US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Tuesday, February 25, 2025 Sectors: BEARISH

The US stock market opened under pressure as Tesla (TSLA) plunged 8.4%, the largest single-stock drag that helped push Mag 7 (AI Spenders) down 2.3% on the day. Weakness in the Chip Supply Chain and Infrastructure groups amplified the move, with AMD (AMD) -3.8% and Super Micro (SMCI) -11.8% among notable decliners. Defensive and consumer staples pockets outperformed — Walmart (WMT) rose 4.3% and Costco (COST) climbed 1.9% — leaving a bifurcated session across sectors. The S&P 500 traded with mixed breadth as only 9 of 24 sectors remain above their 50-day moving averages while 15 sit below.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Wait & Watch

4.30%

stable

Impact

Confidence

Crude Oil (WTI)

Neutral

$68.93

-2.5% 1D

Impact

Confidence

VIX (Fear Index)

Normal Range

19.4

+2.4% 1D

Impact

Confidence

Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)

Add Cash

47%

32 of 68 above 50DMA · -17.6pp 5D

Impact

Confidence

Put/Call Ratio (5D)

Caution

0.75

Call-Heavy · stable

Impact

Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Heatmap (1D)

Retail +3.11%

Materials +2.27%

Healthcare +2.12%

Defense & Aerospace +1.62%

Logistics +1.42%

Biotech +1.18%

Food & Restaurant +1.13%

Industrial +1.01%

Utilities +0.98%

Telecom +0.49%

Hospitality & Travel -0.02%

Airlines -0.36%

AI Power & Grid -0.59%

Data Center REITs -0.61%

Analog & Embedded Chips -0.73%

Memory & Storage -0.86%

Media & Entertainment -0.87%

IT Services -0.92%

Enterprise Software -1.11%

Energy -1.16%

Finance -1.65%

Chip Equipment -1.99%

Cybersecurity -2.11%

EDA & Semiconductor IP -2.30%

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -2.34%

AI Networking & Interconnect -2.68%

Infrastructure -2.89%

Chip Supply Chain -2.97%

≤-3%0≥+3%

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme shows strain as Mag 7 names slipped: Apple (AAPL) $245.74 held modestly, Microsoft (MSFT) $394.02 and NVIDIA (NVDA) $126.44 both fell, and Tesla (TSLA) $302.80 led the downside, signaling profit-taking in high-beta AI spenders. Chip Supply Chain weakness — highlighted by AMD $103.96 and Marvell (MRVL) $92.62 — underscores near-term cyclic pressure in semiconductor demand and inventory. Infrastructure and Enterprise Software groups are also underperforming, suggesting investors are pausing fresh exposure until clearer demand signals and software contract re-acceleration emerge.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector	1D	5D	20D	vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders)	-2.3%	-6.6%	-8.0%	BELOW
Chip Supply Chain	-3.0%	-10.2%	-3.0%	BELOW
Memory & Storage	-0.9%	-4.6%	+2.8%	BELOW
EDA & Semiconductor IP	-2.3%	-9.7%	-12.8%	BELOW
Infrastructure	-2.9%	-11.1%	+12.0%	BELOW
AI Networking & Interconnect	-2.7%	-9.8%	-8.6%	BELOW
Enterprise Software	-1.1%	-8.8%	-4.8%	BELOW
Finance	-1.7%	-7.9%	-3.6%	ABOVE
Healthcare	+2.1%	-2.0%	-0.5%	BELOW
Retail	+3.1%	-3.4%	+5.3%	ABOVE
IT Services	-0.9%	-4.7%	+5.5%	BELOW
Airlines	-0.4%	-7.2%	-8.9%	BELOW
Hospitality & Travel	-0.0%	-2.5%	+1.8%	BELOW
Food & Restaurant	+1.1%	+2.4%	+10.7%	ABOVE
Logistics	+1.4%	-0.6%	-9.7%	BELOW
Industrial	+1.0%	-1.2%	-8.1%	BELOW
Cybersecurity	-2.1%	-11.4%	-5.1%	BELOW
Chip Equipment	-2.0%	-5.3%	+3.5%	BELOW
Data Center REITs	-0.6%	-5.1%	-1.2%	BELOW
AI Power & Grid	-0.6%	-13.7%	-8.3%	BELOW
Utilities	+1.0%	+4.0%	+5.3%	ABOVE
Energy	-1.2%	-0.5%	+1.9%	ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace	+1.6%	+2.7%	-2.4%	BELOW
Telecom	+0.5%	+2.8%	+13.3%	ABOVE
Media & Entertainment	-0.9%	-3.5%	-0.4%	BELOW
Biotech	+1.2%	+5.4%	+16.2%	ABOVE
Materials	+2.3%	+0.6%	+2.2%	ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips	-0.7%	-1.8%	+10.5%	ABOVE

