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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Wednesday, December 24, 2025 BULLISH

Costco makes headlines and led retail strength after news that the company is improving its member experience; Costco (COST) rose 2.0% to $869.41 and was the top gainer as retail outperformed despite the group sitting below its 50-day average. Chip equipment names also bid higher after Lam Research (LRCX) hit all-time highs and its CEO disclosed a $27 million sale; LRCX climbed 1.2% to $176.99 and the Chip Equipment sector sits comfortably above its 50-day trend. ServiceNow (NOW) underperformed, sliding 1.1% to $152.59 amid headlines and weighing on Enterprise Software, even as the Magnificent 7 collectively were largely flat on the day with mixed 50-day signals across the group in the S&P 500. Today’s market action left 15 sectors up, one down and eight flat, reinforcing breadth that favored cyclicals and tech-linked industrials.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.15%
stable
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$58.35
-0.1% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
13.5
-3.8% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Bullish Trend Intact
0/3 below
SPY above (+11.2%), QQQ above (+12.7%), DIA above (+10.5%)
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Pause Discretionary Adds
62%
42 of 68 above 50DMA · +10.3pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.72
Call-Heavy · rising
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme remains constructive but selective: NVIDIA (NVDA) at $188.38 is modestly softer (-0.3%) while other Mag 7 names like Apple (AAPL) $273.30 and Amazon (AMZN) $232.38 showed incremental gains, underscoring continued leadership but not uniform strength. Chip supply chain names displayed divergence — Lam Research (LRCX) $176.99 is strong above its 50-day trend while Marvell (MRVL) $86.36 lagged (down 1.4%), signaling short-cycle differentiation in semiconductor suppliers. Infrastructure and enterprise software money is rotating into hardware and chip equipment as companies and cloud owners prioritize AI compute capacity, but ServiceNow (NOW) $152.59’s drop reminds investors to watch execution and contract cadence in software exposures.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +0.1% +2.4% +3.3% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain -0.2% +2.7% -3.0% BELOW
Infrastructure -0.1% +4.1% +0.6% BELOW
Enterprise Software -0.1% +1.5% +9.9% ABOVE
Finance +1.0% +4.6% +9.6% ABOVE
Healthcare +0.7% +0.9% -1.2% BELOW
Retail +1.3% -0.6% -0.7% BELOW
IT Services -0.0% +0.7% +4.7% ABOVE
Airlines +0.9% +1.4% +11.7% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel +0.2% +2.3% +7.3% ABOVE
Food & Restaurant +0.8% -3.7% -0.8% ABOVE
Logistics +0.4% +0.8% +6.5% ABOVE
Industrial +0.5% +1.3% +2.7% ABOVE
Cybersecurity -0.2% +0.0% -4.2% BELOW
Chip Equipment +0.6% +4.5% +7.1% ABOVE
Data Center REITs +0.3% +3.4% -0.2% BELOW
Utilities +0.8% -0.2% -4.7% BELOW
Energy -0.1% +2.1% +2.3% BELOW
Defense & Aerospace +0.5% +3.4% +5.7% ABOVE
Telecom +0.8% +0.3% -3.2% BELOW
Media & Entertainment +0.6% +1.0% -0.2% BELOW
Biotech +0.6% +3.2% -1.9% ABOVE
Materials +0.2% +1.1% -0.3% BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips +0.0% +1.3% +15.7% ABOVE

Sector Strength

Retail +1.3% 20d: -0.7%
Costco (COST) +2.0% (20d: -4.0%) [<50MA], Walmart (WMT) +0.6% (20d: +2.5%)
Finance +1.0% 20d: +9.6%
Goldman Sachs (GS) +1.0% (20d: +12.2%), JPMorgan (JPM) +1.0% (20d: +7.0%)
Airlines +0.9% 20d: +11.7%
United (UAL) +1.1% (20d: +13.0%), Delta (DAL) +0.7% (20d: +10.4%)
Telecom +0.8% 20d: -3.2%
Verizon (VZ) +1.0% (20d: -1.4%) [<50MA], AT&T (T) +0.8% (20d: -4.5%) [<50MA], T-Mobile (TMUS) +0.7% (20d: -3.7%) [<50MA]
Food & Restaurant +0.8% 20d: -0.8%
Starbucks (SBUX) +0.8% (20d: -2.5%), McDonald's (MCD) +0.8% (20d: +0.9%)

Sector Warnings

Cybersecurity -0.2% 20d: -4.2%
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -0.5% (20d: +1.0%) [<50MA], CrowdStrike (CRWD) -0.4% (20d: -4.9%) [<50MA], Zscaler (ZS) +0.1% (20d: -8.9%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Equipment: Lam Research (LRCX) is the clear leader in the 50-day window, trading at $176.99 after a 1.2% gain today and anchoring a Chip Equipment sector that is +0.6% on the day and +14.4% over 50 days (ABOVE). That 50-day strength reflects sustained capex momentum for advanced nodes. Contrast that with pockets of the chip supply chain that are below their 50-day averages — Marvell (MRVL) at $86.36 was a top loser (-1.4%) and Intel (INTC) at $36.16 slipped 0.5%, emphasizing dispersion between equipment demand and some component suppliers across the past 50 trading days.

