US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Wednesday, February 26, 2025 MIXED

The US stock market rotated today as Infrastructure led gains while Mag 7 weakness kept headline breadth mixed. Infrastructure jumped 4.8% on heavy leadership from Super Micro (SMCI) $51.11, Vertiv (VRT) $98.43 and Dell (DELL) $113.19, lifting 10 sectors higher while 11 declined. The S&P 500 treaded water as NVIDIA (NVDA) $131.08 rose 3.7% but Apple (AAPL) $239.10 and Tesla (TSLA) $290.80 weighed after declines, leaving the Mag 7 group marginally negative for the day. Market participants focused on chip-supply and data-center equipment strength even as several cyclicals remain under pressure over the 50-day window.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Wait & Watch

4.25%

stable

Impact

Confidence

Crude Oil (WTI)

Neutral

$68.62

-0.5% 1D

Impact

Confidence

VIX (Fear Index)

Normal Range

19.1

-1.7% 1D

Impact

Confidence

Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)

Healthy Uptrend

54%

37 of 68 above 50DMA · -13.2pp 5D

Impact

Confidence

Put/Call Ratio (5D)

Caution

0.75

Call-Heavy · stable

Impact

Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

AI and broader technology investing showed a bifurcated picture today with NVIDIA (NVDA) $131.08 powering chip optimism while several Mag 7 names sit below their 50-day averages, tempering the rally. The chip supply chain saw selective strength with Broadcom (AVGO) $210.26 up 5.1% and SMCI leading Infrastructure — signaling that hardware and data-center capacity remains an immediate priority for AI deployments. Enterprise software and cybersecurity remain pivotal for adoption; CrowdStrike (CRWD) $98.64 gained on that theme even as Enterprise Software as a sector trades below its 50-day trend, underscoring a near-term capex/infrastructure-first posture among AI buyers.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector	1D	5D	20D	vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders)	-0.1%	-6.2%	-7.1%	BELOW
Chip Supply Chain	+2.2%	-7.7%	-2.1%	BELOW
Infrastructure	+4.8%	-6.1%	+17.4%	ABOVE
Enterprise Software	+1.0%	-6.3%	-4.7%	BELOW
Finance	+0.5%	-3.4%	-3.0%	ABOVE
Healthcare	+0.0%	-1.5%	+0.1%	BELOW
Retail	-1.9%	-0.7%	+2.9%	ABOVE
IT Services	-1.0%	-5.1%	+4.2%	BELOW
Airlines	+0.4%	-4.1%	-9.9%	BELOW
Hospitality & Travel	+0.9%	-0.7%	+2.0%	BELOW
Food & Restaurant	-1.7%	+0.1%	+4.8%	ABOVE
Logistics	-0.6%	-2.2%	-9.1%	BELOW
Industrial	-0.1%	-0.9%	-8.6%	BELOW
Cybersecurity	+2.1%	-6.5%	-0.4%	ABOVE
Chip Equipment	+1.8%	-4.1%	+3.2%	ABOVE
Data Center REITs	+0.8%	-5.0%	-0.4%	BELOW
Utilities	-0.8%	+1.7%	+4.8%	ABOVE
Energy	-0.5%	-2.3%	+1.2%	ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace	-0.6%	+1.6%	-0.5%	BELOW
Telecom	-1.4%	+0.8%	+9.6%	ABOVE
Media & Entertainment	+1.2%	-1.1%	+0.0%	ABOVE
Biotech	-1.9%	+1.6%	+12.6%	ABOVE
Materials	-1.2%	-0.1%	+0.6%	ABOVE
Analog & Embedded Chips	-0.8%	-4.6%	+9.1%	ABOVE

Sector Strength

Infrastructure +4.8% 20d: +17.4%

Super Micro (SMCI) +12.2% (20d: +83.8%), Vertiv (VRT) +7.3% (20d: -10.7%) [<50MA], Dell (DELL) +4.5% (20d: +12.2%)

