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US Stock Market Sector Analysis – Tuesday, November 04, 2025 BEARISH

The US stock market opened under pressure after SoftBank's 10% plunge and headlines that knocked AI sentiment, wiping roughly $23 billion in market value and catalyzing a broad tech reset. AI-linked names and chip supply-chain groups led the weakness, with Chip Supply Chain down 4.1% on the day and Intel (INTC) sliding 6.3% to $37.03 after negative coverage. Airlines were hit hard amid DOT shutdown risk, leaving Airlines down 5.2% for the session and United (UAL) falling 5.6% to $90.77. The Magnificent 7 softened overall (-2.1% for the Mag 7 group), with NVIDIA (NVDA) down 4.0% to $198.44 and Tesla (TSLA) off 5.1% to $444.26 — a clear signal that high-valuation AI exposure is being re-priced today.

Market Condition Dashboard

US 10-Year Treasury Yield
Wait & Watch
4.10%
stable
Impact
Confidence
Crude Oil (WTI)
Neutral
$60.56
-0.8% 1D
Impact
Confidence
VIX (Fear Index)
Normal Range
19.0
+10.7% 1D
Impact
Confidence
200-Day Moving Average
Bullish Trend Intact
0/3 below
SPY above (+11.1%), QQQ above (+15.3%), DIA above (+8.2%)
Impact
Confidence
Tracked Stocks Breadth (50DMA)
Pause Discretionary Adds
60%
41 of 68 above 50DMA · -16.2pp 5D
Impact
Confidence
Put/Call Ratio (5D)
Contrarian Sell Signal
0.69
Too Optimistic · rising
Impact
Confidence

Signal analysis only — not investment advice

Sector Performance (Base=100)

AI and Technology Sector Analysis

The AI investment theme shows a two-speed market: the Magnificent 7 still lead allocations but are encountering valuation pressure that ripples into the chip supply chain. Apple (AAPL) $269.28 and NVIDIA (NVDA) $198.44 remain above their 50-day trends, but NVDA’s 1-day -4.0% underscores increased short-term risk across semiconductors. Infrastructure names and enterprise names tied to AI deployments, including Super Micro Computer (SMCI) $47.40, are trading with higher volatility as investors reassess capex timing and supply-chain breadth.

US Stock Sector Overview

Sector 1D 5D 20D vs 50MA
Mag 7 (AI Spenders) -2.1% -2.8% +2.9% ABOVE
Chip Supply Chain -4.1% -5.7% -0.3% ABOVE
Infrastructure -4.4% -5.3% -4.7% ABOVE
Enterprise Software -3.5% -1.6% +0.7% BELOW
Finance +0.3% +1.1% +1.8% ABOVE
Healthcare +0.1% +2.3% -1.7% BELOW
Retail +1.0% +1.5% +1.2% BELOW
IT Services -1.8% -2.2% -0.0% BELOW
Airlines -5.2% -5.3% -4.9% BELOW
Hospitality & Travel +1.2% +0.9% -0.6% BELOW
Food & Restaurant -0.4% -3.2% +0.5% BELOW
Logistics -0.7% -1.7% +6.5% ABOVE
Industrial -2.3% -4.3% +4.3% BELOW
Cybersecurity -2.6% -0.4% +2.6% ABOVE
Chip Equipment -3.3% -3.1% +6.5% ABOVE
Data Center REITs -1.2% +2.4% -0.1% BELOW
Utilities -0.1% -0.4% -2.5% BELOW
Energy -0.0% -1.5% -0.1% BELOW
Defense & Aerospace -0.3% -0.2% -0.6% ABOVE
Telecom +0.2% -3.0% -6.0% BELOW
Media & Entertainment -0.6% +0.2% -5.2% BELOW
Biotech +0.5% +2.7% +2.4% ABOVE
Materials +1.0% -3.2% -10.5% BELOW
Analog & Embedded Chips -3.0% -2.3% -11.3% BELOW

