US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Monday, November 03, 2025 BEARISH

Amazon (AMZN) led today’s move after a surprise Q3 retail print and upbeat commentary, jumping 4.0% to $254.00 and lifting the Mag 7 cohort as markets rotated back into AI spenders. The S&P 500 traded mixed as strength in Chip Equipment (+1.7%) and Cybersecurity (+0.9%) contrasted with continued pressure in Telecom and Materials, which remain notable laggards. Palantir (PLTR) produced intraday volatility after earnings headlines but closed up 3.3% at $207.18, underscoring sector idiosyncrasy within Enterprise Software. Overall, 8 sectors advanced, 14 declined, and the Mag 7 group finished +1.0% on the day, keeping the narrative focused on concentrated leadership amid uneven breadth.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Wait & Watch

4.13%

falling

Impact

Confidence

Crude Oil (WTI)

Neutral

$61.05

+0.1% 1D

Impact

Confidence

VIX (Fear Index)

Normal Range

17.2

-1.6% 1D

Impact

Confidence

200-Day Moving Average

Bullish Trend Intact

0/3 below

SPY above (+12.5%), QQQ above (+17.8%), DIA above (+8.9%)

Impact

Confidence

Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)

Pause Discretionary Adds

63%

43 of 68 above 50DMA · -17.6pp 5D

Impact

Confidence

Put/Call Ratio (5D)

Contrarian Sell Signal

0.68

Too Optimistic · stable

Impact

Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme stayed constructive with Amazon (AMZN) $254.00 and NVIDIA (NVDA) $206.62 extending relative strength, reflecting durable demand for cloud retail compute and accelerators. The Mag 7’s mix of winners and laggards — Tesla (TSLA) $468.37 and NVIDIA up while Meta (META) $636.06 lags — highlights where capex intensity matters most. Durable tailwinds for the Chip Supply Chain (20d +8.5%, 50d +33.7% above) and selective Infrastructure names support a second leg of hardware-driven AI investment, while Enterprise Software (20d +5.2% but below its 50d) needs clearer licensing/AI revenue proofs to re-rate.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector	1D	5D	20D	vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders)	+1.0%	+0.2%	+6.1%	ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain	-0.7%	-0.9%	+8.5%	ABOVE
Infrastructure	-0.4%	-0.4%	+5.1%	ABOVE
Enterprise Software	+0.6%	+0.8%	+5.2%	BELOW
Finance	-0.5%	+0.2%	+0.0%	ABOVE
Healthcare	+0.8%	+0.0%	-1.0%	BELOW
Retail	+1.1%	-0.5%	-0.0%	BELOW
IT Services	-0.8%	-2.2%	+1.3%	ABOVE
Airlines	+2.1%	+1.2%	+1.5%	BELOW
Hospitality & Travel	+0.2%	-1.2%	-2.7%	BELOW
Food & Restaurant	-0.3%	-4.3%	-0.2%	BELOW
Logistics	-1.4%	-0.5%	+6.9%	ABOVE
Industrial	-1.5%	+3.3%	+9.0%	BELOW
Cybersecurity	+0.9%	+0.7%	+10.9%	ABOVE
Chip Equipment	+1.7%	+3.2%	+11.3%	ABOVE
Data Center REITs	-0.3%	+0.4%	+2.0%	ABOVE
Utilities	-0.3%	-1.5%	-2.2%	BELOW
Energy	-1.4%	-0.6%	-0.5%	BELOW
Defense & Aerospace	-0.8%	-0.6%	+0.0%	ABOVE
Telecom	-1.6%	-3.9%	-6.3%	BELOW
Media & Entertainment	-1.1%	+0.1%	-4.0%	BELOW
Biotech	+0.6%	+2.5%	+2.4%	ABOVE
Materials	-1.4%	-6.4%	-12.0%	BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips	-0.0%	-2.2%	-6.0%	BELOW

Sector Strength

Airlines +2.1% 20d: +1.5%

United (UAL) +2.2% (20d: -0.6%) [<50MA], Delta (DAL) +2.0% (20d: +3.6%) [<50MA]

Chip Equipment +1.7% 20d: +11.3%

Lam Research (LRCX) +2.4% (20d: +14.9%), Applied Materials (AMAT) +2.0% (20d: +12.4%), ASML +0.7% (20d: +6.6%)