Chip Supply Chain +2.2% 20d: -2.1%

Broadcom (AVGO) +5.1% (20d: +3.2%) [<50MA], TSMC (TSM) +2.8% (20d: -3.8%) [<50MA], Intel (INTC) +2.3% (20d: +19.1%)

Cybersecurity +2.1% 20d: -0.4%

CrowdStrike (CRWD) +3.9% (20d: -0.6%), Zscaler (ZS) +1.4% (20d: -2.9%) [<50MA], Palo Alto Networks (PANW) +0.8% (20d: +2.2%)

Chip Equipment +1.8% 20d: +3.2%

ASML +2.3% (20d: +5.0%), Applied Materials (AMAT) +1.8% (20d: -3.6%) [<50MA], Lam Research (LRCX) +1.3% (20d: +8.2%)

Media & Entertainment +1.2% 20d: +0.0%

Netflix (NFLX) +1.3% (20d: +1.2%), Disney (DIS) +1.2% (20d: -1.2%)

Sector Warnings

Biotech -1.9% 20d: +12.6%

Amgen (AMGN) -2.9% (20d: +9.6%), Gilead (GILD) -1.0% (20d: +15.6%)

Retail -1.9% 20d: +2.9%

Costco (COST) -2.2% (20d: +7.2%), Walmart (WMT) -1.5% (20d: -1.3%)

Food & Restaurant -1.7% 20d: +4.8%

McDonald's (MCD) -2.1% (20d: +4.9%), Starbucks (SBUX) -1.4% (20d: +4.6%)

Telecom -1.4% 20d: +9.6%

T-Mobile (TMUS) -2.6% (20d: +12.1%), Verizon (VZ) -1.2% (20d: +7.2%), AT&T (T) -0.3% (20d: +9.7%)

Materials -1.2% 20d: +0.6%

Linde (LIN) -1.3% (20d: +5.3%), Air Products (APD) -1.1% (20d: -4.1%)

Sector Deep Dive

Infrastructure: The Infrastructure sector outperformed with a 4.8% one-day gain and a strong 20-day return of +17.4%, sitting ABOVE its 50-day average by +2.9%. Super Micro (SMCI) $51.11 led with a 12.2% one-day surge, Vertiv (VRT) $98.43 jumped 7.3%, and Dell (DELL) $113.19 added 4.5%; each name is riding a clear 50-day rotation into hardware and systems. The 50-day window shows Infrastructure has accumulated meaningful relative strength versus more beaten-down tech subgroups, suggesting investor preference for tangible capacity investments tied to AI and data-center buildouts.

Chip Supply Chain: The Chip Supply Chain cohort gained 2.2% today but remains BELOW its 50-day average by -0.5% and has lagged with a -2.1% 20-day performance. Broadcom (AVGO) $210.26 was a top mover, up 5.1%, highlighting pockets of strength where firm orders and software licensing underpin valuation. The 50-day context suggests selective leadership rather than broad-based recovery; names tied to enterprise networking and custom silicon are outperforming commodity-facing suppliers.

Cybersecurity & Enterprise Software: Cybersecurity rose 2.1% and Enterprise Software gained 1.0% on the day, yet the latter remains BELOW its 50-day average by -4.3% with a -4.7% 20-day return. CrowdStrike (CRWD) $98.64 led cybersecurity with a 3.9% move, reflecting sustained demand for security as enterprises scale AI workloads. The 50-day trend indicates defensive software exposure is holding better than broader enterprise names, but investors should watch whether spending can transition from infrastructure to recurring software contracts over the next several weeks.

Retail & Consumer: Retail traded down 1.9% for the session but stays ABOVE its 50-day average by +3.5% after mixed recent returns; Costco (COST) $1024.86 slid 2.2% and was one of the larger consumer detractors today. The 50-day window suggests consumer staples and select big-box retailers remain resilient even as discretionary and travel-linked groups show more volatility. In sector analysis through the 50-day lens, consumer incumbents are preserving upside relative to more cyclical segments like Airlines and Logistics that remain under pressure.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 13 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 11 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 14 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH 4 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Mag 7 (AI Spenders), Airlines, Logistics, Industrial