Sector Strength

Retail +3.1% 20d: +5.3%

Walmart (WMT) +4.3% (20d: +0.4%), Costco (COST) +1.9% (20d: +10.2%)

Materials +2.3% 20d: +2.2%

Air Products (APD) +2.6% (20d: -2.9%), Linde (LIN) +2.0% (20d: +7.3%)

Healthcare +2.1% 20d: -0.5%

Eli Lilly (LLY) +2.3% (20d: +12.2%), UnitedHealth (UNH) +1.9% (20d: -13.3%) [<50MA]

Defense & Aerospace +1.6% 20d: -2.4%

Lockheed Martin (LMT) +1.9% (20d: -2.0%) [<50MA], RTX Corp (RTX) +1.5% (20d: -0.3%), General Dynamics (GD) +1.5% (20d: -4.8%) [<50MA]

Logistics +1.4% 20d: -9.7%

United Parcel Service (UPS) +1.7% (20d: -11.5%) [<50MA], FedEx (FDX) +1.2% (20d: -8.0%) [<50MA]

Sector Warnings

Chip Supply Chain -3.0% 20d: -3.0%

Intel (INTC) -5.3% (20d: +16.1%), Marvell (MRVL) -5.0% (20d: -10.5%) [<50MA], Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) -3.8% (20d: -8.9%) [<50MA]

Infrastructure -2.9% 20d: +12.0%

Super Micro (SMCI) -11.8% (20d: +61.6%), Dell (DELL) -3.1% (20d: +9.2%) [<50MA], Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) -2.2% (20d: -5.5%) [<50MA]

AI Networking & Interconnect -2.7% 20d: -8.6%

Coherent (COHR) -5.1% (20d: -7.7%) [<50MA], Amphenol (APH) -3.2% (20d: -5.2%) [<50MA], Arista Networks (ANET) +0.2% (20d: -12.8%) [<50MA]

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -2.3% 20d: -8.0%

Tesla (TSLA) -8.4% (20d: -23.9%) [<50MA], NVIDIA (NVDA) -2.8% (20d: -1.8%) [<50MA], Alphabet (GOOG) -2.1% (20d: -10.0%) [<50MA]

EDA & Semiconductor IP -2.3% 20d: -12.8% CRITICAL

ARM Holdings (ARM) -2.7% (20d: -8.5%) [<50MA], Synopsys (SNPS) -2.6% (20d: -13.0%) [<50MA], Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) -1.6% (20d: -16.8%) [<50MA]

Sector Deep Dive

Retail outperformed on the day, led by Walmart (WMT) $96.38 which gained 4.3% and Costco (COST) $1048.38 which added 1.9%. The Retail sector average rose 3.1% for the day and sits above its 50-day moving average by 4.7% over the 50-day window, indicating the sector is in a constructive 50-day trend even as broader discretionary themes show mixed 20-day performance.

