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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Friday, January 24, 2025 BEARISH

The US stock market opened with a clear risk rotation after a fresh alert on Analog & Embedded Chips, which sit 16.4% below their 50-day average and pressured chip-related names today. NVIDIA (NVDA) led decliners in the Magnificent Seven, sliding 3.1% to $142.41, while Texas Instruments (TXN) plunged 7.5% to $177.62 and amplified selling in semiconductor pockets. Defensive Utility strength, led by NextEra Energy (NEE) rising 5.2% to $69.64, helped offset losses as 8 sectors gained and 14 fell; the S&P 500 finished the session under mixed leadership with the Mag 7 collectively down 0.4% on the day. Market reaction tied directly to the sector weakness and chip-equipment flow, driving a wider intra-day sector divergence in this S&P 500 trading session.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Sell / Wait
4.63%
rising
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$74.66
+0.1% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
14.8
-1.1% 1D
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Pause Discretionary Adds
63%
43 of 68 above 50DMA · +22.1pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

AI investment flows remain concentrated in the Magnificent 7, but today’s mix shows rotation within the theme as Meta (META) climbed 1.7% to $644.31 while NVIDIA (NVDA) corrected to $142.41, underscoring sentiment sensitivity around semiconductor supply and valuation. Chip Supply Chain names such as Broadcom (AVGO) at $241.62 are holding relative strength even as Chip Equipment softness suggests near-term capacity re-pricing across the stack. Sustained AI infrastructure spending still supports downstream Enterprise Software winners and cloud incumbents, but the 50-day trends show bifurcation that favors selective exposure to software and infrastructure over broad cap-weighted concentrations for now.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -0.4% +1.6% -1.7% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain -1.2% +2.7% +6.8% ABOVE
Infrastructure -1.1% +5.7% +6.4% ABOVE
Enterprise Software -0.4% +4.8% -2.1% BELOW
Finance -0.4% +2.0% +9.6% ABOVE
Healthcare +1.5% +6.3% +2.0% BELOW
Retail +0.4% +1.3% +0.1% BELOW
IT Services -0.4% +1.4% +0.4% ABOVE
Airlines +0.8% -0.1% +5.6% ABOVE
Hospitality & Travel -0.7% -0.4% -3.9% BELOW
Food & Restaurant +0.6% +2.7% +3.5% BELOW
Logistics +0.4% +0.9% +2.9% BELOW
Industrial -0.8% +2.8% +4.0% BELOW
Cybersecurity -0.0% +4.7% +1.6% BELOW
Chip Equipment -2.0% -2.2% +6.9% ABOVE
Data Center REITs -0.8% +2.0% -0.5% BELOW
Utilities +2.4% +1.0% +0.4% BELOW
Energy -0.8% -3.4% +5.2% BELOW
Defense & Aerospace -0.5% +1.6% +3.3% BELOW
Telecom +1.0% +1.2% -0.2% BELOW
Media & Entertainment +0.1% +9.4% +2.3% ABOVE
Biotech -0.4% +1.3% +1.6% ABOVE
Materials +0.6% +2.2% +7.5% ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips -6.4% -3.2% -3.7% BELOW

Sector Strength

Utilities +2.4% 20d: +0.4%
NextEra Energy (NEE) +5.2% (20d: -0.1%) [<50MA], Southern Co (SO) +1.5% (20d: +0.4%) [<50MA], Duke Energy (DUK) +0.5% (20d: +0.8%) [<50MA]
Healthcare +1.5% 20d: +2.0%
Eli Lilly (LLY) +2.5% (20d: -1.3%), UnitedHealth (UNH) +0.5% (20d: +5.2%) [<50MA]
Telecom +1.0% 20d: -0.2%
T-Mobile (TMUS) +1.2% (20d: -2.0%) [<50MA], Verizon (VZ) +0.9% (20d: +1.1%) [<50MA], AT&T (T) +0.8% (20d: +0.3%)
Airlines +0.8% 20d: +5.6%
United (UAL) +1.9% (20d: +3.8%), Delta (DAL) -0.4% (20d: +7.4%)
Materials +0.6% 20d: +7.5%
Air Products (APD) +1.6% (20d: +11.9%), Linde (LIN) -0.4% (20d: +3.2%)

Sector Warnings

Analog & Embedded Chips -6.4% 20d: -3.7%
Texas Instruments (TXN) -7.5% (20d: -3.6%) [<50MA], Microchip Technology (MCHP) -5.3% (20d: -3.7%) [<50MA]
Chip Equipment -2.0% 20d: +6.9%
Applied Materials (AMAT) -2.1% (20d: +10.9%), Lam Research (LRCX) -1.9% (20d: +7.9%), ASML -1.9% (20d: +1.7%)
Chip Supply Chain -1.2% 20d: +6.8%
Intel (INTC) -3.4% (20d: +2.1%) [<50MA], ARM Holdings (ARM) -2.4% (20d: +23.3%), Marvell (MRVL) -1.6% (20d: +7.0%)
Infrastructure -1.1% 20d: +6.4%
Vertiv (VRT) -4.7% (20d: +23.2%), Dell (DELL) -0.4% (20d: -4.0%) [<50MA], Super Micro (SMCI) -0.4% (20d: -3.1%)
Data Center REITs -0.8% 20d: -0.5%
Digital Realty (DLR) -1.6% (20d: +0.1%) [<50MA], Equinix (EQIX) -0.0% (20d: -1.0%)

