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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Thursday, January 23, 2025 BULLISH

The US stock market opened with a risk-off tilt after chip supply chain volatility dominated headlines—ARM Holdings (ARM) plunged 7.4%, dragging semiconductor-related groups lower even as 17 sectors climbed on the day. The S&P 500 showed mixed internals with strength in Media & Entertainment and Infrastructure, while Chip Equipment names such as Lam Research (LRCX) and Applied Materials (AMAT) led declines. The Mag 7 (AI Spenders) cohort was essentially flat, up 0.2%, with Meta (META) +2.1% and NVIDIA (NVDA) +0.1% offsetting weakness in Apple (AAPL) -0.1%. Overall market action tied specific earnings and supply-chain headlines directly to sector-level performance in our sector analysis.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Sell / Wait
4.65%
rising
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$74.62
-1.1% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
15.0
-0.5% 1D
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Pause Discretionary Adds
63%
43 of 68 above 50DMA · +25.0pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

AI remains the structural driver, but today’s trade highlights dispersion within the theme: NVIDIA (NVDA) $147.00 held modest gains while chip-equipment suppliers ceded ground as investors weighed capacity and order-cycle news. Broader Mag 7 strength in Microsoft (MSFT) $441.47 and Meta (META) $633.32 supports continued infrastructure and cloud spending narratives, while Qualcomm (QCOM) $168.83 and other chip-supply names show that supply-chain winners and losers will determine near-term leadership. Enterprise software names such as Palantir (PLTR) $78.98 benefit from recurring-revenue AI projects, reinforcing a barbell allocation between software/AI adopters and selected hardware plays.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +0.2% +3.8% +0.6% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain -0.8% +7.3% +9.9% ABOVE
Infrastructure +0.4% +7.1% +9.6% ABOVE
Enterprise Software +1.0% +7.1% -0.6% BELOW
Finance +1.1% +4.5% +12.1% ABOVE
Healthcare +1.8% +2.5% +0.4% BELOW
Retail +0.2% +2.6% +1.5% BELOW
IT Services +1.2% +2.6% +1.8% ABOVE
Airlines -2.5% -0.5% +6.6% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel +3.0% +1.2% -2.2% BELOW
Food & Restaurant +0.7% +2.7% +4.9% BELOW
Logistics +0.3% +0.1% +3.3% BELOW
Industrial +1.7% +4.3% +5.5% BELOW
Cybersecurity -0.1% +4.1% +2.5% BELOW
Chip Equipment -2.5% +1.4% +9.1% ABOVE
Data Center REITs +1.1% +2.1% +1.5% ABOVE
Utilities +0.4% -1.6% -1.6% BELOW
Energy +0.2% -1.6% +6.4% BELOW
Defense & Aerospace +0.3% +2.5% +4.1% BELOW
Telecom +0.2% +1.5% -0.9% BELOW
Media & Entertainment +2.6% +10.6% +3.9% BELOW
Biotech +0.7% +2.3% +2.4% ABOVE
Materials +0.9% +2.9% +7.7% ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips +1.8% +6.5% +4.2% BELOW

Sector Strength

Hospitality & Travel +3.0% 20d: -2.2%
Booking (BKNG) +4.3% (20d: -4.8%) [<50MA], Marriott (MAR) +1.7% (20d: +0.5%)
Media & Entertainment +2.6% 20d: +3.9%
Netflix (NFLX) +3.2% (20d: +8.1%), Disney (DIS) +2.0% (20d: -0.3%) [<50MA]
Analog & Embedded Chips +1.8% 20d: +4.2%
Microchip Technology (MCHP) +1.9% (20d: +2.9%) [<50MA], Texas Instruments (TXN) +1.8% (20d: +5.5%)
Healthcare +1.8% 20d: +0.4%
UnitedHealth (UNH) +1.9% (20d: +4.6%) [<50MA], Eli Lilly (LLY) +1.7% (20d: -3.7%) [<50MA]
Industrial +1.7% 20d: +5.5%
Caterpillar (CAT) +2.2% (20d: +11.6%), Honeywell (HON) +1.2% (20d: -0.7%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Airlines -2.5% 20d: +6.6%
United (UAL) -4.6% (20d: +3.5%), Delta (DAL) -0.5% (20d: +9.6%)
Chip Equipment -2.5% 20d: +9.1%
ASML -2.7% (20d: +3.5%), Applied Materials (AMAT) -2.5% (20d: +13.9%), Lam Research (LRCX) -2.4% (20d: +10.1%)
Chip Supply Chain -0.8% 20d: +9.9%
ARM Holdings (ARM) -7.4% (20d: +31.3%), Intel (INTC) -1.3% (20d: +6.8%) [<50MA], AMD -0.6% (20d: -1.3%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Equipment: Weakness concentrated here after ARM (ARM) -7.4% rippled through suppliers; Lam Research (LRCX) $80.34 fell 2.4% and Applied Materials (AMAT) $188.34 dropped 2.5% while ASML $736.59 slid 2.7%. Over the 50-day window the group is ABOVE its 50MA, but recent 1-day losses underscore sensitivity to order-flow headlines and imply upside is contingent on fresh capital-spend visibility. Watch 50-day trend momentum: despite the swing today, the group’s 50-day context remains supportive for selective re-entry once orders re-accelerate.

