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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Tuesday, February 25, 2025 MIXED

The US stock market opened under pressure as Tesla (TSLA) plunged 8.4%, the largest single-stock drag that helped push Mag 7 (AI Spenders) down 2.3% on the day. Weakness in the Chip Supply Chain and Infrastructure groups amplified the move, with AMD (AMD) -3.8% and Super Micro (SMCI) -11.8% among notable decliners. Defensive and consumer staples pockets outperformed — Walmart (WMT) rose 4.3% and Costco (COST) climbed 1.9% — leaving a bifurcated session across sectors. The S&P 500 traded with mixed breadth as only 9 of 24 sectors remain above their 50-day moving averages while 15 sit below.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.30%
stable
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$68.93
-2.5% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
19.4
+2.4% 1D
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Add Cash
47%
32 of 68 above 50DMA · -17.6pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Caution
0.75
Call-Heavy · stable
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme shows strain as Mag 7 names slipped: Apple (AAPL) $245.74 held modestly, Microsoft (MSFT) $394.02 and NVIDIA (NVDA) $126.44 both fell, and Tesla (TSLA) $302.80 led the downside, signaling profit-taking in high-beta AI spenders. Chip Supply Chain weakness — highlighted by AMD $103.96 and Marvell (MRVL) $92.62 — underscores near-term cyclic pressure in semiconductor demand and inventory. Infrastructure and Enterprise Software groups are also underperforming, suggesting investors are pausing fresh exposure until clearer demand signals and software contract re-acceleration emerge.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -2.3% -6.6% -8.0% BELOW
Chip Supply Chain -2.9% -10.4% -3.8% BELOW
Infrastructure -2.9% -11.1% +12.0% BELOW
Enterprise Software -1.2% -9.2% -6.7% BELOW
Finance -1.7% -7.9% -3.6% ABOVE
Healthcare +2.1% -2.0% -0.5% BELOW
Retail +3.1% -3.4% +5.3% ABOVE
IT Services -0.9% -4.7% +5.5% BELOW
Airlines -0.4% -7.2% -8.9% BELOW
Hospitality & Travel -0.0% -2.5% +1.8% BELOW
Food & Restaurant +1.1% +2.4% +10.7% ABOVE
Logistics +1.4% -0.6% -9.7% BELOW
Industrial +1.0% -1.2% -8.1% BELOW
Cybersecurity -2.1% -11.4% -5.1% BELOW
Chip Equipment -2.1% -5.0% +3.6% BELOW
Data Center REITs -0.6% -5.1% -1.2% BELOW
Utilities +1.0% +4.0% +5.3% ABOVE
Energy -1.2% -0.5% +1.9% ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace +1.6% +2.7% -2.4% BELOW
Telecom +0.5% +2.8% +13.3% ABOVE
Media & Entertainment -0.9% -3.5% -0.4% BELOW
Biotech +1.2% +5.4% +16.2% ABOVE
Materials +2.3% +0.6% +2.2% ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips -0.7% -1.4% +9.6% ABOVE

Sector Strength

Retail +3.1% 20d: +5.3%
Walmart (WMT) +4.3% (20d: +0.4%), Costco (COST) +1.9% (20d: +10.2%)
Materials +2.3% 20d: +2.2%
Air Products (APD) +2.6% (20d: -2.9%), Linde (LIN) +2.0% (20d: +7.3%)
Healthcare +2.1% 20d: -0.5%
Eli Lilly (LLY) +2.3% (20d: +12.2%), UnitedHealth (UNH) +1.9% (20d: -13.3%) [<50MA]
Defense & Aerospace +1.6% 20d: -2.4%
Lockheed Martin (LMT) +1.9% (20d: -2.0%) [<50MA], RTX Corp (RTX) +1.5% (20d: -0.3%), General Dynamics (GD) +1.5% (20d: -4.8%) [<50MA]
Logistics +1.4% 20d: -9.7%
UPS +1.7% (20d: -11.5%) [<50MA], FedEx (FDX) +1.2% (20d: -8.0%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Chip Supply Chain -2.9% 20d: -3.8%
Intel (INTC) -5.3% (20d: +16.1%), Marvell (MRVL) -5.0% (20d: -10.5%) [<50MA], AMD -3.8% (20d: -8.9%) [<50MA]
Infrastructure -2.9% 20d: +12.0%
Super Micro (SMCI) -11.8% (20d: +61.6%), Dell (DELL) -3.1% (20d: +9.2%) [<50MA], Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) -2.2% (20d: -5.5%) [<50MA]
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -2.3% 20d: -8.0%
Tesla (TSLA) -8.4% (20d: -23.9%) [<50MA], NVIDIA (NVDA) -2.8% (20d: -1.8%) [<50MA], Alphabet (GOOG) -2.1% (20d: -10.0%) [<50MA]
Cybersecurity -2.1% 20d: -5.1%
CrowdStrike (CRWD) -3.1% (20d: -7.1%) [<50MA], Zscaler (ZS) -2.0% (20d: -5.7%) [<50MA], Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -1.3% (20d: -2.6%) [<50MA]
Chip Equipment -2.1% 20d: +3.6%
Lam Research (LRCX) -3.7% (20d: +7.8%), Applied Materials (AMAT) -1.8% (20d: -4.0%) [<50MA], ASML -0.8% (20d: +7.1%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Retail outperformed on the day, led by Walmart (WMT) $96.38 which gained 4.3% and Costco (COST) $1048.38 which added 1.9%. The Retail sector average rose 3.1% for the day and sits above its 50-day moving average by 4.7% over the 50-day window, indicating the sector is in a constructive 50-day trend even as broader discretionary themes show mixed 20-day performance.