Sector Deep Dive

Analog & Embedded Chips feels the sharpest pain after the active HIGH alert: the sector fell 6.4% on the day and sits -16.4% versus its 50-day average, signaling a clear downtrend in the primary 50-day window. Microchip Technology (MCHP) led the stock-level weakness, dropping 5.3% to $54.07, and Texas Instruments (TXN) hit $177.62, down 7.5%; both names confirm a deteriorating 50-day momentum that tilts the sector toward tactical underweight until price stabilizes above that moving average.

Chip Supply Chain showed mixed performance with a 1-day decline of 1.2% but remains 10.0% above its 50-day average, indicating resiliency in broader equipment and component demand. Intel (INTC) declined 3.4% to $20.83 and NVIDIA (NVDA) at $142.41 was down 3.1%, yet Broadcom (AVGO) bucked the intraday softness, rising 1.8% to $241.62 and confirming relative strength inside the 50-day window. The 50-day trend suggests a tactical approach: overweight differentiated supply-chain beneficiaries while avoiding names failing to regain the 50-day line.

Utilities outperformed as a defensive pivot with a 1-day gain of 2.4% and the group remains below its 50-day average by 3.2% but showing short-term rotation into stability. NextEra Energy (NEE) (+5.2% to $69.64) led the advance and illustrates how dividend and rate-sensitivity narratives can attract capital when growth pockets wobble. For investors focused on downside protection, the sector’s rebound from recent levels merits increased allocation on a risk-managed basis, especially where companies demonstrate earnings visibility and balance-sheet strength.

Healthcare demonstrated selective strength, rising 1.5% for the day while the sector is 10.0% below its 50-day average, a reminder that longer-term trend context remains challenged. Eli Lilly (LLY) advanced 2.5% to $776.96, highlighting stock-specific fundamentals driving relative outperformance despite the broader 50-day weakness. Positioning in Healthcare should favor high-quality, innovation-led names that can outperform a soft 50-day tape rather than broad exposure to cyclical biotechs.

Airlines and Infrastructure diverged intraday: Airlines climbed 0.8% and remain 11.6% above the 50-day average, with United (UAL) rising 1.9% to $105.00, reflecting resilient travel demand and favorable 50-day momentum. Infrastructure slipped 1.1% on the day but sits 11.9% above its 50-day average; Vertiv (VRT) fell 4.7% to $146.05, yet the sector’s overall 50-day strength supports selective construction- and data-center-exposed plays while monitoring idiosyncratic name risk.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 10 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 14 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 6 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -16.4% over 50 days