Media & Entertainment: This sector led gains, rising 2.6% for the day and showing a strong 10.6% 5-day advance; Netflix (NFLX) $98.49 rallied 3.2% as content and subscriber commentary remain favorable. The sector is BELOW its 50MA over the 50-day frame, signaling that while short-term momentum is constructive, the longer 50-day trend requires confirmation before committing to broad exposure. Given the current 50-day backdrop, allocate incrementally into names with resilient subscriber growth and margin expansion.

Infrastructure: Infrastructure climbed 0.4% and is noticeably strong across multi-horizons—7.1% over 5 days and 12.6% above the 50-day average—anchored by Vertiv (VRT) $153.20 which gained 3.3%. Data center and power-infrastructure beneficiaries are catching flows as AI deployment continues to force near-term capex decisions. The 50-day trend is constructive, supporting a tactical overweight to high-quality infrastructure names tied to electrification and data-center builds.

Enterprise Software: Enterprise Software advanced 1.0% on the session and remains BELOW its 50MA across the 50-day window despite pockets of strength; Palantir (PLTR) $78.98 led with a 2.7% gain as AI project demand sustains software outsourcing. The 50-day trend is the primary watchpoint—until the sector reclaims a rising 50-day path, prefer selective exposure to durable SaaS names with strong renewal metrics and clear AI monetization pathways.