Sector Strength

Hospitality & Travel +1.2% 20d: -0.6%
Marriott (MAR) +3.2% (20d: +1.6%), Booking (BKNG) -0.8% (20d: -2.7%) [<50MA]
Retail +1.0% 20d: +1.2%
Costco (COST) +1.4% (20d: +3.0%), Walmart (WMT) +0.7% (20d: -0.6%) [<50MA]
Materials +1.0% 20d: -10.5%
Linde (LIN) +1.4% (20d: -10.7%) [<50MA], Air Products (APD) +0.6% (20d: -10.4%) [<50MA]
Biotech +0.5% 20d: +2.4%
Gilead (GILD) +0.8% (20d: +4.0%), Amgen (AMGN) +0.1% (20d: +0.7%)
Finance +0.3% 20d: +1.8%
Goldman Sachs (GS) +0.7% (20d: +1.8%), JPMorgan (JPM) -0.0% (20d: +1.7%)

Sector Warnings

Airlines -5.2% 20d: -4.9%
United (UAL) -5.6% (20d: -7.5%) [<50MA], Delta (DAL) -4.9% (20d: -2.3%) [<50MA]
Infrastructure -4.4% 20d: -4.7%
Super Micro (SMCI) -6.6% (20d: -19.2%) [<50MA], Vertiv (VRT) -5.5% (20d: +8.0%), Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) -3.8% (20d: -9.7%) [<50MA]
Chip Supply Chain -4.1% 20d: -0.3%
Intel (INTC) -6.3% (20d: -1.1%), ARM Holdings (ARM) -4.7% (20d: -3.6%), Qualcomm (QCOM) -4.4% (20d: +3.0%)
Enterprise Software -3.5% 20d: +0.7%
Palantir (PLTR) -7.9% (20d: +3.9%), ServiceNow (NOW) -2.9% (20d: -2.9%) [<50MA], Salesforce (CRM) -2.6% (20d: +5.8%)
Chip Equipment -3.3% 20d: +6.5%
ASML -3.4% (20d: +4.5%), Lam Research (LRCX) -3.4% (20d: +9.3%), Applied Materials (AMAT) -3.2% (20d: +5.8%)

Sector Deep Dive

Chip Supply Chain today underperformed with a 1-day drop of -4.1% and sits above its 50-day average (+26.5%). Intel (INTC) $37.03 led losses, down -6.3% intraday and lagging over the 50-day window despite the sector’s positive 50-day placement; the pullback highlights vendor-specific headwinds and sentiment-driven flows into or out of capex plays. Chip Equipment has likewise dipped (-3.3% 1d) but remains materially positive over 50 days (+41.9%), signaling that equipment demand narratives still support long-term secular exposure even as near-term AI re-pricing compresses multiples.

Infrastructure names were hit hard, with the sector off -4.4% on the day but staying above the 50-day average (+15.7%). Super Micro Computer (SMCI) $47.40 was a clear mover, down -6.6% and reflecting earnings-call scrutiny of AI-related backlog and margins over the 50-day horizon. Vertiv (VRT) $180.67 dropped -5.5%, reinforcing that infrastructure hardware suppliers are cycling through profit-taking after strong multi-month gains while the 50-day trend remains constructive.

Enterprise Software faced outsized weakness, sliding -3.5% intraday and trading below its 50-day average (+5.1% vs50MA: BELOW). Palantir (PLTR) $190.74 plunged -7.9% after sentiment around advanced AI monetization cooled, contributing to the sector’s short-term underperformance against its 50-day context. The pullback suggests investors are differentiating between durable enterprise AI spend and speculative, revenue-adoption stories that carry higher execution risk over a 50-day horizon.

Airlines underperformed with a severe 1-day decline (-5.2%) and a deteriorated 50-day picture (-10.8% vs50MA: BELOW); United (UAL) $90.77 led losses, down -5.6%. DOT warnings about potential airspace shutdowns amplified operational risk and forced sellers into a sector already weak across the 50-day trend. For portfolio construction, this is an acute event-driven selloff layered on top of structural 50-day weakness, rather than a buy-the-dip signal for cyclical exposure.

Materials and Analog & Embedded Chips carry active high alerts after extended declines over both 20- and 50-day windows, and the sector numbers affirm the stress: Materials is up only +1.0% today but down -10.5% over 20 days and -15.3% over 50 days, while Analog & Embedded Chips are -3.0% today and have slid -11.3% over 20 days and -17.0% over 50 days. Linde (LIN) $413.70 bucked the trend intraday, rising +1.4%, but the broader 50-day deterioration flags elevated risk for commodity and cyclical chip sub-industries in the current macro regime.

Market Breadth Analysis

US stock market breadth analysis shows 9 of 24 sectors trading above their 50-day moving average, while 15 are below. With the majority of sectors below the 50-day MA, medium-term momentum is deteriorating. The 20-day breadth shows 14 sectors in negative territory, pointing to widespread selling pressure.