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
META $644.31 +1.7% +5.7% +6.5% +11.1% ABOVE 0
GOOG $200.85 +1.2% +2.2% +2.2% +11.1% ABOVE 0
AMZN $234.85 -0.2% +3.9% +2.5% +13.5% ABOVE 1
AAPL $221.37 -0.4% -3.1% -13.7% -0.6% BELOW 2
MSFT $438.85 -0.6% +3.5% +1.1% +6.4% ABOVE 1
TSLA $406.58 -1.4% -4.7% -12.0% +16.2% ABOVE 4
NVDA $142.41 -3.1% +3.6% +1.7% -1.8% ABOVE 1
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AVGO $241.62 +1.8% +3.1% +2.1% +37.1% ABOVE 0
AMD $122.84 -0.2% +1.1% -2.7% -16.6% BELOW 2
TSM $217.80 -1.2% +4.9% +7.5% +14.7% ABOVE 1
QCOM $166.65 -1.3% +4.6% +8.0% +2.8% ABOVE 1
MRVL $123.51 -1.6% -0.6% +7.0% +34.5% ABOVE 1
ARM $162.52 -2.4% +8.9% +23.3% +14.5% ABOVE 2
INTC $20.83 -3.4% -3.1% +2.1% -16.8% BELOW 2
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HPE $23.51 +0.0% +5.3% +11.3% +11.4% ABOVE 0
CSCO $60.20 +0.0% +3.3% +4.7% +6.9% ABOVE 0
SMCI $33.27 -0.4% +7.9% -3.1% +43.2% ABOVE 2
DELL $111.31 -0.4% +4.1% -4.0% -17.6% BELOW 2
VRT $146.05 -4.7% +7.7% +23.2% +15.4% ABOVE 1
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PLTR $78.98 +0.0% +10.0% -4.1% +31.1% ABOVE 0
CRM $330.04 -0.2% +2.9% -3.1% -2.2% BELOW 1
ADBE $435.38 -0.4% +1.3% -2.8% -13.7% BELOW 2
NOW $225.00 -0.8% +5.0% +1.8% +8.6% ABOVE 1
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GS $618.17 -0.4% +1.8% +9.3% +6.3% ABOVE 1
JPM $257.04 -0.4% +2.2% +9.9% +11.2% ABOVE 1
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LLY $776.96 +2.5% +8.2% -1.3% -5.5% ABOVE 0
UNH $512.77 +0.5% +4.5% +5.2% -14.5% BELOW 0
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $93.49 +1.0% +3.1% +2.2% +12.8% ABOVE 0
COST $932.17 -0.3% -0.4% -2.0% +0.7% BELOW 3
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $351.58 -0.2% +2.8% +0.6% +1.9% ABOVE 1
IBM $216.30 -0.5% +0.0% +0.2% +6.1% ABOVE 1
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UAL $105.00 +1.9% -2.2% +3.8% +17.4% ABOVE 0
DAL $65.87 -0.4% +2.1% +7.4% +5.7% ABOVE 3
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $280.27 -0.3% +2.5% -0.8% -0.4% ABOVE 1
BKNG $188.29 -1.1% -3.3% -7.0% -5.8% BELOW 1
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SBUX $95.08 +0.8% +3.9% +9.9% -0.9% ABOVE 0
MCD $275.54 +0.4% +1.6% -2.9% -4.8% BELOW 0
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $213.46 +1.2% -0.7% +0.5% -5.2% BELOW 0
UPS $120.73 -0.4% +2.5% +5.4% +2.3% ABOVE 1
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CAT $401.33 +0.3% +6.0% +11.3% +3.2% ABOVE 0
HON $212.05 -1.8% -0.5% -3.2% -1.2% BELOW 1
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ZS $193.47 +0.4% +3.1% +3.3% -3.0% BELOW 0
PANW $187.70 +0.2% +6.0% -1.0% -5.7% BELOW 0
CRWD $93.73 -0.7% +5.0% +2.5% +9.5% ABOVE 2
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ASML $722.78 -1.9% -3.2% +1.7% +9.1% ABOVE 2
LRCX $78.81 -1.9% -0.8% +7.9% +4.9% ABOVE 2
AMAT $184.44 -2.1% -2.8% +10.9% -0.7% ABOVE 2
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $910.27 -0.0% +2.8% -1.0% +3.5% ABOVE 1
DLR $172.77 -1.6% +1.2% +0.1% -0.6% BELOW 1
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
NEE $69.64 +5.2% +2.9% -0.1% -3.4% BELOW 0
SO $79.49 +1.5% -0.5% +0.4% -4.7% BELOW 0
DUK $104.23 +0.5% +0.5% +0.8% -1.4% BELOW 0
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $145.98 -0.2% -3.6% +8.2% +0.5% ABOVE 4
XOM $103.42 -1.4% -3.3% +2.1% -9.1% BELOW 1
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LMT $477.08 -0.1% +1.4% +1.8% -12.4% BELOW 3
RTX $122.10 -0.8% +3.5% +7.3% +1.1% ABOVE 1
GD $259.04 -0.8% -0.1% +0.7% -14.7% BELOW 3
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TMUS $213.03 +1.2% -0.2% -2.0% -8.0% BELOW 0
VZ $35.85 +0.9% +2.0% +1.1% -0.5% BELOW 0
T $21.26 +0.8% +1.9% +0.3% +3.1% ABOVE 0
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $110.09 +1.0% +4.8% -0.4% +11.7% ABOVE 0
NFLX $97.76 -0.7% +13.9% +4.9% +21.4% ABOVE 1
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $89.44 +0.2% +1.3% -0.9% -3.3% ABOVE 0
AMGN $262.92 -0.9% +1.2% +4.1% -13.7% ABOVE 1
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $316.74 +1.6% +3.6% +11.9% +5.5% ABOVE 0
LIN $430.60 -0.4% +0.7% +3.2% -3.5% ABOVE 2
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCHP $54.07 -5.3% -2.7% -3.7% -18.7% BELOW 1
TXN $177.62 -7.5% -3.6% -3.6% -14.1% BELOW 1

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Texas Instruments (TXN) (Analog & Embedded Chips) fell 7.5% to $177.62. Microchip Technology (MCHP) (Analog & Embedded Chips) fell 5.3% to $54.07. NextEra Energy (NEE) (Utilities) rose 5.2% to $69.64. Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) fell 4.7% to $146.05. Intel (INTC) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 3.4% to $20.83. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 1 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Market breadth remains mixed with 10 sectors above their 50-day averages and 14 below, and one HIGH alert on Analog & Embedded Chips signaling concentrated downside risk; breadth metrics suggest a defensive tilt is prudent. Monitor alert counts and the number of sectors that regain their 50-day lines as the primary triggers for re-risking; short-term positioning should favor names with clean 50-day trends and avoid stocks underperforming that moving average. Tactical portfolios should underweight the flagged chip subsector, maintain selective exposure to resilient Infrastructure and Utilities, and keep cash dry powder to add on confirmed 50-day recoveries across sectors.

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