Chip Supply Chain remains a clear area of stress: AMD $103.96 fell 3.8%, Marvell (MRVL) $92.62 dropped 5.0% and Intel (INTC) $22.99 slid 5.3%, driving a -2.9% daily sector decline. Over the primary 50-day window the group is below its 50-day trend (vs50MA: BELOW) and the 20-day snapshot shows negative returns, signaling the supply-chain subtheme is under pressure from near-term demand softness.

Infrastructure showed notable weakness with Super Micro (SMCI) $45.54 plunging 11.8% and the sector average falling 2.9%. Infrastructure is below its 50-day moving average by -2.2% over the 50-day window, and the 5-day drop of -11.1% flags acute short-term selling that has eroded the 50-day trend momentum for equipment and services tied to data center and enterprise buildouts.

Healthcare provided ballast as Eli Lilly (LLY) $893.63 gained 2.3% and the sector average rose 2.1% for the day. Healthcare remains slightly below its 50-day moving average (vs50MA: BELOW) but the 50-day trend shows modest positive traction (50d:+0.8%), suggesting select large-cap biopharma names are still supporting the group despite mixed shorter-term breadth.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 9 of 28 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 19 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 15 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500, NASDAQ 100 & Dow Jones (%)

Green shading marks breadth-below-50% regimes: BUY at the 5th session (vertical line on the fire day), STRONG at the 10th (darker). A 3rd day back above 50% ends the regime; tolerated recovery days still count toward the session total. Research display only — not investment advice.

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH EDA & Semiconductor IP down -12.8% over 20 days

HIGH AI Networking & Interconnect down -17.2% over 50 days

HIGH 8 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Mag 7 (AI Spenders), EDA & Semiconductor IP, AI Networking & Interconnect, Airlines, Logistics, Industrial, Cybersecurity, AI Power & Grid

HIGH 3 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: EDA & Semiconductor IP, AI Networking & Interconnect, Data Center REITs

MEDIUM TSLA down -25.2% from 20-day high

LOW EDA & Semiconductor IP below 50-day MA with avg 5 consecutive down days

LOW Cybersecurity below 50-day MA with avg 5 consecutive down days

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMZN	$212.80	+0.0%	-6.1%	-10.6%	-7.6%	BELOW	0
AAPL	$245.53	-0.0%	+0.9%	+3.8%	+0.3%	ABOVE	1
MSFT	$393.28	-1.5%	-3.9%	-10.8%	-11.2%	BELOW	3
META	$654.27	-1.6%	-6.6%	-2.5%	+4.0%	ABOVE	6
GOOG	$176.45	-2.1%	-5.2%	-10.0%	-9.8%	BELOW	4
NVDA	$126.44	-2.8%	-9.0%	-1.8%	-9.1%	BELOW	3
TSLA	$302.80	-8.4%	-16.0%	-23.9%	-28.7%	BELOW	4

Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
QCOM	$156.11	+0.1%	-8.0%	-6.0%	+0.9%	BELOW	0
TSM	$185.89	-1.2%	-5.8%	-6.4%	-2.4%	BELOW	6
AVGO	$199.99	-2.6%	-11.5%	-2.3%	+10.9%	BELOW	4
AMD	$103.96	-3.8%	-9.4%	-8.9%	-20.1%	BELOW	4
MRVL	$92.62	-5.0%	-16.2%	-10.5%	-16.4%	BELOW	4
INTC	$22.99	-5.3%	-10.6%	+16.1%	+14.3%	ABOVE	3

Memory & Storage Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
WDC	$48.85	+0.1%	-9.2%	+3.3%	-7.1%	BELOW	0
STX	$97.58	-0.4%	-3.2%	-0.5%	+2.1%	ABOVE	5
SNDK	$48.16	-0.9%	+4.7%	N/A	N/A	N/A	2
MU	$92.86	-2.3%	-10.7%	+5.6%	-8.5%	BELOW	5

EDA & Semiconductor IP Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CDNS	$248.90	-1.6%	-9.2%	-16.8%	-19.4%	BELOW	5
SNPS	$457.95	-2.6%	-8.6%	-13.0%	-10.6%	BELOW	5
ARM	$136.70	-2.7%	-11.4%	-8.5%	-4.5%	BELOW	5

