US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Friday, October 31, 2025 BULLISH

Amazon (AMZN) stole the spotlight after an earnings-driven rally powered a 9.6% gain, sending the US stock market higher and helping the S&P 500 head for weekly gains. The Mag 7 cohort showed mixed action: Amazon and Tesla outperformed while Microsoft and Meta lagged, leaving the group up 1.2% on the day and the broader Chip Supply Chain and Infrastructure groups firm. Chip Supply Chain rose 1.1% with Marvell (MRVL) up 5.8%, while Chip Equipment cooled, sliding 1.2% as Lam Research (LRCX) fell 2.2%. Market breadth was constructive with 16 sectors up and 13 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, reinforcing a cautiously bullish tone.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Wait & Watch

4.11%

stable

Impact

Confidence

Crude Oil (WTI)

Neutral

$60.98

+0.7% 1D

Impact

Confidence

VIX (Fear Index)

Normal Range

17.4

+3.1% 1D

Impact

Confidence

200-Day Moving Average

Bullish Trend Intact

0/3 below

SPY above (+12.4%), QQQ above (+17.4%), DIA above (+9.4%)

Impact

Confidence

Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)

Pause Discretionary Adds

66%

45 of 68 above 50DMA · -7.4pp 5D

Impact

Confidence

Put/Call Ratio (5D)

Contrarian Sell Signal

0.63

Too Optimistic · stable

Impact

Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme remains a dominant market driver as the Magnificent 7 continue to allocate capital into compute and data-center capacity: Amazon (AMZN) $244.22 led today after earnings, while NVIDIA (NVDA) $202.23 traded modestly lower on profit-taking. Strength in the Chip Supply Chain, highlighted by Marvell (MRVL) $93.60, and Infrastructure names such as Super Micro (SMCI) $51.96, point to continued demand for AI hardware upgrades. Enterprise Software winners like Palantir (PLTR) $200.47 reinforce the trend that software and services are monetizing AI spend across large enterprises.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector	1D	5D	20D	vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders)	+1.2%	+0.4%	+3.8%	ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain	+1.1%	-0.0%	+9.4%	ABOVE
Infrastructure	+0.7%	+0.8%	+5.9%	ABOVE
Enterprise Software	+0.8%	+0.0%	+3.9%	BELOW
Finance	+0.2%	+1.1%	-0.2%	ABOVE
Healthcare	+0.6%	-1.1%	-1.3%	BELOW
Retail	-0.9%	-2.5%	-0.6%	BELOW
IT Services	-0.3%	-1.0%	+3.5%	ABOVE
Airlines	+0.6%	-4.9%	-2.2%	BELOW
Hospitality & Travel	-0.3%	-3.6%	-5.2%	BELOW
Food & Restaurant	-2.0%	-5.5%	-0.4%	BELOW
Logistics	+1.7%	+5.3%	+7.0%	ABOVE
Industrial	-0.2%	+4.4%	+9.5%	ABOVE
Cybersecurity	+1.5%	+1.3%	+7.2%	ABOVE
Chip Equipment	-1.2%	+0.4%	+3.8%	ABOVE
Data Center REITs	+0.7%	-2.0%	+1.7%	BELOW
Utilities	-0.7%	-3.1%	-0.8%	ABOVE
Energy	+1.2%	+0.1%	+1.3%	ABOVE
Defense & Aerospace	+0.4%	-0.6%	+0.5%	ABOVE
Telecom	+0.7%	-2.2%	-4.1%	BELOW
Media & Entertainment	+1.7%	+1.2%	-2.0%	BELOW
Biotech	+1.7%	+1.0%	+3.5%	ABOVE
Materials	-1.8%	-5.6%	-10.6%	BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips	+1.0%	-3.6%	-8.3%	BELOW

Sector Strength

Media & Entertainment +1.7% 20d: -2.0%

Netflix (NFLX) +2.7% (20d: -3.8%) [<50MA], Disney (DIS) +0.7% (20d: -0.1%) [<50MA]