Interactive Charts

S&P 500 & NASDAQ 100

50-Day Sector Performance

1-Day vs 5-Day Sector Change

Active Alerts

HIGH Materials down -10.5% over 20 days
HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -11.3% over 20 days
HIGH Materials down -15.3% over 50 days
HIGH Analog & Embedded Chips down -17.0% over 50 days
HIGH 4 sectors declining >5% over 20 days: Telecom, Media & Entertainment, Materials, Analog & Embedded Chips
HIGH 4 sectors declining >10% over 50 days: Airlines, Telecom, Materials, Analog & Embedded Chips
MEDIUM META down -16.5% from 20-day high

Stock-Level Detail

Mag 7 (AI Spenders) Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AAPL $269.28 +0.4% +0.1% +4.6% +17.8% ABOVE 0
MSFT $511.09 -0.5% -5.0% -2.0% +2.4% ABOVE 5
META $625.69 -1.6% -16.5% -12.6% -16.8% BELOW 4
AMZN $249.32 -1.8% +8.3% +10.7% +9.0% ABOVE 1
GOOG $277.52 -2.1% +1.1% +13.3% +33.8% ABOVE 1
NVDA $198.44 -4.0% -4.0% +5.1% +9.3% ABOVE 1
TSLA $444.26 -5.1% -3.7% +1.3% +26.3% ABOVE 1
Chip Supply Chain Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AVGO $349.98 -2.9% -8.8% +1.9% +18.3% ABOVE 4
MRVL $87.46 -3.1% -2.8% -5.2% +18.0% ABOVE 2
TSM $291.75 -3.5% -3.6% -3.4% +23.6% ABOVE 1
AMD $250.05 -3.7% -5.4% +6.2% +50.1% ABOVE 1
QCOM $170.24 -4.4% -3.3% +3.0% +9.2% ABOVE 2
ARM $160.73 -4.7% -5.7% -3.6% +14.6% ABOVE 2
INTC $37.03 -6.3% -10.4% -1.1% +52.1% ABOVE 5
Infrastructure Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
CSCO $71.28 -2.9% +1.4% +2.8% +6.4% ABOVE 1
DELL $153.49 -3.4% -5.5% -5.7% +18.5% ABOVE 2
HPE $23.20 -3.8% -2.9% -9.7% +5.3% BELOW 1
VRT $180.67 -5.5% -9.3% +8.0% +41.4% ABOVE 4
SMCI $47.40 -6.6% -10.0% -19.2% +6.9% BELOW 2
Enterprise Software Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
ADBE $335.35 -0.6% -0.7% -3.8% -5.5% BELOW 2
CRM $252.74 -2.6% +1.2% +5.8% +4.6% ABOVE 1
NOW $177.51 -2.9% -2.6% -2.9% +2.6% BELOW 3
PLTR $190.74 -7.9% -4.1% +3.9% +18.6% ABOVE 1
Finance Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GS $779.37 +0.7% +1.0% +1.8% +6.2% ABOVE 0
JPM $304.92 -0.0% +1.2% +1.7% +4.1% ABOVE 2
Healthcare Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LLY $902.47 +1.2% +11.5% +7.2% +23.2% ABOVE 0
UNH $324.23 -0.9% -6.9% -10.6% +10.8% BELOW 5
Retail Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
COST $938.10 +1.4% +3.2% +3.0% +0.1% ABOVE 0
WMT $101.66 +0.7% -0.2% -0.6% +6.5% BELOW 0
IT Services Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
IBM $295.33 -1.3% -2.4% +3.9% +24.0% ABOVE 3
ACN $238.00 -2.2% -2.0% -4.0% -4.9% BELOW 2
Airlines Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DAL $55.22 -4.9% -5.3% -2.3% -8.7% BELOW 1
UAL $90.77 -5.6% -5.4% -7.5% -12.8% BELOW 1
Hospitality & Travel Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MAR $270.54 +3.2% +3.5% +1.6% +1.6% ABOVE 0
BKNG $198.34 -0.8% -1.7% -2.7% -12.4% BELOW 3
Food & Restaurant Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
MCD $293.78 +1.0% -1.0% +1.6% -3.8% BELOW 0
SBUX $78.07 -1.7% -5.4% -0.5% -8.1% BELOW 1
Logistics Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
FDX $200.36 -0.4% +0.9% +5.0% +9.7% ABOVE 2
UPS $88.90 -0.9% -4.3% +8.1% +6.6% ABOVE 2
Industrial Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
HON $202.69 -0.7% -2.1% -0.7% -6.3% BELOW 2
CAT $545.26 -4.0% -6.5% +9.4% +27.3% ABOVE 4
Cybersecurity Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
PANW $214.52 -2.1% -1.2% -1.5% +16.4% ABOVE 2
ZS $328.30 -2.4% +2.3% +4.6% +22.6% ABOVE 1
CRWD $133.48 -3.3% -2.1% +4.7% +27.9% ABOVE 1
Chip Equipment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
AMAT $229.17 -3.2% -2.4% +5.8% +39.9% ABOVE 1
LRCX $155.23 -3.4% -3.0% +9.3% +50.6% ABOVE 1
ASML $1026.54 -3.4% -3.8% +4.5% +35.2% ABOVE 1
Data Center REITs Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
EQIX $816.40 -0.4% +4.0% +3.3% +6.2% ABOVE 2
DLR $164.71 -2.1% +0.7% -3.4% +0.9% BELOW 1
Utilities Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DUK $120.68 +0.1% -0.4% -1.1% +0.4% BELOW 0
NEE $80.01 -0.1% -0.1% -2.8% +10.0% ABOVE 1
SO $90.51 -0.5% -0.8% -3.6% -0.4% BELOW 3
Energy Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
XOM $111.64 +0.3% -2.0% +0.1% +2.4% ABOVE 0
CVX $148.86 -0.4% -1.1% -0.2% -2.5% BELOW 2
Defense & Aerospace Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GD $339.00 +0.5% -0.0% -0.4% +7.1% ABOVE 0
LMT $475.69 -0.6% -0.1% -5.6% +7.3% ABOVE 2
RTX $173.62 -0.8% -0.4% +4.2% +10.1% ABOVE 2
Telecom Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TMUS $203.19 +1.5% -4.1% -9.0% -17.6% BELOW 0
T $23.59 -0.4% -2.8% -5.9% -13.5% BELOW 2
VZ $37.44 -0.4% -2.2% -3.2% -9.0% BELOW 2
Media & Entertainment Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
DIS $109.88 -0.6% +1.1% -0.4% -5.3% BELOW 2
NFLX $109.30 -0.6% -0.7% -10.0% -10.9% BELOW 2
Biotech Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
GILD $120.71 +0.8% +3.8% +4.0% +7.9% ABOVE 0
AMGN $290.38 +0.1% +1.7% +0.7% +2.5% ABOVE 0
Materials Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
LIN $413.70 +1.4% -3.3% -10.7% -13.0% BELOW 0
APD $236.07 +0.6% -3.0% -10.4% -17.6% BELOW 0
Analog & Embedded Chips Show individual tickers
Ticker Price 1D 5D 20D 50D vs 50MA Down Days
TXN $157.53 -1.3% +0.3% -11.5% -21.9% BELOW 1
MCHP $58.33 -4.7% -4.9% -11.1% -12.0% BELOW 2