Retail +1.1% 20d: -0.0%

Costco (COST) +1.8% (20d: +1.6%) [<50MA], Walmart (WMT) +0.4% (20d: -1.6%) [<50MA]

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) +1.0% 20d: +6.1%

Amazon (AMZN) +4.0% (20d: +14.5%), Tesla (TSLA) +2.6% (20d: +8.1%), NVIDIA (NVDA) +2.2% (20d: +11.8%)

Cybersecurity +0.9% 20d: +10.9%

CrowdStrike (CRWD) +1.6% (20d: +13.9%), Zscaler (ZS) +1.5% (20d: +14.9%), Palo Alto Networks (PANW) -0.5% (20d: +3.9%)

Sector Warnings

Telecom -1.6% 20d: -6.3%

T-Mobile (TMUS) -3.2% (20d: -10.7%) [<50MA], AT&T (T) -0.9% (20d: -5.2%) [<50MA], Verizon (VZ) -0.7% (20d: -3.0%) [<50MA]

Industrial -1.5% 20d: +9.0%

Honeywell (HON) -1.8% (20d: +0.4%) [<50MA], Caterpillar (CAT) -1.2% (20d: +17.6%)

Energy -1.4% 20d: -0.5%

Chevron (CVX) -2.3% (20d: -0.6%) [<50MA], Exxon Mobil (XOM) -0.5% (20d: -0.4%)

Materials -1.4% 20d: -12.0% CRITICAL

Linde (LIN) -1.5% (20d: -12.4%) [<50MA], Air Products (APD) -1.3% (20d: -11.6%) [<50MA]

Logistics -1.4% 20d: +6.9%

UPS -2.4% (20d: +9.4%), FedEx (FDX) -0.3% (20d: +4.4%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Equipment is showing leadership through the 50-day window: Lam Research (LRCX) jumped 2.4% to $160.67 and the group is +49.3% over 50 days and trading ABOVE its 50MA, signaling strong capex momentum into semiconductor fabs. Within 50-day trend context the sector’s 1-day gain of 1.7% and 20-day performance of +11.3% reflect sustained ordering cycles for advanced etch and deposition equipment, which supports upstream suppliers and reinforces NVDA-driven demand dynamics.

Chip Supply Chain displayed more bifurcation: Marvell (MRVL) weakened -3.6% to $90.24 even as the broader supply chain is +33.7% over 50 days and marked ABOVE its 50MA, indicating profit-taking in individual names despite multi-week strength. The sector’s 1-day -0.7% masks the 20-day +8.5% momentum; traders should watch earnings cadence and backlog visibility across PHY and IP businesses inside the next 50-day timeframe for confirmation.

Materials remains an active risk, flagged by multiple alerts: the sector is down -12.0% over 20 days and -15.8% over 50 days with Materials below its 50MA, creating a high-risk backdrop for cyclical exposure. Declines across the 50-day window highlight deteriorating demand and inventory concerns; this persistent weakness argues for defensive positioning until a base forms or positive industrial data shifts the 50-day trend.

Enterprise Software showed stock-specific moves inside a softer 50-day context: Palantir (PLTR) advanced 3.3% to $207.18 but the group remains below its 50-day on aggregate even as the 20-day is +5.2%. The 50-day trend suggests investors are still parsing durable enterprise AI monetization — winners will be names that show recurring ARR growth tied to AI deployments, while others may trade sideways until clearer 50-day breakouts appear.

Healthcare delivered measured upside with Eli Lilly (LLY) up 3.9% to $892.19 and the sector sitting below its 50MA for broader names despite Healthcare’s 50d +19.6% context showing resilience in biologics and selective big-pharma M&A. The 1-day +0.8% reflects rotation into defensive growth after rate-sensitive downdrafts elsewhere, but watch 50-day momentum for signals that longer-term drug approvals or deal news drive the next leg higher.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 11 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 13 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 10 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Materials down -12.0% over 20 days

HIGH Materials down -15.8% over 50 days

HIGH 3 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Telecom, Materials, Analog & Embedded Chips

HIGH 3 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Telecom, Materials, Analog & Embedded Chips