Retail & Consumer: Costco (COST) led the group, rising 2.0% to $869.41 after positive press on member experience improvements, yet the Retail sector remains below its 50-day average (-3.0%) despite today’s strength. Walmart coverage and comparisons have amplified investor focus on durable traffic trends; the 50-day context shows retailers are still digesting a mixed macro backdrop and selective winners like Costco are outperforming the broader group across the last 50 sessions.

Enterprise Software: ServiceNow (NOW) slipped 1.1% to $152.59 and has shown friction inside a sector that is +2.9% versus its 50-day average (ABOVE) but still sensitive to execution headlines. Enterprise Software is +9.9% over 20 days, signaling strong medium-term momentum, yet NOW’s one-day weakness illustrates stock-specific risk around guidance and contract timing even as the broader software cohort trades above its 50-day trend.

Infrastructure & Data Centers: Infrastructure posted a slight decline (-0.1%) today and sits below its 50-day average (-11.3% BELOW) with several names under pressure; Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) traded down 0.6% to $24.21 and Super Micro (SMCI) fell 0.7% to $30.55. The 50-day picture shows these groups remain out of favor compared with chip equipment, reflecting uneven capital spending patterns where data center hardware pockets are under review despite ongoing AI-driven demand for certain server components.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 13 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 11 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 13 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AAPL $273.30 +0.5% +0.6% -1.3% +9.9% ABOVE 0
META $666.36 +0.4% +0.5% +5.4% -6.9% ABOVE 0
MSFT $485.86 +0.2% +0.8% +0.5% -4.8% BELOW 0
AMZN $232.38 +0.1% +2.5% +1.4% +7.8% ABOVE 0
GOOG $315.26 -0.0% +3.9% -1.4% +25.5% ABOVE 1
TSLA $485.40 -0.0% +0.4% +13.8% +11.5% ABOVE 2
NVDA $188.38 -0.3% +8.3% +4.6% +4.9% ABOVE 1
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TSM $297.26 +0.6% +5.0% +3.3% -1.7% ABOVE 0
AVGO $348.93 +0.3% +6.4% -11.7% -0.1% BELOW 0
AMD $215.04 +0.1% +7.0% +0.4% -9.9% BELOW 0
QCOM $173.02 +0.0% +0.3% +6.4% +7.8% ABOVE 0
ARM $111.55 -0.4% -1.7% -15.9% -34.6% BELOW 3
INTC $36.16 -0.5% -0.3% -1.8% -2.7% BELOW 3
MRVL $86.36 -1.4% +2.4% -1.4% -2.7% BELOW 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DELL $127.43 +0.6% +4.4% -3.7% -16.2% BELOW 0
VRT $166.80 +0.4% +8.1% -3.0% -7.5% BELOW 0
CSCO $76.90 +0.0% +1.4% +2.6% +12.2% ABOVE 0
HPE $24.21 -0.6% +2.8% +14.2% -1.8% ABOVE 2
SMCI $30.55 -0.7% +4.0% -6.9% -43.4% BELOW 3
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CRM $263.92 +0.7% +2.9% +16.5% +12.3% ABOVE 0
ADBE $352.98 +0.2% -0.8% +11.2% +6.8% ABOVE 0
PLTR $194.17 +0.0% +4.6% +17.1% +8.1% ABOVE 0
NOW $152.59 -1.1% -0.5% -5.0% -15.5% BELOW 2
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GS $902.04 +1.0% +3.9% +12.2% +19.2% ABOVE 0
JPM $324.56 +1.0% +5.2% +7.0% +7.7% ABOVE 0
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UNH $323.21 +0.9% -0.2% +0.0% -8.7% BELOW 0
LLY $1073.34 +0.5% +1.9% -2.5% +30.5% ABOVE 0
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
COST $869.41 +2.0% +1.7% -4.0% -8.6% BELOW 0
WMT $111.17 +0.6% -2.8% +2.5% +2.6% ABOVE 0
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
IBM $300.62 +0.3% +1.4% +0.4% +9.1% ABOVE 0
ACN $264.53 -0.3% +0.0% +8.9% +12.6% ABOVE 1
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UAL $114.81 +1.1% +1.7% +13.0% +10.3% ABOVE 0
DAL $70.41 +0.7% +1.2% +10.4% +15.4% ABOVE 0
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $313.93 +0.3% +2.7% +3.4% +18.7% ABOVE 0
BKNG $216.82 +0.1% +1.9% +11.1% +7.4% ABOVE 0