MEDIUM GOOG down -15.9% from 20-day high

MEDIUM TSLA down -28.1% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NVDA	$131.08	+3.7%	-6.3%	+6.1%	-4.4%	BELOW	0
META	$670.39	+2.5%	-3.0%	-0.4%	+6.9%	ABOVE	0
AMZN	$214.35	+0.7%	-3.8%	-9.6%	-6.4%	BELOW	0
MSFT	$395.84	+0.5%	-3.9%	-9.4%	-10.9%	BELOW	0
GOOG	$173.80	-1.5%	-6.4%	-11.4%	-9.8%	BELOW	5
AAPL	$239.10	-2.7%	-2.2%	+0.5%	-3.0%	ABOVE	2
TSLA	$290.80	-4.0%	-17.9%	-25.3%	-30.4%	BELOW	5

Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
AVGO	$210.26	+5.1%	-6.1%	+3.2%	+18.2%	BELOW
TSM	$191.05	+2.8%	-2.7%	-3.8%	+1.7%	BELOW
INTC	$23.52	+2.3%	-9.9%	+19.1%	+13.2%	ABOVE
MRVL	$94.51	+2.0%	-12.7%	-11.1%	-12.9%	BELOW
ARM	$138.97	+1.7%	-7.9%	-5.8%	-6.1%	BELOW
AMD	$104.74	+0.8%	-8.3%	-10.7%	-19.8%	BELOW
QCOM	$156.96	+0.5%	-6.7%	-5.6%	+2.4%	BELOW

Infrastructure Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SMCI	$51.11	+12.2%	-13.8%	+83.8%	+34.7%	ABOVE	0
VRT	$98.43	+7.3%	-5.9%	-10.7%	-21.1%	BELOW	0
DELL	$113.19	+4.5%	-3.5%	+12.2%	-2.6%	ABOVE	0
HPE	$19.65	+0.4%	-6.3%	-6.0%	-6.1%	BELOW	0
CSCO	$61.99	-0.3%	-0.9%	+7.6%	+9.6%	ABOVE	1

Enterprise Software Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NOW	$188.39	+2.1%	-2.7%	-17.6%	-18.0%	BELOW	0
PLTR	$89.31	+1.7%	-16.0%	+12.0%	+22.0%	ABOVE	0
CRM	$303.79	+0.5%	-3.5%	-13.2%	-14.1%	BELOW	0
ADBE	$441.50	-0.4%	-2.9%	-0.0%	-7.0%	BELOW	2

Finance Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
JPM	$251.17	+0.5%	-3.0%	-2.9%	+7.7%	ABOVE	0
GS	$599.60	+0.5%	-3.8%	-3.1%	+4.4%	ABOVE	0

Healthcare Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LLY	$906.72	+1.5%	+4.8%	+14.0%	+17.2%	ABOVE	0
UNH	$446.41	-1.4%	-7.7%	-13.8%	-10.1%	BELOW	1

Retail Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
WMT	$94.91	-1.5%	-1.0%	-1.3%	+2.5%	ABOVE	1
COST	$1024.86	-2.2%	-0.3%	+7.2%	+4.5%	ABOVE	1

IT Services Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
IBM	$247.81	-0.7%	-3.4%	+12.6%	+10.9%	ABOVE	2
ACN	$347.64	-1.3%	-6.9%	-4.3%	-0.1%	BELOW	5

Airlines Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UAL	$97.40	+0.8%	-5.0%	-10.0%	+1.5%	BELOW	0
DAL	$60.49	-0.1%	-3.2%	-9.8%	+0.1%	BELOW	1

Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MAR	$278.34	+1.7%	-1.8%	-2.6%	-2.7%	BELOW	0
BKNG	$198.94	+0.0%	+0.3%	+6.6%	-4.4%	ABOVE	0

Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SBUX	$109.33	-1.4%	-0.3%	+4.6%	+16.1%	ABOVE	1
MCD	$293.69	-2.1%	+0.4%	+4.9%	+2.6%	ABOVE	1