MEDIUM META down -15.2% from 20-day high

LOW Materials below 50-day MA with avg 6 consecutive down days

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
AMZN	$254.00	+4.0%	+10.8%	+14.5%	+11.4%	ABOVE	0
TSLA	$468.37	+2.6%	+1.7%	+8.1%	+35.1%	ABOVE	0
NVDA	$206.62	+2.2%	+2.9%	+11.8%	+15.1%	ABOVE	0
GOOG	$283.56	+0.8%	+5.8%	+15.0%	+36.0%	ABOVE	0
MSFT	$513.78	-0.2%	-4.6%	-1.3%	+2.5%	ABOVE	4
AAPL	$268.29	-0.5%	+0.0%	+4.9%	+18.4%	ABOVE	2
META	$636.06	-1.6%	-15.1%	-10.6%	-15.3%	BELOW	3

Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
TSM	$302.48	+1.5%	+1.1%	+3.7%	+29.8%	ABOVE	0
AMD	$259.65	+1.4%	+0.6%	+22.8%	+58.9%	ABOVE	0
QCOM	$178.00	-0.1%	-0.2%	+9.2%	+16.2%	ABOVE	1
ARM	$168.68	-0.7%	-2.5%	+5.9%	+22.4%	ABOVE	1
INTC	$39.50	-1.2%	-4.9%	+6.3%	+60.9%	ABOVE	4
AVGO	$360.53	-1.9%	-2.8%	+7.8%	+23.4%	ABOVE	3
MRVL	$90.24	-3.6%	+2.2%	+4.0%	+24.0%	ABOVE	1

Infrastructure Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CSCO	$73.38	+1.8%	+2.5%	+7.9%	+11.6%	ABOVE	0
HPE	$24.13	+0.3%	+1.0%	-1.6%	+9.2%	ABOVE	0
VRT	$191.24	-0.8%	+0.4%	+20.5%	+53.1%	ABOVE	3
DELL	$158.92	-1.2%	-2.9%	+6.5%	+22.6%	ABOVE	1
SMCI	$50.75	-2.3%	-3.1%	-7.8%	+15.2%	ABOVE	1

Enterprise Software Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
PLTR	$207.18	+3.3%	+9.3%	+13.7%	+31.8%	ABOVE	0
CRM	$259.60	+0.4%	+2.8%	+9.0%	+5.6%	ABOVE	0
NOW	$182.77	-0.6%	-2.6%	+1.1%	+3.9%	BELOW	2
ADBE	$337.47	-0.8%	-6.2%	-3.1%	-7.1%	BELOW	1

Finance Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GS	$774.14	-0.5%	-0.8%	-0.5%	+6.9%	ABOVE	2
JPM	$305.02	-0.6%	+1.3%	+0.5%	+5.4%	ABOVE	1

Healthcare Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LLY	$892.19	+3.9%	+9.3%	+6.3%	+28.9%	ABOVE	0
UNH	$327.13	-2.3%	-9.3%	-8.2%	+10.2%	BELOW	4

Retail Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
COST	$925.43	+1.8%	+0.6%	+1.6%	-1.3%	BELOW	0
WMT	$100.98	+0.4%	-1.5%	-1.6%	+5.7%	BELOW	0

IT Services Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
ACN	$243.42	-0.7%	-1.9%	-1.1%	-3.0%	ABOVE	1
IBM	$299.14	-0.9%	-2.5%	+3.7%	+27.3%	ABOVE	2

Airlines Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
UAL	$96.11	+2.2%	+1.2%	-0.6%	-6.1%	BELOW	0
DAL	$58.04	+2.0%	+1.1%	+3.6%	-2.9%	BELOW	0

Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
MAR	$262.24	+1.3%	-0.6%	-1.3%	-1.8%	BELOW	0
BKNG	$199.88	-0.9%	-1.8%	-4.0%	-11.6%	BELOW	2

Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
SBUX	$79.40	+0.1%	-5.2%	-0.4%	-5.7%	BELOW	0
MCD	$290.99	-0.7%	-3.3%	+0.0%	-4.9%	BELOW	2

Logistics Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
FDX	$201.25	-0.3%	+1.4%	+4.4%	+9.3%	ABOVE	1
UPS	$89.70	-2.4%	-2.4%	+9.4%	+7.2%	ABOVE	1