Key Stock Movers

Today's biggest movers by absolute percentage change: Palantir (PLTR) (Enterprise Software) fell 7.9% to $190.74. Super Micro (SMCI) (Infrastructure) fell 6.6% to $47.40. Intel (INTC) (Chip Supply Chain) fell 6.3% to $37.03. United (UAL) (Airlines) fell 5.6% to $90.77. Vertiv (VRT) (Infrastructure) fell 5.5% to $180.67. These individual stock movements were key drivers of their respective sector performance.

Risk and Opportunity Assessment

On the risk side, 6 high-severity alerts are currently active, signaling significant sector declines that warrant portfolio risk management attention. Consider reducing exposure to affected sectors and tightening stop-loss levels.

US Stock Market Outlook

Breadth is weak: only 9 sectors remain above their 50-day moving averages while 15 are below, and active alerts show multiple sectors with sustained 20- and 50-day deterioration. With four sectors down more than 10% over 50 days and four sectors down >5% over 20 days, watch for continued volatility around AI and semiconductor names while S&P 500 internals cool. Positioning guidance: favor defensive, cash-flow-stable names in Healthcare and Select Finance while trimming concentrated AI/speculative exposures; use strength in Chip Equipment and select Mag 7 exposures to rebalance rather than add to momentum positions amid stretched valuations.

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