8% ABOVE 1
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $255.77 -0.1% +1.7% +9.0% -8.7% ABOVE 1
LIN $403.01 -0.8% -0.1% -1.2% -14.8% BELOW 1
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $166.22 -0.1% +4.3% +4.1% -5.5% BELOW 1
MCHP $52.85 -0.3% +4.3% -13.6% -17.6% BELOW 1

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Broadcom (AVGO) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 4.2% to $383.93. RTX Corp (RTX) (Defense & Aerospace) fell 3.9% to $166.77. Lockheed Martin (LMT) (Defense & Aerospace) fell 3.3% to $434.05. Zscaler (ZS) (Cybersecurity) fell 3.3% to $243.28. Accenture (ACN) (IT Services) rose 3.0% to $252.23. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 5 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Near-term market outlook remains conditional: 6 sectors are declining more than 5% over 20 days and five HIGH alerts (Infrastructure, Enterprise Software, Cybersecurity, Data Center REITs, plus the count of weak sectors) underscore elevated risk. Breadth metrics show only 7 sectors above their 50MA versus 17 below, and the S&P 500 reaction to mixed tech headlines suggests choppy internals over the next few sessions. Positioning guidance: trim exposure to weak 20-day performers, consider selective exposure to chip equipment and IT services where 50-day trends are constructive, and keep cash for directional clarity when more sectors rotate back above the 50-day.

Hypothetical Portfolio

SIMULATION
Value $98,235
P&L -1.76%
Today -0.68%
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Calendar
2025-12-02 →