Industrial Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CAT	$568.18	-1.2%	+8.8%	+17.6%	+32.4%	ABOVE	3
HON	$204.04	-1.8%	-2.1%	+0.4%	-4.9%	BELOW	1

Cybersecurity Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
CRWD	$137.98	+1.6%	+0.9%	+13.9%	+31.8%	ABOVE	0
ZS	$336.27	+1.5%	+2.2%	+14.9%	+24.7%	ABOVE	0
PANW	$219.23	-0.5%	-1.0%	+3.9%	+18.8%	ABOVE	1

Chip Equipment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA
LRCX	$160.67	+2.4%	+3.6%	+14.9%	+59.5%	ABOVE
AMAT	$236.66	+2.0%	+4.4%	+12.4%	+46.7%	ABOVE
ASML	$1063.09	+0.7%	+1.5%	+6.6%	+41.7%	ABOVE

Data Center REITs Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DLR	$168.32	+0.9%	-1.2%	-1.8%	+4.4%	ABOVE	0
EQIX	$819.29	-1.6%	+2.0%	+5.8%	+6.4%	ABOVE	1

Utilities Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
NEE	$80.09	+0.5%	-2.1%	-1.7%	+9.4%	ABOVE	0
DUK	$120.53	-0.5%	-1.6%	-1.5%	+0.5%	BELOW	2
SO	$90.92	-0.9%	-0.8%	-3.4%	+0.0%	BELOW	2

Energy Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
XOM	$111.27	-0.5%	-1.1%	-0.4%	+1.8%	ABOVE	3
CVX	$149.49	-2.3%	-0.1%	-0.6%	-2.6%	BELOW	1

Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
LMT	$478.59	-0.8%	+0.4%	-4.5%	+9.8%	ABOVE	1
RTX	$175.03	-0.8%	-0.9%	+4.6%	+13.3%	ABOVE	1
GD	$337.42	-0.9%	-1.4%	-0.0%	+7.3%	ABOVE	1

Telecom Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
VZ	$37.58	-0.7%	+0.4%	-3.0%	-9.2%	BELOW	1
T	$23.68	-0.9%	-4.6%	-5.2%	-13.7%	BELOW	1
TMUS	$200.26	-3.2%	-7.6%	-10.7%	-18.9%	BELOW	5

Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
DIS	$110.52	-0.4%	+0.4%	-0.4%	-4.7%	BELOW	1
NFLX	$110.01	-1.7%	-0.2%	-7.6%	-9.7%	BELOW	1

Biotech Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
GILD	$119.78	+1.9%	+3.5%	+4.5%	+7.7%	ABOVE	0
AMGN	$289.99	-0.7%	+1.4%	+0.3%	+2.7%	ABOVE	1

Materials Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
APD	$234.69	-1.3%	-5.9%	-11.6%	-18.1%	BELOW	5
LIN	$408.00	-1.5%	-6.9%	-12.4%	-13.5%	BELOW	7

Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers

Ticker	Price	1D	5D	20D	50D	vs 50MA	Down Days
TXN	$159.60	+0.0%	-2.4%	-8.0%	-20.9%	BELOW	0
MCHP	$61.18	-0.0%	-1.9%	-3.9%	-9.0%	BELOW	1

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Amazon (AMZN) (Mag 7 (AI Spenders)) rose 4.0% to $254.00. Eli Lilly (LLY) (Healthcare) rose 3.9% to $892.19. Marvell (MRVL) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 3.6% to $90.24. Palantir (PLTR) (Enterprise Software) rose 3.3% to $207.18. T-Mobile (TMUS) (Telecom) fell 3.2% to $200.26. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 4 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Near-term positioning should respect mixed breadth: 11 sectors above their 50MA and 13 below underscore a market where leadership is concentrated and risk is elevated across cyclicals. Active alerts remain material — Materials and Telecom show extended 20- and 50-day declines — and market breadth metrics (8 sectors up, 14 down) favor selective longs in AI-capex beneficiaries and defensive healthcare names. Tactical allocations should overweight proven 50-day uptrends (Chip Equipment, Chip Supply Chain, Mag 7 pockets) while trimming exposure to sectors flagged by high alerts until 50-day price action stabilizes.

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