Logistics +1.7% 20d: +7.0%

FedEx (FDX) +2.0% (20d: +2.7%), UPS +1.4% (20d: +11.3%)

Biotech +1.7% 20d: +3.5%

Amgen (AMGN) +2.2% (20d: +1.5%), Gilead (GILD) +1.1% (20d: +5.5%)

Cybersecurity +1.5% 20d: +7.2%

Zscaler (ZS) +2.8% (20d: +8.5%), Palo Alto Networks (PANW) +0.9% (20d: +3.6%), CrowdStrike (CRWD) +0.8% (20d: +9.5%)

Energy +1.2% 20d: +1.3%

Chevron (CVX) +2.7% (20d: +2.4%), Exxon Mobil (XOM) -0.3% (20d: +0.1%)

Sector Warnings

Food & Restaurant -2.0% 20d: -0.4%

Starbucks (SBUX) -2.7% (20d: -1.5%) [<50MA], McDonald's (MCD) -1.3% (20d: +0.8%) [<50MA]

Materials -1.8% 20d: -10.6% CRITICAL

Linde (LIN) -2.7% (20d: -10.7%) [<50MA], Air Products (APD) -0.8% (20d: -10.5%) [<50MA]

Chip Equipment -1.2% 20d: +3.8%

Lam Research (LRCX) -2.2% (20d: +5.6%), ASML -1.5% (20d: +1.7%), Applied Materials (AMAT) +0.2% (20d: +4.1%)

Retail -0.9% 20d: -0.6%

Walmart (WMT) -1.0% (20d: -1.5%) [<50MA], Costco (COST) -0.8% (20d: +0.2%) [<50MA]

Utilities -0.7% 20d: -0.8%

Southern Co (SO) -1.1% (20d: -1.5%) [<50MA], Duke Energy (DUK) -0.7% (20d: -0.1%), NextEra Energy (NEE) -0.3% (20d: -0.9%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain showed leadership today, rising 1.1% with standout moves in Marvell (MRVL) $93.60, which climbed 5.8% and sits comfortably above its 50-day trend (+33.7% over 50 days). Broadcom (AVGO) $367.57 was a notable laggard in the group, down 1.8%, but the sector's 50-day context remains constructive and supportive for cyclical upside as AI-related capex continues to filter through suppliers.

Chip Equipment drifted lower, down 1.2% for the session as Lam Research (LRCX) $156.90 fell 2.2%. The 50-day performance for the group is robust (+47.2% over 50 days), but today's pullback highlights sensitivity to near-term order expectations. Investors should watch order flow and equipment bookings as the primary 50-day signal for continued expansion versus a near-term consolidation.

Enterprise Software posted gains of 0.8%, paced by Palantir (PLTR) $200.47 which rose 3.0% and is trading above its 50-day context despite choppy shorter-term action. The broader group is below its 50-day average (+7.3% over 50 days but labeled BELOW relative to the 50MA), indicating divergent internals where selected AI-native software names are outperforming legacy peers. This bifurcation argues for selective exposure to names showing consistent 50-day strength.

Materials remain the market's most acute risk area, declining 1.8% today and flagged with multiple high-severity alerts: down 10.6% over 20 days and 15.6% over 50 days. Linde (LIN) $414.06 was among the weaker names, falling 2.7%, and the group sits well below the 50-day trend, signaling a deteriorating cycle. Given the persistent 50-day weakness and the alert count, Materials should be treated as defensively positioned until a clear 50-day stabilization appears.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 13 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 11 are below. The majority of sectors holding above the 50-day MA indicates healthy medium-term momentum. With 13 sectors positive over 20 days, buying pressure remains broad-based.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Materials down -10.6% over 20 days

HIGH Materials down -15.6% over 50 days

HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -15.3% over 50 days

HIGH 3 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Hospitality & Travel, Materials, Analog & Embedded Chips

HIGH 3 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Telecom, Materials, Analog & Embedded Chips