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SBUX $83.54 +0.8% -5.4% -2.5% +2.8% ABOVE 0
MCD $309.49 +0.8% -2.0% +0.9% +3.3% ABOVE 0
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UPS $97.63 +0.5% -1.4% +5.2% +21.8% ABOVE 0
FDX $236.59 +0.2% +3.1% +7.8% +26.1% ABOVE 0
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HON $204.39 +0.7% -0.6% +3.7% +3.8% ABOVE 0
CAT $581.29 +0.2% +3.2% +1.7% +9.6% ABOVE 0
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ZS $229.60 +0.1% -0.6% -8.9% -24.1% BELOW 0
CRWD $119.28 -0.4% -0.0% -4.9% -2.4% BELOW 2
PANW $187.22 -0.5% +0.7% +1.0% -9.4% BELOW 2
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LRCX $176.99 +1.2% +7.7% +14.5% +22.7% ABOVE 0
ASML $1061.80 +0.3% +2.8% +2.4% +5.7% ABOVE 0
AMAT $260.13 +0.2% +2.9% +4.3% +14.8% ABOVE 0
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DLR $153.12 +0.9% +4.9% -1.6% -10.7% BELOW 0
EQIX $750.89 -0.2% +2.0% +1.1% -7.2% BELOW 1
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SO $85.78 +0.9% -0.1% -3.4% -11.9% BELOW 0
NEE $79.32 +0.8% -0.5% -6.0% -5.6% BELOW 0
DUK $115.49 +0.6% -0.1% -4.8% -7.9% BELOW 0
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $147.69 -0.0% +1.9% +0.7% +0.0% BELOW 1
XOM $117.63 -0.2% +2.3% +3.9% +7.8% ABOVE 1
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LMT $480.06 +0.7% +3.3% +7.8% -2.0% ABOVE 0
GD $340.89 +0.5% +2.4% +1.6% +4.0% ABOVE 0
RTX $184.99 +0.3% +4.5% +7.6% +19.2% ABOVE 0
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VZ $38.39 +1.0% -0.2% -1.4% -0.1% BELOW 0
T $23.80 +0.8% +1.6% -4.5% -5.4% BELOW 0
TMUS $197.00 +0.7% -0.6% -3.7% -11.8% BELOW 0
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $113.61 +1.1% +2.3% +11.4% +3.2% ABOVE 0
NFLX $93.64 +0.1% -0.4% -11.8% -22.2% BELOW 0
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMGN $329.18 +0.7% +2.9% -3.1% +13.1% ABOVE 0
GILD $124.14 +0.4% +3.5% -0.8% +6.9% ABOVE 0
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $241.04 +0.4% +0.9% -5.1% -4.5% BELOW 0
LIN $422.14 -0.0% +1.4% +4.6% -5.5% ABOVE 1
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $175.09 +0.0% +0.5% +7.1% +2.0% ABOVE 0
MCHP $64.65 +0.0% +2.0% +24.3% +1.1% ABOVE 0

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Costco (COST) (Retail) rose 2.0% to $869.41. Marvell (MRVL) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 1.4% to $86.36. Lam Research (LRCX) (Chip Equipment) rose 1.2% to $176.99. ServiceNow (NOW) (Enterprise Software) fell 1.1% to $152.59. United (UAL) (Airlines) rose 1.1% to $114.81. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

No high-severity risk alerts are active. Market conditions are favorable, but always maintain awareness of potential profit-taking after extended rallies. Sector diversification remains important to manage concentration risk.

US Stock Market Outlook

Market breadth is constructive with 15 sectors up versus one down and 13 sectors trading above their 50-day moving averages, but the picture is nuanced: 11 sectors remain below their 50-day trend and we recorded multiple headline-driven alerts around retail and chip equipment today. The S&P 500 continues to be influenced by the Magnificent 7’s mixed 50-day trends — several above and some below — so positioning should favor quality cyclicals and select AI-capex beneficiaries while trimming exposure to names showing clear 50-day weakness. Tactical investors should overweight chip equipment exposure that is above its 50-day trend, maintain selective retail winners like Costco, and use pullbacks in software names as selective entry points rather than broad sector buys.

Hypothetical Portfolio

SIMULATION
Value $99,532
P&L -0.47%
Today +0.37%
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Calendar
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