Chip Supply Chain remains a clear area of stress: AMD $103.96 fell 3.8%, Marvell (MRVL) $92.62 dropped 5.0% and Intel (INTC) $22.99 slid 5.3%, driving a -2.9% daily sector decline. Over the primary 50-day window the group is below its 50-day trend (vs50MA: BELOW) and the 20-day snapshot shows negative returns, signaling the supply-chain subtheme is under pressure from near-term demand softness.

Infrastructure showed notable weakness with Super Micro (SMCI) $45.54 plunging 11.8% and the sector average falling 2.9%. Infrastructure is below its 50-day moving average by -2.2% over the 50-day window, and the 5-day drop of -11.1% flags acute short-term selling that has eroded the 50-day trend momentum for equipment and services tied to data center and enterprise buildouts.

Healthcare provided ballast as Eli Lilly (LLY) $893.63 gained 2.3% and the sector average rose 2.1% for the day. Healthcare remains slightly below its 50-day moving average (vs50MA: BELOW) but the 50-day trend shows modest positive traction (50d:+0.8%), suggesting select large-cap biopharma names are still supporting the group despite mixed shorter-term breadth.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 9 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 15 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 12 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH 6 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Mag 7 (AI Spenders), Enterprise Software, Airlines, Logistics, Industrial, Cybersecurity
MEDIUM TSLA down -25.2% from 20-day high
LOW Cybersecurity below 50-day MA with avg 5 consecutive down days