LOW Materials below 50-day MA with avg 5 consecutive down days

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMZN	$244.22	+9.6%	+7.6%	+10.6%	+6.7%	ABOVE	0
TSLA	$456.56	+3.7%	+0.9%	+0.7%	+34.3%	ABOVE	0
GOOG	$281.27	-0.0%	+4.4%	+12.1%	+36.5%	ABOVE	1
NVDA	$202.23	-0.2%	+5.7%	+9.1%	+13.8%	ABOVE	2
AAPL	$269.61	-0.4%	+0.6%	+5.3%	+18.7%	ABOVE	1
MSFT	$514.55	-1.5%	-2.6%	-2.0%	+2.1%	ABOVE	3
META	$646.67	-2.7%	-13.6%	-9.4%	-14.0%	BELOW	2

Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MRVL	$93.60	+5.8%	+5.7%	+5.5%	+28.5%	ABOVE	0
ARM	$169.82	+2.6%	-4.9%	+8.7%	+23.1%	ABOVE	0
QCOM	$178.17	+2.1%	-3.6%	+7.3%	+15.1%	ABOVE	0
AMD	$256.12	+0.5%	-1.4%	+25.7%	+52.7%	ABOVE	0
INTC	$39.99	-0.4%	+1.1%	+9.3%	+61.3%	ABOVE	3
TSM	$298.08	-0.9%	+0.7%	-0.7%	+29.4%	ABOVE	2
AVGO	$367.57	-1.8%	+2.1%	+10.2%	+25.9%	ABOVE	2

Infrastructure Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SMCI	$51.96	+3.2%	+0.8%	-4.9%	+18.4%	ABOVE	0
DELL	$160.81	+0.6%	-0.1%	+11.5%	+24.3%	ABOVE	0
CSCO	$72.06	+0.3%	+2.4%	+6.1%	+9.3%	ABOVE	0
HPE	$24.05	+0.0%	+1.0%	-1.5%	+9.3%	ABOVE	0
VRT	$192.70	-0.5%	-0.0%	+18.5%	+53.1%	ABOVE	2

Enterprise Software Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
PLTR	$200.47	+3.0%	+6.0%	+11.7%	+26.3%	ABOVE	0
CRM	$258.67	+1.5%	+1.9%	+6.0%	+5.1%	ABOVE	0
ADBE	$340.31	+0.3%	-4.9%	-2.8%	-6.0%	BELOW	0
NOW	$183.86	-1.6%	-2.9%	+0.7%	+3.7%	BELOW	1

Finance Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
JPM	$306.76	+0.5%	+2.3%	+0.6%	+5.5%	ABOVE	0
GS	$777.94	-0.1%	-0.1%	-0.9%	+7.0%	ABOVE	1

Healthcare Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LLY	$858.68	+2.2%	+4.4%	+2.1%	+21.2%	ABOVE	0
UNH	$334.75	-0.9%	-6.7%	-4.8%	+11.8%	BELOW	3

Retail Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
COST	$908.89	-0.8%	-1.8%	+0.2%	-4.8%	BELOW	1
WMT	$100.58	-1.0%	-3.1%	-1.5%	+4.5%	BELOW	7

IT Services Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ACN	$245.05	+0.3%	-0.3%	+0.8%	-3.5%	ABOVE	0
IBM	$301.77	-0.9%	-1.8%	+6.2%	+27.0%	ABOVE	1

Airlines Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UAL	$94.04	+0.7%	-4.8%	-3.1%	-8.7%	BELOW	0
DAL	$56.93	+0.5%	-5.1%	-1.2%	-6.7%	BELOW	0

Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
BKNG	$201.75	-0.0%	-3.4%	-6.3%	-11.1%	BELOW	1
MAR	$258.95	-0.6%	-3.9%	-4.2%	-4.8%	BELOW	5

Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MCD	$293.01	-1.3%	-3.7%	+0.8%	-4.4%	BELOW	1
SBUX	$79.31	-2.7%	-7.3%	-1.5%	-8.5%	BELOW	4

Logistics Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
FDX	$201.91	+2.0%	+2.6%	+2.7%	+7.9%	ABOVE	0
UPS	$91.92	+1.4%	+8.1%	+11.3%	+8.6%	ABOVE	0