Airlines & Travel: Hospitality & Travel was the day’s top cyclical, up 3.0% with Booking (BKNG) $190.39 jumping 4.3%, yet Airlines slipped as United (UAL) $103.00 tumbled 4.6% on idiosyncratic flows. The 50-day perspective is bifurcated—Hospitality shows positive momentum over 50 days but Airlines remain ABOVE their 50MA with recent strain—arguing for stock-specific positioning rather than thematic bets across the group.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 10 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 14 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 4 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
META $633.32 +2.1% +4.1% +6.1% +8.1% ABOVE 0
AMZN $235.42 +0.2% +6.7% +4.6% +13.1% ABOVE 0
MSFT $441.47 +0.1% +5.2% +2.6% +5.9% ABOVE 0
NVDA $147.00 +0.1% +10.2% +5.4% -0.3% ABOVE 0
AAPL $222.24 -0.1% -2.0% -12.4% -1.5% BELOW 1
GOOG $198.55 -0.2% +2.7% +1.8% +11.1% ABOVE 1
TSLA $412.38 -0.7% -0.3% -4.2% +28.4% ABOVE 3
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
QCOM $168.83 +2.4% +8.0% +10.2% +2.6% ABOVE 0
MRVL $125.55 +0.7% +7.2% +10.9% +34.5% ABOVE 0
TSM $220.49 +0.6% +4.6% +8.3% +12.0% ABOVE 0
AVGO $237.25 -0.3% +4.7% +3.4% +31.2% ABOVE 1
AMD $123.04 -0.6% +3.9% -1.3% -16.8% BELOW 1
INTC $21.57 -1.3% +9.7% +6.8% -17.7% BELOW 1
ARM $166.56 -7.4% +12.9% +31.3% +12.9% ABOVE 1
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VRT $153.20 +3.3% +15.8% +30.4% +22.1% ABOVE 0
CSCO $60.20 +1.0% +4.0% +6.2% +7.9% ABOVE 0
HPE $23.50 -0.2% +4.1% +11.6% +11.2% ABOVE 1
DELL $111.79 -0.8% +4.1% -3.5% -14.6% BELOW 1
SMCI $33.41 -1.3% +7.4% +3.1% +36.3% ABOVE 1
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PLTR $78.98 +2.7% +14.1% -2.1% +35.3% ABOVE 0
NOW $226.84 +0.8% +7.3% +4.2% +12.5% ABOVE 0
CRM $330.81 +0.6% +4.6% -2.4% +4.1% BELOW 0
ADBE $437.28 -0.0% +2.4% -2.1% -11.6% BELOW 1
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $258.12 +1.2% +4.6% +12.1% +12.8% ABOVE 0
GS $620.69 +1.1% +4.3% +12.0% +9.1% ABOVE 0
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UNH $510.13 +1.9% +3.8% +4.6% -13.6% BELOW 0
LLY $758.35 +1.7% +1.2% -3.7% -7.7% BELOW 0
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $92.55 +0.6% +2.7% +3.8% +10.8% ABOVE 0
COST $934.63 -0.3% +2.4% -0.8% -0.2% BELOW 2
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
IBM $217.50 +1.2% +1.5% +1.9% +6.6% ABOVE 0
ACN $352.41 +1.2% +3.6% +1.7% +2.6% ABOVE 0
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DAL $66.13 -0.5% +1.9% +9.6% +10.5% ABOVE 2
UAL $103.00 -4.6% -2.9% +3.5% +17.7% ABOVE 2
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
BKNG $190.39 +4.3% -1.0% -4.8% -2.4% BELOW 0
MAR $281.21 +1.7% +3.3% +0.5% +1.7% ABOVE 0
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $274.54 +1.1% +1.7% -2.4% -4.3% BELOW 0
SBUX $94.29 +0.3% +3.8% +12.1% +1.1% ABOVE 0
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UPS $121.25 +0.8% +2.8% +6.3% +2.1% ABOVE 0
FDX $210.91 -0.1% -2.6% +0.4% -5.2% BELOW 2
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CAT $400.12 +2.2% +7.2% +11.6% +3.7% ABOVE 0
HON $216.03 +1.2% +1.3% -0.7% +3.3% BELOW 0
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CRWD $94.43 -0.1% +3.9% +4.5% +14.4% ABOVE 1
ZS $192.70 -0.1% +2.7% +3.6% -1.5% BELOW 1
PANW $187.32 -0.2% +5.7% -0.5% -4.3% BELOW 1
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LRCX $80.34 -2.4% +2.5% +10.1% +4.2% ABOVE 1
AMAT $188.34 -2.5% +2.3% +13.9% -0.5% ABOVE 1
ASML $736.59 -2.7% -0.5% +3.5% +11.5% ABOVE 1
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $910.35 +1.7% +2.3% +0.1% +2.6% ABOVE 0
DLR $175.65 +0.6% +1.9% +2.8% +1.5% ABOVE 0
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NEE $66.20 +1.1% -3.0% -4.5% -9.5% BELOW 0
DUK $103.74 +0.5% +0.3% +0.7% -2.5% BELOW 0
SO $78.33 -0.3% -1.9% -0.9% -6.4% BELOW 2
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
XOM $104.84 +0.6% -1.1% +3.6% -8.3% BELOW 0
CVX $146.31 -0.3% -2.1% +9.1% +0.4% ABOVE 3
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
RTX $123.06 +1.5% +4.8% +8.3% +2.8% ABOVE 0
GD $261.11 -0.1% +0.4% +1.8% -12.8% BELOW 2
LMT $477.38 -0.4% +2.1% +2.2% -11.4% BELOW 2
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
T $21.08 +0.9% +2.3% -0.1% +2.1% ABOVE 0
VZ $35.52 +0.6% +2.2% -0.2% -1.5% BELOW 0
TMUS $210.56 -1.0% +0.1% -2.5% -7.9% BELOW 2
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NFLX $98.49 +3.2% +16.9% +8.1% +23.9% ABOVE 0
DIS $108.99 +2.0% +4.3% -0.3% +12.6% BELOW 0
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMGN $265.26 +1.6% +3.1% +5.3% -13.9% ABOVE 0
GILD $89.30 -0.1% +1.4% -0.5% -3.0% ABOVE 1
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $311.68 +2.2% +3.8% +11.1% +4.2% ABOVE 0
LIN $432.15 -0.4% +1.9% +4.4% -3.8% ABOVE 1
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCHP $57.12 +1.9% +6.0% +2.9% -17.7% BELOW 0
TXN $192.07 +1.8% +7.1% +5.5% -8.9% ABOVE 0

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: ARM Holdings (ARM) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 7.4% to $166.56. United (UAL) (Airlines) fell 4.6% to $103.00. Booking (BKNG) (Hospitality & Travel) rose 4.3% to $190.39. Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) rose 3.3% to $153.20. Netflix (NFLX) (Media & Entertainment) rose 3.2% to $98.49. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

No high-severity risk alerts are active. Market conditions are favorable, but always maintain awareness of potential profit-taking after extended rallies. Sector diversification remains important to manage concentration risk.

US Stock Market Outlook

Breadth remains mixed with 10 sectors above their 50MA and 14 below, and market alerts clustered in chip equipment and supply-chain names after ARM’s sharp move. The 50-day trends favor infrastructure and select Mag 7 names, while chip-equipment and certain cyclicals require confirmation before re-entry. Positioning should be selective: trim exposure where 50-day momentum is weakening, hold or add to leaders showing sustainable revenue flows tied to AI and infrastructure, and use weakness in beaten-up semiconductors as opportunity for high-conviction, differentiated exposure.

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