Logistics Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
FDX	$200.05	-0.1%	-4.6%	-6.9%	-9.7%	BELOW	1
UPS	$107.60	-1.0%	+0.2%	-11.4%	-8.1%	BELOW	1

Industrial Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CAT	$337.29	+0.1%	-1.9%	-12.9%	-9.7%	BELOW	0
HON	$202.31	-0.3%	-0.0%	-4.4%	-7.2%	BELOW	1

Cybersecurity Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
CRWD	$98.64	+3.9%	-9.5%	-0.6%	+8.0%	ABOVE
ZS	$195.82	+1.4%	-5.4%	-2.9%	-5.1%	BELOW
PANW	$189.55	+0.8%	-4.7%	+2.2%	-5.3%	ABOVE

Chip Equipment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
ASML	$738.83	+2.3%	+0.5%	+5.0%	+5.0%	ABOVE
AMAT	$166.81	+1.8%	-4.3%	-3.6%	-0.1%	BELOW
LRCX	$80.41	+1.3%	-8.7%	+8.2%	+7.6%	ABOVE

Data Center REITs Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
EQIX	$885.27	+0.9%	-2.7%	+0.7%	-6.2%	BELOW	0
DLR	$152.55	+0.8%	-7.3%	-1.5%	-14.3%	BELOW	0

Utilities Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NEE	$67.90	-0.4%	+1.2%	+0.2%	-3.0%	ABOVE	1
DUK	$111.37	-0.8%	+2.8%	+6.1%	+7.5%	ABOVE	1
SO	$85.22	-1.2%	+1.1%	+8.1%	+7.4%	ABOVE	1

Energy Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
XOM	$105.11	-0.2%	-2.3%	+1.6%	-1.2%	ABOVE	2
CVX	$147.11	-0.8%	-2.3%	+0.8%	+1.4%	ABOVE	2

Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
RTX	$124.68	-0.0%	+2.3%	+2.3%	+10.3%	ABOVE	1
GD	$242.32	-0.3%	+1.2%	-0.9%	-4.7%	BELOW	1
LMT	$423.84	-1.6%	+1.2%	-2.8%	-11.1%	BELOW	1

Telecom Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
T	$24.86	-0.3%	+1.6%	+9.7%	+15.2%	ABOVE	2
VZ	$39.15	-1.2%	+1.6%	+7.2%	+4.4%	ABOVE	1
TMUS	$256.90	-2.6%	-0.7%	+12.1%	+13.0%	ABOVE	1

Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NFLX	$99.01	+1.3%	-3.4%	+1.2%	+7.0%	ABOVE	0
DIS	$109.77	+1.2%	+1.2%	-1.2%	-2.2%	ABOVE	0

Biotech Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GILD	$106.15	-1.0%	+0.4%	+15.6%	+20.6%	ABOVE	1
AMGN	$294.83	-2.9%	+2.8%	+9.6%	+12.7%	ABOVE	1

Materials Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
APD	$301.92	-1.1%	-0.1%	-4.1%	+1.6%	ABOVE	1
LIN	$452.46	-1.3%	-0.1%	+5.3%	+5.3%	ABOVE	1

Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MCHP	$57.74	-0.7%	-6.3%	+7.5%	-2.1%	ABOVE	2
TXN	$191.20	-0.9%	-2.8%	+10.8%	+4.2%	ABOVE	4

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) rose 12.2% to $51.11. Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) rose 7.3% to $98.43. Broadcom (AVGO) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 5.1% to $210.26. Dell (DELL) (Infrastructure) rose 4.5% to $113.19. Tesla (TSLA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) fell 4.0% to $290.80. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 1 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Looking ahead, market positioning should respect the active alerts: four sectors have declined >5% over 20 days (Mag 7, Airlines, Logistics, Industrial) and GOOG and TSLA show medium drawdown alerts from recent highs. Breadth is mixed with 13 sectors above their 50MA and 11 below, and the S&P 500 is wrestling with a split 50-day picture across leadership. Tactical guidance: favor selective exposure to Infrastructure and chip-supply names showing clear 50-day strength while keeping defensive allocations or hedges for Mag 7 and other groups still below their 50-day trends.

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