Industrial Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
HON	$207.71	+0.6%	-0.7%	+2.2%	-4.1%	ABOVE	0
CAT	$574.82	-1.0%	+9.5%	+16.9%	+32.9%	ABOVE	2

Cybersecurity Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
ZS	$331.14	+2.8%	+1.5%	+8.5%	+21.5%	ABOVE
PANW	$220.24	+0.9%	-0.0%	+3.6%	+18.5%	ABOVE
CRWD	$135.75	+0.8%	+2.5%	+9.5%	+29.1%	ABOVE

Chip Equipment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMAT	$232.07	+0.2%	+0.8%	+4.1%	+43.5%	ABOVE	0
ASML	$1055.53	-1.5%	+0.1%	+1.7%	+40.6%	ABOVE	1
LRCX	$156.90	-2.2%	+0.4%	+5.6%	+57.6%	ABOVE	1

Data Center REITs Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
EQIX	$832.24	+1.5%	+0.4%	+7.1%	+7.6%	ABOVE	0
DLR	$166.80	-0.2%	-4.3%	-3.7%	+2.7%	BELOW	1

Utilities Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NEE	$79.72	-0.3%	-5.4%	-0.9%	+7.5%	ABOVE	4
DUK	$121.14	-0.7%	-2.5%	-0.1%	-0.0%	ABOVE	1
SO	$91.79	-1.1%	-1.4%	-1.5%	-0.5%	BELOW	1

Energy Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CVX	$153.06	+2.7%	+1.6%	+2.4%	-0.3%	ABOVE	0
XOM	$111.86	-0.3%	-1.4%	+0.1%	+2.8%	ABOVE	2

Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
RTX	$176.47	+0.6%	-0.4%	+5.7%	+14.2%	ABOVE
LMT	$482.46	+0.4%	+1.0%	-4.3%	+11.0%	ABOVE
GD	$340.41	+0.1%	-2.5%	-0.0%	+8.4%	ABOVE

Telecom Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
VZ	$37.84	+2.0%	+1.3%	-2.5%	-9.0%	BELOW	0
T	$23.89	+0.3%	-3.1%	-3.3%	-13.0%	BELOW	0
TMUS	$206.89	-0.3%	-4.8%	-6.6%	-16.3%	BELOW	4

Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NFLX	$111.89	+2.7%	+2.2%	-3.8%	-7.1%	BELOW	0
DIS	$111.01	+0.7%	+0.2%	-0.1%	-5.2%	BELOW	0

Biotech Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMGN	$292.07	+2.2%	+2.5%	+1.5%	+1.6%	ABOVE	0
GILD	$117.56	+1.1%	-0.6%	+5.5%	+5.1%	ABOVE	0

Materials Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
APD	$237.85	-0.8%	-5.1%	-10.5%	-18.4%	BELOW	4
LIN	$414.06	-2.7%	-6.0%	-10.7%	-12.9%	BELOW	6

Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
TXN	$159.60	+1.5%	-3.8%	-10.4%	-20.9%	BELOW	0
MCHP	$61.19	+0.6%	-3.3%	-6.3%	-9.7%	BELOW	0

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Amazon (AMZN) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) rose 9.6% to $244.22. Marvell (MRVL) (Chip Supply Chain) rose 5.8% to $93.60. Tesla (TSLA) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) rose 3.7% to $456.56. Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) rose 3.2% to $51.96. Palantir (PLTR) (Enterprise Software) rose 3.0% to $200.47. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 5 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Near-term outlook is cautiously constructive: 16 sectors advanced today and 13 of 24 sectors trade above their 50-day moving average, supporting a market that favors leadership rather than broad-based rotation. Active alerts are concentrated in Materials and Analog & Embedded Chips with multiple high-severity 20- and 50-day declines, highlighting pockets to avoid. Positioning guidance: overweight AI-capex beneficiaries showing clear 50-day strength (select Chip Supply Chain and Infrastructure names), maintain selective exposure to Mag 7 winners, and underweight sectors under multi-horizon pressure such as Materials and Telecom until 50-day trends improve.

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