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMZN $212.80 +0.0% -6.1% -10.6% -7.6% BELOW 0
AAPL $245.74 -0.0% +0.9% +3.8% +0.3% ABOVE 1
MSFT $394.02 -1.5% -3.9% -10.8% -11.2% BELOW 3
META $654.27 -1.6% -6.6% -2.5% +4.0% ABOVE 6
GOOG $176.45 -2.1% -5.2% -10.0% -9.8% BELOW 4
NVDA $126.44 -2.8% -9.0% -1.8% -9.1% BELOW 3
TSLA $302.80 -8.4% -16.0% -23.9% -28.7% BELOW 4
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
QCOM $156.11 +0.1% -8.0% -6.0% +0.9% BELOW 0
TSM $185.89 -1.2% -5.8% -6.4% -2.4% BELOW 6
AVGO $199.99 -2.6% -11.5% -2.3% +10.9% BELOW 4
ARM $136.70 -2.7% -11.4% -8.5% -4.5% BELOW 5
AMD $103.96 -3.8% -9.4% -8.9% -20.1% BELOW 4
MRVL $92.62 -5.0% -16.2% -10.5% -16.4% BELOW 4
INTC $22.99 -5.3% -10.6% +16.1% +14.3% ABOVE 3
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CSCO $62.17 +1.6% -0.9% +8.1% +10.4% ABOVE 0
VRT $91.73 +1.0% -14.8% -13.7% -27.0% BELOW 0
HPE $19.57 -2.2% -7.1% -5.5% -6.8% BELOW 4
DELL $108.30 -3.1% -8.5% +9.2% -6.4% BELOW 4
SMCI $45.54 -11.8% -24.4% +61.6% +18.9% ABOVE 4
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ADBE $443.41 -0.2% -3.0% +0.1% -19.4% BELOW 1
NOW $184.46 -0.6% -6.6% -21.2% -19.6% BELOW 5
CRM $302.36 -0.8% -5.7% -15.0% -13.7% BELOW 5
PLTR $87.84 -3.1% -21.6% +9.5% +21.1% ABOVE 5
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
JPM $249.82 -1.5% -7.8% -3.6% +6.2% ABOVE 5
GS $596.83 -1.8% -8.0% -3.6% +3.8% ABOVE 1
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LLY $893.63 +2.3% +4.0% +12.2% +13.5% ABOVE 0
UNH $452.95 +1.9% -8.0% -13.3% -11.8% BELOW 0
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
WMT $96.38 +4.3% -6.1% +0.4% +3.1% ABOVE 0
COST $1048.38 +1.9% -0.6% +10.2% +6.2% ABOVE 0
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ACN $352.11 -0.3% -7.0% -4.1% +0.2% BELOW 4
IBM $249.66 -1.6% -2.5% +15.0% +12.8% ABOVE 1
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DAL $60.58 +0.5% -5.0% -8.7% -2.7% BELOW 0
UAL $96.58 -1.2% -9.3% -9.2% -2.4% BELOW 1
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $273.71 +0.3% -3.5% -3.9% -4.9% BELOW 0
BKNG $198.91 -0.3% -1.5% +7.5% -4.9% ABOVE 1
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
SBUX $110.86 +1.2% +1.9% +14.7% +17.1% ABOVE 0
MCD $299.92 +1.0% +2.9% +6.7% +4.9% ABOVE 0
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
UPS $108.72 +1.7% +2.7% -11.5% -7.2% BELOW 0
FDX $200.33 +1.2% -3.9% -8.0% -8.8% BELOW 0
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CAT $337.07 +1.0% -3.0% -12.3% -11.6% BELOW 0
HON $202.95 +1.0% +0.6% -3.9% -7.4% BELOW 0
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PANW $188.01 -1.3% -8.4% -2.6% -5.6% BELOW 5
ZS $193.04 -2.0% -10.1% -5.7% -7.2% BELOW 5
CRWD $94.94 -3.1% -15.6% -7.1% +4.6% BELOW 5
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ASML $722.28 -0.8% -2.0% +7.1% +2.4% BELOW 4
AMAT $163.87 -1.8% -4.7% -4.0% -3.0% BELOW 3
LRCX $79.41 -3.7% -8.4% +7.8% +2.6% ABOVE 3
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $877.19 -0.3% -3.5% -0.0% -6.9% BELOW 3
DLR $151.38 -1.0% -6.8% -2.5% -15.0% BELOW 3
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DUK $112.31 +1.2% +4.9% +6.3% +8.0% ABOVE 0
SO $86.28 +1.1% +3.9% +8.5% +8.8% ABOVE 0
NEE $68.16 +0.7% +3.2% +1.0% -3.6% ABOVE 0
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CVX $148.33 -0.9% -0.5% +1.2% +1.2% ABOVE 1
XOM $105.37 -1.4% -0.5% +2.5% -1.1% ABOVE 1
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LMT $430.52 +1.9% +3.6% -2.0% -11.1% BELOW 0
RTX $124.71 +1.5% +2.1% -0.3% +9.4% ABOVE 0
GD $242.98 +1.5% +2.3% -4.8% -5.3% BELOW 0
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
VZ $39.63 +0.9% +4.0% +8.2% +5.9% ABOVE 0
TMUS $263.68 +0.9% +2.7% +22.3% +15.4% ABOVE 0
T $24.93 -0.3% +1.6% +9.2% +14.9% ABOVE 1
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $108.49 -0.6% -0.7% -1.4% -3.1% BELOW 1
NFLX $97.72 -1.1% -6.3% +0.6% +4.3% ABOVE 4
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMGN $303.74 +1.9% +7.3% +13.5% +16.4% ABOVE 0
GILD $107.18 +0.5% +3.6% +18.8% +21.7% ABOVE 0
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
APD $305.30 +2.6% +0.1% -2.9% +2.2% ABOVE 0
LIN $458.29 +2.0% +1.2% +7.3% +6.1% ABOVE 0
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $192.88 -0.4% +1.9% +11.6% +5.1% ABOVE 3
MCHP $58.13 -1.1% -4.7% +7.7% -1.5% ABOVE 1

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) fell 11.8% to $45.54. Tesla (TSLA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) fell 8.4% to $302.80. Intel (INTC) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 5.3% to $22.99. Marvell (MRVL) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 5.0% to $92.62. Walmart (WMT) (Retail) rose 4.3% to $96.38. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 1 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Heading into tomorrow, watch the alert panel: six sectors flagged for >5% declines over 20 days and a medium alert on TSLA, which is down 25.2% from its 20-day high. Market breadth is uneven with 9 sectors above and 15 below their 50-day moving averages, and Mag 7 remains below the 50-day trend as a group, reinforcing caution on momentum trades. Positioning guidance: favor selective defensive and high-quality retail exposure while trimming cyclicals and high-beta AI spenders until 50-day trends stabilize and chip supply-chain metrics show consistent improvement.

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