Infrastructure Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CSCO	$62.17	+1.6%	-0.9%	+8.1%	+10.4%	ABOVE	0
VRT	$91.73	+1.0%	-14.8%	-13.7%	-27.0%	BELOW	0
HPE	$19.57	-2.2%	-7.1%	-5.5%	-6.8%	BELOW	4
DELL	$108.12	-3.1%	-8.5%	+9.2%	-6.4%	BELOW	4
SMCI	$45.54	-11.8%	-24.4%	+61.6%	+18.9%	ABOVE	4

AI Networking & Interconnect Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ANET	$92.88	+0.2%	-10.6%	-12.8%	-13.4%	BELOW	0
APH	$64.29	-3.2%	-6.9%	-5.2%	-11.4%	BELOW	4
COHR	$76.13	-5.1%	-11.9%	-7.7%	-26.7%	BELOW	5

Enterprise Software Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ADBE	$443.41	-0.2%	-3.0%	+0.1%	-19.4%	BELOW	1
NOW	$184.46	-0.6%	-6.6%	-21.2%	-19.6%	BELOW	5
CRM	$302.36	-0.8%	-5.7%	-15.0%	-13.7%	BELOW	5
ORCL	$165.69	-0.8%	-7.2%	+2.8%	-5.4%	BELOW	1
PLTR	$87.84	-3.1%	-21.6%	+9.5%	+21.1%	ABOVE	5

Finance Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
JPM	$249.82	-1.5%	-7.8%	-3.6%	+6.2%	ABOVE	5
GS	$596.83	-1.8%	-8.0%	-3.6%	+3.8%	ABOVE	1

Healthcare Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LLY	$892.36	+2.3%	+4.0%	+12.2%	+13.5%	ABOVE	0
UNH	$452.95	+1.9%	-8.0%	-13.3%	-11.8%	BELOW	0

Retail Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
WMT	$96.15	+4.3%	-6.1%	+0.4%	+3.1%	ABOVE	0
COST	$1046.72	+1.9%	-0.6%	+10.2%	+6.2%	ABOVE	0

IT Services Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ACN	$352.11	-0.3%	-7.0%	-4.1%	+0.2%	BELOW	4
IBM	$247.88	-1.6%	-2.5%	+15.0%	+12.8%	ABOVE	1

Airlines Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DAL	$60.58	+0.5%	-5.0%	-8.7%	-2.7%	BELOW	0
UAL	$96.58	-1.2%	-9.3%	-9.2%	-2.4%	BELOW	1

Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MAR	$273.15	+0.3%	-3.5%	-3.9%	-4.9%	BELOW	0
BKNG	$198.91	-0.3%	-1.5%	+7.5%	-4.9%	ABOVE	1

Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SBUX	$110.23	+1.2%	+1.9%	+14.7%	+17.1%	ABOVE	0
MCD	$299.92	+1.0%	+2.9%	+6.7%	+4.9%	ABOVE	0

Logistics Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UPS	$107.02	+1.7%	+2.7%	-11.5%	-7.2%	BELOW	0
FDX	$200.33	+1.2%	-3.9%	-8.0%	-8.8%	BELOW	0

Industrial Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CAT	$336.45	+1.0%	-3.0%	-12.3%	-11.6%	BELOW	0
HON	$202.34	+1.0%	+0.6%	-3.9%	-7.4%	BELOW	0

Cybersecurity Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
PANW	$188.01	-1.3%	-8.4%	-2.6%	-5.6%	BELOW	5
ZS	$193.04	-2.0%	-10.1%	-5.7%	-7.2%	BELOW	5
CRWD	$94.94	-3.1%	-15.6%	-7.1%	+4.6%	BELOW	5

Chip Equipment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ASML	$721.34	-0.8%	-2.0%	+7.1%	+2.4%	BELOW	4
KLAC	$71.78	-1.7%	-6.2%	+3.4%	+12.0%	ABOVE	3
AMAT	$163.69	-1.8%	-4.7%	-4.0%	-3.0%	BELOW	3
LRCX	$79.41	-3.7%	-8.4%	+7.8%	+2.6%	ABOVE	3

Data Center REITs Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
EQIX	$873.02	-0.3%	-3.5%	-0.0%	-6.9%	BELOW	3
DLR	$151.38	-1.0%	-6.8%	-2.5%	-15.0%	BELOW	3

AI Power & Grid Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
PWR	$264.00	+1.9%	-9.5%	-10.1%	-20.9%	BELOW	0
GEV	$316.59	+0.6%	-15.3%	-10.5%	-7.5%	BELOW	0
ETN	$281.54	-0.8%	-7.1%	-8.0%	-20.5%	BELOW	5
CEG	$261.68	-1.3%	-17.8%	-5.2%	+11.7%	BELOW	5
VST	$136.79	-3.4%	-18.6%	-7.8%	-5.4%	BELOW	4

Utilities Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
DUK	$111.33	+1.2%	+4.9%	+6.3%	+8.0%	ABOVE
SO	$85.57	+1.1%	+3.9%	+8.5%	+8.8%	ABOVE
NEE	$68.16	+0.7%	+3.2%	+1.0%	-3.6%	ABOVE

Energy Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CVX	$147.04	-0.9%	-0.5%	+1.2%	+1.2%	ABOVE	1
XOM	$104.69	-1.4%	-0.5%	+2.5%	-1.1%	ABOVE	1

Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
LMT	$430.52	+1.9%	+3.6%	-2.0%	-11.1%	BELOW
RTX	$124.29	+1.5%	+2.1%	-0.3%	+9.4%	ABOVE
GD	$242.98	+1.5%	+2.3%	-4.8%	-5.3%	BELOW

Telecom Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
VZ	$39.63	+0.9%	+4.0%	+8.2%	+5.9%	ABOVE	0
TMUS	$263.68	+0.9%	+2.7%	+22.3%	+15.4%	ABOVE	0
T	$24.93	-0.3%	+1.6%	+9.2%	+14.9%	ABOVE	1

Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DIS	$108.49	-0.6%	-0.7%	-1.4%	-3.1%	BELOW	1
NFLX	$97.72	-1.1%	-6.3%	+0.6%	+4.3%	ABOVE	4

Biotech Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMGN	$301.97	+1.9%	+7.3%	+13.5%	+16.4%	ABOVE	0
GILD	$107.18	+0.5%	+3.6%	+18.8%	+21.7%	ABOVE	0

Materials Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
APD	$305.30	+2.6%	+0.1%	-2.9%	+2.2%	ABOVE	0
LIN	$458.29	+2.0%	+1.2%	+7.3%	+6.1%	ABOVE	0

Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
TXN	$191.90	-0.4%	+1.9%	+11.6%	+5.1%	ABOVE	3
ADI	$230.13	-0.7%	-2.6%	+12.3%	+8.4%	ABOVE	3
MCHP	$57.78	-1.1%	-4.7%	+7.7%	-1.5%	ABOVE	1

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) fell 11.8% to $45.54. Tesla (TSLA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) fell 8.4% to $302.80. Intel (INTC) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 5.3% to $22.99. Coherent (COHR) (AI Networking & Interconnect) fell 5.1% to $76.13. Marvell (MRVL) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 5.0% to $92.62. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 4 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Heading into tomorrow, watch the alert panel: six sectors flagged for >5% declines over 20 days and a medium alert on TSLA, which is down 25.2% from its 20-day high. Market breadth is uneven with 9 sectors above and 15 below their 50-day moving averages, and Mag 7 remains below the 50-day trend as a group, reinforcing caution on momentum trades. Positioning guidance: favor selective defensive and high-quality retail exposure while trimming cyclicals and high-beta AI spenders until 50-day trends stabilize and chip supply-chain metrics show consistent improvement.

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